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BAIC Motor vs Li Auto: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

BAIC Motor Corp Ltd (1958.HK)

Li Auto Inc (2015.HK)

Q3 2026
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Li Auto hit by price war, margin collapse, and record loss

  • Intensifying competition and price war BYD's cheaper Great Tang SUV and Xiaomi's entry into extended-range SUVs ramped up competition, while an industry launch glut pressured Li Auto's sales and pricing. Domestic H1 sales fell 5% amid the price war.

    This competitive pressure was a primary force behind Li Auto's weak sales and margin decline.

  • Margin collapse and record loss Q2 vehicle margins collapsed to 9.4% from 19.4%, producing a RMB1.7 billion net loss. June deliveries fell 15% year-over-year, and the stock dropped 17% to an all-time low.

    This directly explains the sharp deterioration in profitability and the stock's steep decline.

  • August rebound and new models August deliveries rebounded 32% year-over-year, Q3 guidance reached 100,000 units, and new models—the Li L8, Li i9, and Li L6—plus a RMB2.65 billion battery investment support future growth.

    These positive developments provided a counterweight to the negative pressures and supported a potential recovery.

  • Export demand as partial offset Export demand in the Middle East and Europe offers a partial counterweight to weak domestic sales, though profitability remains severely squeezed.

    This highlights an external source of demand that partially offsets domestic weakness.

August 2026
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Li Auto: deliveries rebound but margins collapse on price war

  • August deliveries jump 32% year-over-year Li Auto delivered 32% more vehicles in August than a year earlier, and Q3 guidance points to up to 100,000 units. This shows demand is holding up despite fierce competition.

    This is the key new positive demand signal for the period.

  • Q2 margins collapse to 9.4% and net loss of RMB1.7 billion Vehicle profit margin fell to 9.4% from 19.4% a year earlier, with a RMB1.7 billion net loss. Deliveries fell 11.5% and revenue dropped 15.1%, showing the price war is crushing profitability.

    This is the main new negative financial result for the period.

  • New models and battery investment support future growth Li Auto launched the Li i9 flagship SUV with in-house chip and fast-charging tech, and the Li L6 topped 10,000 units. A RMB2.65 billion investment in Sunwoda's battery unit secures supply and cost control.

    These are new strategic moves that could improve competitiveness and costs.

  • Domestic price war drags sales down 5% in H1 despite export strength China's brutal EV price war pushed domestic sales down 5% in the first half, but strong export demand and expansion into the Middle East and Europe offer a counterweight.

    This captures the ongoing competitive pressure and the offsetting export opportunity.

Latest
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Li Auto's Q2 loss and margin collapse overshadow new model launches

  • Q2 profit collapse: margins crushed, swing to loss Li Auto's Q2 2026 results showed deliveries down 11.5%, revenue down 15.1%, vehicle margin collapsing to 9.4% from 19.4%, and a net loss of RMB1.7 billion. This is a sharp deterioration in profitability, directly weighing on the stock.

    This is the single biggest new negative force for the stock, showing the price war is now hitting profits hard.

  • New flagship Li i9 SUV launched with in-house tech Li Auto launched the Li i9, a six-seat flagship electric SUV starting at RMB369,800, featuring an 800V 5C fast-charging platform, proprietary motors, and the in-house MACH M100 chip. If it sells well, it could revive growth and margins.

    This is the main new product bet that could offset the weak financials and drive future sales.

  • September deliveries 31,817; new Li L6 tops 10,000 Li Auto delivered 31,817 vehicles in September, with over 10,000 units of the new Li L6. It also launched the Li MEGA Home and Li i9 Home, and will debut the Li i6 in Europe at the Paris Motor Show in October. This shows demand is holding up.

    Concrete delivery numbers and new model launches show the company is still selling cars and expanding its lineup.

  • July deliveries 30,468; August exports jump 33% Li Auto delivered 30,468 vehicles in July, a solid number. Meanwhile, China's EV exports rose 33% in August, showing strong overseas demand that could benefit Li Auto as it expands into Central Asia and Europe. But domestic competition remains fierce.

    These data points show demand is not collapsing and overseas markets offer a growth outlet, but they are not enough to offset the profit hit.

▲3▼1

Li Auto's strong deliveries and battery bet offset China EV price war

  • China EV price war hits Li Auto's domestic sales China's EV market is in a brutal price war with oversupply and weak demand. Li Auto's domestic sales fell 5% in the first half, showing the whole industry is struggling. This pressures Li Auto's sales and profits, pushing the stock down.

    Explains the main negative force on Li Auto's sales and profitability.

  • Q2 revenue beat and Q3 delivery guidance up to 100K Li Auto reported Q2 revenue above analyst estimates and guided Q3 deliveries up to 100,000 vehicles. This shows the company is selling more cars than expected, which supports the stock price.

    Directly shows better-than-expected financial performance and future delivery outlook.

  • August deliveries jump 32% year-over-year Li Auto delivered 37,679 vehicles in August, up 32% from a year ago. This strong demand shows customers are buying its cars despite the tough market. It also plans new models and Middle East expansion, which could add more growth.

    Confirms strong end-customer demand and product momentum.

  • Li Auto invests 2.65 billion yuan in battery maker Sunwoda Li Auto is investing 2.65 billion yuan to become the second-largest shareholder in Sunwoda's EV battery unit. This helps secure battery supply and control costs, which is good for future profits and the stock price.

    Shows a strategic move to strengthen supply chain and cost control.

July 2026
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Li Auto hit by price war, margin collapse, and delivery decline

  • BYD's Great Tang SUV intensifies competition BYD launched the Great Tang SUV, a direct rival to Li Auto's L9, starting at 239,900 yuan with over 150,000 pre-orders. This undercuts Li Auto's premium pricing and pressures its market share in the high-end SUV segment.

    New competitive threat directly targets Li Auto's key segment, likely hurting sales and pricing power.

  • Li Auto launches new Li L8 five-seat SUV Li Auto launched the all-new Li L8 five-seat flagship SUV, with deliveries starting soon. This expands its product lineup and could attract more customers, but it remains to be seen if it can offset broader demand weakness.

    New product launch is a potential positive catalyst for future sales, though its impact is uncertain.

  • June deliveries fall 15% year-over-year Li Auto delivered 30,895 vehicles in June, down 14.8% from a year earlier and 7.4% from May. This indicates weakening demand and contrasts with rivals like Nio, which grew 62.9%.

    Directly shows deteriorating sales, a key driver of the stock's decline.

  • Xiaomi enters extended-range SUV market Xiaomi unveiled its Sky Nomad extended-range SUV series, entering a category popularized by Li Auto. Xiaomi's brand strength and tech focus could lure customers away, adding to competitive pressures.

    New competitor in Li Auto's core segment, threatening future market share.

  • Margin collapse and weak guidance drive stock down 17% Li Auto's vehicle gross margins plunged to 6.1% from 19.8%, and Q2 guidance points to a 10-14.5% delivery decline. The stock hit an all-time low, though analysts still see upside.

    Summarizes the financial deterioration and market reaction, central to the stock's recent performance.

  • Industry-wide rapid product launches hurt demand sustainability Eight automakers held launch events on July 16, with new car models introduced at twice the rate of phones. This creates a 'new car effect death valley,' where demand fades quickly, causing supply chain volatility and asset impairments.

    Highlights a structural industry challenge that pressures all automakers, including Li Auto.

▼5▲1

Li Auto hit by price war, margin collapse, and delivery decline

  • BYD's Great Tang SUV intensifies competition BYD launched the Great Tang SUV, a direct rival to Li Auto's L9, starting at 239,900 yuan with over 150,000 pre-orders. This undercuts Li Auto's premium pricing and pressures its market share in the high-end SUV segment.

    New competitive threat directly targets Li Auto's key segment, likely hurting sales and pricing power.

  • Li Auto launches new Li L8 five-seat SUV Li Auto launched the all-new Li L8 five-seat flagship SUV, with deliveries starting soon. This expands its product lineup and could attract more customers, but it remains to be seen if it can offset broader demand weakness.

    New product launch is a potential positive catalyst for future sales, though its impact is uncertain.

  • June deliveries fall 15% year-over-year Li Auto delivered 30,895 vehicles in June, down 14.8% from a year earlier and 7.4% from May. This indicates weakening demand and contrasts with rivals like Nio, which grew 62.9%.

    Directly shows deteriorating sales, a key driver of the stock's decline.

  • Xiaomi enters extended-range SUV market Xiaomi unveiled its Sky Nomad extended-range SUV series, entering a category popularized by Li Auto. Xiaomi's brand strength and tech focus could lure customers away, adding to competitive pressures.

    New competitor in Li Auto's core segment, threatening future market share.

  • Margin collapse and weak guidance drive stock down 17% Li Auto's vehicle gross margins plunged to 6.1% from 19.8%, and Q2 guidance points to a 10-14.5% delivery decline. The stock hit an all-time low, though analysts still see upside.

    Summarizes the financial deterioration and market reaction, central to the stock's recent performance.

  • Industry-wide rapid product launches hurt demand sustainability Eight automakers held launch events on July 16, with new car models introduced at twice the rate of phones. This creates a 'new car effect death valley,' where demand fades quickly, causing supply chain volatility and asset impairments.

    Highlights a structural industry challenge that pressures all automakers, including Li Auto.