Defense wins and AI deals lift MHI, but China blacklist and soft profit outlook cap gains
Defense order surge MHI won a £4.6bn contract for the GCAP fighter, Japan shifted policy to spend more on defense, OKI made its first overseas sonar sale, and a new Taigei-class submarine launched, boosting the order backlog.
This is the main new growth driver for MHI's defense business.
AI and clean-energy partnerships MHI teamed up with Nvidia on AI data centers, signed an MOU with Entergy to cut costs for carbon capture, launched the H3 rocket on Japan's first lunar mission, and announced a ¥100bn shipyard expansion.
These new collaborations and projects open additional revenue streams beyond defense.
Strong orders and profit jump Full-year orders were raised to ¥7tn on gas-turbine and nuclear demand, and quarterly profit nearly doubled, showing broad-based strength across core businesses.
This confirms underlying demand and operational leverage.
China blacklist and profit miss China blacklisted MHI affiliates, restricting dual-use exports and raising costs, while the unchanged ¥380bn net profit outlook fell short of analyst estimates, capping the stock's gains.
These are the main new headwinds that limited the quarter's upside.