BCH eyes 22% rise in third-quarter profit to 380 million baht, awaits social security per-head payment decision on 24 October

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Summary · why it matters

Finansia Syrus Securities Public Company Limited, or FSS, said in an analysis dated 8 October 2026 that it recommends "Buy" on shares of Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited, or BCH, with a target price of 13.60 baht, and selected it as the top pick of the day, citing expectations that its operating results will return to a new expansion cycle. FSS preliminarily estimates that BCH will post a third-quarter 2026 profit of about 380 million baht, up 11% from the previous quarter and up 22% from the same period a year earlier, supported by revenue momentum expected to accelerate by 7-8% from the same period a year earlier. Margins are also likely to recover on the back of operating leverage, which the research team sees as possibly the start of a new earnings upcycle for BCH. In addition, BCH has a key catalyst in the potential increase in the per-head capitation rate paid by the Social Security Office, which is expected to be concluded on 24 October 2026. If the rate is raised as expected, it would be an upside to BCH's profit forecasts from 2027 onward. On the technical side, FSS gives support levels at 11.30 baht and 11.00-10.80 baht, with resistance at 11.70 baht and 12.30 baht, while maintaining its "Buy" recommendation and 13.60 baht target price.

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