Kasikorn Securities recommends buying TOA with a target price of 19 baht after AkzoNobel sells its paint business to Nippon Paint

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Summary · why it matters

Kasikorn Securities, citing Reuters, reported that on October 5, AkzoNobel announced an agreement to sell its architectural coatings business in Southeast Asia to Nippon Paint for 1.35 billion dollars, or about 45.48 billion baht. The sale covers decorative paint operations in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. The Indonesia portion of the deal is expected to close in late 2026, while the remaining countries are expected to complete in mid-2027. The brokerage views this news as slightly negative for TOA, as it causes the company to miss an opportunity to invest in expanding its market share both domestically and abroad, even though the company currently has a strong cash position of approximately 10 billion baht and almost no debt. Looking ahead, competition in the industry is not expected to intensify. In Thailand, TOA holds more than half of the market, while in overseas markets the reduction in the number of players should keep competitive conditions unchanged or even ease. Kasikorn Securities therefore continues to select TOA as one of its Top Picks, citing its attractive valuation, its position as market leader in paints, and earnings trends that are stronger than other construction materials stocks. It recommends buying with a target price of 19.0 baht, versus the current share price of 14.80 baht, implying a 2026/27 PER of only 10 times and 9.4 times, below the industry average of about 14 times. The brokerage believes the share price decline already reflects concerns over still-high energy costs, while the company has the ability to pass on higher costs and its earnings estimates already factor in these pressures. First-half 2026 profit accounted for 59% of the full-year profit forecast.

Impact on assets 3

Critical Materials & Supply Chain▲
Nippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd.
4612
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

Nippon Paint agreed to acquire AkzoNobel's Southeast Asia architectural coatings business for $1.35 billion, expanding its regional footprint.

Akzo Nobel NV
AKZA
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

AkzoNobel announced the sale of its Southeast Asia architectural coatings business to Nippon Paint for $1.35 billion.

Materials▼
TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Limited
TOA
▼ NegativeCompetitionrelevance

AkzoNobel selling its Southeast Asia architectural coatings business to Nippon Paint means TOA misses an acquisition opportunity and faces a strengthened rival, though competition is not expected to intensify.

Theme Impact 1

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