Thai Stanley Electric vs US HRC Steel: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Thai Stanley Electric Public Company Limited (STANLY.BK)

Q3 202620 Jul – 2 Oct 2026

▲2▼2

STANLY hit by floods and weak Q1, but EV tax policy and stimulus offer recovery

Floods halt Honda and Toyota production, STANLY most exposed Flooding in Chonburi and Rayong forced Honda and Toyota to pause plants, disrupting just-in-time parts supply. STANLY is seen as hardest hit because Honda alone is 33% of its revenue. Lost output may be recovered later, but overtime and freight costs could squeeze margins.
This is the most recent and direct negative shock to STANLY's near-term sales and earnings.
Weak Q1 profit as Honda cuts orders amid Chinese EV competition STANLY's fiscal Q1 net profit fell 2% year-on-year and 19% quarter-on-quarter, missing market expectations. Sales dropped 9% as key customer Honda cut production due to intense competition from Chinese electric vehicles. The company kept a strong gross margin, but recovery depends on a broader auto rebound.
This shows the underlying earnings pressure that explains why the stock is not rising despite some positive policy news.
EV excise tax plan favors local parts, benefiting STANLY The government approved in principle a restructured EV excise tax that gives lower rates to carmakers using more Thai-made parts. This should push EV makers to buy from local suppliers like STANLY. However, exact rates and timing are still unclear, so the near-term earnings boost is limited.
This is a new policy catalyst that could support demand for STANLY's parts over the medium term.
STANLY holds sales, cuts costs, and expects second-half recovery Despite a 10% drop in the auto market, STANLY kept sales flat by adding new products and non-automotive business. It has nearly 10 billion baht in cash, no debt, and is investing in automation to cut costs. Management expects a second-half recovery from government stimulus and new model launches.
This shows the company's resilience and self-help measures that could support future earnings and the stock.

August 202620 Jul – 2 Oct 2026

▲2▼2

STANLY hit by floods and weak Q1, but EV tax policy and stimulus offer recovery

Floods halt Honda and Toyota production, STANLY most exposed Flooding in Chonburi and Rayong forced Honda and Toyota to pause plants, disrupting just-in-time parts supply. STANLY is seen as hardest hit because Honda alone is 33% of its revenue. Lost output may be recovered later, but overtime and freight costs could squeeze margins.
This is the most recent and direct negative shock to STANLY's near-term sales and earnings.
Weak Q1 profit as Honda cuts orders amid Chinese EV competition STANLY's fiscal Q1 net profit fell 2% year-on-year and 19% quarter-on-quarter, missing market expectations. Sales dropped 9% as key customer Honda cut production due to intense competition from Chinese electric vehicles. The company kept a strong gross margin, but recovery depends on a broader auto rebound.
This shows the underlying earnings pressure that explains why the stock is not rising despite some positive policy news.
EV excise tax plan favors local parts, benefiting STANLY The government approved in principle a restructured EV excise tax that gives lower rates to carmakers using more Thai-made parts. This should push EV makers to buy from local suppliers like STANLY. However, exact rates and timing are still unclear, so the near-term earnings boost is limited.
This is a new policy catalyst that could support demand for STANLY's parts over the medium term.
STANLY holds sales, cuts costs, and expects second-half recovery Despite a 10% drop in the auto market, STANLY kept sales flat by adding new products and non-automotive business. It has nearly 10 billion baht in cash, no debt, and is investing in automation to cut costs. Management expects a second-half recovery from government stimulus and new model launches.
This shows the company's resilience and self-help measures that could support future earnings and the stock.

Latest20 Jul – 2 Oct 2026

▲2▼2

STANLY hit by floods and weak Q1, but EV tax policy and stimulus offer recovery

Floods halt Honda and Toyota production, STANLY most exposed Flooding in Chonburi and Rayong forced Honda and Toyota to pause plants, disrupting just-in-time parts supply. STANLY is seen as hardest hit because Honda alone is 33% of its revenue. Lost output may be recovered later, but overtime and freight costs could squeeze margins.
This is the most recent and direct negative shock to STANLY's near-term sales and earnings.
Weak Q1 profit as Honda cuts orders amid Chinese EV competition STANLY's fiscal Q1 net profit fell 2% year-on-year and 19% quarter-on-quarter, missing market expectations. Sales dropped 9% as key customer Honda cut production due to intense competition from Chinese electric vehicles. The company kept a strong gross margin, but recovery depends on a broader auto rebound.
This shows the underlying earnings pressure that explains why the stock is not rising despite some positive policy news.
EV excise tax plan favors local parts, benefiting STANLY The government approved in principle a restructured EV excise tax that gives lower rates to carmakers using more Thai-made parts. This should push EV makers to buy from local suppliers like STANLY. However, exact rates and timing are still unclear, so the near-term earnings boost is limited.
This is a new policy catalyst that could support demand for STANLY's parts over the medium term.
STANLY holds sales, cuts costs, and expects second-half recovery Despite a 10% drop in the auto market, STANLY kept sales flat by adding new products and non-automotive business. It has nearly 10 billion baht in cash, no debt, and is investing in automation to cut costs. Management expects a second-half recovery from government stimulus and new model launches.
This shows the company's resilience and self-help measures that could support future earnings and the stock.

US HRC Steel (STEEL.COMM)

Q3 202624 Jun – 10 Sep 2026

▲2▼1

AI and reshoring demand support steel, but Chinese oversupply caps gains

AI infrastructure drives steel demand AI data centers need heavy structural steel for server racks, floors, and cooling. With 831 projects under construction globally, this new demand supports US HRC prices, especially for modern electric-arc producers like Nucor and Steel Dynamics.
This is a major new source of demand that lifts steel prices.
Capital shifts to real economy, boosting steel A strategist says US capitalism is moving from buybacks to building real assets like steel, copper, and power. This reshoring and supply-chain trend means more investment in steel capacity and higher demand for US HRC.
It signals a broad shift that increases steel demand and investment.
USMCA talks create tariff uncertainty US and Mexico will hold a fourth round of USMCA talks in September. Progress on steel trade is positive, but unresolved issues like Section 232 tariffs (50% on steel) and US content rules keep uncertainty high, which can sway steel prices both ways.
Trade policy directly affects steel flows and prices, and the outcome is unclear.
Chinese oversupply weighs on steel prices Thailand's construction material index shows steel prices fell 0.6% in August due to excess Chinese supply. This global glut, with projected excess capacity of 745 million tons by 2028, pressures US HRC prices by keeping a lid on global benchmarks.
It is a key counterweight that limits price gains from demand.

August 202624 Jun – 10 Sep 2026

▲2▼1

AI and reshoring demand support steel, but Chinese oversupply caps gains

AI infrastructure drives steel demand AI data centers need heavy structural steel for server racks, floors, and cooling. With 831 projects under construction globally, this new demand supports US HRC prices, especially for modern electric-arc producers like Nucor and Steel Dynamics.
This is a major new source of demand that lifts steel prices.
Capital shifts to real economy, boosting steel A strategist says US capitalism is moving from buybacks to building real assets like steel, copper, and power. This reshoring and supply-chain trend means more investment in steel capacity and higher demand for US HRC.
It signals a broad shift that increases steel demand and investment.
USMCA talks create tariff uncertainty US and Mexico will hold a fourth round of USMCA talks in September. Progress on steel trade is positive, but unresolved issues like Section 232 tariffs (50% on steel) and US content rules keep uncertainty high, which can sway steel prices both ways.
Trade policy directly affects steel flows and prices, and the outcome is unclear.
Chinese oversupply weighs on steel prices Thailand's construction material index shows steel prices fell 0.6% in August due to excess Chinese supply. This global glut, with projected excess capacity of 745 million tons by 2028, pressures US HRC prices by keeping a lid on global benchmarks.
It is a key counterweight that limits price gains from demand.

Latest24 Jun – 10 Sep 2026

▲2▼1

AI and reshoring demand support steel, but Chinese oversupply caps gains

AI infrastructure drives steel demand AI data centers need heavy structural steel for server racks, floors, and cooling. With 831 projects under construction globally, this new demand supports US HRC prices, especially for modern electric-arc producers like Nucor and Steel Dynamics.
This is a major new source of demand that lifts steel prices.
Capital shifts to real economy, boosting steel A strategist says US capitalism is moving from buybacks to building real assets like steel, copper, and power. This reshoring and supply-chain trend means more investment in steel capacity and higher demand for US HRC.
It signals a broad shift that increases steel demand and investment.
USMCA talks create tariff uncertainty US and Mexico will hold a fourth round of USMCA talks in September. Progress on steel trade is positive, but unresolved issues like Section 232 tariffs (50% on steel) and US content rules keep uncertainty high, which can sway steel prices both ways.
Trade policy directly affects steel flows and prices, and the outcome is unclear.
Chinese oversupply weighs on steel prices Thailand's construction material index shows steel prices fell 0.6% in August due to excess Chinese supply. This global glut, with projected excess capacity of 745 million tons by 2028, pressures US HRC prices by keeping a lid on global benchmarks.
It is a key counterweight that limits price gains from demand.