Record Q2 but guidance miss and probe hit Carvana
Record Q2 results Carvana sold 197,325 retail units (up 38%) and revenue rose 52% to $7.38 billion, with net income of $513 million and its strongest-ever debt ratio of 1.0x EBITDA, showing strong demand and improved finances.
This is the core positive fundamental news that drove the stock during the period.
Same-day delivery expansion and debt refinancing Carvana expanded same-day delivery to three new markets and refinanced $1.66 billion in debt, saving about $45 million annually in interest. It also began acquiring Stellantis dealerships to capture trade-ins and high-margin service revenue.
These operational moves support growth and profitability, key drivers for the stock.
Full-year EBITDA guidance misses forecasts Carvana's full-year EBITDA guidance of $2.7–3.0 billion fell short of analyst expectations, sending shares down 14% as investors worried about future profitability.
This was a major negative catalyst that drove the stock lower during the period.
Federal probe into Mark Walter raises forced-selling fears A federal investigation into billionaire Mark Walter, who indirectly controls 8% of Carvana's Class B stock, sparked fears of forced selling and drove further double-digit declines in the share price.
This governance and ownership risk was a significant negative driver for the stock.