KGI Expects BCH Third-Quarter Profit at 376 Million Baht, Up 8.2%

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KGI Securities (Thailand) expects BCH to report third-quarter net profit of 376 million baht, up 8.2% year on year and 9.5% quarter on quarter, with no extraordinary items. The main driver is higher Thai and foreign patient volumes during the high season for the hospital business. Revenue is expected to grow 8% year on year and 9.9% quarter on quarter after monthly revenue continued to recover, with July up 7% and August up 9%, while the number of Middle Eastern patients requiring complex treatment increased. The gross margin is expected at 28.8%, up from 27.6% a year earlier. The research team maintains its 2026 profit forecast at 1.33 billion baht, up 1.3%, and its 2027 forecast at 1.41 billion baht, up 6%. It sees upside for BCH if the Social Security Office raises the per-head capitation rate, with a 10% increase potentially adding another 10.2% to 2027 profit. It rates the stock a buy with a target price of 12.50 baht, noting BCH remains a top pick in the hospital sector on the recovery in foreign patients and the opportunity to benefit from an SSO rate adjustment.

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