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Vistry Group Fair Value Cut to £2.88 as Analysts Weigh UK Housing Risks
Vistry Group's fair value estimate has been revised down from £3.15 to £2.88 per share, a change of around 9% in the latest model. The revenue growth assumption behind that estimate shifted from 9.01% to 2.66%, while the net profit margin assumption moved from 3.36% to 3.67%, the future P/E multiple changed from 7.82x to 9.51x, and the discount rate adjusted from 10.64% to 11.82%. On the analyst side, UBS initiated coverage of Vistry Group with a Neutral rating and a £3.00 price target, grouping the company with volume builders it sees as having recovery potential, though it flagged a challenging macro backdrop and weak investor sentiment for UK homebuilders. RBC Capital maintained an Underperform rating on Vistry Group even after raising its price target to £2.00 from £1.80, indicating ongoing caution around valuation and risk assumptions.
VTY.LSE · Capital · Negative Fair value estimate cut to £2.88 from £3.15 and RBC's Underperform rating reflect weaker valuation assumptions for Vistry.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Neutral UBS initiated coverage of Vistry with a Neutral rating and £3.00 price target, but the article does not discuss UBS Group's own business.
KB Home Earns Zacks Rank #4 as Earnings Estimates Slide
KB Home has drawn heavy search interest on Zacks.com, and the numbers behind the buzz point to weakening near-term expectations. For the current quarter, the homebuilder is expected to post earnings of $1.25 per share, a change of -34.9% from the year-ago quarter, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate has moved -12.8% over the last 30 days. For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $3.25 points to a change of -50.2% from the prior year, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $3.77 indicates a change of +16% but has fallen -12.5% over the past month. Those revisions, along with three other earnings-related factors, have produced a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for KB Home. On the revenue side, the consensus sales estimate of $1.54 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of -9.4%, with the $5.02 billion and $5.16 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicating changes of -19.4% and +2.7%, respectively. In its last reported quarter, KB Home posted revenues of $1.3 billion, down 20% year over year, and EPS of $1.05 versus $1.61 a year ago, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate on both lines.
KBH · Capital · Negative KB Home received a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) as consensus earnings estimates were cut sharply, with current-quarter EPS expected down 34.9% year over year.
Lennar Prioritizes Volume Over Margin as Fiscal 2026 Deliveries and Margins Decline
Lennar Corporation is deliberately prioritizing housing volume over near-term margin expansion as affordability challenges continue to weigh on the U.S. housing market. For the nine months ended August 2026, Lennar's home-sale revenues declined 7% year over year to $21.6 billion, as deliveries fell 2% to 58,222 and average selling price declined 5% to $372,000, while gross margin contracted to 15.5% from 18% and SG&A rose to 9.4% of revenues from 8.5%. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, construction costs fell 6% year over year to approximately $80 per square foot and cycle time improved to a record 116 days from 126 days a year ago, though the U.S. 30-year mortgage rate recently climbed to 7.28% in September and September 2026 pending home sales fell 8.5% year over year. Lennar expects fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 deliveries of 22,000-23,000 homes, down from 23,034 a year ago, and a gross margin of 15.5-16%, down from 17%, while its land-light model controls 98% of homesites through third parties. Among peers, PulteGroup reported second-quarter 2026 incentives at 10.4% and gross margin at 25%, down from 27% a year ago but up sequentially, with orders up 6%, while D.R. Horton expects elevated incentives as third-quarter fiscal 2026 closings rose 4% but earnings fell 12%. Lennar shares have declined 12.6% over the past six months and trade at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 13.84, with fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 earnings estimates at $4.95 and $5.64 per share, respectively, and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
LEN · Demand · Negative Lennar is prioritizing volume over margin as affordability pressures cut deliveries, ASP, and gross margin, with Q4 deliveries and margins guided lower.
DHI · Demand · Negative D.R. Horton expects elevated incentives as fiscal Q3 closings rose 4% but earnings fell 12%, reflecting weak housing demand conditions.
PHM · Demand · Neutral PulteGroup reported Q2 incentives at 10.4% and gross margin down to 25% from 27% but orders up 6%, a mixed demand picture.
Berkshire Raises Lennar Stake Above 11% as Builder Trades Below Book Value
Berkshire Hathaway has lifted its stake in Lennar Corporation above 11% of the company, a position worth roughly $2.2 billion, as the homebuilder trades below its own book value. Lennar traded at around $77 on October 6, up 3.77% on the day and 39.05% lower over twelve months, against a book value of $90.68 a share, or 0.85 times book. The company's balance sheet is mostly land and finished houses carried at what Lennar paid, and a current ratio of 10.13 and debt-to-equity of 28.20% give it room to hold that inventory rather than sell it cheaply. The income statement is why the stock sits where it does: revenue fell 8.70% in the most recent quarter and earnings fell 52.00%, leaving a net margin of 4.09%, while 10.24% of the float is sold short. Lennar is worth $18.38 billion, trades at 15.06 times trailing earnings and 14.72 times forward earnings, and carries $6.12 billion of debt, with enterprise value to EBITDA of 11.48.
LEN · Capital · Positive Berkshire's stake increase above 11% signals confidence in Lennar, which trades below book value amid falling revenue and earnings.
BRK-B · Capital · Positive Berkshire Hathaway raised its stake in Lennar above 11%, a ~$2.2 billion investment.
PulteGroup Rises 1.86% as Earnings Report Looms on October 22, 2026
PulteGroup closed at $116.10, up 1.86% from the previous day, outpacing the S&P 500's 0.58% gain, while the Dow rose 0.49% and the Nasdaq added 0.45%. The homebuilder's upcoming earnings report is set for October 22, 2026, with earnings per share projected at $2.63, an 11.15% decrease from the same quarter last year, and revenue forecast at $4.12 billion, down 6.4% year over year. For the full fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $10.08 per share and revenue of $16.34 billion, representing declines of 11.89% and 5.61%, respectively. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has fallen 0.4%, and PulteGroup currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). The stock trades at a Forward P/E ratio of 11.31, a discount to the industry average of 12.42, with a PEG ratio of 1.42 versus the Building Products - Home Builders industry average of 2.12.
Berkshire Raises Lennar Stake to Nearly 12% Amid Homebuilder Rout
Berkshire Hathaway has raised its stake in homebuilder Lennar, now owning nearly 12% of the company. The increased position comes as Lennar shares have hit a recent low following a Hunterbrook report questioning the company's financing arrangements with Millrose Properties, a REIT it once owned. According to Hunterbrook, Lennar sold over 700 homes to Millrose, which rents them out, and Millrose appeared to pay more than market rate for those homes. The report also suggested Lennar looked set to miss a target for homes sold before Millrose bought a couple hundred homes right before the end of the quarter, pushing Lennar over its number. Millrose was originally created to buy land rather than homes, but changed its rules in August to allow home purchases, and it was recently downgraded by an analyst at Citizens who raised questions about the business model. Lennar is the second biggest home builder in the US, and the Berkshire investment is being viewed as a vote of confidence in the company or a sign it sees value in the stock.
BRK-B · Capital · Positive Berkshire raised its stake in Lennar to nearly 12%, a value/confidence investment.
LEN · Regulation · Neutral Hunterbrook report questions Lennar's financing arrangements and quarter-end home sales to Millrose, while Berkshire's stake is a vote of confidence.
MRP · Capital · Negative Citizens downgraded Millrose and questioned its business model after it paid above market for Lennar homes.
LGI Homes September Closings Rise 9% as Q3 Closings Climb 10.4%
LGI Homes reported a 9.0% increase in September home closings, with 386 homes closed compared to 354 a year earlier. For the third quarter of 2026, home closings totaled 1,222 units, a 10.4% year-over-year rise from 1,107 homes in the prior-year period. The September total included 8 single-family rental homes, while the third-quarter figure included 33 single-family rental homes. As of September 30, 2026, the company operated 151 active selling communities. LGI Homes plans to release its full third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
LGIH · Demand · Positive LGI Homes reported September closings up 9.0% and Q3 closings up 10.4% year-over-year, reflecting stronger end-customer demand for its homes.
M/I Homes Falls 2.05% as Zacks Cuts Estimates Ahead of October 21 Earnings
M/I Homes closed the most recent trading day at $132.00, down 2.05% from the previous session, trailing the S&P 500's 0.66% gain. The homebuilder's shares have depreciated 9.11% over the past month, underperforming the Construction sector's 2.15% loss and the S&P 500's 0.55% gain. M/I Homes is expected to report earnings on October 21, 2026, with a projected $3.05 per share, a year-over-year decline of 26.33%, on revenue of $1.09 billion, down 3.31% from the equivalent quarter last year. For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $12 per share and revenue of $4.18 billion, representing changes of -18.59% and -5.37% respectively from the prior year. The consensus EPS projection has moved 3.96% lower within the past 30 days, and M/I Homes currently holds a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell), with a Forward P/E ratio of 11.23 versus its industry average of 12.72.
Lennar Shares Down 22.4% YTD as Margin and Delivery Guidance Cut
Lennar Corporation shares have fallen 22.4% year to date, underperforming the Zacks Building Products - Home Builders industry, the broader Zacks Construction sector and the S&P 500 Index. For the first nine months of fiscal 2026, home-sales revenues declined 7% year over year to $21.6 billion as deliveries fell 2% to 58,222 homes from 59,549 homes, and average selling price dropped 5% to $372,000 from $393,000. Homebuilding gross margin contracted to 15.5% from 18% a year ago, while selling, general and administrative expenses rose to 9.4% of home-sales revenues from 8.5%. Management cut its full-year fiscal 2026 delivery target to about 80,000-81,000 homes from 82,000-83,000, and guided fourth-quarter deliveries of 22,000-23,000 homes with an average selling price of $370,000 to $380,000 and gross margin of 15.5-16%. Fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 earnings estimates stand at $4.95 and $5.70 per share, respectively, with the fiscal 2026 figure implying a 38.6% year-over-year decline, and the stock carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
Cramer Says Housing Slump Hits QXO Harder Than Toll Brothers
Jim Cramer said the housing slowdown is weighing more heavily on QXO than on Toll Brothers, pointing to weaker demand for building products at QXO versus Toll Brothers' smaller reliance on mortgage financing. On Mad Money, Cramer described QXO as an amalgamation of Beacon Roofing Supply, Kodiak Building Partners and TopBuild, and noted the company reported $3.25 billion in second-quarter revenue, including $595 million from Kodiak, with a net loss of $55 million and adjusted EBITDA of $272 million at an 8.4% margin, down from 10.7% a year earlier. QXO also recorded a $42 million operating loss and $38 million in net interest expense in the second quarter, while long-term debt rose to $6.03 billion by June 30 from $3.06 billion at the end of 2025. Toll Brothers, by contrast, saw third-quarter home sales revenue fall about 8% year-over-year to $2.65 billion, deliveries decline 10% to 2,662 homes, and net income drop 24% to $280.1 million, with adjusted home sales gross margin contracting 190 basis points to 25.6%. Cramer noted that about 25% of Toll Brothers buyers pay cash, adding that Toll is the rich man's home builder so its customers have less sensitivity to mortgage rates.
QXO · Demand · Negative Cramer says the housing slowdown is hitting QXO harder via weaker demand for its building products, alongside its Q2 net loss and margin contraction.
TOL · Demand · Negative Toll Brothers' Q3 home sales revenue fell ~8% and deliveries dropped 10% as housing demand weakened.
Berkshire Raises Lennar Stake to 11.2%, Buffett Back in World's Top 10 Billionaires
Berkshire Hathaway, under the leadership of Warren Buffett, has continued to increase its stake in Lennar Corporation, a major U.S. homebuilder and real estate developer, to 11.2%, a portfolio value of about 2.1 billion dollars, or roughly 75 billion baht. Documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission state that Berkshire bought 53.6 million dollars of Lennar Class A shares and 329,000 dollars of Class B shares, which carry extra-special voting rights, between Monday and Wednesday, bringing its total holding to 26.6 million shares, up from 5.4%, or 13.4 million shares worth 1.2 billion dollars, at the end of the second quarter. The pace of buying has begun to slow, averaging less than 18 million dollars a day through Wednesday, and no transactions are expected on Thursday. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an Underweight rating and a price target of 65 dollars per share, nearly 19% below the latest close of 79.81 dollars, amid 30-year fixed mortgage rates that have risen for six straight weeks to 7.30%, the highest since late 2023. On the wealth front, Warren Buffett has reclaimed his place as the world's 10th-richest person in Forbes magazine's rankings after overtaking Amancio Ortega, the founder of Inditex, the owner of the Zara brand. Forbes estimates Buffett's net worth at 143 billion dollars, above Ortega's 140 billion dollars, making Buffett the only person in the top 10 not from the technology sector. The Bloomberg Billionaires Index ranks them differently, estimating Ortega's fortune at 125 billion dollars in 15th place, with Jim Walton, a Walmart heir, in 11th place with 134 billion dollars.
LEN · Capital · Neutral Berkshire lifted its stake to 11.2% (positive) but Morgan Stanley initiated Underweight with a $65 target amid 7.30% mortgage rates (negative).
BRK-B · Capital · Positive Berkshire raised its Lennar stake to 11.2% and Buffett reclaimed a top-10 billionaire spot, reflecting the value of its holdings.
MS · Capital · Negative Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of Lennar with an Underweight rating and a $65 price target, ~19% below the latest close.
Lennar and KB Home Flag Rising Labor, Fuel and Tariff Cost Pressures
Lennar Corporation and KB Home both flagged rising cost pressures during their latest earnings calls, pointing to data-center-driven labor shortages, tariffs and inflation as headwinds for the housing market. On Lennar's third-quarter call in September, chairman, president and CEO Stuart Miller said labor availability is definitely one of geography, citing data centers, sporadic immigration crackdowns and tariffs, while executive vice president for homebuilding David Collins said roughly 20% of the company's divisions are seeing greater pressure than the vast majority. Miller added that the shortage shows up unevenly by trade, with landscaping an example, and said the resale market is becoming more and more of a competition, though chief operating officer Jim Parker noted increased resale activity can also unlock more move-up buyers. KB Home President and CEO Rob McGibney said his company has built direct fuel surcharges into trade contracts so they can be extracted immediately if fuel prices pull back, and expects slightly higher sequential direct costs for fourth-quarter deliveries after experiencing increasing cost pressure from fuel, general inflation and tariffs. Lennar's third-quarter revenue of $8.05 billion missed analyst estimates with new orders down 9% year-over-year, while KB Home posted a third-quarter beat with $1.297 billion in revenue and $1.05 per share. Lennar's shares were down 0.72% to $81.00 in premarket trading on Thursday, while KB Home stock declined about 2.09% to $45.50.
KBH · Supply · Negative KB Home expects higher sequential direct costs from fuel, inflation and tariffs, building fuel surcharges into trade contracts.
LEN · Supply · Negative Lennar flagged data-center-driven labor shortages, immigration crackdowns and tariffs as cost headwinds, with new orders down 9% YoY.
Lennar Declares US$0.50 Quarterly Dividend and Opens Venue at Leaf Creek Active Adult Community
Lennar Corporation declared a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.50 per share for both Class A and Class B stock, payable on October 22, 2026. Earlier in 2026 the company introduced Venue at Leaf Creek, an active adult community in Douglassville, Pennsylvania, featuring more than 300 homes and resort-style amenities. The launch reflects Lennar's push into lifestyle-oriented, amenity-rich communities aimed at active adult buyers in a scenic yet well-connected location. The maintained dividend signals continued capital returns even as earnings and margins have softened this year, while the company's narrative projects $40.8 billion in revenue and $2.7 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 8.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.4 billion earnings increase from $1.3 billion today. Some of the most optimistic analysts expected Lennar's revenue to reach about US$40.6 billion and earnings US$2.5 billion.
LEN · Capital · Positive Lennar declared a maintained US$0.50 quarterly dividend, signaling continued capital returns despite softer earnings and margins.
LEN · Demand · Positive Lennar launched Venue at Leaf Creek, a 300+ home active adult community, expanding its lifestyle-oriented product offering to end buyers.
Berkshire Hathaway Raises Lennar Stake to About 11% With $53.9M Purchase
Berkshire Hathaway bought $53.9 million of Lennar shares in the last three days of September, lifting its stake in the U.S. homebuilder to roughly 11%, according to a regulatory filing on Wednesday. From Sept. 28 through Sept. 30, the conglomerate acquired 656,302 class A common shares and 4,108 class B common shares, bringing its total holdings to 26.0 million class A shares and 553,000 class B shares, a position valued at about $2.16 billion. That roughly 11% stake sits just under Vanguard's 11.2% holding, Bloomberg News reported. The buying follows Berkshire's $6.8 billion acquisition of Taylor Morrison Homes in July and adds to its ownership of Clayton Homes, a smaller investment in NVR and a sprawling real estate brokerage business. Berkshire, now run by CEO Greg Abel and overseen by Chairman Howard Buffett, is piling into real estate as climbing mortgage rates pressure the sector; Lennar shares have dropped 22% and the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF has dipped 12% year to date, lagging the S&P 500's 12% gain.
Berkshire Raises Lennar Stake to 10.9% Amid Housing Market Headwinds
Berkshire Hathaway has increased its stake in major U.S. homebuilder Lennar, raising its holding to 10.9%. According to filings submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Berkshire acquired about $212.4 million worth of shares over the three trading days from September 17 to 21, and about $136.4 million worth over the three trading days from September 23 to 25, bringing its holdings as of September 25 to 25.9 million shares valued at roughly $2.1 billion. That marks a 93% increase from the 13.4 million shares it held as of June 30, nearly doubling its stake in the second-largest homebuilder in the United States. The purchases began the day after Lennar announced its third-quarter 2026 results on September 16. In those results, revenue fell 8.6% year over year to $8.05 billion, while net income of $284 million was roughly half the $591 million reported a year earlier; new orders dropped about 9%, deliveries fell 3%, and the gross margin on home sales declined to 15.8% from 17.5%. Behind the weakness is rising U.S. mortgage rates, with the average 30-year fixed rate in the third week of September, as published by the Mortgage Bankers Association, at 7.12%, the highest level in about two years since May 2024.
Sekisui House Interim Results: Rental Housing Management Business Becomes Profit Leader with 41.7 Billion Yen in Operating Profit
In its interim results for the fiscal year ending January 2027, announced on September 10, Sekisui House revealed that its rental housing management business posted the largest segment operating profit at 41.745 billion yen, generating more than 20 percent of consolidated operating profit and establishing itself as a core business. Interim consolidated results showed revenue of 1.965644 trillion yen, down 2.5 percent year on year, while operating profit rose 16.0 percent to 180.37 billion yen, ordinary profit climbed 23.8 percent to 169.081 billion yen, and interim net profit increased 23.1 percent to 125.053 billion yen, securing double-digit profit growth. The bulk of the 24.8 billion yen increase in profit came from a 22.2 billion yen gain in the urban redevelopment business, where the sale of six properties, including assets sold to Sekisui House REIT Investment Corporation, drove segment operating profit up 437.7 percent year on year to 27.352 billion yen. Meanwhile, the rental housing management business saw revenue rise just 2.9 percent to 368.016 billion yen, but its operating profit margin improved from 10.3 percent to 11.3 percent, exceeding the detached housing business's operating profit of 23.99 billion yen by 1.7 times. The international business, following the acquisition of M.D.C. Holdings in the United States, fell sharply, with revenue down 20.8 percent to 486.353 billion yen and operating profit down 93.2 percent to 1.036 billion yen, which the company attributed to customers taking a wait-and-see approach amid uncertainty over the U.S. economic outlook and the impact of incentives. For the full year, the company lowered its revenue forecast to 4.26 trillion yen from 4.353 trillion yen, while raising its ordinary profit forecast to 316 billion yen from 314 billion yen and its net profit forecast to 224 billion yen from 218 billion yen, and it plans an annual dividend of 145 yen, comprising an interim dividend of 72 yen and a year-end dividend of 73 yen.
1928.JP · Capital · Positive Interim operating profit rose 16.0% to 180.37 billion yen with net profit up 23.1%, and full-year ordinary profit forecast was raised to 316 billion yen.
Lennar Opens Three New Communities in Pennsylvania, Alabama and California
Lennar has opened three new residential communities across Pennsylvania, Alabama and California. In Hatfield, Pennsylvania, the builder launched Venue at Leaf Creek, an active adult community with amenities tailored to buyers aged 55 and over. Near Huntsville, Alabama, Lennar introduced Cherokee Bend, offering new single family homes across multiple floor plans. In San Juan Capistrano, California, the company launched The Farm, a residential project adding more new construction options in the state. The three launches target different price points and life stages, fitting Lennar's asset-light, volume-focused model of keeping sales flowing across a wide mix of communities even when conditions are tougher.
LEN · Demand · Positive Lennar opened three new residential communities across Pennsylvania, Alabama and California, expanding its home offerings to different price points and life stages.
Open House Group Posts 120.9 Billion Yen Cumulative Operating Profit for Q3 of Fiscal Year Ending September 2026, Raises Full-Year Forecast to 180 Billion Yen
Open House Group's cumulative results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending September 2026 came in at 1.0234 trillion yen in revenue, 120.9 billion yen in operating profit, 116 billion yen in ordinary profit, and 81.2 billion yen in net profit. Progress against the full-year forecast stands at 68.2 percent for revenue, 67.2 percent for operating profit, and 68.6 percent for net profit, all below the 75 percent level typically seen as the benchmark at the third quarter. The full-year operating profit forecast has been raised from 170 billion yen at the start of the year to 174.5 billion yen in the first quarter and 178.2 billion yen at the half, and now to 180 billion yen at the third quarter, up 23.3 percent year on year. The dividend per share forecast has also been increased in stages, from 188 yen to 200 yen and then 205 yen, and is expected to exceed the 178 yen paid in the previous fiscal year. By segment, the detached housing business posted 563 billion yen in revenue and 61.8 billion yen in operating profit, accounting for more than half of consolidated revenue, while the condominium business saw revenue more than double year on year to 42.4 billion yen, with an operating margin of 17.8 percent, the highest of any segment. Meanwhile, the share price has fallen more than 30 percent from the 11,500 yen level at the end of February to the 7,500 yen range as of September 2026, back near last autumn's level, moving in the opposite direction from the upward revision.
3288.JP · Capital · Positive Open House Group raised its full-year operating profit forecast to 180 billion yen and lifted its dividend forecast after Q3 results.
KB Home Q3 Housing Revenue Falls 20% as Backlog Rises to $2.05 Billion
KB Home reported fiscal third quarter housing revenue fell 20% to $1.3 billion and deliveries dropped 19% to 2,732 homes, while backlog value rose for the first time in four years to $2.05 billion. Built to Order homes made up 74% of third quarter deliveries, up from 60% in the second quarter, and unsold inventory fell to 26% of production from 41% a year ago, with construction cycle time improving 19% to 99 days from 122 days. Diluted earnings per share fell to $1.05 from $1.61 a year ago, housing gross margin compressed to 16.5% from 18.2%, and homebuilding operating income was cut nearly in half to $67.1 million from $131.2 million. Chief Financial Officer Bill Hollinger said market conditions have evolved differently than expected since June, and the company cut its fourth quarter gross margin outlook by a full percentage point to a range of 16.0% to 16.6%, while average selling price guidance dropped roughly $20,000 to about $480,000. KB Home returned more than $65 million to shareholders in the quarter through buybacks and dividends, part of a five-year total north of $2.1 billion, and book value per share climbed above $62.
KBH · Capital · Negative Q3 housing revenue fell 20%, EPS dropped to $1.05 from $1.61, gross margin compressed to 16.5%, and Q4 margin guidance was cut.
Lennar Profit Halves to $283 Million as High Mortgage Rates Crush Demand
Lennar Corporation reported third-quarter profit of $283 million, half the $591 million it earned a year earlier, as high mortgage rates weighed on demand for its homes. Revenue fell 8% annually to $8 billion, while home sales gross margin slipped to 15.8% from 17.5% in the year-ago quarter and new orders dropped 9% annually to 20,879. The results followed the Federal Reserve's September 16th rate hike, which Jim Cramer said would further crush the homebuilding industry, noting Barclays cut its price target on Lennar to 70 from 79 with an Underweight rating. Offsetting the weakness, Lennar's core construction costs fell 6% to $80 per square foot and its cycle time dropped to 116, a new industry low. Hedge fund interest was little changed, with 65 funds holding a stake in Lennar in the second quarter, according to Insider Monkey's data.
LEN · Capital · Negative Q3 profit halved to $283M, revenue fell 8%, gross margin slipped to 15.8%, and new orders dropped 9% amid high mortgage rates.
LEN · Demand · Negative High mortgage rates crushed demand for Lennar's homes, halving profit and dropping new orders 9%.
LEN · Supply · Positive Core construction costs fell 6% to $80 per square foot and cycle time dropped to a new industry low of 116.
BARC.LSE · Capital · Negative Barclays cut its price target on Lennar to 70 from 79 with an Underweight rating.
Berkshire Hathaway Buys More Lennar Shares, Stake Crosses 10%
Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it bought about 2.74 million more Lennar shares, pushing its stake in the homebuilder past the 10% ownership threshold. The filing records roughly 2.67 million Class A shares and 75,021 Class B shares purchased across September 17, 18 and 21, at a disclosed weighted-average cost estimated at $212.4 million. That brings Berkshire's holdings to 23.72 million Class A shares and 528,217 Class B shares. The purchase amounts to just 0.03% of Berkshire's market value, too small to move the needle for the conglomerate, but crossing 10% raises its reporting visibility and signals confidence in Lennar after weaker earnings. Berkshire shares stayed flat at $507.01 as of 11.27am ET on Thursday, about 5.79% above the GuruFocus GF Value of $479.25.
KB Home Q3 Revenue Falls 20% to $1.3 Billion, EPS $1.05
KB Home reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 housing revenues of $1.3 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.05, with 2,732 homes delivered at an average selling price of $473,000. Housing revenues declined 20% from $1.6 billion a year earlier, reflecting a 19% decrease in homes delivered and a slightly lower average selling price, while net income fell to $65 million from $110 million. The company repurchased about 890,000 shares, roughly 1.5% of shares outstanding, and returned over $65 million in capital to shareholders including dividends, expanding book value per share to over $62. KB Home maintained its full-year guidance for deliveries of 10,500 to 11,000 homes and narrowed housing revenue guidance to $4.9 billion to $5.1 billion, but moderated fourth-quarter expectations, with the midpoint now implying an average selling price of approximately $480,000, about $20,000 below prior guidance, and a gross margin roughly 1 percentage point lower, driven principally by Southern California. The company plans up to $50 million of share repurchases in the fourth quarter.
Cracker Barrel Posts 395% Earnings Surprise as General Mills and KB Home Also Beat
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store posted a positive earnings surprise of 395% in its fiscal Q4 report, sending shares up 6.8% in early trading and adding to a 79% gain year to date. General Mills beat expectations on both top and bottom lines, with earnings of $0.75 per share topping the Zacks consensus by 3 cents on revenues of $4.39 billion, 1.04% above estimates, though its shares traded flat and remain down 23.8% in 2026. KB Home surpassed forecasts with earnings of $1.05 per share on $1.3 billion in revenues, ahead of expectations for $0.88 per share and $1.29 billion in sales, but shares fell 3% as the homebuilder warned of headwinds in the present quarter including higher mortgage rates. Pre-market indices slipped, with the Dow down 174 points, the Nasdaq down 94, the S&P 500 down 11 and the Russell 2000 down 17, while WTI crude sat at $90 per barrel and Brent at $100 per barrel and the 10-year yield held at 4.99%. Fed Governor Michael Barr is set to speak on housing affordability at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and flash S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI for September are due after the open, with Manufacturing expected at 53.5 and Services at 55.7.
Berkshire Buys $212 Million of Lennar Shares After Weak Quarter
Berkshire Hathaway bought roughly $212.4 million worth of Lennar shares across three trading days in September, pushing its total position in the homebuilder to about $1.4 billion. The purchases took place between Sept. 17 and Sept. 21, with Berkshire picking up 2.74 million shares across both Class A and Class B stock, and LEN shares rose 2.1% on Monday and gained another 1.2% in overnight trading after the news broke. The buying followed Lennar's Sept. 16 third-quarter report, in which net earnings dropped to $284 million from $591 million a year earlier, revenue fell 8.6% to $8.05 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.23 missed the $1.28 consensus, while new home orders declined 9% to 20,879 and gross margin fell to 15.8% from 17.5%. Management cut its full-year 2026 delivery outlook to 80,000 to 81,000 homes from 82,000 to 83,000 previously, prompting Barclays to cut its price target to $70 from $79 and Royal Bank of Canada to move its target to $69. The Lennar stake is part of a broader housing push under new CEO Greg Abel, following Berkshire's May agreement to acquire Taylor Morrison for $72.50 per share in cash, a deal that closed in July at about $6.8 billion in equity value and $8.5 billion in enterprise value, and adding to its existing positions in D.R. Horton and Clayton Homes.
IonQ Claims First Real-Time Quantum Error Decoder, Shares Jump 12%
IonQ said it tested the industry's first real-time quantum error decoder, sending its shares up 12% in premarket trading and lifting the broader quantum sector, with Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum each up more than 5.5% and Infleqtion rising a similar amount. Worthington Enterprises surged about 16% after first-quarter adjusted earnings and revenue surpassed Street estimates, with CEO Joseph Hayek citing rapidly growing demand for the company's engineered American Society of Mechanical Engineers tanks used in liquid cooling systems for data centers. KB Home fell more than 1% after projecting fourth-quarter deliveries below expectations and housing gross margins of 16% to 16.6%, short of the 17.2% analysts polled by LSEG sought. Six Flags Entertainment rose 1% after a Wall Street Journal report that activist hedge fund Jana Partners was encouraging the company to explore a sale, following the fund's disappointment with Six Flags' second-quarter earnings report. Maplebear, the Instacart owner, gained more than 3% after announcing that customers on its grocery platform can use Meta's personal AI agent Muse, joining OpenAI's ChatGPT, Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini as AI partners.
IONQ · Technology · Positive IonQ said it tested the industry's first real-time quantum error decoder.
KBH · Capital · Negative KB Home projected Q4 deliveries below expectations and housing gross margins short of analyst estimates.
CART · Technology · Positive Instacart customers can now use Meta's AI agent Muse on its grocery platform, adding an AI partner.
FUN · Capital · Positive Activist hedge fund Jana Partners is encouraging Six Flags to explore a sale.
WOR · Demand · Positive Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue beat estimates, with CEO citing rapidly growing demand for ASME tanks used in data-center liquid cooling.
INFQ · Technology · Positive Infleqtion rose a similar amount as IonQ's quantum error-decoder news lifted the broader quantum sector.
KB Home Guides Q4 Housing Revenue to $1.45B-$1.65B, Plans Up to $50M in Buybacks
KB Home forecast fourth-quarter housing revenues of $1.45 billion to $1.65 billion on 3,000 to 3,500 homes delivered, while planning up to $50 million of share repurchases in the quarter. The builder reported third-quarter housing revenues of $1.3 billion, down 20% from $1.6 billion a year earlier, with net income of $65 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.05 on 2,732 deliveries. Adjusted housing gross profit margin was 16.8%, up sequentially from 15.7% in the second quarter, but the company now expects fourth-quarter housing gross profit of 16% to 16.6% and full-year housing gross profit of 16% to 16.2%, both assuming no inventory charges, with fourth-quarter gross margin about 1 percentage point lower than prior guidance implied. For the full year, KB Home narrowed its housing revenue range to $4.9 billion to $5.1 billion on 10,500 to 11,000 homes delivered, and said the midpoint of its fourth-quarter guidance implies an average selling price of approximately $480,000 versus roughly $500,000 previously implied. Executive Chairman Jeffrey Mezger said the housing market remains challenging and has weakened since the June earnings call, while CEO Rob McGibney said the company's Built to Order model, which represented nearly three quarters of third-quarter deliveries, was designed to perform in exactly these conditions.
Berkshire Hathaway Adds $212.38 Million to Lennar Stake, Shares Jump 6%
Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $212.38 million purchase of Lennar shares, expanding its existing $1.2 billion position in the homebuilder and sending the stock up 6% in the afternoon session. The investment was revealed under mandatory Securities and Exchange Commission disclosure rules, which require any investor owning more than 10% of a company's stock to formally report purchases and changes to their holdings. Lennar shares are somewhat volatile and have had 10 moves greater than 5% over the last year, and the market treated this news as meaningful but not fundamentally perception-changing. The stock is down 20.1% since the start of the year and, at $83.30 per share, trades 37.4% below its 52-week high of $133.13 from December 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Lennar shares five years ago would now have only $849.49.
KB Home Q3 Earnings Beat Consensus as Built-to-Order Shift Lifts Margin
KB Home posted stronger-than-expected fiscal Q3 earnings and in-line revenue, sending its stock up 1.7% in Tuesday after-hours trading. The U.S. homebuilder reported GAAP EPS of $1.05, topping the average analyst estimate of $0.90 but down from $1.61 a year ago, on revenue of $1.30B for the quarter ended Aug. 31, 2026, which matched consensus and fell from $1.62B in Q3 2025. Housing revenue of $1.29B, matching the Visible Alpha estimate, shrank from $1.61B a year ago, while Q3 housing gross profit margin improved to 16.5% from 15.2% in Q2 as built-to-order homes reached almost three-quarters of deliveries, meeting the company's goal of becoming a predominantly built-to-order business. The company reaffirmed 2026 delivery guidance of 10.5K-11.0K homes and narrowed its 2026 housing revenue outlook to $4.90B-$5.10B from a prior $4.90B-$5.30B, and guided Q4 deliveries of 3.0K-3.5K and housing revenue of $1.45B-$1.65B. Net orders fell 12% year over year to 2,604 and missed the Visible Alpha estimate of 2,856, while the cancellation rate rose to 18% from 17% a year ago; Executive Chairman Jeffrey Mezger said the housing market continues to be challenging, with higher mortgage rates pressuring affordability.
Berkshire Hathaway Buys Another $212.4 Million of Lennar Stock
Berkshire Hathaway disclosed another $212.4 million purchase of Lennar shares, deepening a housing-sector bet that now sits against a much tougher operating backdrop. According to an SEC Form 4, Berkshire bought more than 2.7 million Lennar Class A and Class B shares between September 17 and September 21 at weighted-average prices ranging from $74.80 to $79.41, through its insurance subsidiaries. Berkshire already owns more than 10% of Lennar, with an existing stake worth roughly $1.2 billion, and the move fits a broader housing push that includes its ownership of D.R. Horton and its completed $6.8 billion acquisition of Taylor Morrison in July. The buying comes as Lennar's fiscal third-quarter earnings fell to $1.19 per share from $2.29 a year earlier and missed the $1.28 consensus estimate, while revenue dropped 8.6% to $8.05 billion. New orders declined 9% to 20,879 homes, deliveries slipped 3% to 20,840, gross margin fell to 15.8% from 17.5%, and management cut its 2026 delivery outlook to 80,000-81,000 homes from 82,000-83,000.
Berkshire Hathaway Raises Stake in Lennar, Shares Jump 4.44%
Berkshire Hathaway has increased its stake in homebuilder Lennar, sending the company's shares 4.44% higher to $81.55 in morning trading on Tuesday. An SEC filing showed that Berkshire, already a 10% owner of Lennar, acquired roughly 2.74 million class A and B shares in multiple transactions at prices ranging from $74.49 to $79.79. Following the purchases, Berkshire holds approximately 23.72 million class A shares and 528,217 class B shares, both of indirect ownership. The move comes after Warren Buffett, who led Berkshire Hathaway for 61 years, stepped down as chairman.
Henry Boot Posts £3.9 Million H1 Operating Loss, Suspends Interim Dividend
Henry Boot reported a weak first half, with revenue falling 19% to just under £81 million and the group posting an operating loss of £3.9 million. Net debt rose to £133 million and gearing increased to 33%, prompting the board to suspend the interim dividend pending improved sales, cash recovery and debt reduction. New chief executive Edward Hutchinson, who recently took the role after more than 20 years with the group, said a business review is under way and a refreshed strategy with medium-term objectives is due in early 2027, with priorities centered on unlocking value, reducing borrowings and improving operational efficiency. The company has completed, exchanged or reserved 71% of its budgeted full-year property sales, leaving a further £59 million needed to reach its £203 million target, and it expects a stronger second half as delayed land and property sales complete, though transaction volumes are likely to remain subdued. Housebuilder Stonebridge Homes is forecast to post an operating loss in 2026 amid slower sales rates, build-cost inflation of around 4% and higher mortgage rates, and Warren Thompson has been appointed as its managing director, expected to arrive later in the year.
KB Home Set to Report Q3 Earnings With EPS Seen Down 45.3%
KB Home is scheduled to announce its Q3 earnings results on Tuesday, September 22st, after market close. The consensus EPS estimate is $0.88, a decline of 45.3% year over year, while the consensus revenue estimate is $1.3B, down 19.8% year over year. Over the last year, KB Home has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 100% of the time. In the past three months, EPS estimates have drawn 5 upward revisions and 6 downward, while revenue estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 9 downward.
Jim Cramer Warns KB Home Could Post Weak Quarter Like Lennar
Jim Cramer said on Mad Money that KB Home is likely to report another weak quarter when it releases results after the market closes on September 22, warning that the home builder faces the same pressures Lennar has already disclosed. Lennar reported approximately $8 billion of revenue in its fiscal third quarter, but new orders fell 9% year over year to 20,879 homes, deliveries declined 3% to 20,840, the average selling price fell 3% to $372,000, and home-sale gross margin dropped to 15.8% from 17.5% a year earlier. CEO Stuart Miller said mortgage rates reached approximately 6.8% at quarter-end and that rates and affordability have driven more consumers to slow their purchase decision, prompting Lennar to cut its full-year 2026 delivery target to approximately 80,000 to 81,000 homes from 82,000 to 83,000 previously. KB Home's fiscal second-quarter results already showed revenue down 27% year over year to $1.11 billion, diluted EPS of $0.43 versus $1.50, deliveries down 23% to 2,395 homes, net orders down 4% to 3,317, and backlog value down 7% to $2.14 billion, and management guided fiscal third-quarter deliveries to 2,600 to 2,800 homes with housing gross margin of 16% to 16.6%. Hedge fund holders of Lennar slipped to 65 in the second quarter from 66 in the first, while KB Home holders fell to 34 from 37, and short interest stood at approximately 8.4% of Lennar's public float and approximately 12.9% of KB Home's.
KBH · Demand · Negative Cramer warns KB Home faces the same weak housing demand and affordability pressures that drove Lennar's orders down 9% and delivery-target cut.
LEN · Demand · Negative Lennar's new orders fell 9% YoY, deliveries declined 3%, average selling price dropped 3%, gross margin fell to 15.8%, and it cut its 2026 delivery target on weak affordability.
Lennar Warns of Slowing Home Sales as Orders Fall 9%
Lennar is warning that its plan to rebuild profit depends on a home sales pace that its own numbers show is slipping. New orders in its third quarter of 2026 fell about 9% from a year earlier and missed the company's own range, while revenue fell 13.3% year over year, the steepest drop in four quarters. For its fourth quarter, Lennar guides new orders to 19,500 to 20,500, below the 20,879 it booked in the third quarter, and deliveries to 22,000 to 23,000. Gross margin was 15.8% in the third quarter, up from 15.6% the quarter before, and management expects fourth-quarter gross margin to stay about where the third quarter landed. The CEO said the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now about 7%, up from between 6.4% and 6.5% in June, and that in many of Lennar's markets almost half of visitors cannot immediately qualify for a loan. Lennar stock has lost about 41% over the past year and trades at about 0.6 times sales, roughly 3% of the way up its own 10-year range, with homebuilding debt at 16.6% of total capital.
Lennar Cuts Annual Delivery Target to 80,000-81,000 Homes as Q3 Margin Slips to 15.8%
Lennar Corporation cut its annual delivery target to 80,000-81,000 homes from 82,000-83,000 after reporting fiscal third-quarter gross margin on home sales of 15.8%. The homebuilder delivered 20,840 homes in the quarter, down 3% year over year, and generated 20,879 new orders, down 9%. Construction costs per square foot fell 6% year over year and are down 14% since the fourth quarter of 2023, while incentives remained approximately 12% of home value, moderating from about 12.9% in the prior quarter. Gross margin improved sequentially from 15.6% but fell from 17.5% a year earlier, which Lennar attributed primarily to lower revenue per square foot and higher land costs, partly offset by construction savings. Selling, general and administrative expenses rose to 9.2% of home-sales revenue from 8.2%, and Lennar guided fourth-quarter gross margin to 15.5%-16.0% on expected deliveries of 22,000-23,000 homes.
LEN · Capital · Negative Lennar cut its annual delivery target to 80,000-81,000 homes and Q3 gross margin fell to 15.8% from 17.5% a year earlier, with SG&A rising to 9.2% of revenue.
Lennar Fair Value Trimmed to US$83.69 as Analysts Weigh Rate and Margin Pressure
Lennar's fair value estimate has been trimmed from US$86.23 to US$83.69, a reduction of about 3%, as analysts weigh elevated mortgage rates, incentive spending and softer orders against the homebuilder's scale, balance sheet and focus on affordable homes. The revision follows a wave of price-target cuts in recent months, with RBC moving to US$69 from US$85, BTIG to US$63 from US$67, Barclays to US$70 from US$79, Truist to US$75 from US$80 and BofA to US$70 from US$77, generally after a Q3 earnings miss, softer guidance and pressure on gross margins. Argus kept a Buy rating on Lennar even after cutting its price target to US$108 from US$125, citing the company's scale, operating efficiency and access to capital, while BofA, despite its Underperform stance, pointed to a solid fundamental underpinning supported by a conservative balance sheet and a largely optioned land position. BTIG and StoneX flagged weaker demand, lower core homebuilding results and lagging Return on Equity, especially for Lennar's entry level buyer base that is more sensitive to mortgage rates, and Barclays noted that land banking and rising option costs could add company specific pressure on margins on top of broader affordability issues. The updated analysis also raised the revenue growth assumption to 8.48% from 6.13% and the profit margin assumption to 6.72% from 6.21%, while lowering the future P/E multiple to 7.54x from 9.32x and the discount rate to 8.78% from 8.99%.
LEN · Capital · Negative Analysts trimmed Lennar's fair value to US$83.69 and cut price targets (RBC, BTIG, Barclays, Truist, BofA) after a Q3 earnings miss, softer guidance and gross-margin pressure.
Lennar reported a softer third quarter, with profit and revenue missing expectations as high mortgage rates and weaker confidence pressured housing demand and triggered another cut to full-year delivery guidance. The earnings disappointment and guidance cut have hit sentiment hard, with the share price down about 12% over the past month and roughly 27% year to date, while the 1 year total shareholder return has fallen about 39%. The most followed narrative pegs fair value at about $83.69 a share, compared with the last close of $76.43, implying a modest discount that investors must weigh against the current housing backdrop. Lennar trades on a P/E of 14.3x, higher than its Consumer Durables peers at 13x and below the US market at 18.2x, yet well below its fair ratio of 23.5x. The company's transition to an asset-light, land-light model with just-in-time delivery is expected to generate more predictable volume and growth, though its exposure to rate-sensitive entry-level buyers and the need for heavier incentives if mortgage costs stay elevated could quickly weaken the 9% undervalued case.
Lennar Q3 Revenue Falls 8.7% to $8.05 Billion, Missing Estimates
Lennar missed Wall Street's revenue expectations in its third quarter, with sales falling 8.7% year on year to $8.05 billion against analyst estimates of $8.31 billion, a 3.2% miss. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.23, 4.5% below the consensus estimate of $1.29, while operating margin dropped to 5.7% from 7.9% a year earlier and backlog declined 4.5% year on year to $6.3 billion. Chief Executive Officer Stuart Miller said interest rates and consumer confidence constrained the improvement the company had anticipated going into the quarter, and Lennar responded by increasing sales incentives and adjusting prices, particularly in its largest markets of Texas and Florida, where resale listings have grown and intensified price competition. Chief Financial Officer Diane Bessette said the company's metrics remain dependent on market conditions, and management expects margins to stay under pressure as it works through higher-cost land acquired in a more favorable market, calling land the one input it cannot reengineer. Lennar offset some of the pressure with record-low construction cycle times of 116 days, unsold inventory reduced to 1.8 homes per community, and a 12% year-over-year cut in divisional headcount, while its asset-light model leaves 98% of land controlled and 2% owned. The stock traded at $79.54, up from $78.12 just before the earnings.
KB Home Set to Report Q3 Fiscal 2026 Results on Sept. 22
KB Home is scheduled to report its third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, for the period ended Aug. 31, on Sept. 22 after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for adjusted earnings per share has remained unchanged at 88 cents over the past 30 days, a 45.3% decline from the year-ago quarter's $1.61 per share, while the consensus revenue estimate stands at $1.29 billion, down 20.2% year over year. KB Home expects housing revenues of $1.2-$1.35 billion, down from $1.61 billion a year ago, home deliveries of 2,600 to 2,800 units versus 3,393 units a year earlier, and adjusted housing gross margin of 16-16.6% versus 18.9%. The company guides selling, general and administrative expenses to 11.3-11.9% of housing revenues, compared with 10.7% a year ago. KB Home carries an Earnings ESP of -5.32% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), and the model does not predict an earnings beat this time around.
KBH · Capital · Negative KB Home guides to sharply lower Q3 revenue, deliveries, and gross margin, with EPS seen down 45.3% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell)
Barratt Redrow reported fiscal 2026 revenue of more than GBP6 billion, driven by higher home completions and a higher average selling price, with adjusted operating profit of GBP598.1 million slightly ahead of last year. Home completions rose 5% to 17,667, while adjusted profit before tax fell to GBP572.8 million on higher net interest costs and lower joint venture profits, and adjusted gross margin slipped to 15.3% with adjusted gross profit of GBP926.6 million. The company confirmed all GBP100 million of Redrow cost synergies in the second half, delivering a GBP73 million profit and loss benefit in FY26 and an expected annual contribution of approximately GBP95 million in FY27. Barratt Redrow ended the year with a net surplus position of GBP61.4 million, versus net indebtedness of GBP37 million a year earlier, and guided to FY27 completions of between 17,500 and 17,900, a year-end cash position of GBP400 million to GBP500 million, and a total capital return of GBP400 million including a GBP386 million share buyback plus an additional buyback of at least GBP100 million. Build cost inflation was 2% underlying for the year and is guided at 3% to 4% for the year ahead, while the land bank stands at 5.2 years of supply and the embedded gross margin fell 160 basis points to 17.3% from 18.9% at the end of December.
BTRW.LSE · Capital · Positive FY26 revenue topped GBP6bn with completions up 5% and adjusted operating profit of GBP598.1m slightly ahead, plus a GBP400m capital return including buybacks.