← Franco-Nevada overview

Franco-Nevada vs Kinross Gold: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV)

Q3 2026
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Record Q2, new royalty deals, but Panama closure risk weighs

  • Record Q2 revenue and profit Franco-Nevada reported record Q2 2026 revenue up 57% to $581 million, with adjusted net income up 46% to $349.2 million. Gold-equivalent ounces sold rose 18% to 132,405, and the company is tracking toward the upper half of its 2026 guidance. This strong financial performance supports a higher stock price.

    This is the core positive fundamental news that drove the stock higher over the period.

  • New royalty investments expand future income Franco-Nevada committed A$200 million to increase its royalty on the Bullabulling gold project in Australia and paid $8 million to extend its Porcupine royalty to newly acquired Timmins properties. These deals use cash to grow future royalty income, which supports the stock price.

    These are new capital deployments that add to Franco-Nevada's long-term revenue stream.

  • Panama commission recommends Cobre Panama closure A Panamanian government commission recommended the orderly closure of the Cobre Panama mine, where Franco-Nevada holds a 100% precious metals stream. The report suggests a multi-decade operating framework but no restart timeline, creating uncertainty. Franco-Nevada shares fell 4% on the news, as the stream's future production is at risk.

    This is the main negative development that could remove a significant future revenue source.

  • UBS names Franco-Nevada a preferred gold stock UBS included Franco-Nevada in its preferred gold mining stocks for 2027, noting the Cobre Panama restart is mostly unpriced and the stock trades at about 15 times 2028 EV/EBITDA versus its five-year average of 21.5 times. This analyst endorsement can attract buyers and support the share price.

    This is a new analyst recommendation that highlights valuation upside and potential catalysts.

September 2026
▲3▼1

Record Q2, new royalty deals, but Panama closure risk weighs

  • Record Q2 revenue and profit Franco-Nevada reported record Q2 2026 revenue up 57% to $581 million, with adjusted net income up 46% to $349.2 million. Gold-equivalent ounces sold rose 18% to 132,405, and the company is tracking toward the upper half of its 2026 guidance. This strong financial performance supports a higher stock price.

    This is the core positive fundamental news that drove the stock higher over the period.

  • New royalty investments expand future income Franco-Nevada committed A$200 million to increase its royalty on the Bullabulling gold project in Australia and paid $8 million to extend its Porcupine royalty to newly acquired Timmins properties. These deals use cash to grow future royalty income, which supports the stock price.

    These are new capital deployments that add to Franco-Nevada's long-term revenue stream.

  • Panama commission recommends Cobre Panama closure A Panamanian government commission recommended the orderly closure of the Cobre Panama mine, where Franco-Nevada holds a 100% precious metals stream. The report suggests a multi-decade operating framework but no restart timeline, creating uncertainty. Franco-Nevada shares fell 4% on the news, as the stream's future production is at risk.

    This is the main negative development that could remove a significant future revenue source.

  • UBS names Franco-Nevada a preferred gold stock UBS included Franco-Nevada in its preferred gold mining stocks for 2027, noting the Cobre Panama restart is mostly unpriced and the stock trades at about 15 times 2028 EV/EBITDA versus its five-year average of 21.5 times. This analyst endorsement can attract buyers and support the share price.

    This is a new analyst recommendation that highlights valuation upside and potential catalysts.

Latest
▲3▼1

Record Q2, new royalty deals, but Panama closure risk weighs

  • Record Q2 revenue and profit Franco-Nevada reported record Q2 2026 revenue up 57% to $581 million, with adjusted net income up 46% to $349.2 million. Gold-equivalent ounces sold rose 18% to 132,405, and the company is tracking toward the upper half of its 2026 guidance. This strong financial performance supports a higher stock price.

    This is the core positive fundamental news that drove the stock higher over the period.

  • New royalty investments expand future income Franco-Nevada committed A$200 million to increase its royalty on the Bullabulling gold project in Australia and paid $8 million to extend its Porcupine royalty to newly acquired Timmins properties. These deals use cash to grow future royalty income, which supports the stock price.

    These are new capital deployments that add to Franco-Nevada's long-term revenue stream.

  • Panama commission recommends Cobre Panama closure A Panamanian government commission recommended the orderly closure of the Cobre Panama mine, where Franco-Nevada holds a 100% precious metals stream. The report suggests a multi-decade operating framework but no restart timeline, creating uncertainty. Franco-Nevada shares fell 4% on the news, as the stream's future production is at risk.

    This is the main negative development that could remove a significant future revenue source.

  • UBS names Franco-Nevada a preferred gold stock UBS included Franco-Nevada in its preferred gold mining stocks for 2027, noting the Cobre Panama restart is mostly unpriced and the stock trades at about 15 times 2028 EV/EBITDA versus its five-year average of 21.5 times. This analyst endorsement can attract buyers and support the share price.

    This is a new analyst recommendation that highlights valuation upside and potential catalysts.

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC)

Q3 2026
▼3▲1

Kinross cuts output, costs rise, but returns more cash

  • Production forecast cut ~8% for 2026-2027 Kinross lowered its 2026 and 2027 production outlook by about 8% due to harsh weather and processing problems at La Coipa in Chile and slower mining at Round Mountain in Nevada. This reduces the amount of gold Kinross expects to sell, which directly lowers future revenue and earnings, pushing the stock down.

    This is the main new negative event that caused an 11.6% share drop and explains why KGC is moving.

  • All-in sustaining costs rising to ~$1,730/oz in 2026 Kinross expects its all-in sustaining costs to climb to about $1,730 per ounce in 2026, up from $1,571 in 2025, due to higher fuel, royalty and labor costs. Rising costs squeeze profit margins, meaning Kinross keeps less money from each ounce sold, which weighs on the stock.

    Cost inflation is a key new headwind that compresses margins and pressures the share price.

  • Capital return target raised to 50% of free cash flow Kinross increased its 2026 shareholder payout target to 50% of free cash flow from 40% and raised its dividend by 14%. Returning more cash through dividends and buybacks rewards investors directly and signals confidence in future cash generation, which supports the stock price.

    This is a new positive action that offsets some negative news and shows management's confidence.

  • Fed rate hike and gold selloff hit mining stocks The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on September 16, pushing bond yields to their highest since 2008 and triggering a $264 billion selloff in mining stocks. Gold producers lost $79 billion, with Kinross falling 21.3%. Higher rates make gold less attractive and strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold prices and mining shares.

    This macro event explains the broader sector decline and KGC's sharp drop in September.

August 2026
▼3▲1

Kinross cuts output, costs rise, but returns more cash

  • Production forecast cut ~8% for 2026-2027 Kinross lowered its 2026 and 2027 production outlook by about 8% due to harsh weather and processing problems at La Coipa in Chile and slower mining at Round Mountain in Nevada. This reduces the amount of gold Kinross expects to sell, which directly lowers future revenue and earnings, pushing the stock down.

    This is the main new negative event that caused an 11.6% share drop and explains why KGC is moving.

  • All-in sustaining costs rising to ~$1,730/oz in 2026 Kinross expects its all-in sustaining costs to climb to about $1,730 per ounce in 2026, up from $1,571 in 2025, due to higher fuel, royalty and labor costs. Rising costs squeeze profit margins, meaning Kinross keeps less money from each ounce sold, which weighs on the stock.

    Cost inflation is a key new headwind that compresses margins and pressures the share price.

  • Capital return target raised to 50% of free cash flow Kinross increased its 2026 shareholder payout target to 50% of free cash flow from 40% and raised its dividend by 14%. Returning more cash through dividends and buybacks rewards investors directly and signals confidence in future cash generation, which supports the stock price.

    This is a new positive action that offsets some negative news and shows management's confidence.

  • Fed rate hike and gold selloff hit mining stocks The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on September 16, pushing bond yields to their highest since 2008 and triggering a $264 billion selloff in mining stocks. Gold producers lost $79 billion, with Kinross falling 21.3%. Higher rates make gold less attractive and strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold prices and mining shares.

    This macro event explains the broader sector decline and KGC's sharp drop in September.

Latest
▼3▲1

Kinross cuts output, costs rise, but returns more cash

  • Production forecast cut ~8% for 2026-2027 Kinross lowered its 2026 and 2027 production outlook by about 8% due to harsh weather and processing problems at La Coipa in Chile and slower mining at Round Mountain in Nevada. This reduces the amount of gold Kinross expects to sell, which directly lowers future revenue and earnings, pushing the stock down.

    This is the main new negative event that caused an 11.6% share drop and explains why KGC is moving.

  • All-in sustaining costs rising to ~$1,730/oz in 2026 Kinross expects its all-in sustaining costs to climb to about $1,730 per ounce in 2026, up from $1,571 in 2025, due to higher fuel, royalty and labor costs. Rising costs squeeze profit margins, meaning Kinross keeps less money from each ounce sold, which weighs on the stock.

    Cost inflation is a key new headwind that compresses margins and pressures the share price.

  • Capital return target raised to 50% of free cash flow Kinross increased its 2026 shareholder payout target to 50% of free cash flow from 40% and raised its dividend by 14%. Returning more cash through dividends and buybacks rewards investors directly and signals confidence in future cash generation, which supports the stock price.

    This is a new positive action that offsets some negative news and shows management's confidence.

  • Fed rate hike and gold selloff hit mining stocks The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on September 16, pushing bond yields to their highest since 2008 and triggering a $264 billion selloff in mining stocks. Gold producers lost $79 billion, with Kinross falling 21.3%. Higher rates make gold less attractive and strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold prices and mining shares.

    This macro event explains the broader sector decline and KGC's sharp drop in September.