Ngern Tid Lor Public Company LimitedKGI raises profit forecast and target price but maintains Hold due to unfavorable economy and limited upside.

KGI Securities (Thailand) has raised its profit estimates for TIDLOR for 2026-2027 by 6% after lowering its credit cost assumption to 2.4% from 2.5%. It also raised its target price to 20.20 baht from 19.20 baht, but maintains a "Hold" rating due to an unfavorable economy, unattractive share price, and limited upside. Loans in Q2 2026 grew 2.4% QoQ and 3% YTD, with motorcycle loans, which yield 22-24%, accounting for more than 50% of new loans. Meanwhile, the company diversified its funding sources by issuing 3-year yen bonds in Japan worth approximately 16.5 billion baht, or 20-22% of total funding, which is expected to have a higher overall cost than its current cost of funds of 3.2%.
Ngern Tid Lor Public Company LimitedKGI raises profit forecast and target price but maintains Hold due to unfavorable economy and limited upside.