Dongxing Sec vs Nomura Holdings: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Dongxing Sec Co Ltd (601198.CG)

Q3 202614 Jul – 23 Sep 2026

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Dongxing's merger with CICC approved; strong first-half profit growth

Merger with CICC approved The Shanghai Stock Exchange and CSRC approved Dongxing's merger with CICC. Shareholders will get 0.4376 CICC shares per Dongxing share, valuing it at 16.05 yuan, and the company applied for voluntary delisting.
This is the major event that drove the stock, making the merger near-certain and unlocking value.
Strong first-half profit growth First-half 2026 net profit rose 25.13% to 1.025 billion yuan, the fourth straight year of growth, with revenue up 11.40%. This fundamental strength supported the stock.
It shows the company's underlying business performed well, boosting investor confidence.
Regulatory M&A incentives Regulatory incentives for mergers and acquisitions in the securities sector supported consolidation, making the Dongxing-CICC deal more likely and beneficial.
It explains the favorable regulatory environment that helped the merger proceed.
Approval risk resolved The main risk was uncertainty over final CSRC approval, which could have delayed or blocked the deal and eroded the embedded premium. That risk has now largely resolved.
It highlights the removal of a key overhang that had been weighing on the stock.

August 202614 Jul – 23 Sep 2026

▲4

Dongxing's merger with CICC approved; strong first-half profit growth

Merger with CICC approved The Shanghai Stock Exchange and CSRC approved Dongxing's merger with CICC. Shareholders will get 0.4376 CICC shares per Dongxing share, valuing it at 16.05 yuan, and the company applied for voluntary delisting.
This is the major event that drove the stock, making the merger near-certain and unlocking value.
Strong first-half profit growth First-half 2026 net profit rose 25.13% to 1.025 billion yuan, the fourth straight year of growth, with revenue up 11.40%. This fundamental strength supported the stock.
It shows the company's underlying business performed well, boosting investor confidence.
Regulatory M&A incentives Regulatory incentives for mergers and acquisitions in the securities sector supported consolidation, making the Dongxing-CICC deal more likely and beneficial.
It explains the favorable regulatory environment that helped the merger proceed.
Approval risk resolved The main risk was uncertainty over final CSRC approval, which could have delayed or blocked the deal and eroded the embedded premium. That risk has now largely resolved.
It highlights the removal of a key overhang that had been weighing on the stock.

Latest31 Jul – 23 Sep 2026

▲4

Dongxing Securities Is Being Absorbed by CICC and Delisted

Strong interim profit growth Dongxing's 2026 interim net profit rose 25.13% to 1.025 billion yuan, the fourth straight year of growth, with revenue up 11.40%. Solid earnings support the value of the shares being swapped into CICC stock.
It shows the underlying business is performing well, which supports the value shareholders receive in the merger.
Regulator approves CICC merger China's securities regulator approved CICC's absorption of Dongxing and Cinda Securities. This clears the main hurdle, making the deal near-certain and giving Dongxing holders a clear path to CICC shares.
Regulatory approval removes the biggest risk that the merger might fail, directly affecting the value of Dongxing shares.
Share swap terms set at 16.05 yuan Dongxing shareholders will receive 0.4376 CICC shares for each Dongxing share, valuing Dongxing at 16.05 yuan per share. This fixed exchange ratio anchors Dongxing's price to CICC's market value.
The swap ratio and price directly determine what Dongxing investors get, making it the key pricing driver.
Delisting application accepted Dongxing applied for voluntary delisting and the Shanghai Stock Exchange accepted it on September 23. This is the final step before the company dissolves into CICC, ending its separate listing.
It confirms the merger is proceeding to completion, which is the ultimate event affecting Dongxing's shares.

14 Jul – 27 Aug 2026

▲3

CICC merger clears key approval; Dongxing earnings jump

CICC merger wins Shanghai Stock Exchange approval The Shanghai Stock Exchange approved CICC's share-swap merger with Dongxing and Cinda. This is the biggest step yet toward Dongxing being bought out at a 26% premium to its recent average price, which supports the stock. Final CSRC approval is still pending, so the deal is not yet certain.
This is the period's most important new event and directly drives Dongxing's price through the takeover premium.
First-half profit rises 25% year-on-year Dongxing reported first-half net profit of 1.025 billion yuan, up 25.13% from a year earlier, with second-quarter profit up 90% from the first quarter. Stronger earnings make the company more valuable and support the share price on their own, even aside from the merger.
It is a new, company-specific fundamental result that independently supports the stock price.
New M&A bonus in broker ratings backs consolidation Regulators added a first-ever bonus for mergers and acquisitions in this year's broker rating system, encouraging consolidation. Dongxing is part of a major merger, so it stands to benefit from this policy tailwind, which supports the deal's logic and the stock.
It is a new regulatory change that reinforces the merger trend Dongxing is part of.
Deal still needs final CSRC approval Even after the exchange approval, the merger still requires China Securities Regulatory Commission sign-off, and the company says there is uncertainty it will complete. If the deal were blocked or delayed, the premium embedded in Dongxing's price could shrink, so this is a real risk to watch.
It is the main counterweight that keeps the merger from being a certainty.

Nomura Holdings, Inc. (8604.JP)

Q3 202617 Jun – 8 Oct 2026

▲3▼1

Nomura Q3: Record Profits, Crypto Expansion, But Risks Linger

Record earnings and profitability Nomura reported record recurring revenue of ¥59.2bn, a 15.4% return on equity, and a 39% jump in April–June net profit to ¥145.5bn, driven by a 30% surge in wholesale revenue from Tokyo equity trading.
This is the core financial performance that drove investor confidence and the stock price.
Digital asset expansion Nomura's crypto arm Laser Digital received conditional OCC approval for a US trust charter, and Nomura became Japan's first newly registered crypto exchange in four years, signaling a strategic push into digital assets.
This new business initiative opens growth opportunities and differentiates Nomura in the financial sector.
Analyst upgrades and fee income Analysts raised profit forecasts by 4.8%, and Nomura joined SoftBank's ¥1trn bond underwriting, adding fee income and reinforcing its investment banking franchise.
These developments reflect positive sentiment and additional revenue streams that support the stock.
Early-stage crypto and market dependency risks Crypto initiatives are early-stage and may take time to pay off, and the bullish Nikkei 75,000 target depends on continued rate hikes and market strength, posing downside risks if conditions change.
This provides a balanced view of potential headwinds that could impact future performance.

August 202613 Jul – 8 Oct 2026

▲4

Nomura's profit outlook brightens on rate hikes, crypto entry, and deal fees

Profit forecast upgraded Analysts raised their profit forecast for Nomura by 4.8% in a week, now expecting a 5.2% increase from last year. This reflects growing confidence in the company's earnings, which supports a higher stock price.
Directly shows improving earnings expectations, a key driver for the stock.
Crypto exchange approval Nomura's digital asset unit became Japan's first newly registered crypto exchange in four years. This opens a new business line and positions Nomura in a growing market, potentially adding future revenue and boosting investor optimism.
New regulatory milestone expands Nomura's business into crypto, a positive growth driver.
Underwriting large bond deal Nomura is among the underwriters for SoftBank's 1 trillion yen bond sale. This generates fee income for Nomura's investment banking division, directly adding to profits and supporting the stock price.
A concrete deal that boosts Nomura's fee revenue, a positive earnings catalyst.
Bullish on rates and market Nomura's president expects the Nikkei to reach 75,000 by year-end, citing rising interest rates as positive for banks. Higher rates can boost Nomura's trading and lending income, and the optimistic market view supports the stock.
Leadership's bullish outlook on rates and the stock market signals confidence in Nomura's business environment.

Latest13 Jul – 8 Oct 2026

▲4

Nomura's profit outlook brightens on rate hikes, crypto entry, and deal fees

Profit forecast upgraded Analysts raised their profit forecast for Nomura by 4.8% in a week, now expecting a 5.2% increase from last year. This reflects growing confidence in the company's earnings, which supports a higher stock price.
Directly shows improving earnings expectations, a key driver for the stock.
Crypto exchange approval Nomura's digital asset unit became Japan's first newly registered crypto exchange in four years. This opens a new business line and positions Nomura in a growing market, potentially adding future revenue and boosting investor optimism.
New regulatory milestone expands Nomura's business into crypto, a positive growth driver.
Underwriting large bond deal Nomura is among the underwriters for SoftBank's 1 trillion yen bond sale. This generates fee income for Nomura's investment banking division, directly adding to profits and supporting the stock price.
A concrete deal that boosts Nomura's fee revenue, a positive earnings catalyst.
Bullish on rates and market Nomura's president expects the Nikkei to reach 75,000 by year-end, citing rising interest rates as positive for banks. Higher rates can boost Nomura's trading and lending income, and the optimistic market view supports the stock.
Leadership's bullish outlook on rates and the stock market signals confidence in Nomura's business environment.

July 202617 Jun – 6 Aug 2026

▲4

Nomura's profit surges on trading boom and digital-asset expansion

Wholesale revenue running 30% higher Nomura said wholesale revenue is up over 30% year-on-year, led by equity products, as Tokyo Stock Exchange cash-equity turnover jumped 68% in 2026. That raises the odds Nomura beats the roughly flat 2.2 trillion yen revenue consensus, lifting the shares.
This is the first signal of a strong quarter and directly drives earnings expectations.
Record recurring revenue and 15.4% ROE in Q1 Nomura reported record recurring revenue of 59.2 billion yen and a 15.4% return on equity. Wealth management net revenue rose 9% to 145.4 billion yen, with record net inflows into recurring-revenue assets. Global markets revenue jumped 26%, led by a 41% surge in equities. This shows broad-based profit strength.
It confirms the strong quarter with record recurring revenue and high ROE, a key driver of the stock.
April–June net profit up 39% to 145.5 billion yen Nomura's net profit for the April–June quarter rose 39% year-on-year to 145.5 billion yen, beating expectations. All five major Japanese brokerages posted sharp profit gains, helped by rising interest rates, higher stock prices, and strong sales of investment products. This confirms a sector-wide upcycle.
The earnings beat is the headline number that directly moves the stock and validates the positive trend.
Digital-asset push: US trust charter and ZIG partnership Nomura's Laser Digital won conditional OCC approval for a US national trust bank charter, enabling institutional crypto custody. It also invested in crypto asset ZIG and will co-develop on-chain financial products for institutions. These moves expand future revenue but are early-stage and may take time to pay off.
It shows a new growth avenue in digital assets, though with longer-term impact.

17 Jun – 6 Aug 2026

▲4

Nomura's profit surges on trading boom and digital-asset expansion

Wholesale revenue running 30% higher Nomura said wholesale revenue is up over 30% year-on-year, led by equity products, as Tokyo Stock Exchange cash-equity turnover jumped 68% in 2026. That raises the odds Nomura beats the roughly flat 2.2 trillion yen revenue consensus, lifting the shares.
This is the first signal of a strong quarter and directly drives earnings expectations.
Record recurring revenue and 15.4% ROE in Q1 Nomura reported record recurring revenue of 59.2 billion yen and a 15.4% return on equity. Wealth management net revenue rose 9% to 145.4 billion yen, with record net inflows into recurring-revenue assets. Global markets revenue jumped 26%, led by a 41% surge in equities. This shows broad-based profit strength.
It confirms the strong quarter with record recurring revenue and high ROE, a key driver of the stock.
April–June net profit up 39% to 145.5 billion yen Nomura's net profit for the April–June quarter rose 39% year-on-year to 145.5 billion yen, beating expectations. All five major Japanese brokerages posted sharp profit gains, helped by rising interest rates, higher stock prices, and strong sales of investment products. This confirms a sector-wide upcycle.
The earnings beat is the headline number that directly moves the stock and validates the positive trend.
Digital-asset push: US trust charter and ZIG partnership Nomura's Laser Digital won conditional OCC approval for a US national trust bank charter, enabling institutional crypto custody. It also invested in crypto asset ZIG and will co-develop on-chain financial products for institutions. These moves expand future revenue but are early-stage and may take time to pay off.
It shows a new growth avenue in digital assets, though with longer-term impact.