Copper is an old, boring-looking metal — but it's the bloodstream of everything that runs on electricity. An EV uses about 4× the copper of a gas car, a single AI data center swallows the copper of half a million EVs, and power lines and wind turbines need it by the ton. All of that is now slamming into a supply side that 'can't keep up' — ore grades are falling, and opening a new mine takes about 17 years on average. This is the story of a gap that's widening — and why it matters to the whole world economy.
Copper's AI demand and tight supply hold, but money turns against miners
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AI and electrification demand keeps copper's core case intact Data-centre and power-grid demand keeps growing: China's smelting profits jumped 91.8% in seven months, Thailand's new power plan leans heavily on clean energy, and analysts still see record prices near $15,000 a tonne. This is the force pulling the theme up.
It names the demand force that underpins the whole theme.
Mine accidents and disruptions tighten supply further BHP halted the world's largest copper mine, Escondida, after a worker died, and analysts say disruptions in Chile, Indonesia and Congo could cut about 600,000 tonnes of output this year. Less metal available supports higher prices for producers.
It is the clearest new supply shock of the period.
Producers keep turning high prices into big profits Zangge Mining's profit doubled, Jiangxi Copper's rose 107%, Zhongjin Lingnan's 104%, Defu's copper foil profit jumped 581%, and Ero Copper cut debt while holding guidance. Strong earnings show the theme's pricing power is real, not just sentiment.
It shows the theme's earnings power is still intact.
Fed rate hike and tariff doubt knock mining stocks and prices The Fed raised rates to 3.75-4%, its first hike since 2023, and the world's 50 biggest miners lost $264 billion in September, with copper producers down $44 billion. US copper tariff uncertainty also keeps buyers cautious, a real counterweight to the bullish case.
It is the main force working against the theme right now.
Jiangxi Copper Signs New Three-Year JCC Group Supply Deal
Jiangxi Copper has signed a new three-year supply and services agreement with JCC Group covering copper products, other metals, auxiliary materials and a wide range of industrial support services. The agreement adds another operational reference point for investors watching how sentiment shifts around future cash flows and risk, with the stock trading at HK$33.22 after a 30 day share price return down 15.43% and a year to date share price return down 23.95%, even though the 3 year total shareholder return is up about 3.3x. On valuation, Jiangxi Copper trades on a P/E of 8.4x, below the Hong Kong Metals and Mining industry average P/E of 10.1x and a peer average of 10.9x, and below an estimated fair P/E of 9.1x, with profit growth of 54.1% over the past year and 10.9% per year across five years. A Simply Wall St discounted cash flow model compares the HK$33.22 share price with an estimated future cash flow value of HK$62.35, framing the stock as materially undervalued. Risks remain if copper or gold demand weakens, or if project and service costs rise faster than the company can pass them on.
600362.CG · Demand · Positive Jiangxi Copper signed a new three-year supply and services agreement with JCC Group covering copper products and other metals, adding an operational reference point for future cash flows.
Jiangxi Copper Group (JCC Group) · Demand · Positive JCC Group is the counterparty to the new three-year supply and services agreement for copper products, other metals and industrial support services.
Cyprium Metals Hits Nifty Copper Leaching Milestones Ahead of First Cathode
Cyprium Metals has achieved key commissioning milestones at its Nifty Copper Complex in Western Australia as it advances heap leach operations and prepares for first copper cathode production. Executive chairman Matt Fifield said commissioning is progressing across the heap leach operation while pre-commissioning work on the solvent extraction and electrowinning plant nears completion, with targeted injection flow rates reached through direct injection leaching after more than a year of trials. Early results showed copper recovery responding quickly to acid injection, with copper-to-acid ratios performing better than initially anticipated, and grade control drilling reconciled within approximately 5% of the existing mineral resource block model. The company has established 212 production and monitoring wells, providing access to approximately 1.7 million tonnes of material and supporting an estimated six to eight months of planned production under conservative recovery assumptions. Remaining milestones before wet commissioning include installation of programmable logic controller controls and energisation of the SXEW plant, following the introduction of high-voltage power to the plant infrastructure.
COMEX copper closes down 1.22% as Fed signals pre-year-end rate hike
Copper futures on the New York market closed lower on Thursday, October 8, with the COMEX December contract falling 8.10 cents, or 1.22%, to settle at 6.5685 dollars per pound. Analysts said the Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy stance, along with the prospect of a December rate increase, is weighing on investor confidence in base metals, after the market digested the latest Fed meeting minutes, which signaled support for another rate hike before the end of the year because inflation remains above target. Copper trading is also being influenced by the direction of copper demand in China, the country that consumes large volumes of the metal. Although real end-use demand from China had begun to show signs of recovery earlier, that support is starting to fade amid broader economic pressures.
DPM Metals Hits High End of 2026 Guidance as Vareš Beats Plan
DPM Metals Inc. reported third-quarter 2026 production of 97,000 gold-equivalent ounces and said it was on track for the high end of its full-year production guidance, with the Vareš mine ramp-up running ahead of plan and expected to exceed its 2026 output target. The company also decided to begin developing twin declines into the Wedge Zone at Chelopech by year-end, a move it says points to additional near-term production potential and a longer mine life. The company's narrative projects $1.4 billion in revenue and $837.1 million in earnings by 2029, yielding a CA$67.78 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price. The most pessimistic analysts expected revenue to fall to about US$1.0 billion and earnings to about US$572.7 million. Investors are still watching how higher costs or permitting delays could affect the outlook.
DPM Metals Inc. · Supply · Positive Q3 production of 97,000 gold-equivalent ounces and Vareš beating plan put DPM on track for the high end of 2026 guidance.
GOLD · Supply · Positive DPM's Vareš mine ramp-up ahead of plan and Wedge Zone development point to stronger gold output, a positive supply-side signal for gold.
Getty Copper Inc. has closed its previously announced brokered and concurrent non-brokered private placement of flow-through common shares, raising aggregate gross proceeds of C$15,023,478.78. Under the brokered offering, the company issued 7,352,566 BC Charity FT Shares at C$1.395 each and 2,117,434 Charity FT Shares at C$1.305 each, for aggregate gross proceeds of C$13,020,080.94, through Velocity Capital Partners and Clarus Securities Inc. as co-lead agents and joint bookrunners alongside Raymond James Ltd. The non-brokered offering added 1,854,998 FT Shares at C$1.080 each for gross proceeds of C$2,003,397.84, with no commission payable. The company paid the agents a 6% cash commission on the brokered offering and issued 568,200 compensation warrants at C$0.97 per share for 16 months, and separately paid Velocity Capital Partners and Clarus Securities Inc. a flat advisory fee of C$105,000 plus 110,000 advisory warrants at C$0.97 for 16 months. Insiders subscribed for 483,000 FT Shares in the non-brokered offering for proceeds of C$521,640, a related party transaction under MI 61-101. Proceeds will fund eligible Canadian exploration expenses qualifying as flow-through critical mineral mining expenditures on the company's British Columbia projects on or before December 31, 2027, with renunciation to subscribers effective no later than December 31, 2026; the offering remains subject to final acceptance of the TSX Venture Exchange.
Largo Receives Environmental Permit for GAN Vanadium-Copper-Gold-PGM Open Pit in Brazil
Largo Inc. announced that Instituto do Meio Ambiente e Recursos Hídricos of State of Bahia, Brazil, known as INEMA, has issued the environmental permit for development of the Gulçari A Norte, or GAN, pit and associated infrastructure at its Maracás Menchen Mine. The permit, issued under INEMA Portaria No. 35,482, includes a four-year license for implementation and operation of the GAN pit, along with a new waste rock stockpile, calcined tailings facility, expansion of the Dry Mag low grade dry magnetic ore stockpile, access roads and operational support areas, plus authorizations for vegetation suppression and fauna management. GAN is the second open pit in Largo's proposed mining sequence, adjacent to the north of the Campbell open pit, which has been the sole source of Largo's vanadium production since its start up 12 years ago, and the company said the new pit should extend production for multiple years, optimize mining plans, add operating flexibility and reduce operating risks by diversifying ore sources. The GAN deposit also contains copper, gold and platinum group metals, similar to the Campbell open pit, which began producing those metals as by-products in August 2026. GAN is one of five open pits in Largo's Maracás Menchen portfolio, which the company says has a resource base with potential to last more than 30 years at current production rates, and it is one of the deposits incorporated into the current 31-year life-of-mine plan. Executive Chairman and Co-CEO Alberto Arias called the approval strategically important as the Western World seeks additional sources of vanadium, copper and PGM, while Co-CEO James Bannantine said the permit strengthens the long-term fundamentals of the Maracás Menchen Mine and provides greater certainty around future mining areas.
Ivanhoe Mines Reports 76,401 Tonnes of Copper Produced by Kamoa-Kakula for Q3 2026
Ivanhoe Mines announced third-quarter 2026 production results, with the Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex in the DRC producing 76,401 tonnes of copper in saleable products. That total includes 61,506 tonnes of copper in anode from the on-site smelter, 2,347 tonnes of toll-treated copper in blister at the nearby Lualaba Copper Smelter, 5,645 tonnes of copper in slag concentrate and 6,904 tonnes of copper fines designated for sale. The company kept its 2026 production guidance range at 290,000 to 310,000 tonnes of copper in saleable products, with output trending toward the lower end of that range. The Kipushi Mine produced a record 77,147 tonnes of zinc in concentrate in the quarter, a 10% increase from the prior quarter, keeping it on track for the upper end of its 2026 guidance of 240,000 to 290,000 tonnes and cementing its place as the world's third-largest zinc mine in 2026. Kamoa-Kakula's new 60-MW on-site hybrid solar facility ramped up in September, cutting on-site diesel generator consumption by 40%, and power purchase agreements have been signed to double on-site hybrid solar capacity to 120 MW within 18 months. Ivanhoe will issue its Q3 2026 financial results after market close on November 3 and host an investor conference call on November 4.
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd · Supply · Positive Ivanhoe reported Q3 2026 copper production of 76,401 tonnes at Kamoa-Kakula and record zinc output at Kipushi
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd · Capital · Positive Ivanhoe kept its 2026 copper guidance at 290,000-310,000 tonnes and Kipushi on track for the upper end of zinc guidance
COPPER · Supply · Positive Kamoa-Kakula produced 76,401 tonnes of copper in Q3 2026, though output is trending toward the lower end of guidance
ZINC · Supply · Positive Kipushi Mine produced a record 77,147 tonnes of zinc in concentrate, a 10% increase from the prior quarter
Marimaca Copper Promotes Peter Garner-Winship to CFO
Marimaca Copper Corp. has promoted Peter Garner-Winship to Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately. Garner-Winship joined Marimaca in March 2026 as Vice President, Finance, after spending 17 years with Anglo American in senior corporate finance, strategic planning and capital allocation roles, and he also served as Financial Controller for the US$5.5 billion Quellaveco copper project in Peru. José Antonio Merino will continue as Managing Director (Chile), focusing on advancement of the Marimaca Oxide Deposit and the company's regional development and permitting strategy. CEO Hayden Locke said Garner-Winship's Quellaveco experience will help develop Marimaca's own financial controls and systems as the company prepares to progress the MOD through construction into production. Marimaca is a TSX and ASX-listed copper company whose flagship asset is the Marimaca Oxide Deposit Project in Chile's Antofagasta region.
Marimaca Copper Corp. · Capital · Positive Promotes Peter Garner-Winship to CFO, adding Quellaveco project finance experience as it advances the MOD toward construction and production
K92 Mining Posts Second-Highest Quarterly Output of 49,776 oz AuEq, Hits 1 Moz Milestone
K92 Mining Inc. reported Q3 2026 production of 49,776 ounces gold equivalent from its Kainantu Gold Mine in Papua New Guinea, its second-highest quarterly result to date, comprising 46,063 oz gold, 1,948,951 lbs copper and 55,746 oz silver. The quarter also marked one million AuEq ounces produced since commercial production was declared in February 2018, and set records for ore processed at 250,042 tonnes, ore mined at 252,744 tonnes, total material mined at 485,812 tonnes and mine development at 3,486 metres. The company reiterated its 2026 production guidance of 190,000 to 225,000 oz AuEq and said output is expected to be strongest in Q4 on a planned higher-grade stoping sequence and the ramp-up of the second and third mining fronts. As at September 30, 2026, 98% of Stage 3 Expansion growth capital had been spent or committed, with the expansion remaining on budget. Chief Executive Officer David Medilek said the Phase 4 Primary Ventilation Upgrade, remaining haul road upgrades and deployment of new 60-tonne surface trucks position K92 for its strongest production quarter of the year.
K92 Mining Inc. · Supply · Positive K92 reported its second-highest quarterly AuEq output of 49,776 oz and hit 1 Moz produced, with Stage 3 expansion on budget
K92 Mining Inc. · Capital · Positive 98% of Stage 3 Expansion growth capital spent or committed and expansion remains on budget
GOLD · Supply · Positive K92's record quarterly gold output and 1 Moz milestone add to gold supply, though the article gives no gold-price driver
Arras Minerals Hits 574m at 0.40% CuEq at Berezski Central, 22.8m at 5.37 g/t Au at K-Ozek
Arras Minerals Corp. reported additional drill results from its ongoing 40,000-metre diamond drill program at the Elemes Project in Pavlodar Region, Kazakhstan, including a broad copper-gold intercept at Berezski Central and high-grade gold at the newly defined K-Ozek epithermal target. Hole EL26042 intersected 574m grading 0.40% CuEq from 98 m, including a higher-grade zone returning 0.57% CuEq over 211m from 433m depth, while hole EL26041 returned 707m grading 0.26% CuEq from 4m, including 271m grading 0.31% CuEq from 492m to 709m depth. At K-Ozek, hole EL26039 drilled 22.8m grading 5.37 g/t Au from 124.2m, including 13.8m grading 8.84 g/t Au and 6.1m grading 17.0 g/t Au, and hole EL26029 intersected 229m grading 0.30 g/t Au from 2m with a higher-grade core of 25m grading 1.11 g/t Au from 174m. CEO Tim Barry said the K-Ozek results show a preserved high-level epithermal system in a down-dropped block between Berezski Central and Berezski North, raising the possibility of another porphyry system preserved at depth beneath it, an exploration concept not yet confirmed by drilling. The company also announced the grant of 5,605,000 stock options to directors, officers, employees and advisors at an exercise price of C$1.33 per share for a five-year term, vesting over three years.
Arras Minerals Corp. · Technology · Positive Arras reported strong drill intercepts at Berezski Central and high-grade gold at the new K-Ozek target, advancing its Elemes Project
Arras Minerals Corp. · Capital · Neutral Company also granted 5,605,000 stock options at C$1.33, a routine compensation event
Morgan Stanley Upgrades Nexa Resources to Overweight on Valuation, Boliden Offer
Morgan Stanley upgraded Nexa Resources to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $14.20 price target, raised from $13.50, sending the zinc miner and smelter's shares up 2.1% in Wednesday's trading. Analyst Carlos De Alba said the stock's recent pullback, despite zinc and copper prices rising 5% and 8% respectively over the past three months, has created an attractive entry point, though the slide suggests the market lacks confidence in the sustainability of high zinc prices. Morgan Stanley's commodity team forecasts another 13% upside to spot prices in Q1 2027 and 5% in 2027. Nexa trades at 1.5x 2027 EV/EBITDA and 2.9x price-to-earnings, below their respective five-year averages of 3.8x and 7.3x, while offering a 42% 2027 free cash flow yield. De Alba added that Boliden's tender offer for minority shareholders provides scope for potential additional upside if the company pays a premium to secure full ownership, believing Boliden has the strategic rationale and financial capacity to do so and capture the full synergies from the deal.
0YAL.LSE · Capital · Positive Article notes Boliden's tender offer for Nexa minority shareholders, with scope for premium and full synergies from the deal.
MS · Capital · Neutral Morgan Stanley is the analyst firm issuing the Nexa upgrade and price target, not a subject of the news about its own business.
Royal Road Minerals Reports High-Grade Silver-Antimony Veins at Margaritas
Royal Road Minerals Ltd has identified significant silver-antimony veins at its Margaritas target in Colombia, extending the area of interest to roughly 450 by 420 metres. CEO Dr Tim Coughlin told Proactive that the veins, encountered during the maiden drilling programme completed in June, are four to five metres wide and carry high grades of silver alongside antimony and gold. Coughlin said the company is building an idea of a silver vein resource sitting above what was the initial target at Margaritas, a deeper porphyry copper-gold system, and that the veins reflect the distal part of that system. He added it is probably more likely that the nearby Güíntar porphyry target and Margaritas are attached to the same underlying large porphyry intrusive system. At Güíntar, drilling is about 150 metres down and is expected to hit the stockwork at 250 metres, while Royal Road continues advancing other opportunities across its Colombian portfolio.
Eldorado Gold's Skouries Mine Permanently Connected to Greek Power Grid
Eldorado Gold has secured permanent connection of its Skouries mine in northern Greece to the national power grid after final approval from the Greek transmission authority. The grid link provides long-term electricity supply for Skouries and supports ongoing processing and mining work as the operation moves toward planned commercial production in the fourth quarter of 2026. The company's shares last closed at CA$54.78, down 8.0% over the past month after a 90-day gain of about 30.2%, with a one-year total shareholder return of roughly 35.7%. Commissioning of the Skouries copper-gold project is slated for the first quarter of 2026 and remains on schedule, with the most followed analyst narrative pegging fair value at about CA$71.91, implying the stock is 24% undervalued.
Freeport-McMoRan Defers 60,000 Ounces of Gold Sales Into Fourth Quarter
Freeport-McMoRan reported third-quarter production in line with expectations in early October 2026, confirmed copper sales guidance around 750 million pounds, and flagged lower gold sales near 100,000 ounces due to deferrals from its Indonesian operations. The company deferred roughly 60,000 ounces of refined gold sales into the fourth quarter, a timing shift that can materially move reported quarterly performance without changing underlying production. The update keeps near-term focus on execution at Grasberg and the Indonesian smelters as the key catalyst and most immediate risk. Freeport also affirmed its dividend at US$0.15 per share, split between a base and variable component, as it funds large brownfield projects including Bagdad and the Indonesian smelter build out. The company's narrative projects $39.0 billion in revenue and $5.2 billion in earnings by 2029, while the most pessimistic analysts modeled only about US$35.2 billion of revenue and US$3.5 billion of earnings by that year.
FCX · Supply · Negative Freeport deferred ~60,000 ounces of refined gold sales from its Indonesian operations into Q4, lowering reported Q3 gold sales to ~100,000 ounces.
FCX · Capital · Neutral Freeport affirmed its US$0.15 per-share dividend while funding large brownfield projects like Bagdad and the Indonesian smelter build out.
Zangge Mining receives 1.539 billion yuan dividend from Julong Copper, cumulative receipts this year reach 4.617 billion yuan
Zangge Mining announced on the evening of October 7 that the company recently received a dividend payment of 1.539 billion yuan from its associate company Tibet Julong Copper Co., Ltd. According to a resolution of Julong Copper's shareholders' meeting, part of its undistributed profits will be distributed to all shareholders, and Zangge Mining received the corresponding cash dividend based on its 30.78% shareholding. The dividend funds mainly come from Julong Copper's current operating performance. In the first half of 2026, Julong Copper achieved mineral copper production of 134,000 tonnes and sales of 133,500 tonnes, with operating revenue of 15.004 billion yuan and net profit of 9.223 billion yuan. In the first half of 2026, Zangge Mining recognized investment income from Julong Copper of 2.839 billion yuan. As of the disclosure date of the announcement, the company has cumulatively received cash dividends from Julong Copper of 4.617 billion yuan this year. Zangge Mining stated that this dividend effectively strengthens the company's monetary capital reserves, significantly improves cash flow levels, and enhances its ability to support project advancement.
000408.CS · Capital · Positive Zangge Mining received a 1.539 billion yuan cash dividend from Julong Copper, boosting its cash reserves and cash flow.
Julong Copper · Capital · Positive Julong Copper distributed part of its undistributed profits as dividends, funded by its strong H1 2026 operating performance.
Jiangxi Copper and controlling shareholder re-sign related-party transaction agreements, with three-year procurement caps totaling over 52 billion yuan
Jiangxi Copper announced on the evening of September 30 that the company signed three daily related-party transaction agreements with its controlling shareholder, Jiangxi Copper Corporation, effective from January 1, 2027 to December 31, 2029, replacing the original contracts expiring on December 31, 2026. Under the Comprehensive Supply and Services Contract I, the company's caps for purchasing materials and receiving services from Jiangxi Copper Corporation from 2027 to 2029 are 17.174 billion yuan, 17.378 billion yuan, and 17.509 billion yuan respectively, totaling more than 52 billion yuan over the three years, a notable increase from previous estimates. The company said this is mainly based on market conditions and future business development needs, compounded by the upward trend in copper prices and significant rises in precious metals such as gold and silver. Under the Comprehensive Supply and Services Contract II, the company's estimated caps for selling products and providing services to Jiangxi Copper Corporation over the same period are 5.571 billion yuan, 6.699 billion yuan, and 6.934 billion yuan respectively, with the adjustment mainly due to expected increases in Jiangxi Copper Corporation's purchases of cathode copper. Regarding leasing, the company plans to rent approximately 50.42 million square meters of land and buildings from Jiangxi Copper Corporation, with annual rent of 195 million yuan, payable quarterly. The above proposals have been reviewed and approved at the twentieth meeting of the company's tenth board of directors, with connected directors abstaining from voting, but they still need to be submitted to the shareholders' meeting for approval. Jiangxi Copper Corporation holds a total of 45.72 percent of Jiangxi Copper's shares. As of the end of 2025, its audited total assets were approximately 2.86 trillion yuan, with 2025 operating revenue of approximately 5.79 trillion yuan and net profit of approximately 79.751 billion yuan.
600362.CG · Demand · Positive Controlling shareholder's expected purchases of cathode copper rise, lifting the sales caps under the supply and services contract.
Entrée Resources Says Mongolia Has Not Confirmed License Transfer Tax Valuation
Entrée Resources Ltd. said it is responding to questions raised by a Mongolian Member of Parliament in a plenary session held on October 2, 2026, following the company's update on efforts to transfer the Shivee Tolgoi and Javkhlant mining licenses to its joint venture partner Oyu Tolgoi LLC. The company said Entrée LLC, with support from Oyu Tolgoi LLC and their respective legal and tax advisors, has calculated the values of the licenses, remitted the applicable transfer tax to the Mongolian tax authority, and submitted a request for the authority to review and confirm those valuation calculations, along with supporting documentation and receipts evidencing the remittance. To date, the Mongolian tax authority has not confirmed Entrée LLC's valuation calculations, and has advised the company that it considers the submitted documents and materials incomplete, making it impossible for the authority to issue tax payment certificates. Entrée said it continues to advance the transfer process under applicable laws of Mongolia while discussions continue with the Government Working Group and Oyu Tolgoi project stakeholders regarding State participation in the area of the licenses. The company noted the licenses must be transferred to Oyu Tolgoi LLC for Lift 1 underground development and extraction activities on the Shivee Tolgoi mining license to proceed.
Metalero Updates Benson Copper-Gold Option, Has Paid $40,000 of $100,000
Metalero Mining Corp. has provided an update on its option to acquire a 100% undivided interest in the 166 square kilometre Benson copper-gold property in central British Columbia. Under the letter of intent dated January 17, 2025, Metalero can exercise the option by paying the vendor $100,000 in cash and issuing 2,000,000 common shares in installments. As of the news release, the company has paid an aggregate of $40,000 and has yet to issue any consideration shares, with the remaining $60,000 due on or before January 17, 2027, and the 2,000,000 shares to be issued upon approval of the TSX Venture Exchange at a deemed price equal to the market price on the date of the release, subject to a mandatory $0.05 minimum floor price. The company and the vendor will not enter into a definitive agreement for the option grant, and the option and acquisition remain subject to TSXV approval. Metalero also said it has completed exploration work aggregating $279,698.23 on the property as of the date of the release.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Capital
Metalero Mining Corp. · Capital · Positive Metalero advanced its Benson copper-gold option by paying $40,000 of the $100,000 and completing $279,698.23 of exploration work
Freeport-McMoRan Eyes Another Earnings Beat With Positive ESP
Freeport-McMoRan is positioned to potentially beat earnings estimates again when it reports on October 27, 2026, according to Zacks Investment Research. The mining company has beaten estimates in each of its last two quarters, with an average surprise of 20.32%. In the last reported quarter, Freeport-McMoRan earned $0.74 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.62, a surprise of 19.35%, while the prior quarter delivered earnings of $0.57 per share against an expected $0.47, a surprise of 21.28%. The stock currently carries a Zacks Earnings ESP of +6.90% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), a combination that Zacks research shows produces a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time.
FCX · Capital · Positive Zacks sees Freeport-McMoRan likely to beat earnings estimates again on Oct 27, 2026, with a +6.90% Earnings ESP after two straight beats.
Mining Stocks Lose $264 Billion in September as Fed Rate Hike Hits Gold
The world's 50 most valuable mining companies lost $264 billion in market value in September, ending the month worth $2.26 trillion, according to MINING.COM's Top 50 ranking. The decline was the second-largest monthly drop since the ranking began at the end of 2019, behind only March's $434 billion fall, and erased roughly three-quarters of August's record $357 billion gain. The selloff followed the Federal Reserve's Sept. 16 decision to raise its benchmark rate a quarter point to a range of 3.75% to 4%, its first increase since July 2023, as oil-driven inflation fears pushed bond yields to their highest since 2008. The 15 gold producers in the ranking lost a combined $79 billion, or 12.7%, with none finishing higher: Kinross Gold fell 21.3% after cutting its 2026 and 2027 production outlook, Shandong Gold dropped 27.8% for the worst performance in the ranking, and Gold Fields fell 21% as Northern Star Resources rejected its unsolicited A$38.7 billion takeover proposal. Copper producers lost $44 billion even as copper prices ended the month nearly flat, led by BHP's $26.4 billion loss after a worker was killed at Escondida on Sept. 23, while First Quantum Minerals fell 19.2% after a Panamanian commission recommended negotiating a restart of Cobre Panama. Lithium carbonate futures in Guangzhou fell 22.5% to 122,800 yuan a metric ton after SMM changed its inventory counting method, pushing Albemarle and Ganfeng Lithium out of the ranking and leaving Chile's SQM as the only lithium producer in the Top 50.
600547.CG · Monetary · Negative Shandong Gold dropped 27.8%, the worst in the ranking, as the Fed rate hike and rising bond yields hit gold miners.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Negative BHP lost $26.4 billion after a worker was killed at Escondida on Sept. 23.
GFI · Capital · Negative Gold Fields fell 21% after Northern Star Resources rejected its unsolicited A$38.7 billion takeover proposal.
KGC · Supply · Negative Kinross fell 21.3% after cutting its 2026 and 2027 production outlook.
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. · Regulation · Negative First Quantum fell 19.2% after a Panamanian commission recommended negotiating a restart of Cobre Panama.
002460.CS · Supply · Negative Lithium carbonate futures dropped 22.5% to 122,800 yuan after SMM's inventory counting change, pushing Ganfeng Lithium out of the ranking.
Nebari Takes 15.2% Stake in Critical Mineral Resources for $2 Million
Specialist mining fund Nebari has invested $2 million in Critical Mineral Resources PLC for a 15.2% stake, CEO Charles Long told Proactive. Long said the backing brings credibility, technical and financial support, and could help with future project financing, describing it as "money with help, with support." Nebari also holds a right of first refusal on construction finance for the company's copper-silver project in Morocco, which Long said is significant on commercial market terms. A maiden JORC mineral resource estimate is expected in the fourth quarter, based on drilling that has covered just 5 to 6% of the project area, with the goal of demonstrating sufficient resources to move toward initial mine development. Long said some Zone One intersections are more than twice the original 2-meter true width assumption, which could help build tonnage quickly and improve mining economics through a reduced strip ratio. Work toward a feasibility study and eventual construction decision includes environmental and water permitting, mine scheduling, processing work and hiring a technical manager to coordinate the study.
LH Fund launches IPO of LHCRITMAT fund investing in nine critical mineral groups
Land and Houses Fund Management, or LH Fund, has opened the initial public offering of the LH Critical Materials open-ended fund (LHCRITMAT) from October 6 to 14, 2026, with a risk level of 7. The fund invests in the master fund, the Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM), at an average of no less than 80% of net asset value per fiscal year. Monarat Padungsit, Managing Director of LH Fund, said critical minerals are becoming a strategic raw material for the modern world, driven by their necessity for energy production, transmission and storage, as well as the defense and aerospace industries. The master fund is passively managed, tracking the Nasdaq Sprott Critical Materials Index, which selects stocks that derive at least 50% of revenue or assets from the critical minerals business, caps each security's weight at no more than 4.75%, and reviews index constituents every six months. Its key highlight is diversification across nine critical mineral groups through a single fund, with copper at 26.6% and uranium at 25.2%, followed by lithium, silver and rare earths, as of June 30, 2026. The master fund's portfolio has more than 77% combined exposure to companies listed in Canada, Australia and the United States, in line with the trend of supply chain diversification away from China. The master fund returned 60.33% over the past year and an average of 18.36% per year since inception, as of August 31, 2026. On the demand side, China accounts for as much as 90% of global rare earth processing and refining, while Japan relied on imports from China for 63% of its rare earths in 2024. The United States Geological Survey announced its 2025 national critical minerals list of 60 items, 10 more than the previous list. The IEA estimates global power grid investment in 2026 at about 550 billion US dollars, up nearly 20% from the previous year, with nuclear power capacity under construction totaling 78 gigawatts across 15 countries. NATO members aim to raise defense budgets to 5% of GDP by 2035. On the supply side, constraints remain: capital spending by critical minerals mining companies fell 9% in 2025 and exploration budgets dropped 10%. The IEA estimates that by 2035, mines worldwide may produce 30% less copper than needed and 40% less lithium, requiring about 500 billion US dollars in new mine investment by 2040.
SSR Mining Exercises Right to Acquire 15% Stake in Phenom's Dobbin Project
Phenom Resources Corp. announced that SSR Mining has exercised its right to acquire a 15% interest in the Dobbin Project for US$4,000,000, forming a Nevada joint venture company in which Copper One holds 85% and SSR Mining holds 15%. The joint venture structure includes pro rata funding obligations, dilution provisions, and potential net smelter return royalties, giving SSR Mining a new exploration-focused asset exposure with clearly defined governance and capital commitments. The Dobbin interest is small in the context of SSR Mining's overall portfolio and does not materially change the near-term focus on cost discipline and progress on Çöpler-related approvals. The deal arrives shortly after SSR Mining expanded its revolving credit facility to US$600,000,000, which underpins its ability to fund exploration, remediation, and project pipelines, including ongoing capital demands at Hod Maden and Buffalo Valley. SSR Mining's narrative projects $2.3 billion revenue and $791.0 million earnings by 2029, while some bullish analysts forecast revenue of about US$2.9 billion and earnings of about US$1.1 billion.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Capital
SSRM · Capital · Positive SSR Mining exercised its right to acquire a 15% interest in the Dobbin Project for US$4M, adding a new exploration asset with defined governance and capital commitments.
Copper One Metals · Capital · Neutral Copper One holds 85% of the new Dobbin joint venture with SSR Mining, but the article gives no independent development specific to Copper One.
ATERRA Metals Upsizes Brokered Life Offering to $8,355,000
ATERRA Metals Inc. has amended its agreement with Research Capital Corporation, as lead agent and sole bookrunner, to increase the size of its previously announced brokered, best-efforts listed issuer financing exemption private placement offering of common shares to a minimum of $4,000,000 and a maximum of $8,355,000 in aggregate gross proceeds, at a price of $0.06 per common share. Research Capital leads a syndicate that includes Desjardins Capital Markets. The company intends to use the net proceeds to advance the Phase II exploration program at its Totora Copper-Gold Project in the Dos Amigos Mining District in Region III, Chile, and for general working capital and corporate purposes. On September 24, 2026, ATERRA announced a maiden Inferred Mineral Resource estimate for Totora of 159.8 million tonnes grading 0.51% copper equivalent, comprising 0.30% copper and 0.15 grams per tonne gold, based on a 0.2% copper cutoff grade. The Phase II program is expected to include infill drilling to increase confidence in the current Inferred Mineral Resource, resource expansion drilling, evaluation of grassroots exploration targets using geophysics and, where warranted, diamond drilling, and preliminary metallurgical test work. Closing is expected on or about October 14, 2026, subject to receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals, including conditional approval of the Canadian Securities Exchange. The agents will receive a cash commission of 6.0% of aggregate gross proceeds up to $6,900,000, reduced to 1.0% on gross proceeds above that amount, plus broker warrants equal to 6.0% of the common shares sold under the offering up to $6,900,000 in gross proceeds, in each case subject to reduction to 3.0% for certain subscribers on a president's list.
ATERRA Metals Inc. · Capital · Positive ATERRA upsized its brokered private placement to up to $8,355,000 to fund Phase II exploration at its Totora Copper-Gold Project
Desjardins Capital Markets · Capital · Neutral Desjardins Capital Markets is part of the agent syndicate for ATERRA's upsized brokered offering, earning commissions and broker warrants
Lion Copper Appoints CEO John Banning to Board of Directors
Lion Copper Corp. has appointed John Banning, its President and Chief Executive Officer, to its Board of Directors, effective September 29, 2026. Banning has held senior executive roles with Lion since 2024, first as Chief Operating Officer and then as CEO, leading advancement of the Yerington Copper Project and the broader Yerington copper portfolio. Under his leadership the company completed the Pre-Feasibility Study for the Yerington Copper Project, moved the project into definitive feasibility study and permitting, and secured approximately US$30 million in Stage 3 investment from Nuton, a Rio Tinto venture. The company also advanced the Bear Deposit through its maiden Mineral Resource Estimate, defining an Indicated Resource of 6.71 billion pounds of contained copper and an Inferred Resource of 8.77 billion pounds of contained copper. Co-Chair Tom Patton said Banning's operational, project development and corporate leadership experience and detailed knowledge of the company and its assets will be valuable additions to the Board as Yerington advances toward development.
Trekor Metals Reaffirms 2026 Output Targets for Gibraltar and Florence After Rebrand
Trekor Metals has reaffirmed its 2026 output targets for the Gibraltar and Florence projects following a recent corporate rebrand. The copper producer's shares have risen 37.65% over 90 days and delivered a 122.69% total shareholder return over one year. Against a last close of CA$12.76, the most followed narrative pegs fair value at CA$14.13, implying the stock is 9.7% undervalued, while a separate valuation lens using a current price-to-sales ratio of 4.7x against a fair ratio of 4.3x and a peer average of 3.4x suggests the shares look expensive. The company points to a decline in capitalized stripping at Gibraltar and the winding down of Florence construction spending as drivers of improved free cash flow and potential deleveraging. Risks remain if project timelines slip or the two projects hit operational or regulatory setbacks.
Mineral Road Reports High-Grade Tungsten Drill Intercepts at Bergslagen Project
Mineral Road Discovery Inc. announced that it continues to advance its 100%-owned Bergslagen Tungsten Project in Sweden, reporting excellent WO3%, Cu%, and CaF2% drill intercepts from a review of the previous operator's drilling around the historical Yxsjöberg Mine. Select discovery intercepts within the company's Conceptual Exploration Targets include KD-004 with 3.78m at 0.74% WO3, 0.38% Cu, and 11.11% CaF2 from 36.42m; KD-005 with 17.15m at 0.42% WO3, 0.23% Cu, and 6.66% CaF2 from 39.85m; KD-006 with 12.60m at 0.65% WO3, 0.21% Cu, and 8.35% CaF2 from 14.50m; and KD-007 with 10.50m at 0.79% WO3, 0.15% Cu, and 6.76% CaF2 from 25.50m. The company said the historical assays indicate a robust multi-commodity opportunity in tungsten, copper, and acid-grade fluorite, which is currently trading at industrial benchmarks of $500 to $630 per tonne, and that this approach, integrated with its proposed re-processing of the two tailings repositories at Bergslagen, aligns directly with European Critical Raw Material supply security mandates. Mineral Road outlined a three-stage program beginning with its Stage 1 tailings re-processing proposal, followed by a shallow hard-rock mining proposal as Stage 2 and longer-lead-time work on deeper hard-rock mineralisation as Stage 3, supported by a compiled database including approximately 15,000 metres of historical diamond core drilling. Executive Chair and Interim CEO Damien Reynolds said the company is establishing a conceptual exploration target of multi-million-tonnes of surface tailings as a potential cash-flow anchor, while the near-surface conceptual exploration targets are interpreted as the upper expression of a larger continuous system. The Yxsjöberg mine operated from the mid-1930s to 1989, yielding approximately 5.3 million tonnes of material at an average grade of 0.38% WO3 and 0.16% Copper, and supplied over 90% of Sweden's historical tungsten.
COPPER · Supply · Positive High-grade copper intercepts at Bergslagen indicate potential new copper supply, though the project is early-stage and copper is only a by-product
US Critical Metals Appoints James Hocking as Chief Executive Officer
US Critical Metals Corp. announced the appointment of James Hocking, a director of the company, as Chief Executive Officer, effective today. Hocking succeeds Darren Collins, who is stepping down as CEO but will remain a director of the company. Hocking is a commercial and capital markets executive with over 20 years of experience in the resources sector, including 7 years with BHP Group where he led commercial initiatives supporting major mining and infrastructure operations. He said his focus will be on building long-term shareholder value, noting that copper was added to the U.S. critical minerals list in 2025 and that the company's Korn Kob Copper Project is an exploration-stage property in Arizona, alongside its lithium, uranium and cobalt exploration properties. USCM's assets consist of five discovery focused projects in the United States: the McDermitt East Lithium Project and Clayton Ridge Lithium Property in Nevada, the Long Canyon Uranium Property and Haynes Cobalt Property in Idaho, and the Korn Kob Copper Project in Arizona.
Coeur Mining Sets Record US$158 Million 2026 Exploration Budget
Coeur Mining outlined a record US$158 million exploration program for 2026, with US$24 million allocated to New Afton and US$18 million to Rainy River in Canada. The company reported past exploration results showing extended mineralization and higher-than-expected gold and copper intercepts at its New Afton K-Zone and East Picrite Trend, alongside growth-focused drilling across underground and near-surface targets at Rainy River. The record budget underscores how aggressively Coeur is pursuing potential resource growth and mine-life extension, sharpening the tension between funding aggressive drilling and managing cash flow. The step-up in exploration follows Coeur's move into shareholder returns with a new dividend and a large buyback authorization in early 2026, a balance the company is trying to strike between capital returns and a sizable spend on potential resource growth. Coeur's narrative projects US$5.1 billion in revenue and US$1.5 billion in earnings by 2029, yielding a US$23.95 fair value and 36% upside to its current price, while some of the lowest ranked analysts project about US$5.4 billion of revenue and US$1.9 billion of earnings by 2029 and may now see the exploration push as increasing execution and cost risk.
Lundin Mining Fair Value Rises to CA$42.54 as Analysts Split on Targets
Lundin Mining's fair value estimate has been raised to CA$42.54 from CA$41.45, with fresh analyst price targets clustering in the low to mid CA$40s. Scotiabank lifted its target to C$44 from C$42 while keeping an Outperform rating, and Barclays moved to C$43 from C$42 with an Equal Weight rating. Morgan Stanley adjusted its target to C$39.90 from C$38.20, maintaining Equal Weight, while TD Securities set a C$42 target, trimmed from C$43, but reiterated a Buy rating. On the bearish side, JPMorgan carries an Underweight rating with a SEK 209 target, revised from SEK 215, and a C$32 target, while Canaccord shifted to Hold from Buy with a C$39 target, adjusted from C$40. The updated fair value model uses revenue growth of 80.08% versus the earlier 70.86%, a net profit margin of 24.63% versus 24.32%, a future P/E of 26.92x versus 27.29x, and a discount rate of 7.93% versus 7.84%.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Capital
0RQ9.LSE · Capital · Positive Analysts raised Lundin Mining's fair value estimate to CA$42.54 and clustered price targets in the low-to-mid CA$40s, with several upward revisions.
Aris Mining Completes Soto Norte ESIA, Begins Colombia Community Engagement
Aris Mining has completed the Environmental and Social Impact Assessment for its Soto Norte gold-copper project in Santander, Colombia, and in 2026 began formal community engagement across three municipalities ahead of submitting the ESIA and environmental license application. The company said Soto Norte lies outside the Santurbán Páramo and its buffer zone, and it aligned the ESIA and consultation process with Colombia's regulatory framework and the Escazú Agreement. The milestone follows the ANM's July 29, 2026 approval of the modified technical mine plan for Soto Norte, which confirmed regulators have reviewed the project's geology, reserves and mine design but does not replace the need for an environmental license before construction or mining can begin. Aris Mining's narrative projects $2.2 billion revenue and $688.8 million earnings by 2029, requiring 19.9% yearly revenue growth and a $404.1 million earnings increase from $284.7 million today, with a CA$41.53 fair value implying 66% upside. Some of the lowest estimate analysts had assumed about US$2.0 billion of revenue and US$797.7 million of earnings by 2029 while still citing Soto Norte's lengthy permitting and heavy ESG commitments as reasons for caution.
ARIS · Regulation · Positive Aris Mining completed the Soto Norte ESIA and began formal community engagement, advancing the project toward the required environmental license under Colombia's regulatory framework.
Rio2 Launches 33,870-Metre Condestable Drilling, Suspends Fenix Gold Work
Rio2 Limited launched a two-phase surface drilling and district-scale exploration program at its Condestable Copper Mine in Peru while suspending drilling at the Fenix Gold Mine in Chile, according to a September 2026 company-wide exploration update. The Condestable campaign covers 33,870 metres across two phases and is designed to better understand and potentially convert both breccia-hosted and vein-hosted copper-gold-silver mineralization based on a refined geological model. The program sits on top of the August 2026 approval of the MEIA modification for Condestable, which supports expansion to 10,000 tonnes per day and dry stack tailings. Rio2 said the Fenix suspension stemmed from adverse weather, safety concerns and contractor standby costs, leaving extreme weather as the key near-term operational risk. The company's narrative projects $691.3 million in revenue and $250.6 million in earnings by 2029, requiring 59.3% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $192 million earnings increase from $58.2 million today.
BHP Unit Wins El Seguro Copper Exploration Contract in Argentina
Impulsa Mendoza has awarded Public Tender No. 2/2026 to Cerro Quebrado S.A., a BHP Group company, granting it an exploration contract with a purchase option for the El Seguro copper project in Argentina's Malargüe Western Mining District. The award gives BHP a second route into the district alongside its alliance with Kobrea Exploration, deepening its copper exploration exposure in a single emerging Andean jurisdiction. The contract sits alongside BHP's recent production and guidance updates, in which copper output in FY2026 fell 3% year on year to 1,952.8 kt and 2027 copper guidance was set below 2026 levels. BHP's narrative projects $56.1 billion in revenue and $13.3 billion in earnings by 2029, with a fair value of A$61.02, while some of the lowest ranked analysts assumed revenue would fall to about US$52.5 billion by 2029 even as earnings rose to roughly US$11.7 billion.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Positive BHP's Cerro Quebrado unit won the El Seguro copper exploration contract with a purchase option, expanding its copper resource base in Argentina
Cerro Quebrado S.A. · Supply · Positive Cerro Quebrado S.A., a BHP company, was awarded the El Seguro copper exploration contract with a purchase option
COPPER · Supply · Positive BHP's new copper exploration contract in Argentina signals potential future copper supply growth
NGEx Minerals Calls Shareholder Meeting to Approve Valle Ancho Spin-Out Into Valiente Resources
NGEx Minerals has called a special shareholder meeting to approve spinning out its Valle Ancho Project into a new company, Valiente Resources, with investors set to receive shares in both entities under a statutory plan of arrangement. The company concurrently filed a detailed technical report on Valle Ancho and plans to list Valiente on the TSX Venture Exchange, separating exploration exposure into a distinct vehicle. The spin-out does not materially change NGEx's near-term focus on Lunahuasi, which remains the main upside catalyst and key execution risk. The move sits alongside the previously raised US$175,000,000 in private placement funding and ongoing Lunahuasi programs. NGEx Minerals' narrative projects CA$510.5 million revenue and CA$160.4 million earnings by 2029, requiring earnings to improve by about CA$291 million from -CA$130.9 million today.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Capital
NGEx Minerals · Capital · Positive NGEx calls shareholder meeting to approve spin-out of Valle Ancho into Valiente, alongside US$175M private placement funding
Valiente Resources · Capital · Positive Valiente Resources is the new vehicle receiving the spun-out Valle Ancho Project and planned TSX Venture listing
Purecore Metals Announces Up to C$2.5 Million Non-Brokered Private Placement
Purecore Metals Inc. intends to complete a non-brokered private placement for aggregate gross proceeds of up to C$2,500,000, the company announced on October 2, 2026. The offering will combine hard dollar units priced at C$1.35 each and flow-through units priced at C$1.50 each, with each unit consisting of one common share and one warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to acquire one warrant share at C$2.00 for 36 months from the applicable closing date, subject to acceleration if the closing price on the Canadian Securities Exchange equals or exceeds C$2.50 for ten consecutive trading days. Net proceeds from the hard dollar units are expected to fund mineral exploration, property expenditures and acquisitions, and general corporate and working capital purposes, while gross proceeds allocated to the flow-through shares will be used to incur eligible Canadian exploration expenses that the company intends to renounce to subscribers with an effective date no later than December 31, 2026. Completion remains subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals, and all securities issued will be subject to a four-month hold period.
Orvana Extends $25 Million Trafigura Prepayment Facility Maturity to June 2027
Orvana Minerals Corp. announced that its Bolivian subsidiary, Empresa Minera Paitití, S.A., has amended its US$25 million secured prepayment facility with Trafigura Pte. Ltd. The principal change extends the facility's final maturity date by six months, from December 2026 to June 2027, a move the company said better aligns the repayment schedule with the production ramp-up profile of the Don Mario Oxides Stockpile Project. The facility was first announced on November 6, 2025. Orvana is a multi-mine gold-copper-silver company whose assets include the producing El Valle and Carlés mines in northern Spain, the Don Mario property in Bolivia, which is ramping up production of copper cathodes and gold-silver doré from its oxides stockpile, and the Taguas property in Argentina.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Capital
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Precious Metals Capital
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Gold Capital
Empresa Minera Paitití S.A. · Capital · Positive Empresa Minera Paitití's $25M Trafigura prepayment facility maturity is extended to June 2027, better aligning repayment with the Don Mario Oxides Stockpile Project ramp-up.
Trafigura Group Pte. Ltd. · Capital · Positive Trafigura's $25M secured prepayment facility to Orvana's Bolivian unit gets its maturity extended six months to June 2027, easing repayment terms for the lender's exposure.
Viridian Metals Hits Sulphides Across 3 km of Step-Out Drilling at Kraken Main
Viridian Metals Inc. reported that all eight successfully drilled step-out holes along a roughly 3-kilometre southern extension of the Kraken Main Zone in Labrador intersected visually identified sulphides, including the same patchy net-textured and semi-massive styles seen in the established Main Zone. The company said VKS26-063 intersected 47.3 metres of patchy net-textured sulphides, VKS26-065 intersected 41.8 metres, VKS26-062 intersected 33.2 metres and VKS26-059 intersected 28.0 metres, while VKS26-062 and VKS26-060 returned 7.7 metres and 6.7 metres of semi-massive sulphides respectively. Seven holes encountered patchy net-textured sulphides from the top of bedrock and five ended in that material, though laboratory assays are still required to determine metal grades. Viridian also said it engaged Toronto-based Oak Hill Financial Inc. for business and capital markets advisory, marketing and investor relations services effective September 16, 2026, on an initial two-month term at a monthly advisory fee of C$12,000, and that its common shares are now eligible for electronic clearing and settlement in the United States through the Depository Trust Company.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Nickel & Cobalt Capital
Viridian Metals Inc. · Technology · Positive All eight step-out holes at Kraken Main intersected sulphides, extending the mineralized zone ~3 km
Viridian Metals Inc. · Capital · Positive Engaged Oak Hill Financial for capital markets advisory and gained DTC electronic clearing eligibility in the US
Freeport Reports Q3 2026 Copper Production of 830 Million Pounds, In Line With Expectations
Freeport reported third-quarter 2026 consolidated copper production of approximately 830 million pounds, in line with expectations, with slightly better international results offsetting slightly lower U.S. output. Consolidated gold production of approximately 230 thousand ounces also approximated expectations, but timing changes at PT Freeport Indonesia deferred roughly 60 thousand ounces of refined gold from the third quarter into the fourth quarter. As a result, Freeport expects third-quarter consolidated copper sales to approximate its July 2026 estimate of 750 million pounds, while gold sales are expected to approximate 100 thousand ounces, below the July estimate. Consolidated unit net cash costs are now expected to come in about 5% above the July 2026 estimate of $2.00 per pound of copper, mainly on lower by-product credits from the deferred gold sales, and the company estimates its third-quarter consolidated average realized price will exceed $6.50 per pound of copper. At the Grasberg minerals district, mill throughput averaged approximately 140,000 metric tons of ore per day, about 67% of normalized rates prior to the September 2025 incident, and PTFI's smelter in Eastern Java re-commenced operations in late August 2026, with Freeport still targeting 80% of capacity in mid-2027 and near full capacity by year-end 2027.
FCX · Supply · Negative Q3 copper/gold output in line but gold sales deferred and unit cash costs ~5% above July estimate on lower by-product credits, with Grasberg throughput only ~67% of normalized rates.
GOLD · Supply · Negative Timing changes at PT Freeport Indonesia deferred roughly 60 thousand ounces of refined gold from Q3 into Q4, cutting Q3 gold sales to ~100 thousand ounces.
COPPER · Supply · Neutral Freeport's Q3 copper production of 830 million pounds was in line with expectations, with slightly better international results offsetting lower U.S. output.
BofA Raises Copper Forecast 20% to $12,000, Names Top Mining Picks
BofA Securities raised its long-term copper price forecast by 20% to $12,000 per ton for 2026 and updated its mining sector rankings, upgrading BHP to Buy with a price objective of A$68 and naming the world's largest copper producer its top pick among large-cap mining stocks. Glencore was rated Buy with a price objective of GBp650, with BofA highlighting its copper growth options and monitoring a potential Australian listing for the diversified miner. Norsk Hydro received a Buy rating with a price objective of NOK98, which BofA described as offering interesting risk-reward characteristics for the pure-play aluminum company. Antofagasta maintained its Buy rating with a price objective of GBp4700, with the bank noting roughly 30% volume growth potential. BofA also trimmed its 2027 aluminum forecast by 5% to $3,625 per ton, and cautioned that investors should be prepared for potential drawdowns of 10% to 20%, noting that during China's super cycle from 2002 to 2008 markets experienced multiple corrections despite overall upward trends.
BHP.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA upgraded BHP to Buy with an A$68 price objective and named it top pick among large-cap miners.
0Q11.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA initiated a Buy rating on Norsk Hydro with a NOK98 price objective, citing attractive risk-reward for the pure-play aluminum company.
ANTO.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA maintained its Buy rating on Antofagasta with a GBp4700 price objective, noting roughly 30% volume growth potential.
GLEN.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA rated Glencore Buy with a GBp650 price objective, highlighting its copper growth options.
Newmont's Positive Earnings ESP Points to Another Beat on October 22, 2026
Newmont Corporation, the gold and copper miner in the Zacks Mining - Gold industry, holds a positive Earnings ESP of +6.16% ahead of its next quarterly report, scheduled for release on October 22, 2026. The company has topped estimates by 21.27% on average over the last two quarters, including a 2.44% surprise in the last reported quarter with earnings of $2.1 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.05 per share, and a 40.10% surprise in the prior quarter with earnings of $2.9 per share against an expected $2.07 per share. The positive Earnings ESP, combined with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggests another beat is possibly around the corner, as Zacks research shows stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. Investors should note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss, but it does reduce the predictive power of the metric.