PETCHSRIVICHAI ENTERPRISE vs Soybean Oil Futures: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

PETCHSRIVICHAI ENTERPRISE PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (PCE.BK)

Q3 202620 Jul – 8 Oct 2026

▲4

PCE's profit surge, capacity expansion, and biofuel tax cut plan drive growth

Record Q2 profit and strong H1 results PCE reported Q2 2026 net profit of 214.2 million baht, up 59.5% from a year earlier, on revenue of 7.06 billion baht. First-half profit rose 36% to 220.9 million baht. Higher sales of high-margin B100 biodiesel and refined palm oil, plus cost controls, lifted margins.
This is the core financial result that shows the company's earnings power and supports the stock's value.
Government biofuel tax cut plan could boost demand Thailand is considering cutting excise taxes on biofuels to lower fuel prices and increase consumption. DBS Vickers named PCE among 11 stocks set to benefit, specifically in the group of integrated palm oil producers linked to biodiesel. Lower taxes would make biodiesel cheaper, driving more demand for PCE's B100.
This is a new regulatory catalyst that could expand the market for PCE's key product.
Capacity expansion to meet rising demand PCE is expanding its edible palm oil refinery from 300 to 700 tonnes per day, due in Q4 2026, and building a third crude palm oil mill to raise fresh fruit processing from 150 to 225 tonnes per hour by Q2 2027. These moves aim to capture growing food-industry demand and reduce reliance on external purchases.
This shows concrete steps to grow production and sales volume, supporting future revenue.
B100 biodiesel orders remain strong, supporting H2 outlook PCE says B100 biodiesel orders are flowing in continuously, with sufficient raw materials to meet demand. The company expects Q3 margins to improve after a standout Q2, and Q4 is the high season. Management guides 2026 revenue growth of 10-15% and double-digit gross margin growth.
This provides forward-looking confidence that the strong performance will continue in the second half.

August 202620 Jul – 8 Oct 2026

▲4

PCE's profit surge, capacity expansion, and biofuel tax cut plan drive growth

Record Q2 profit and strong H1 results PCE reported Q2 2026 net profit of 214.2 million baht, up 59.5% from a year earlier, on revenue of 7.06 billion baht. First-half profit rose 36% to 220.9 million baht. Higher sales of high-margin B100 biodiesel and refined palm oil, plus cost controls, lifted margins.
This is the core financial result that shows the company's earnings power and supports the stock's value.
Government biofuel tax cut plan could boost demand Thailand is considering cutting excise taxes on biofuels to lower fuel prices and increase consumption. DBS Vickers named PCE among 11 stocks set to benefit, specifically in the group of integrated palm oil producers linked to biodiesel. Lower taxes would make biodiesel cheaper, driving more demand for PCE's B100.
This is a new regulatory catalyst that could expand the market for PCE's key product.
Capacity expansion to meet rising demand PCE is expanding its edible palm oil refinery from 300 to 700 tonnes per day, due in Q4 2026, and building a third crude palm oil mill to raise fresh fruit processing from 150 to 225 tonnes per hour by Q2 2027. These moves aim to capture growing food-industry demand and reduce reliance on external purchases.
This shows concrete steps to grow production and sales volume, supporting future revenue.
B100 biodiesel orders remain strong, supporting H2 outlook PCE says B100 biodiesel orders are flowing in continuously, with sufficient raw materials to meet demand. The company expects Q3 margins to improve after a standout Q2, and Q4 is the high season. Management guides 2026 revenue growth of 10-15% and double-digit gross margin growth.
This provides forward-looking confidence that the strong performance will continue in the second half.

Latest20 Jul – 8 Oct 2026

▲4

PCE's profit surge, capacity expansion, and biofuel tax cut plan drive growth

Record Q2 profit and strong H1 results PCE reported Q2 2026 net profit of 214.2 million baht, up 59.5% from a year earlier, on revenue of 7.06 billion baht. First-half profit rose 36% to 220.9 million baht. Higher sales of high-margin B100 biodiesel and refined palm oil, plus cost controls, lifted margins.
This is the core financial result that shows the company's earnings power and supports the stock's value.
Government biofuel tax cut plan could boost demand Thailand is considering cutting excise taxes on biofuels to lower fuel prices and increase consumption. DBS Vickers named PCE among 11 stocks set to benefit, specifically in the group of integrated palm oil producers linked to biodiesel. Lower taxes would make biodiesel cheaper, driving more demand for PCE's B100.
This is a new regulatory catalyst that could expand the market for PCE's key product.
Capacity expansion to meet rising demand PCE is expanding its edible palm oil refinery from 300 to 700 tonnes per day, due in Q4 2026, and building a third crude palm oil mill to raise fresh fruit processing from 150 to 225 tonnes per hour by Q2 2027. These moves aim to capture growing food-industry demand and reduce reliance on external purchases.
This shows concrete steps to grow production and sales volume, supporting future revenue.
B100 biodiesel orders remain strong, supporting H2 outlook PCE says B100 biodiesel orders are flowing in continuously, with sufficient raw materials to meet demand. The company expects Q3 margins to improve after a standout Q2, and Q4 is the high season. Management guides 2026 revenue growth of 10-15% and double-digit gross margin growth.
This provides forward-looking confidence that the strong performance will continue in the second half.

Soybean Oil Futures (SOYOIL.COMM)

Q3 20266 Jul – 24 Sep 2026

▲2▼1

Demand strength and policy support offset by ample global supply

Record crush and falling stocks A record June soybean crush and falling soy oil stocks signaled strong demand, supporting soybean oil futures prices.
Highlights a key bullish demand factor that drove prices up.
Biofuel policy and India buying US biofuel policy support and India's increased buying after an import tax cut boosted demand for soybean oil, lifting futures.
Shows policy and trade drivers that supported prices.
Ample global supply and crude slump Good US crop conditions, large South American and Canadian crops, and a crude oil slump hurt biodiesel economics, capping soybean oil gains.
Identifies major bearish supply and energy factors that limited price increases.
Speculative volatility Speculative positioning amplified volatility, as traders reacted to shifting demand and supply news, causing sharp price swings.
Explains how market sentiment added to price fluctuations.

August 202614 Jul – 24 Sep 2026

▲3▼1

Biofuel Policy and India Demand Lift Soy Oil; Bigger Crops Weigh

US biofuel policy boost The Trump administration granted 1.76 billion small-refinery biofuel waivers, the most since 2017, but promised to add the lost volumes back into 2026-2027 requirements. That keeps future demand for soybean oil as a biofuel feedstock alive, and prices jumped over 2% on the news.
This is the single biggest new force pushing soy oil prices up this period.
India buys more, then cuts import tax India's July vegetable oil imports hit a 10-month high, with soybean oil imports up 32% to a seven-month high. In late September India cut the effective import duty on crude soybean oil from 16.5% to 11%, which should keep its festival-season buying strong and support global soy oil prices.
India is the world's largest vegetable oil buyer, so its demand directly lifts soy oil prices.
Vegetable oil prices at multi-year highs The UN food price index hit a three-and-a-half-year high in July, with vegetable oils up 2% to their highest since June 2022. Higher crude oil prices from Middle East tensions and Black Sea grain disruptions pushed palm and soy oil prices up together.
It shows the broad global vegetable oil market is rising, which pulls soy oil along.
Large US and South American crops Favorable US weather and early crop progress pointed to a big soybean harvest, with StoneX projecting 4.47 billion bushels. Brazil's crop estimates were raised repeatedly, and Canada's canola stocks rose 19%. More supply of oilseeds means more soy oil, which weighs on prices.
It is the main counterweight keeping soy oil prices from rising even more.

Latest14 Jul – 24 Sep 2026

▲3▼1

Biofuel Policy and India Demand Lift Soy Oil; Bigger Crops Weigh

US biofuel policy boost The Trump administration granted 1.76 billion small-refinery biofuel waivers, the most since 2017, but promised to add the lost volumes back into 2026-2027 requirements. That keeps future demand for soybean oil as a biofuel feedstock alive, and prices jumped over 2% on the news.
This is the single biggest new force pushing soy oil prices up this period.
India buys more, then cuts import tax India's July vegetable oil imports hit a 10-month high, with soybean oil imports up 32% to a seven-month high. In late September India cut the effective import duty on crude soybean oil from 16.5% to 11%, which should keep its festival-season buying strong and support global soy oil prices.
India is the world's largest vegetable oil buyer, so its demand directly lifts soy oil prices.
Vegetable oil prices at multi-year highs The UN food price index hit a three-and-a-half-year high in July, with vegetable oils up 2% to their highest since June 2022. Higher crude oil prices from Middle East tensions and Black Sea grain disruptions pushed palm and soy oil prices up together.
It shows the broad global vegetable oil market is rising, which pulls soy oil along.
Large US and South American crops Favorable US weather and early crop progress pointed to a big soybean harvest, with StoneX projecting 4.47 billion bushels. Brazil's crop estimates were raised repeatedly, and Canada's canola stocks rose 19%. More supply of oilseeds means more soy oil, which weighs on prices.
It is the main counterweight keeping soy oil prices from rising even more.

July 20266 Jul – 28 Jul 2026

▲2▼2

Soy oil swings on crush, exports, weather, crude

June crush beats expectations, soy oil stocks drop NOPA reported a record-large June soybean crush of 214.34 million bushels, well above trade estimates. Soy oil stocks fell to 1.5 billion pounds, below expectations and down 13.5% from May. Tighter oil supplies support higher soy oil prices.
This is the clearest new supply-side force tightening soy oil availability and lifting prices.
Strong soybean export demand lifts the whole complex USDA reported private soybean sales to China and unknown buyers, and forward 2026/27 bookings hit 1.537 million metric tons, nearly triple last year. Rabobank cut Brazil's crop estimate. Strong bean demand pulls soy oil up with it.
Export demand is a major new demand-side driver pulling soy oil higher alongside soybeans.
Weather and crude oil slump trigger sharp selloff Soybeans and soy oil tumbled as US crop conditions stayed mostly good and crude oil plunged over $7, making soy oil-based biodiesel less competitive. Speculative funds had built a large bullish position, amplifying the drop.
This is the main new counterweight, showing weather and energy markets can quickly reverse soy oil gains.
China to auction imported soybeans, adding supply China's state-owned Sinograin will auction 504,000 metric tons of imported soybeans on Friday. This could ease Chinese demand for fresh US soybeans and soy oil, weighing on prices.
A new potential demand headwind from China, the top soybean buyer, that could pressure soy oil.

6 Jul – 28 Jul 2026

▲2▼2

Soy oil swings on crush, exports, weather, crude

June crush beats expectations, soy oil stocks drop NOPA reported a record-large June soybean crush of 214.34 million bushels, well above trade estimates. Soy oil stocks fell to 1.5 billion pounds, below expectations and down 13.5% from May. Tighter oil supplies support higher soy oil prices.
This is the clearest new supply-side force tightening soy oil availability and lifting prices.
Strong soybean export demand lifts the whole complex USDA reported private soybean sales to China and unknown buyers, and forward 2026/27 bookings hit 1.537 million metric tons, nearly triple last year. Rabobank cut Brazil's crop estimate. Strong bean demand pulls soy oil up with it.
Export demand is a major new demand-side driver pulling soy oil higher alongside soybeans.
Weather and crude oil slump trigger sharp selloff Soybeans and soy oil tumbled as US crop conditions stayed mostly good and crude oil plunged over $7, making soy oil-based biodiesel less competitive. Speculative funds had built a large bullish position, amplifying the drop.
This is the main new counterweight, showing weather and energy markets can quickly reverse soy oil gains.
China to auction imported soybeans, adding supply China's state-owned Sinograin will auction 504,000 metric tons of imported soybeans on Friday. This could ease Chinese demand for fresh US soybeans and soy oil, weighing on prices.
A new potential demand headwind from China, the top soybean buyer, that could pressure soy oil.