Kasikorn Securities Maintains Buy on RJH with 17.70 Baht Target, Expects Q3 2026 Profit to Surge 63%

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Kasikorn Securities maintains its "Buy" rating on Rajthanee Hospital Public Company Limited, or RJH, and has raised its mid-2027 target price to 17.70 baht from 17.20 baht after revising up its profit forecasts. It expects normalized profit in the third quarter of 2026 to grow a strong 63% year on year to 134 million baht, driven by revenue growth from the Social Security Office, or SSO, and margin expansion, even as revenue from cash-paying patients weakens. Management is maintaining its revenue growth target of more than 10% amid weak economic conditions and purchasing power. The research team values the stock using a DCF method with a WACC of 7.7%, based on 293 million shares outstanding, excluding treasury shares, reflecting a PER of 12.2 times in 2026 and 12.7 times in 2027, versus RJH's nine-year historical average of 19.7 times and one standard deviation below the average at 9.5 times. It also implies a dividend yield of 5.1% in 2026 and 2027. If the SSO does not raise its service rates, the DCF-derived value would fall 5% to 16.90 baht from 17.70 baht. RJH trades at a PER of only 10 to 11 times in 2026 and 2027, the lowest in the sector, with a dividend yield of 5.9%. Downside risks include weaker-than-expected purchasing power in Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya province, no increase in SSO service rates, and negative regulatory changes.

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Kasikorn Securities maintains Buy and raises RJH's target price to 17.70 baht after lifting profit forecasts, with Q3 2026 normalized profit seen up 63% YoY.