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Sermsang Power vs Sungrow Power Supply: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Sermsang Power Corporation Public Company Limited (SSP.BK)

Q3 2026
▲3

SSP Q3 profit boosted by Japan solar, Yamaga sale, pipeline

  • Strong Q3 profit outlook SSP expects normalised profit of 120–140 million baht in Q3 2026, helped by Japan's solar high season and the Leo 2 project, signalling a clear earnings rebound.

    This is the main new positive driver for the quarter.

  • Yamaga solar sale gain A 300–500 million baht gain from selling the Yamaga solar project will boost Q3 results, providing a one-time cash boost and showing progress in portfolio management.

    This is a new, material event that lifts quarterly earnings.

  • H1 profit jump and pipeline H1 profit rose 44.8% to 325.1 million baht, backed by a ~300 MW development pipeline and two waste-to-energy plants starting late 2026, supporting future growth.

    This confirms strong momentum and a visible growth pipeline.

  • Policy upside vs execution risk Thailand's PDP2026 and solar subsidy schemes could lift SSP's EPC business, but community solar projects are capped at 10 MW each, so many bids must succeed amid uncertain policy execution.

    This captures the key opportunity and the main risk that could limit upside.

September 2026
▲3

SSP completes Yamaga sale, eyes Thai solar bids and Bago wind

  • Yamaga solar sale completed SSP completed the 1 billion baht sale of its Yamaga solar project, booking a 300–500 million baht gain in Q3. The deal cuts debt and provides funds for expansion.

    This is a major new event that directly boosts earnings and strengthens the balance sheet.

  • Positioned for Thailand's PDP 2026 and community solar SSP is positioned to bid in Thailand's PDP 2026 (50,900 MW) and a 1,500 MW community solar programme. It targets 1,000 MW by 2032 and aims to double assets in 3–4 years.

    This shows new growth opportunities that could significantly expand SSP's project pipeline.

  • Bago wind farm under construction SSP is building the 150 MW Bago wind farm, scheduled for commercial operation in Q4 2027. This adds a new renewable energy source to its portfolio.

    This is a new project that diversifies SSP's generation mix and supports long-term growth.

  • Analyst Buy rating with policy risks Yuanta rates SSP Buy with a 14.10 baht target, citing growth and further Japanese asset sales (~2 billion baht). Risks: community solar projects are capped at 10 MW each, so developers must win many to move earnings, and much of the upside depends on uncertain bid outcomes and policy execution.

    This captures both the positive analyst view and the key risks that could limit upside.

Latest
▲4

SSP eyes huge Thai solar expansion and Bago wind farm as profit set to jump

  • SSP targets doubling assets in 3-4 years, pushes new PDP and Direct PPA SSP aims to double its asset size in 3-4 years, with over 340 MW operating and 800 MW in hand. It sees the draft PDP 2026's 50,000 MW as a major opportunity and may raise its 1,000 MW target. This growth ambition supports the stock price.

    This is a new strategic target that directly signals future growth and expansion.

  • Yuanta names SSP a top pick for 1,500 MW community solar Yuanta expects the 1,500 MW community solar programme to open for bids this year and names SSP as a top pick. Each project is capped at 10 MW, so developers must win several to move earnings. This new opportunity could add steady revenue.

    This is a new regulatory programme that opens a fresh growth avenue for SSP.

  • SSP prepares to bid for 1,500 MW community solar, expects strong H2 profit SSP is preparing to bid for the 1,500 MW community solar project and expects a strong second half, helped by the ~1 billion baht Yamaga sale and new waste-to-energy plants. A weaker baht also supports revenue. This confirms near-term earnings momentum.

    This provides concrete confirmation of SSP's participation and improved financial outlook.

  • SSP advances 150 MW Bago wind farm, targets Q4 2027 COD SSP is accelerating construction of the 150 MW Bago wind farm in the Philippines, an ~8 billion baht investment and its largest plant, with commercial operation targeted for Q4 2027. This adds long-term capacity and revenue growth.

    This is a major project milestone that underpins future earnings growth.

▲4

SSP cashes in on Yamaga sale and eyes Thailand's huge new power plan

  • Yamaga sale completed, 1 billion baht cash in SSP closed the sale of its 34.5 MW Yamaga solar farm in Japan, receiving 1,001.30 million baht. The deal adds cash, cuts debt, and will book a special gain of 300–500 million baht in Q3 2026, boosting reported profit and giving SSP money to fund new projects.

    This is the period's biggest concrete event, directly lifting earnings and funding capacity.

  • SSP ready to bid in PDP 2026, targeting 1,000 MW by 2032 Thailand's draft PDP 2026 plans 50,900 MW of new capacity, mostly solar and wind. SSP says it is ready to bid, building on its existing 420 MW pipeline and 170.5 MW of earlier FiT wins. Winning more projects would grow revenue for years and supports its 1,000 MW goal.

    The new national power plan is the main long-term demand driver for SSP's growth.

  • Yuanta keeps Buy, raises target to 14.10 baht Yuanta maintained its Buy rating and lifted SSP's target price to 14.10 baht, citing PDP 2026 growth, higher 2027 earnings, and a stronger balance sheet after Yamaga. It also noted plans to sell three more Japanese projects for about 2 billion baht, which would fund further expansion.

    A fresh analyst upgrade with a higher target directly supports investor confidence and the share price.

  • Government backs rooftop solar with 50 billion baht fund Thailand's prime minister announced a 50 billion baht fund from mid-October to help households install rooftop solar, alongside a clean-energy push. This policy support could expand the solar market and benefit SSP's project pipeline and engineering business over time.

    New government money for solar adds a policy tailwind that can lift future demand for SSP's projects.

August 2026
▲4

SSP's profit rebound and new projects drive growth outlook

  • Strong Q3 profit expected on seasonal solar and asset sale SSP expects Q3 normalised profit of 120–140 million baht, up sharply from last year, helped by Japan solar high season and a full quarter from the Leo 2 project. A potential 400–500 million baht gain from selling the Yamaga solar project could further boost earnings.

    This directly signals a near-term earnings rebound that supports the share price.

  • First-half profit jumps 44.8% with 300 MW pipeline SSP reported H1 net profit of 325.1 million baht, up 44.8% year-on-year, on higher electricity sales. The company has about 300 MW of solar and wind projects under development that should more than double output by 2028, supporting long-term growth.

    Confirms strong financial performance and a clear growth path, key for investor confidence.

  • Waste-to-energy plants to start commercial operation in Q4 2026 Two community waste-to-energy plants (19.8 MW total) are 85% complete and set to begin commercial operation in late 2026. They will generate steady revenue around the clock and earn waste disposal fees, marking SSP's first move into this segment.

    New revenue stream with higher capacity factor than solar/wind, boosting future earnings.

  • New power plan and solar subsidy support growth Thailand's draft PDP2026 targets over 20,000 MW of new capacity, mostly renewables, and a million-rooftop solar subsidy could boost SSP's EPC business. SSP is also eyeing community solar and expansion into the Philippines and Taiwan.

    Policy tailwinds open new project opportunities and support long-term capacity goals.

▲4

SSP's profit rebound and new projects drive growth outlook

  • Strong Q3 profit expected on seasonal solar and asset sale SSP expects Q3 normalised profit of 120–140 million baht, up sharply from last year, helped by Japan solar high season and a full quarter from the Leo 2 project. A potential 400–500 million baht gain from selling the Yamaga solar project could further boost earnings.

    This directly signals a near-term earnings rebound that supports the share price.

  • First-half profit jumps 44.8% with 300 MW pipeline SSP reported H1 net profit of 325.1 million baht, up 44.8% year-on-year, on higher electricity sales. The company has about 300 MW of solar and wind projects under development that should more than double output by 2028, supporting long-term growth.

    Confirms strong financial performance and a clear growth path, key for investor confidence.

  • Waste-to-energy plants to start commercial operation in Q4 2026 Two community waste-to-energy plants (19.8 MW total) are 85% complete and set to begin commercial operation in late 2026. They will generate steady revenue around the clock and earn waste disposal fees, marking SSP's first move into this segment.

    New revenue stream with higher capacity factor than solar/wind, boosting future earnings.

  • New power plan and solar subsidy support growth Thailand's draft PDP2026 targets over 20,000 MW of new capacity, mostly renewables, and a million-rooftop solar subsidy could boost SSP's EPC business. SSP is also eyeing community solar and expansion into the Philippines and Taiwan.

    Policy tailwinds open new project opportunities and support long-term capacity goals.

Sungrow Power Supply Co Ltd (300274.CS)

Q3 2026
▲2▼2

Sungrow hit by US/EU inverter bans, but AI pivot and buyback offer support

  • US and EU regulatory bans on Chinese inverters The US FCC banned Chinese internet-connected inverters, and the EU moved to restrict them, threatening a key market that provides 15–20% of revenue and causing sharp share declines.

    This is the main new negative force that pressured the stock during the quarter.

  • US executive order bans foreign battery storage procurement A US executive order banning foreign battery storage procurement added further pain, while weak H1 results—revenue down 29% and profit down 32%—highlighted core-business struggles.

    This new policy and weak financials compounded the negative sentiment.

  • AI data-center pivot gains traction Sungrow advanced its AI data-center pivot with EnerNeo solid-state transformers, 130 MW framework deals, roughly 2 GWh of AIDC orders, and a 152MW/606MWh Chile storage contract.

    This shows a new growth avenue that could offset core-business weakness.

  • Price hikes, Thailand orders, and buyback proposal It raised inverter and storage prices 5–15%, won Thailand orders, confirmed US sales unaffected by FCC rules, and proposed a 500 million–1 billion yuan buyback.

    These actions provide near-term support and signal confidence amid regulatory challenges.

August 2026
▲2▼2

US battery ban and weak H1 results hit Sungrow, but storage wins and price hikes offset

  • US battery storage procurement ban Trump's executive order banning US procurement of certain foreign battery storage equipment caused a 14% share drop, adding to existing US regulatory pressures.

    This was a major new US policy shock that directly hit the stock.

  • Weak first-half financials First-half revenue fell 29% and profit 32% year-on-year due to weak demand, showing the company's core business struggled in the period.

    These results revealed fundamental demand weakness that weighed on investor sentiment.

  • Chile storage contract and AIDC orders Sungrow signed a 152MW/606MWh Chile storage contract with a 25-year service agreement and secured roughly 2 GWh of AIDC orders with over 10 GWh in pipeline.

    These new orders demonstrate growth in energy storage and data-center demand, offsetting some weakness.

  • Price hikes and buyback Sungrow raised inverter and storage prices by 5–15%, won a ~100MW Thailand inverter deal, confirmed US sales unaffected by FCC rules, and proposed a 500 million–1 billion yuan buyback.

    These actions support margins and shareholder value, providing a counterweight to negative news.

Latest
▲4

Sungrow raises prices, wins orders, and buys back stock

  • Sungrow raises product prices 5–15% Sungrow will raise prices for solar inverters, energy storage converters, and storage systems by 5–15% from September 20, citing higher copper, aluminum, and chip costs and a push to end cutthroat price competition. Higher prices can lift revenue and profit if customers accept them, though weak demand could limit the benefit.

    This is the biggest new price driver and directly affects Sungrow's revenue and margins.

  • New inverter supply deal in Thailand Thai Solar Energy signed an agreement with Sungrow to supply inverters for 15 solar projects totaling about 100 megawatts, with operations from 2027 to 2030. This adds to Sungrow's order book and supports future revenue, though the projects are years away from completion.

    It shows new demand for Sungrow's core products and supports the growth story.

  • US sales unaffected by FCC certification rule Sungrow said the FCC policy mainly restricts new product certifications, not sales of already-certified products, so its US inverter and storage sales are not impacted. This removes a regulatory worry that could have hurt its US business.

    It clarifies a regulatory risk that investors were concerned about, supporting the stock.

  • Buyback program supports shareholder returns Sungrow's chairman proposed a buyback of 500 million to 1 billion yuan, and the company has already repurchased 325 million yuan worth of shares for employee ownership or incentives. Buybacks can support the stock price and signal confidence, though they are a gradual, ongoing program.

    It shows capital being returned to shareholders and management confidence, a positive for the stock.

▲2▼2

US ban and profit slump hit Sungrow, but storage orders boom

  • Trump executive order threatens US battery storage sales On August 26, Trump signed an executive order banning US procurement or installation of certain foreign power equipment, including battery storage. Sungrow's shares fell as much as 14% as investors feared lost US business. The company is still reviewing the impact, and this is the second US policy shock this year.

    This is the biggest new negative force on the stock, directly hitting a key market and causing a sharp sell-off.

  • First-half profit falls 32% on lower revenue Sungrow reported first-half revenue down 29% and net profit down 32% from a year earlier, mainly because of smaller revenue scale. Gross margin improved slightly, and second-quarter profit rose 29% from the first quarter. The profit drop confirms weak overall demand, weighing on the stock.

    The earnings miss is a core new fundamental negative that explains why the stock is under pressure beyond US policy.

  • Chile battery storage order adds overseas demand Sungrow won a contract to supply a 152MW/606MWh battery storage system and solar inverters for Chile's Observatorio project, with a 25-year service agreement. This large order shows demand outside the US and helps offset lost American business, supporting future revenue.

    It is a concrete new overseas win that counters the negative US news and shows the company can grow elsewhere.

  • AIDC energy storage orders and pipeline signal strong growth Sungrow said it expects very high growth in AIDC-related business over the next two years, with about 2 GWh of orders in hand and over a dozen GWh in pipeline. It also delivered solid-state transformers for data centers, potentially a first. This points to a new demand driver beyond solar.

    It reveals a fresh growth area that could replace lost US solar business and lift future profits.

July 2026
▲2▼2

US inverter ban hits Sungrow; AI data-center pivot offers counterweight

  • US ban on Chinese inverters The US FCC banned imports of Chinese internet-connected inverters over grid-security concerns. Since the US is 15–20% of revenue, shares fell nearly 20% on draft news and about 5% on the final ban.

    This was the biggest new negative force on the stock during the period.

  • EU restricts Chinese inverters The EU also moved to restrict Chinese-made inverters over grid-security concerns. Management said the impact would be limited, but the news added to regulatory worries.

    It shows the regulatory pressure was not just a US issue, broadening the risk.

  • AI data-center pivot Sungrow launched EnerNeo solid-state transformers and signed 130 MW framework deals, with large-scale sales expected by 2028. Data centers were flagged as solar's fastest-growing demand driver.

    This is a new growth avenue that could offset regulatory setbacks.

  • Buyback and investments Sungrow proposed a 500 million–1 billion yuan buyback to support the stock, invested in Sunwoda EVB and an energy-storage fund, and won a 229 MW Thailand inverter order.

    These actions show management confidence and new business wins, providing a positive counterweight.

▲3▼1

US inverter ban hits Sungrow; buyback and new deals offset

  • US bans Chinese inverters, stock falls The US FCC banned imports of Chinese internet-connected inverters, directly hitting Sungrow's US sales. The stock fell nearly 5% on the news. This is a real threat because the US is a key market, though Sungrow says its products comply and local US production is years away.

    This is the biggest new negative event and directly explains the stock's recent drop.

  • Buyback plan supports share price Sungrow plans to repurchase 500 million to 1 billion yuan of its own shares. Buybacks reduce the number of shares and signal management thinks the stock is undervalued, which can put a floor under the price after the US ban sell-off.

    This is a new capital action that directly counters the negative US news.

  • New investments expand downstream reach Sungrow invested 655 million yuan in Sunwoda EVB and committed 199 million yuan to a 1 billion yuan energy storage fund. These moves build ties with customers and projects, supporting future demand for Sungrow's inverters and storage systems.

    Shows Sungrow is actively growing its business despite US restrictions.

  • Thailand solar deal adds demand Sungrow signed an agreement to supply inverters for Thailand's 229 MW Solar Big Lot project, with first phase starting early 2027. This is a concrete overseas order that helps offset lost US business and shows demand outside America.

    A new international order that diversifies away from the US market.

▲3▼1

Sungrow's AI data-center pivot and buyback offset US/EU inverter restrictions

  • US and EU plan to restrict Chinese solar inverters The US and EU are drafting rules to limit Chinese-made inverters over grid security concerns. Sungrow gets 15–20% of revenue from the US, so its shares fell nearly 20% intraday on the news. The rules are still in draft form, and Sungrow says the EU funding limits have limited impact.

    This is the biggest near-term risk to Sungrow's revenue and explains the sharp stock drop.

  • New solid-state transformers and 130 MW AI data-center deals Sungrow launched its EnerNeo solid-state transformers and signed 130 MW framework deals with two data-center firms. It is also talking to North American cloud providers. This opens a new AI-driven market, with large-scale sales expected by 2028, giving the stock a fresh growth story beyond solar.

    This is a new product and revenue stream that directly ties Sungrow to the fast-growing AI data-center power market.

  • Chairman proposes 500 million–1 billion yuan share buyback Sungrow's chairman proposed a buyback of 500 million to 1 billion yuan. Buybacks reduce the number of shares outstanding and signal that management thinks the stock is undervalued, which can support the share price and boost investor confidence.

    This is a concrete capital action that can put a floor under the stock after the regulatory sell-off.

  • AI data centers seen as fastest-growing solar demand driver At an industry workshop, Sungrow's vice president said data-center electricity demand will be the fastest-growing market for solar over the next five years. This supports demand for Sungrow's solar and storage products, even as overall Chinese solar installations are falling sharply.

    It shows a new demand source that can offset the slowdown in traditional solar installations.