In April 2025, China moved overnight to restrict exports of seven heavy rare-earth elements — and magnet plants, EV motors, and weapons production lines around the world began to stall. Not because the world is short of ore, but because there's "one step" almost everyone depends on China for: separating the jumbled mixed concentrate into pure single-element oxides, then reducing those oxides into finished metal. This is the deepest chokepoint in rare earths — chemistry that's dirty, expensive, and hard to copy, so much so that China controls about 90% of the separation and nearly 99% of heavy rare-earth separation. This is a story about hundreds of chemical tanks, not a mine pit.
EM&T Raises Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance 62% to $11 Million, Reaffirms $460 Million Fiscal 2027 Outlook
Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $10 million to $11 million, up from the previous range of $5 million to $8 million issued on September 10, 2026, a 62% increase at the midpoint. The company also reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $400 million to $460 million, whose $430 million midpoint represents roughly 41 times the raised fiscal 2026 midpoint. The Miami-based critical materials and advanced manufacturing company said the raise reflects an expanded ex-China rare earth feedstock position, improved rare earth pricing and continued strong commercial demand. Thirteen additional ULVAC sintered magnet production machines are scheduled for delivery in October 2026 and will be installed immediately after delivery in Pohang, Republic of Korea, where they are expected to lift annual magnet production capacity above 10,000 metric tons, including approximately 6,000 metric tons of high-performance sintered magnets. Chief Executive Officer Frank Moon said the company will showcase what it believes is the largest commercial magnet facility in the world, ex-China, on December 17, 2026, and President Andrew Knaggs pointed to DFARS 252.225-7052, which is expected to extend the mine-to-magnet restriction across the entire neodymium-iron-boron magnet supply chain beginning January 1, 2027.
Northern Rare Earth Adjusts Q4 Rare Earth Concentrate Transaction Price to 38,769 Yuan per Tonne Excluding Tax
Northern Rare Earth announced that the company's rare earth concentrate transaction price for the fourth quarter of 2026 has been adjusted to 38,769 yuan per tonne excluding tax, on a dry basis with REO at 50 percent, up 0.53 percent quarter on quarter. The pricing was based on the rare earth concentrate pricing method and calculations using rare earth oxide prices from the third quarter of 2026, and was approved at the company's 20th general manager's office meeting of 2026. The announcement also clarified that for every 1 percentage point increase or decrease in REO, the price excluding tax will rise or fall by 775.38 yuan per tonne.
600111.CG · Pricing · Positive Northern Rare Earth raised its Q4 rare earth concentrate transaction price 0.53% QoQ to 38,769 yuan/tonne, a direct price increase on its own product.
MP Materials Posts Record NdPr Output, Targets Terbium and Dysprosium Production
MP Materials is accelerating its push to build a fully integrated U.S. rare earth supply chain, reporting record NdPr production and progress toward heavy rare earth and magnet manufacturing. In 2025, its Mountain Pass operations delivered a record 2,599 metric tons of neodymium-praseodymium, more than double the 1,294 metric tons produced in 2024. First-quarter 2026 NdPr output hit a record 917 metric tons, up 63% year over year, and second-quarter production rose 41% year over year to 840 metric tons despite a scheduled semiannual maintenance outage; management expects third-quarter 2026 NdPr production to have exceeded 1,000 metric tons. The company remains on track to begin producing terbium and dysprosium later this year, with first samarium production targeted for 2028, and recently signed a multiyear agreement to supply gadolinium oxide to a leading U.S. aerospace and defense manufacturer. In December 2025, MP produced its first commercial-scale neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnets at its Independence facility in Fort Worth, Texas, and it has been delivering magnetic precursor products to General Motors under a supply agreement since the first quarter of 2025. As of June 30, 2026, MP had collected $150 million in required GM prepayments and delivered $104.5 million of precursor products, with the remaining $45.5 million expected within a year, after which it expects to shift to finished magnet sales; it delivered magnets to GM for in-vehicle qualification testing in the second quarter of 2026 and expects commercial shipments to begin in the fourth quarter of 2026. MP has begun construction of the 10X magnetics facility, which is expected to contribute to total production capacity of approximately 10,000 metric tons of NdFeB rare-earth magnets per year, and it has launched Project Swarm with U.S. and allied drone manufacturers while continuing its partnership with Apple on magnet recycling and production.
MP · Supply · Positive MP Materials reported record NdPr output and progress toward terbium, dysprosium, and magnet production, expanding its rare earth supply capacity.
GM · Demand · Positive MP Materials is delivering magnetic precursor products and magnets to GM under a supply agreement, with commercial magnet shipments expected in Q4 2026.
China's Rare Earth Refining Share Falls from 91% to 85% as Japan and the U.S. Build Supply Chains Without China
Each time China uses rare earths as a diplomatic card, momentum grows among Japan and the U.S. in particular to build supply chains that exclude China. According to the International Energy Agency, as of 2025 China accounts for 85% of global rare earth refining, but its share of refining rare earths for magnets has fallen from 91% in 2023 to roughly 85% in 2025, and if planned projects come to fruition it could drop to around 70% by 2035. In October 2025, President Trump and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi signed a Japan-U.S. framework on the mining and processing of critical minerals and rare earths, setting out a policy of diversifying supply chains through a combination of loans, guarantees, insurance, long-term purchase contracts, stockpiling, recycling, and geological surveys. In April 2026, Prime Minister Takaichi launched the Partnership for Resilient Energy and Resource Supply Capacity in Asia, known as Power Asia, under which financial cooperation totals about 10 billion dollars, equivalent in crude oil and petroleum product procurement to as much as about 1.2 billion barrels, roughly one year's worth of ASEAN's crude oil imports. At the second Pax Silica Summit in June 2026, governments from 35 countries and regions including Japan joined a joint statement on the AI field, and connecting the two frameworks of Power Asia and Pax Silica under Japan's leadership has become a realistic policy concept.
Greenland Resources Collects 8 Tonnes of Core, 14 Tonnes of Water for Malmbjerg REE and Magnesium Study
Greenland Resources Inc. has collected more than eight tonnes of drill core and fourteen tonnes of saline and fresh water from its Malmbjerg ore body in Greenland for a by-product test program backed by a non-repayable contribution from the government of Canada. The materials are expected to arrive at SGS Lakefield in Ontario around October 12, and the test program, which aims to verify metallurgical recoveries and concentration grades, will continue until March 2028. The work falls under the Malmbjerg Project Molybdenum Optimization, and Magnesium and Rare Earths By-product Feasibility Study, which received $7 million from Natural Resources Canada's Critical Minerals Research, Development and Demonstration Program. The company noted that China accounts for approximately 69% of global rare earth element production and 89% of global magnesium production, with the EU sourcing 97% of its magnesium from China and US net import reliance on magnesium exceeding 75% of consumption in 2025. The program covers characterization of ore samples and process water, optimization of molybdenum flotation under fresh and saline water conditions, and evaluation of magnesium and REE recovery pathways, with each program potentially advancing to continuous pilot-scale testing.
SGS Lakefield · Demand · Positive SGS Lakefield is the lab receiving the drill core and water samples to run the metallurgical test program for Greenland Resources.
American Rare Earths Unveils Larger Cowboy State Mine Plan in Updated Scoping Study
American Rare Earths has unveiled an updated Scoping Study for the Cowboy State Mine outlining a larger development concept for Halleck Creek, CEO Mark Wall said. The study evaluates a 4.5-million-tonne-per-year operation with a projected mine life of 26 years, generating an estimated after-tax net present value of approximately US$1.07 billion at an 8% real discount rate. Initial capital is estimated at approximately US$900 million, comprising roughly US$690 million in direct capital and US$210 million in contingency, with the updated study applying a 30% contingency allowance to direct capital versus 20% in the company's 2025 study. Modelled average annual production of neodymium-praseodymium oxide has increased from approximately 1,800 tonnes to 2,500 tonnes, and a separate closure cost provision of approximately US$56 million has been included at the end of the projected mine life. The development concept combines mining, comminution and mineral concentration at the Cowboy State Mine with a separate hydrometallurgical refinery planned for the Wheatland or Laramie area of Wyoming, as the company aims to establish a domestic supply of rare earth oxides and advance technical work to connect those materials with downstream U.S. production of rare earth metals and permanent magnets.
American Rare Earths Limited · Supply · Positive Updated scoping study outlines a larger 4.5Mtpa Cowboy State Mine with higher NdPr output, expanding its rare earth supply project
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Separation, Refining & Rare-Earth Metals
Mkango Files Amended Form F-4 for Crown PropTech SPAC Merger
Mkango Magnetic Materials Limited announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Mkango Rare Earths Limited, filed an amendment to its registration statement on Form F-4 with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on September 29, 2026, in connection with its proposed business combination with Crown PropTech Acquisitions, first announced on July 3, 2025. The Amended Form F-4 comprises a preliminary proxy statement of CPTK and a preliminary prospectus of MKAR covering the common shares and warrants to be issued in the deal. The filing has not yet been declared effective by the SEC and remains subject to completion or amendment. Subject to the SEC review process and customary closing conditions, including approval by CPTK shareholders, MKAR's common shares and warrants are expected to list on Nasdaq under the symbols MKAR and MKARW on closing. Mkango, which is listed on AIM and the TSX-V, is pursuing a strategy to become a market leader in recycled rare earth magnets, alloys and oxides, and its Songwe Hill and Pulawy rare earths projects have both been selected as Strategic Projects under the European Union Critical Raw Materials Act.
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Sovereign Critical Minerals & Magnets Capital
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Sovereign Supply — Minerals & Reshoring Industrials Capital
Crown PropTech Acquisitions · Capital · Positive Amended Form F-4 filed with SEC advances its proposed SPAC business combination with Mkango Rare Earths, with shares/warrants expected to list on Nasdaq.
Tronox and JX Advanced Metals Sign Rare Earth Cooperation and Investment Agreement
Tronox Holdings plc has signed a cooperation and investment agreement with JX Advanced Metals Corporation to advance its rare earth and critical minerals business. Under the agreement, the two companies will fund on a 50/50 basis approximately $32 million to support a definitive feasibility study for Tronox's proposed rare earth cracking and leaching facility in Australia, a pre-feasibility study for a proposed rare earth oxide refinery in the United States, and development of a US-based pilot facility capable of producing initial quantities of high-purity rare earth oxides. The Cracking Plant is planned for the Rockingham Industrial Zone in Western Australia, about three kilometers south of Tronox's Kwinana TiO2 pigment plant, while the Refinery is expected to be located on Tronox-owned land adjacent to its Hamilton, Mississippi TiO2 pigment facility. Together, the two sites would aim to produce up to 10,000 tonnes per annum of total rare earth oxides, and the agreement also contemplates joint development of niobium, scandium, zirconium, and hafnium from Tronox's mineral resources. If the engineering studies demonstrate technical and commercial viability, the companies will explore forming a joint venture to fund, build, and operate the assets, and they have engaged with government-backed financing institutions including the US Export-Import Bank and Export Finance Australia.
5016.JP · Capital · Positive JX Advanced Metals signs agreement to co-fund ~$32M in rare earth studies and explore a joint venture with Tronox.
TROX · Capital · Positive Tronox signs cooperation and investment agreement with JX Advanced Metals, with 50/50 funding of ~$32M for rare earth feasibility studies and potential JV.