IG vs Daiwa Securities: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

IG Group Holdings PLC (IGG.LSE)

Q3 20268 Jul – 2 Oct 2026

▼2▲1

IG Group's US growth bet collides with weak trading revenue

Q3 revenue warning and outlook cut IG said Q3 revenue would fall 14% to about £240m because it kept less of customers' trading losses, and cut its 2026 growth outlook. Shares fell as much as 27%, as investors feared the core business is weakening.
This is the single biggest new driver of the share price this period.
Underdog acquisition and US pivot IG is buying US fantasy-sports firm Underdog for up to $1.3bn, doubling US revenue and boosting customers. But it paused buybacks until 2027 and faces regulatory fights in 16 states, so the promised growth comes with real risk.
The deal is the main strategic force behind the stock and explains both optimism and the sell-off.
Jersey redomicile and restructuring costs IG is moving its holding company to Jersey and reshaping its organisation, with about £30m of one-off costs expected in 2026. The move adds uncertainty and expense, and the stock fell 3% when it was first reported.
It is a new structural change that affects costs and investor perception.
Underdog shifts fully to prediction markets Underdog is giving up fantasy-sports licences in seven states to focus on prediction markets, which IG expects to be almost all of its business long term. That sharpens the US growth story, though state regulators remain a hurdle.
It shows how the acquired business is adapting and supports the long-term growth case.

August 20268 Jul – 2 Oct 2026

▼2▲1

IG Group's US growth bet collides with weak trading revenue

Q3 revenue warning and outlook cut IG said Q3 revenue would fall 14% to about £240m because it kept less of customers' trading losses, and cut its 2026 growth outlook. Shares fell as much as 27%, as investors feared the core business is weakening.
This is the single biggest new driver of the share price this period.
Underdog acquisition and US pivot IG is buying US fantasy-sports firm Underdog for up to $1.3bn, doubling US revenue and boosting customers. But it paused buybacks until 2027 and faces regulatory fights in 16 states, so the promised growth comes with real risk.
The deal is the main strategic force behind the stock and explains both optimism and the sell-off.
Jersey redomicile and restructuring costs IG is moving its holding company to Jersey and reshaping its organisation, with about £30m of one-off costs expected in 2026. The move adds uncertainty and expense, and the stock fell 3% when it was first reported.
It is a new structural change that affects costs and investor perception.
Underdog shifts fully to prediction markets Underdog is giving up fantasy-sports licences in seven states to focus on prediction markets, which IG expects to be almost all of its business long term. That sharpens the US growth story, though state regulators remain a hurdle.
It shows how the acquired business is adapting and supports the long-term growth case.

Latest8 Jul – 2 Oct 2026

▼2▲1

IG Group's US growth bet collides with weak trading revenue

Q3 revenue warning and outlook cut IG said Q3 revenue would fall 14% to about £240m because it kept less of customers' trading losses, and cut its 2026 growth outlook. Shares fell as much as 27%, as investors feared the core business is weakening.
This is the single biggest new driver of the share price this period.
Underdog acquisition and US pivot IG is buying US fantasy-sports firm Underdog for up to $1.3bn, doubling US revenue and boosting customers. But it paused buybacks until 2027 and faces regulatory fights in 16 states, so the promised growth comes with real risk.
The deal is the main strategic force behind the stock and explains both optimism and the sell-off.
Jersey redomicile and restructuring costs IG is moving its holding company to Jersey and reshaping its organisation, with about £30m of one-off costs expected in 2026. The move adds uncertainty and expense, and the stock fell 3% when it was first reported.
It is a new structural change that affects costs and investor perception.
Underdog shifts fully to prediction markets Underdog is giving up fantasy-sports licences in seven states to focus on prediction markets, which IG expects to be almost all of its business long term. That sharpens the US growth story, though state regulators remain a hurdle.
It shows how the acquired business is adapting and supports the long-term growth case.

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. (8601.JP)

Q3 202613 Aug – 6 Oct 2026

▲2▼2

Record buybacks boost Daiwa, but data leak and rival gains weigh

Record buyback wave supports Daiwa's market position Japanese companies authorized a record 12.7 trillion yen in buybacks from April to August, according to Daiwa data. This shows Daiwa's market influence and a strong shareholder-return trend that supports brokerage activity and share prices.
It highlights a positive business trend and Daiwa's role as data source, which can lift sentiment.
Customer data leak at vendor hits Daiwa Daiwa Securities said about 110,000 customers' data may have leaked after unauthorized access at an outsourced vendor. This raises regulatory and reputational risk, which can pressure the stock until the issue is resolved.
It is a new negative event directly tied to Daiwa, affecting trust and compliance.
Mizuho-Rakuten alliance overtakes Daiwa in custody assets Mizuho Securities and Rakuten Securities now hold 121.7 trillion yen in combined custody assets, surpassing Daiwa's 116 trillion yen. This signals Daiwa losing ground to a rival, which could weigh on its competitive position and valuation.
It shows a competitive threat that may affect Daiwa's market share and pricing power.
Daiwa advances blockchain settlement with stablecoins Daiwa participated in Project Trinity's second phase, settling digital securities using stablecoins. This positions Daiwa at the forefront of blockchain-based settlement, a potential long-term efficiency and revenue driver.
It shows Daiwa embracing new technology that could improve its operations and competitiveness.

September 202613 Aug – 6 Oct 2026

▲2▼2

Record buybacks boost Daiwa, but data leak and rival gains weigh

Record buyback wave supports Daiwa's market position Japanese companies authorized a record 12.7 trillion yen in buybacks from April to August, according to Daiwa data. This shows Daiwa's market influence and a strong shareholder-return trend that supports brokerage activity and share prices.
It highlights a positive business trend and Daiwa's role as data source, which can lift sentiment.
Customer data leak at vendor hits Daiwa Daiwa Securities said about 110,000 customers' data may have leaked after unauthorized access at an outsourced vendor. This raises regulatory and reputational risk, which can pressure the stock until the issue is resolved.
It is a new negative event directly tied to Daiwa, affecting trust and compliance.
Mizuho-Rakuten alliance overtakes Daiwa in custody assets Mizuho Securities and Rakuten Securities now hold 121.7 trillion yen in combined custody assets, surpassing Daiwa's 116 trillion yen. This signals Daiwa losing ground to a rival, which could weigh on its competitive position and valuation.
It shows a competitive threat that may affect Daiwa's market share and pricing power.
Daiwa advances blockchain settlement with stablecoins Daiwa participated in Project Trinity's second phase, settling digital securities using stablecoins. This positions Daiwa at the forefront of blockchain-based settlement, a potential long-term efficiency and revenue driver.
It shows Daiwa embracing new technology that could improve its operations and competitiveness.

Latest13 Aug – 6 Oct 2026

▲2▼2

Record buybacks boost Daiwa, but data leak and rival gains weigh

Record buyback wave supports Daiwa's market position Japanese companies authorized a record 12.7 trillion yen in buybacks from April to August, according to Daiwa data. This shows Daiwa's market influence and a strong shareholder-return trend that supports brokerage activity and share prices.
It highlights a positive business trend and Daiwa's role as data source, which can lift sentiment.
Customer data leak at vendor hits Daiwa Daiwa Securities said about 110,000 customers' data may have leaked after unauthorized access at an outsourced vendor. This raises regulatory and reputational risk, which can pressure the stock until the issue is resolved.
It is a new negative event directly tied to Daiwa, affecting trust and compliance.
Mizuho-Rakuten alliance overtakes Daiwa in custody assets Mizuho Securities and Rakuten Securities now hold 121.7 trillion yen in combined custody assets, surpassing Daiwa's 116 trillion yen. This signals Daiwa losing ground to a rival, which could weigh on its competitive position and valuation.
It shows a competitive threat that may affect Daiwa's market share and pricing power.
Daiwa advances blockchain settlement with stablecoins Daiwa participated in Project Trinity's second phase, settling digital securities using stablecoins. This positions Daiwa at the forefront of blockchain-based settlement, a potential long-term efficiency and revenue driver.
It shows Daiwa embracing new technology that could improve its operations and competitiveness.