TOP shares surge 7.84%, Krungsri Securities recommends Buy with 83 baht target on GRM recovery

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Shares of Thai Oil Public Company Limited, or TOP, rose 7.84% to 72.25 baht, up 5.25 baht, on heavy trading volume of 1.49281 billion baht. Krungsri Securities recommends Buy with a 2027 target price of 83 baht, viewing the company as a beneficiary of tight global refined oil supply, especially diesel, which supports a recovery in refining margins, or GRM. Since TOP's production mix is about 50% diesel, it benefits directly. The research team estimates that TOP's profit could see upside of about 47-92% from its previous forecast after the escalation of war conditions raised the likelihood that energy price and refining margin assumptions will be revised higher, with further upside possible if supply factors and refining margins remain strong. The stock valuation also remains attractive, with PBV at about 0.6-0.7 times, while the expected dividend yield is more than 3.5% per year.

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Thai Oil Public Company Limited
TOP
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Krungsri Securities recommends Buy with an 83 baht target price, citing attractive valuation (PBV 0.6-0.7x) and >3.5% dividend yield.