Sequans Communications Fair Value Cut 22% to US$8.75 as Analysts Trim Targets

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The fair value estimate for Sequans Communications has been lowered from US$11.25 to US$8.75, a reduction of about 22%, as Roth, B. Riley, and Lake Street all cut their price targets on the stock. Roth Capital says Sequans is fully funded to reach break even, reducing financing risk if the business plan stays on track, and points to potential contributions from core internet of things products along with radio frequency, 5G, and licensing. B. Riley calls the setup a compelling risk and reward proposition, citing internet of things revenue and design win conversions plus a growing defense and RF opportunity, while Lake Street highlights the retirement of Sequans convertible debt and a partial liquidation of bitcoin holdings as steps toward a pure play internet of things semiconductor profile. Roth explicitly cites reduced near term internet of things and licensing estimates, flagging execution and timing as key watchpoints. The updated model lifts the revenue growth assumption from 55.47% to 63.71% and the net profit margin from 16.55% to 20.07%, while the future P/E moves from 16.0x to 8.5x and the discount rate adjusts from 13.56% to 12.29%.

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Lake Street is cited as one of the analysts cutting its Sequans price target, a passing mention of its own action

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