IP upgraded, but losses, plant closures, tariffs weigh
JPMorgan upgrade on linerboard pricing JPMorgan upgraded International Paper to Overweight, citing improving linerboard pricing, and raised its price target to $61. A broader materials-sector rally lifted IP shares over 11% in July.
This upgrade and rally were a major positive force behind IP's stock in Q3.
Q2 EPS beat and price hikes offset costs International Paper's Q2 earnings per share beat expectations even though revenue missed. Price increases helped offset rising costs tied to tensions in the Hormuz region.
The earnings beat and pricing power supported the stock despite revenue weakness.
Plant closures and Q2 net loss International Paper is closing four U.S. plants, cutting 330 jobs. Q2 swung to a $12 million net loss with negative free cash flow, raising concerns about profitability and cash generation.
These operational and financial setbacks weighed on investor sentiment.
Canadian tariffs and split uncertainty Canada's retaliatory tariffs of 15–50% hit pulp and paper exports. The planned company split leaves the $0.4625 dividend unallocated, and trimmed 2026 EBITDA guidance adds uncertainty for income investors.
Tariffs and strategic uncertainty created headwinds for IP's stock.
