Yuanta recommends buying BANPU with a 19 baht target, betting on 4% profit growth in 2027 to 6.7 billion

Kaohoon··THUSID·Read original
3▲1 ▼0Impact / 5
Summary · why it matters

Yuanta Securities (Thailand) issued an analysis maintaining its "Buy" rating on Banpu Public Company Limited, or BANPU, with a target price of 19.00 baht per share. It estimates net profit in 2027 at approximately 6.7 billion baht, up 4% from the previous year, which is higher than the average of some industry peers that may face declining profits after a high base the prior year. Yuanta is positive on BANPU in the second half of 2026, driven by supporting factors across its three core businesses: the coal business, or Next-Gen Mining, where operating results are expected to improve after pressure from Indonesia's coal export control measures eases; the natural gas business in the United States, supported by price risk management and a full year of contributions from the Barnett shale gas assets; and the power business, which benefits from seasonal electricity demand in the United States. For 2027, the research team expects the Newcastle coal price at about 115 US dollars per ton, and sees the expansion of data centers in the United States creating structural demand for natural gas, with new LNG projects potentially adding 10 to 13 billion cubic feet per day of capacity over the next six years, from the current level of about 18.3 billion cubic feet per day. Meanwhile, the possibility of reaching power purchase agreements, or PPAs, with data centers is expected to become clearer in late 2026 or early 2027 and could be additional upside to future estimates. Yuanta also noted that BANPU's valuation is attractive, trading at about 0.5 times book value, while the share price has risen about 12% since the start of the year, still lagging some upstream energy companies that have gained more than 30%.

Impact on assets 1

Energy Transition & Power Demand▲
Banpu Public Company Limited
BANPU
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

Yuanta maintains Buy on BANPU with a 19 baht target, citing attractive 0.5x book valuation and 4% profit growth to 6.7 billion baht in 2027.

Theme Impact 1

Related news

GlobalUnited StatesCanada
▲impact 4

Schneider Electric to buy PTC for $22.6 billion as deal wave sweeps sectors

Schneider Electric SE agreed to acquire U.S.-based engineering software developer PTC Inc. for $22.6 billion, or €20.1 billion, paying $205 per share in an all-cash deal. The transaction was among a string of major deals reported across sectors this week. Viatris said it will acquire all outstanding shares of Pacira BioSciences for $36.50 per share in cash, an aggregate equity value of $1.65 billion, while CD&R and McKesson agreed to acquire Option Care Health for $32.05 per share, valuing it at approximately $5.8 billion including debt, sending its shares up 34% in early trading Tuesday. Energy Transfer agreed to acquire Vaquero Midstream in a $2.625 billion deal consisting of $1.95 billion in cash and about 33.3 million newly issued Energy Transfer common units, and Cenovus Energy agreed to acquire Athabasca Oil in a cash-and-stock deal valued at about C$5.7 billion, a 14% premium to Athabasca's 20-day volume-weighted average trading price. Canadian utilities Emera and Canadian Utilities agreed to an all-stock merger worth C$14.3 billion, or US$10 billion, creating a combined company with a C$72 billion enterprise value and a regulated rate base of C$45 billion serving roughly 6 million customers. Separately, TKO LLC proposed to acquire Service Properties Trust's entire hospitality portfolio for $2.0 billion, and CCC Intelligent Solutions soared 13% in after-hours trading on a report that GTCR and Elliott Investment Management are in advanced discussions to purchase the car-insurance software firm.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Capital
CCC · Capital · Positive CCC Intelligent Solutions soared 13% after-hours on a report that GTCR and Elliott are in advanced talks to acquire the firm.
CVE · Capital · Positive Cenovus Energy agreed to acquire Athabasca Oil in a cash-and-stock deal valued at about C$5.7 billion.
EMA · Capital · Positive Emera agreed to an all-stock merger with Canadian Utilities worth C$14.3 billion, creating a combined utility with a C$72 billion enterprise value.
ET · Capital · Positive Energy Transfer agreed to acquire Vaquero Midstream for $2.625 billion in cash and newly issued common units.
MCK · Capital · Positive McKesson, with CD&R, agreed to acquire Option Care Health for $32.05 per share, valuing it at about $5.8 billion including debt.
OPCH · Capital · Positive CD&R and McKesson agreed to acquire Option Care Health for $32.05 per share, a takeover deal that lifts its shares.
Read original ↗
Seeking Alpha·15hRead more →
United States
▲2

Venture Global Signs 20-Year LNG Deal With ConocoPhillips as RBC Cuts Q3 EBITDA Estimate

Venture Global has signed a new long-term LNG sales deal with ConocoPhillips while drawing a cut to its Q3 adjusted EBITDA estimate from RBC Capital Markets. The Sales and Purchase Agreement commits ConocoPhillips to buy 1.0 million tonnes per annum of LNG from 2030 for 20 years. RBC Capital Markets reduced its Q3 adjusted EBITDA estimate for Venture Global, citing basis differential headwinds, while maintaining a positive view on the stock. Venture Global shares trade at US$13.16, having pulled back around 14% on a 1 month share price basis after an 87% year to date share price return, with a 1 year total shareholder return of about 40%. The most followed narrative pegs fair value at about $16.67 per share, implying the stock is 21% undervalued, though that view could fray if Calcasieu Pass arbitration outcomes absorb more cash than expected or if LNG pricing weakens faster than analysts currently model.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels Demand
VG · Capital · Negative RBC cut its Q3 adjusted EBITDA estimate for Venture Global on basis differential headwinds.
VG · Demand · Positive Venture Global signed a 20-year LNG sales deal with ConocoPhillips for 1.0 mtpa from 2030.
COP · Demand · Positive ConocoPhillips signs a 20-year SPA to buy 1.0 mtpa of LNG from Venture Global starting 2030, securing long-term supply.
RY · Capital · Neutral RBC Capital Markets cut its Q3 adjusted EBITDA estimate for Venture Global; RBC is only the analyst firm here, not a subject.
Read original ↗
Simply Wall St·16hRead more →
Belgium

Fluxys Belgium Posts H1 2026 Sales of €342.97 Million and Net Income of €46.78 Million

Fluxys Belgium reported half year 2026 sales of €342.97 million and net income of €46.78 million, with higher basic earnings per share than a year earlier. The shares now trade at €21.2, up 1.44% over one day and 3.41% over seven days, though the 30-day return is down 5.78%; the 90-day return is 8.16% and the year-to-date gain is 10.99%. The stock carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6x, above the 12.5x peer group average and the 13.9x average for the broader European oil and gas industry, while revenue is expected to decline 2.8% per year. A discounted cash flow model values the shares at €1.5 each, far below the current price. Over one year total shareholder return is 16.66%, against a broadly flat 3-year total shareholder return of 0.09% and a 5-year total shareholder return that declined 18.04%.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain Capital
0Q7U.LSE · Capital · Positive Fluxys Belgium reported H1 2026 net income of €46.78 million with higher EPS than a year earlier
Read original ↗
Simply Wall St·21hRead more →
United StatesEuropean Union

ConocoPhillips Reviews $7 Billion Offer for European Assets as Analysts Turn Bullish

ConocoPhillips confirmed it is reviewing an unsolicited offer of up to US$7.00 billion for certain European assets, a relatively small portion of its portfolio. The company said the review reflects a focus on portfolio discipline rather than any large-scale reshaping of its business, and any sale would sit alongside its existing growth drivers in LNG and long-life conventional projects. Separately, analysts remain upbeat on ConocoPhillips' near-term earnings prospects, citing a positive Earnings ESP of 17.36% and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) ahead of its next earnings release previously expected on November 5, 2026. The company's narrative projects $68.0 billion in revenue and $11.4 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 1.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $2.1 billion earnings increase from $9.3 billion today. The most bearish analysts had assumed revenue would slip to about US$62,000,000,000 by 2029 and earnings to about US$9,900,000,000.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain Capital
COP · Capital · Neutral ConocoPhillips is reviewing a US$7.0 billion unsolicited offer for certain European assets, a portfolio-discipline move rather than a reshaping of the business.
Read original ↗
Simply Wall St·23hRead more →
European UnionUnited StatesQatar
▲impact 4

UBS Raises Q4 Dutch TTF Gas Forecast to €75 on Middle East LNG Losses

UBS raised its fourth-quarter Dutch TTF gas price forecast to €75 per megawatt-hour from €62 previously, citing major disruptions to Middle Eastern liquefied natural gas exports. In an October 5 report, the bank said Middle Eastern LNG supply fell by approximately 60 billion cubic metres between March and September, while additional production elsewhere contributed nearly 40 bcm, including 17 bcm from the United States. Asian LNG imports dropped around 9 bcm year-on-year and European imports fell approximately 10 bcm, cushioning the price impact. UBS also lifted its 2027 forecast to €45 from €40, reflecting slower recovery in Qatari LNG exports and continued European efforts to phase out Russian gas. European gas storage remains roughly 15% below seasonal averages, with inventories expected to enter winter at 74% capacity and decline to approximately 25% by spring, and the bank estimates Europe could need around 27 bcm more LNG during winter than in this year's summer months. Under a prolonged disruption with colder weather, UBS sees fourth-quarter TTF prices averaging €90/MWh with potential peaks near €120/MWh, while faster Qatari recovery and milder temperatures could bring prices towards €50/MWh.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Supply
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels Supply
NATGAS · Supply · Positive Middle Eastern LNG supply fell ~60 bcm, tightening global gas supply and lifting TTF price forecasts
UBSG.SW · Capital · Positive UBS's own research raises its TTF gas price forecasts, a bullish call from the bank's analysts
Read original ↗
Investing.com·1dRead more →
United States
▲2impact 4

BKV Signs 1,200 MW Texas Gas Power Equipment Deal Backed by Hyperscaler

BKV Corporation announced that a wholly owned subsidiary signed an equipment supply contract with a Tier 1 supplier for approximately 1,200 megawatts of natural gas-fired power generation equipment for a prospective Texas project. The deal is backed by a cost-reimbursement backstop agreement with an investment-grade hyperscaler covering about 90% of payments through March 31, 2027. The hyperscaler, expected to be the long-term offtaker, materially reduces BKV's early project funding exposure while allowing the company to exit the contract by March 31, 2027 if no final offtake deal is reached. The arrangement reinforces BKV's integrated gas, power and carbon capture model in ERCOT, where data center demand is in focus, and highlights the near-term catalyst of signing firm PPAs. BKV's narrative projects $1.6 billion revenue and $144.1 million earnings by 2029, requiring 18.1% yearly revenue growth and a $153.7 million earnings decrease from $297.8 million today.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels ▲Supply
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Supply
BKV · Demand · Positive BKV signed a 1,200 MW gas power equipment contract with a hyperscaler as expected long-term offtaker, signaling concrete end-customer demand for its power.
Read original ↗
Simply Wall St·1dRead more →