← Webull overview

Webull vs Nomura Holdings: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Webull Corp (BULL)

Q3 2026
▲2▼2

Webull's record Q2 offset by China security report and slowing user growth

  • Record Q2 earnings and crypto surge Webull posted record Q2 revenue of $198.8 million, up 51%, and adjusted profit up 169%, helped by the June 2026 repeal of the $25,000 day-trader minimum, which drove retail crypto orders up nearly 300%.

    This is the main positive force behind the stock's fundamentals during the period.

  • International expansion and new products Webull expanded internationally with a roughly $100 million acquisition in Thailand and launched new offerings like nano futures and a TTB bank partnership, aiming to broaden its customer base and product range.

    These moves represent new growth initiatives that could support future revenue.

  • Slowing registered-user growth Registered-user growth slowed to 13%, meaning results relied on existing users trading more rather than attracting new customers. This raises questions about the sustainability of the strong revenue growth.

    This is a key risk that tempers the positive earnings news.

  • China security report and competitive poaching A bipartisan House report alleging China-linked national security risks sank the stock about 20%, and Robinhood is using that scrutiny to poach customers. These unresolved concerns cloud Webull's growth story despite strong fundamentals.

    This is the main negative event that pressured the stock during the period.

August 2026
▲2▼2

Webull's record Q2 offset by China security report and slowing user growth

  • Record Q2 earnings and crypto surge Webull posted record Q2 revenue of $198.8 million, up 51%, and adjusted profit up 169%, helped by the June 2026 repeal of the $25,000 day-trader minimum, which drove retail crypto orders up nearly 300%.

    This is the main positive force behind the stock's fundamentals during the period.

  • International expansion and new products Webull expanded internationally with a roughly $100 million acquisition in Thailand and launched new offerings like nano futures and a TTB bank partnership, aiming to broaden its customer base and product range.

    These moves represent new growth initiatives that could support future revenue.

  • Slowing registered-user growth Registered-user growth slowed to 13%, meaning results relied on existing users trading more rather than attracting new customers. This raises questions about the sustainability of the strong revenue growth.

    This is a key risk that tempers the positive earnings news.

  • China security report and competitive poaching A bipartisan House report alleging China-linked national security risks sank the stock about 20%, and Robinhood is using that scrutiny to poach customers. These unresolved concerns cloud Webull's growth story despite strong fundamentals.

    This is the main negative event that pressured the stock during the period.

Latest
▲2▼2

Webull's Record Quarter Meets Washington Scrutiny

  • Congressional China-Ties Report Sinks Stock A bipartisan House committee said Webull's ownership, technology and data links to China pose a national security risk. Webull denies it and says customer data stays in the U.S. The stock fell about 20% on the report, and the issue is unresolved, so it remains a cloud over the shares.

    This is the single biggest new force on BULL's price this period and the main reason it is moving.

  • Robinhood Uses Scrutiny to Poach Customers Robinhood is offering incentives for Webull customers to move their accounts over, hoping to capitalize on the China-ties headlines. No big customer exodus is confirmed yet, but if users leave, Webull earns less from trading and its growth story weakens.

    It shows a concrete competitive consequence of the regulatory news, which is new and affects future revenue.

  • Record Q2 Profit and Buyback Webull swung to a $34.7 million pre-tax profit from a loss a year earlier, with revenue up 51% to $198.8 million and customer assets up 79% to $28.5 billion. It also finished a share buyback. Strong results support the stock, though growth came from existing users trading more, not many new accounts.

    It is the core fundamental driver behind the stock's gains and offsets the negative news.

  • New Products and Thailand Bank Deal Expand Reach Webull added tiny CME nano S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures, giving small investors easier access to index trading. It also partnered with Thailand's TTB bank to offer U.S. stocks and ETFs to TTB's 600,000 customers. Both add trading activity and new customers over time.

    These are new growth initiatives that broaden Webull's product lineup and customer base.

▲3

Webull's Record Quarter and Thailand Deal Drive Growth Story

  • Record Q2 Earnings Beat Webull reported its strongest quarter as a public company, with revenue up 51% to $198.8 million and adjusted profit up 169% to $62.6 million. This beat expectations and showed the business is growing fast, pushing the stock up 14%.

    This is the core new event that directly caused a large price jump and confirms Webull's growth trajectory.

  • Day-Trader Rule Repeal Boosts Trading The June 2026 removal of the $25,000 minimum balance for frequent day trading led to a nearly 300% surge in retail crypto orders. Webull's average account is about $5,500, so this rule change unlocked many customers, driving record trading volume and revenue.

    This regulatory change is a key new driver behind the record quarter and future growth, directly boosting trading activity.

  • Thailand Acquisition Expands Reach Webull Thailand completed the acquisition of 99.36% of Pi Securities for about $100 million, aiming to grow total assets under management to 200 billion baht by 2027. This expands Webull's international footprint and adds new services like crypto ETFs.

    This is a new strategic move that opens a new market and revenue stream, supporting long-term growth.

  • User Growth Slows Registered-user growth slowed to 13%, the slowest in at least three years. The record quarter relied on existing customers trading more, not new accounts. This is a concern for future growth if trading activity normalizes.

    This is a real counterweight to the positive earnings, highlighting a potential weakness that could limit future gains.

Nomura Holdings, Inc. (8604.JP)

Q3 2026
▲3▼1

Nomura Q3: Record Profits, Crypto Expansion, But Risks Linger

  • Record earnings and profitability Nomura reported record recurring revenue of ¥59.2bn, a 15.4% return on equity, and a 39% jump in April–June net profit to ¥145.5bn, driven by a 30% surge in wholesale revenue from Tokyo equity trading.

    This is the core financial performance that drove investor confidence and the stock price.

  • Digital asset expansion Nomura's crypto arm Laser Digital received conditional OCC approval for a US trust charter, and Nomura became Japan's first newly registered crypto exchange in four years, signaling a strategic push into digital assets.

    This new business initiative opens growth opportunities and differentiates Nomura in the financial sector.

  • Analyst upgrades and fee income Analysts raised profit forecasts by 4.8%, and Nomura joined SoftBank's ¥1trn bond underwriting, adding fee income and reinforcing its investment banking franchise.

    These developments reflect positive sentiment and additional revenue streams that support the stock.

  • Early-stage crypto and market dependency risks Crypto initiatives are early-stage and may take time to pay off, and the bullish Nikkei 75,000 target depends on continued rate hikes and market strength, posing downside risks if conditions change.

    This provides a balanced view of potential headwinds that could impact future performance.

August 2026
▲4

Nomura's profit outlook brightens on rate hikes, crypto entry, and deal fees

  • Profit forecast upgraded Analysts raised their profit forecast for Nomura by 4.8% in a week, now expecting a 5.2% increase from last year. This reflects growing confidence in the company's earnings, which supports a higher stock price.

    Directly shows improving earnings expectations, a key driver for the stock.

  • Crypto exchange approval Nomura's digital asset unit became Japan's first newly registered crypto exchange in four years. This opens a new business line and positions Nomura in a growing market, potentially adding future revenue and boosting investor optimism.

    New regulatory milestone expands Nomura's business into crypto, a positive growth driver.

  • Underwriting large bond deal Nomura is among the underwriters for SoftBank's 1 trillion yen bond sale. This generates fee income for Nomura's investment banking division, directly adding to profits and supporting the stock price.

    A concrete deal that boosts Nomura's fee revenue, a positive earnings catalyst.

  • Bullish on rates and market Nomura's president expects the Nikkei to reach 75,000 by year-end, citing rising interest rates as positive for banks. Higher rates can boost Nomura's trading and lending income, and the optimistic market view supports the stock.

    Leadership's bullish outlook on rates and the stock market signals confidence in Nomura's business environment.

Latest
▲4

Nomura's profit outlook brightens on rate hikes, crypto entry, and deal fees

  • Profit forecast upgraded Analysts raised their profit forecast for Nomura by 4.8% in a week, now expecting a 5.2% increase from last year. This reflects growing confidence in the company's earnings, which supports a higher stock price.

    Directly shows improving earnings expectations, a key driver for the stock.

  • Crypto exchange approval Nomura's digital asset unit became Japan's first newly registered crypto exchange in four years. This opens a new business line and positions Nomura in a growing market, potentially adding future revenue and boosting investor optimism.

    New regulatory milestone expands Nomura's business into crypto, a positive growth driver.

  • Underwriting large bond deal Nomura is among the underwriters for SoftBank's 1 trillion yen bond sale. This generates fee income for Nomura's investment banking division, directly adding to profits and supporting the stock price.

    A concrete deal that boosts Nomura's fee revenue, a positive earnings catalyst.

  • Bullish on rates and market Nomura's president expects the Nikkei to reach 75,000 by year-end, citing rising interest rates as positive for banks. Higher rates can boost Nomura's trading and lending income, and the optimistic market view supports the stock.

    Leadership's bullish outlook on rates and the stock market signals confidence in Nomura's business environment.

July 2026
▲4

Nomura's profit surges on trading boom and digital-asset expansion

  • Wholesale revenue running 30% higher Nomura said wholesale revenue is up over 30% year-on-year, led by equity products, as Tokyo Stock Exchange cash-equity turnover jumped 68% in 2026. That raises the odds Nomura beats the roughly flat 2.2 trillion yen revenue consensus, lifting the shares.

    This is the first signal of a strong quarter and directly drives earnings expectations.

  • Record recurring revenue and 15.4% ROE in Q1 Nomura reported record recurring revenue of 59.2 billion yen and a 15.4% return on equity. Wealth management net revenue rose 9% to 145.4 billion yen, with record net inflows into recurring-revenue assets. Global markets revenue jumped 26%, led by a 41% surge in equities. This shows broad-based profit strength.

    It confirms the strong quarter with record recurring revenue and high ROE, a key driver of the stock.

  • April–June net profit up 39% to 145.5 billion yen Nomura's net profit for the April–June quarter rose 39% year-on-year to 145.5 billion yen, beating expectations. All five major Japanese brokerages posted sharp profit gains, helped by rising interest rates, higher stock prices, and strong sales of investment products. This confirms a sector-wide upcycle.

    The earnings beat is the headline number that directly moves the stock and validates the positive trend.

  • Digital-asset push: US trust charter and ZIG partnership Nomura's Laser Digital won conditional OCC approval for a US national trust bank charter, enabling institutional crypto custody. It also invested in crypto asset ZIG and will co-develop on-chain financial products for institutions. These moves expand future revenue but are early-stage and may take time to pay off.

    It shows a new growth avenue in digital assets, though with longer-term impact.

▲4

Nomura's profit surges on trading boom and digital-asset expansion

  • Wholesale revenue running 30% higher Nomura said wholesale revenue is up over 30% year-on-year, led by equity products, as Tokyo Stock Exchange cash-equity turnover jumped 68% in 2026. That raises the odds Nomura beats the roughly flat 2.2 trillion yen revenue consensus, lifting the shares.

    This is the first signal of a strong quarter and directly drives earnings expectations.

  • Record recurring revenue and 15.4% ROE in Q1 Nomura reported record recurring revenue of 59.2 billion yen and a 15.4% return on equity. Wealth management net revenue rose 9% to 145.4 billion yen, with record net inflows into recurring-revenue assets. Global markets revenue jumped 26%, led by a 41% surge in equities. This shows broad-based profit strength.

    It confirms the strong quarter with record recurring revenue and high ROE, a key driver of the stock.

  • April–June net profit up 39% to 145.5 billion yen Nomura's net profit for the April–June quarter rose 39% year-on-year to 145.5 billion yen, beating expectations. All five major Japanese brokerages posted sharp profit gains, helped by rising interest rates, higher stock prices, and strong sales of investment products. This confirms a sector-wide upcycle.

    The earnings beat is the headline number that directly moves the stock and validates the positive trend.

  • Digital-asset push: US trust charter and ZIG partnership Nomura's Laser Digital won conditional OCC approval for a US national trust bank charter, enabling institutional crypto custody. It also invested in crypto asset ZIG and will co-develop on-chain financial products for institutions. These moves expand future revenue but are early-stage and may take time to pay off.

    It shows a new growth avenue in digital assets, though with longer-term impact.