IMF flags AI, energy crisis and public debt as three make-or-break challenges for the global economy

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Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, delivered a speech at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore on 7 October, opening the curtain on the 2026 Annual Meetings of the IMF and the World Bank. She identified three major challenges shaping the direction of the global economy: the surge in AI technology, an energy price crisis that remains at elevated levels, and public debt climbing to a record high. She noted that AI hardware and related technology products account for more than one tenth of global goods trade, and warned that AI is accelerating the widening of global economic inequality. Oil prices remain at around 100 dollars per barrel, and Brent crude futures indicate prices will stay high through 2027. Global public debt is meanwhile nearing levels last seen after the Second World War and looks set to soon exceed 100 percent of world GDP. For the meetings hosted by Thailand from 12 to 18 October, Dr Ekniti Nitithanprapas, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, said Thailand will present the Bangkok Blueprint, a blueprint for modern digital finance setting out 12 practices for financial institutions and countries worldwide to counter online financial threats and cybercrime. He expects it to generate roughly 1.05 billion to 2.25 billion baht in immediate circulation in the Thai economy, from more than 15,000 participants from 191 countries.