AST SpaceMobile Expected to Grow Revenue at 246% CAGR, Far Outpacing SpaceX

The Motley Fool··Read original
3▲1 ▼1Impact / 5
Summary · why it matters

Analysts expect AST SpaceMobile to grow its revenue at a compounded annual growth rate of around 246% over the next few years, significantly faster than SpaceX's projected CAGR of nearly 69%. According to LSEG data, AST SpaceMobile's revenue is forecast to reach nearly $2 billion by 2028, up from $166 million this year, while SpaceX's revenue is projected to total more than $103 billion in 2028. Despite the faster growth, AST SpaceMobile trades at a price-to-sales multiple of nearly 190, compared to about 80 times revenue for SpaceX, making both stocks expensive and risky. AST SpaceMobile, which focuses on a global space-based broadband network, generated just under $71 million in revenue last year, while SpaceX reported nearly $19 billion. Shares of AST SpaceMobile are down about 20% so far in 2026, and SpaceX has dipped below its IPO price.

Impact on assets 2

Space Economy± Mixed
Ast Spacemobile Inc
ASTS
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Analysts expect AST SpaceMobile to grow revenue at 246% CAGR, driven by its global space-based broadband network.

Theme Impact 1

Related news

United States
▲19impact 4

SpaceX to Buy Grain Management Spectrum Licenses in Starlink Mobile Push

SpaceX has agreed to acquire Grain Management's nationwide portfolio of low-band wireless spectrum licenses, advancing the Elon Musk-led company's effort to compete with Verizon Communications Inc., AT&T Inc. and T-Mobile Us Inc. The agreement covers spectrum in the 800 MHz band and remains subject to approval by the Federal Communications Commission; SpaceX says the licenses will complement Starlink Mobile's existing satellite capabilities with terrestrial connectivity. The FCC has also authorized SpaceX to deploy 15,000 next-generation Starlink satellites optimized for mobile connectivity, and together the spectrum acquisition and satellite expansion move the company closer to offering a more comprehensive mobile service. Musk made his ambitious prediction in an Oct. 8 post on X, saying he sees a path to SpaceX being worth orders of magnitude more than the current Earth economy. Investors should watch for regulatory approval, launch timelines, pricing announcements and evidence of customer adoption, as the next test is whether SpaceX can persuade consumers to switch networks or pay less to stay connected.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) ▲Competition
Space Economy › Satellite Broadband, MSS & Ground Equipment ▼Competition
SPCX · Regulation · Positive FCC authorization to deploy 15,000 next-gen Starlink satellites and pending approval of the spectrum deal advance SpaceX's mobile push.
SPCX · Capital · Positive SpaceX agreed to acquire Grain Management's nationwide 800 MHz spectrum portfolio, a major asset purchase for Starlink Mobile.
Grain Management · Capital · Positive Grain Management is selling its nationwide low-band spectrum portfolio to SpaceX.
Read original ↗
Yahoo Finance·9hRead more →
United StatesJapan
▲impact 4

SpaceX Secures Mobile Spectrum License, Becoming First Network Operator With Both Satellite and Ground Operations

U.S. space and artificial intelligence company SpaceX announced it will acquire licenses for the spectrum bands used for mobile phones. The company, which operates the satellite communications network service Starlink, stressed that it "will become the first network operator to deploy both satellite and ground-based networks." The acquisition it disclosed covers radio waves in the 800-megahertz band, which travel long distances and are hard to block with buildings or walls, part of a spectrum range known in Japan as the "platinum band." U.S. financial giant Morgan Stanley called the announcement a major step toward building a mobile communications network, and said that while the acquisition price was not disclosed, it "would not be surprised if it approached 8 billion dollars, or roughly 1.3 trillion yen." In the U.S. stock market on the 9th, shares of the three major U.S. telecom carriers plunged, while shares of tower companies that handle base station construction and other work were bought. Still, Morgan Stanley analyzed that the spectrum band is insufficient for expanding service to densely populated areas and that infrastructure development will also be necessary, and it believes "there is still a long road ahead to compete head-on with major telecom carriers."
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) ▲Competition
Space Economy › Satellite Broadband, MSS & Ground Equipment Competition
SPCX · Regulation · Positive SpaceX secures mobile spectrum licenses in the 800MHz band, enabling it to become the first operator with both satellite and ground networks.
MS · Capital · Neutral Morgan Stanley is cited for its analyst commentary estimating the spectrum deal could approach $8B and cautioning about infrastructure needs, not as a party affected by the news.
Read original ↗
Jiji Press·21hRead more →
United States
▲2

SpaceX Nears Spectrum Deal to Become Major Mobile Carrier

SpaceX is closing in on a crucial swath of spectrum needed to turn the rocket, satellite and AI company into a "major mobile carrier," setting the stage for a clash with stalwarts like T-Mobile US Inc., Verizon Communications Inc. and AT&T Inc. Once the company receives approval from the Federal Communications Commission, it will combine its satellite-to-cell services with a terrestrial network that can connect devices everywhere. The development comes as SpaceX investors are finally getting some reprieve after months of being whipsawed by volatility, with the Elon Musk-led company's stock breaking above the level it's been stuck below since July.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) ▲Competition
SPCX · Regulation · Positive SpaceX is nearing FCC approval of a crucial spectrum swath to become a major mobile carrier, a key regulatory milestone for the company.
T · Competition · Negative SpaceX's move to become a major mobile carrier sets up a clash with incumbent carriers like AT&T.
TMUS · Competition · Negative SpaceX's satellite-to-cell plus terrestrial network ambitions set the stage for a clash with T-Mobile.
VZ · Competition · Negative SpaceX's push to become a major mobile carrier sets up a competitive clash with Verizon.
Read original ↗
Bloomberg·1dRead more →
United States
▲

AT&T Wins Court Approval for $177 Million Data Breach Settlement

AT&T secured court approval for a US$177 million settlement over a major customer data breach affecting millions of users, with a federal judge signing off on the agreement in early October 2026 and resolving multiple consolidated class action lawsuits. Separately, AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile agreed to pool spectrum and share satellite access in a new US connectivity joint venture targeting coverage gaps. The US$177 million breach settlement and the multi-carrier satellite venture are reshaping AT&T's risk profile and network ambitions. The payment is sizeable yet small next to the US$167.7b telecom group, which is already spending heavily on fiber and 5G, and the bigger issue for investors is execution on the US$6b targeted copper cost reductions and the large network build. The satellite venture is aimed at filling dead zones that fiber and towers do not reach, while the GIP and CPP Investments fiber venture pushes deeper high speed access in 16 states. The clearest test ahead is whether AT&T closes the fiber JV in the first half of 2027 as planned and starts reporting its share of JV earnings without consolidating the results, alongside progress toward the more than 60 million fiber locations target by 2030.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Telecom Towers, Fiber & Colocation Capital
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Capital
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) ▲Capital
T · Regulation · Neutral Court approves $177M data-breach settlement, resolving consolidated class actions against AT&T.
T · Demand · Positive AT&T joins multi-carrier satellite/spectrum JV to fill coverage dead zones, expanding its connectivity reach.
TMUS · Demand · Positive T-Mobile is part of the new US connectivity JV pooling spectrum and satellite access to target coverage gaps.
VZ · Demand · Positive Verizon is part of the new US connectivity JV pooling spectrum and satellite access to target coverage gaps.
Read original ↗
Simply Wall St·1dRead more →
United StatesArgentinaLuxembourgFranceMexicoSouth Korea
▼impact 4

SpaceX's $8B Spectrum Deal for Starlink Triggers Telecom Selloff

SpaceX's $8B deal to buy a nationwide low-band spectrum portfolio from Grain Management for Starlink sparked a sudden selloff in major telecom stocks. T-Mobile US fell roughly 6% after hours following the Starlink Mobile announcement, yet it remains a top-rated Buy with a quant score of 4.42 out of 5, alongside ATN International at 4.70 and VEON Ltd. at 4.69. Domestic giants Verizon and AT&T both hold neutral Hold ratings, with quant scores of 3.48 and 3.45 respectively. Other Buy-rated names include Telecom Argentina at 4.48, Millicom International Cellular at 3.90, Orange at 3.73, Liberty Latin America at 3.72, América Móvil at 3.61, and KT Corporation at 3.54, while Anterix sits at Hold with a score of 3.48.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) ▼Competition
SPCX · Capital · Positive SpaceX's $8B deal to buy nationwide low-band spectrum from Grain Management for Starlink Mobile expands its connectivity business.
TMUS · Competition · Negative T-Mobile fell ~6% after hours as SpaceX's Starlink Mobile spectrum deal threatens a new nationwide wireless rival.
T · Competition · Negative AT&T is among the major telecom stocks caught in the selloff triggered by SpaceX's Starlink spectrum deal.
VZ · Competition · Negative Verizon is among the major telecom stocks caught in the selloff triggered by SpaceX's Starlink spectrum deal.
Read original ↗
Seeking Alpha·2dRead more →
United StatesThailand
impact 4

Yuanta says SpaceX's 800MHz spectrum purchase to boost Starlink Mobile does not yet affect ADVANC-TRUE

Yuanta Securities (Thailand) Company Limited stated that SpaceX has announced the acquisition of 800 MHz spectrum from Grain Management to expand its Starlink Mobile service into the terrestrial market, with the transaction still pending approval from the US Federal Communications Commission, or FCC. This move carries significance for the telecommunications industry, because Satellite Mobile services still have limitations in providing indoor coverage compared with the networks of mobile phone operators. Access to terrestrial spectrum could therefore help enhance Starlink Mobile's competitiveness in the long term. The market reacted negatively to the news, with shares of AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon falling roughly 6–7% in after-hours trading, reflecting concerns that the entry of a new player could increase competitive pressure and affect the valuation levels of the telecommunications business. As for the impact on Thailand, Yuanta Securities assesses that in the short term it remains limited and does not yet affect the fundamentals of Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited, or ADVANC, and True Corporation Public Company Limited, or TRUE, because Starlink must still go through the relevant licensing procedures before it can provide services in Thailand, particularly obtaining Landing Rights for low Earth orbit, or LEO, satellite services. And if Starlink wants to expand its services into the Mobile business to compete directly with domestic operators through the use of terrestrial spectrum, it would still need to consider Thailand's licensing and spectrum allocation framework, or may have to join spectrum auctions opened by the National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission, which are not held frequently and represent a major obstacle to entering direct competition in the Thai market. However, Yuanta Securities views that the risk worth monitoring in the medium term lies in share valuation levels, or multiples, rather than the direct impact on operating results. Although at present the impact on the profits of Thai telecommunications operators is not yet clear, if overseas markets lower the valuation of telecommunications stocks out of concern over competition from Starlink Mobile, there is a chance that the multiples of ADVANC and TRUE will also be pressured in line with the group's sentiment. Therefore, Yuanta Securities assesses that the short-term risk to the earnings forecasts of ADVANC and TRUE remains limited, while in the medium term the valuation risk should be monitored, along with regulatory developments that could pave the way for Starlink to expand its services into the Thai market going forward.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Competition
Space Economy › Satellite Broadband, MSS & Ground Equipment Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) Competition
T · Competition · Negative AT&T shares fell ~6-7% after-hours on concerns SpaceX's Starlink Mobile terrestrial spectrum entry raises competitive pressure.
TMUS · Competition · Negative T-Mobile shares fell ~6-7% after-hours as Starlink Mobile's 800MHz spectrum purchase threatens new competitive pressure.
VZ · Competition · Negative Verizon shares fell ~6-7% after-hours amid concerns the new Starlink Mobile entrant increases competitive pressure.
ADVANC.BK · Competition · Neutral Yuanta says Starlink's move does not yet affect ADVANC fundamentals short-term, though long-term direct competition would require Thai licensing and spectrum auctions.
TRUE.BK · Competition · Neutral Yuanta says Starlink's move does not yet affect TRUE fundamentals short-term, though long-term direct competition would require Thai licensing and spectrum auctions.
Read original ↗
Kaohoon·2dRead more →