Phillip Securities: Property Stocks to Benefit from Easing Supply in H2; Prefers AP and ASW

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Summary · why it matters

Phillip Securities assesses the property sector, noting that in the first half, the market is adjusting. The value of new project launches is less than sales for both low-rise and high-rise segments among the top 11 companies, leading to lower inventory and a trend of easing supply in the second half. This should improve gross margins due to a better product mix, and price competition may soften next year. In 2Q69, total sales reached 52 billion baht, up 9.2% year-on-year, supported by high-rise sales which had a low base due to the earthquake, while low-rise sales weakened due to reduced demand and new supply. Higher energy costs have pushed construction costs up by about 10%, impacting total costs by around 2.5%, but developers are managing. For 3Q69, the top pick is AP, given two additional condominium projects ready for transfer and a strong low-rise backlog. ASW is a pick for dividends, with the highest expected dividend yield in the group at 10.4%.

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