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Russia

2,321.05-12.0%

A commodity-driven market dominated by energy and metals giants like Gazprom and Lukoil, highly sensitive to oil, gas and geopolitics.

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US eases diesel sanctions, crypto rules take hold, Lukoil sale collapses

  • US temporarily eases diesel sanctions, Russia to ship millions of tons The US gave a temporary license letting Russian diesel reach global markets and suspended some sanctions until April 2027. Russia promises about 36 million barrels. This brings Russia export revenue and eases domestic oversupply, but more global supply pressures diesel prices, and analysts doubt Russia can deliver the full volumes.

    This is the period's biggest policy shift, directly changing Russia's fuel export revenue and global diesel prices.

  • Russia's crypto market becomes real: first licensed platforms and custodians The central bank named the first licensed crypto exchanges and custodians, with Sberbank and VTB on the list. Sberbank plans Bitcoin, Ether and USDT products from December 1. This turns last month's crypto law into an actual regulated market, drawing savings into banks and exchanges.

    It shows the crypto law moving from legal text to live market infrastructure, a new capital channel for Russia.

  • Carlyle's Lukoil international assets deal expires Carlyle's agreement to buy most of Lukoil's foreign assets lapsed and it is no longer pursuing the deal. Lukoil's international refineries, fields and fuel stations remain stuck. This removes a path to unlock value from Russian oil assets abroad, hurting investor confidence and capital flows.

    It is a concrete setback for foreign capital returning to Russian energy assets, a key market force.

  • Hong Kong imports record Russian gold as China demand grows Hong Kong imported a record 112.7 tonnes of Russian gold in seven months of 2026, mostly bound for mainland China, as China's central bank added over 40 tonnes to reserves. This gives Russia a steady non-Western buyer for gold, supporting export revenue despite sanctions.

    It shows Russia's gold finding a large sanctioned-market outlet, a real demand shift for a key export.

News moving Russia
United StatesRussiaUkraine
Russiaimpact 4

Trump Says Russia to Ship Millions of Tons of Diesel as US Eases Sanctions Temporarily

US President Donald Trump revealed that Russia has agreed to ship millions of tons of diesel to the US market and global markets, while the US government temporarily eased some sanctions on Russian fuel exports to ease soaring domestic energy prices. Trump said Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to ship more than 300,000 tons of diesel in the first phase, followed by 500,000 tons in November and another 1 million tons shortly after. Russia will also deliver another 3 million tons of diesel within a short period, depending on the condition of its refineries. The total volume of diesel offered amounts to about 36 million barrels. The US Treasury Department issued a temporary license allowing the sale of Russian-origin diesel on global markets and suspended some sanctions until April 2027, amid tight global diesel supply. The International Energy Agency estimates the market was short about 1.6 million barrels per day of diesel in September, while the average US diesel price rose to 6.28 dollars per gallon on Friday, October 9, from 3.68 dollars in the same period a year earlier. However, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky criticized the easing of sanctions, warning that opening the way for Russia to increase petroleum product exports would give Moscow additional resources to continue the war. Analysts also doubt whether Russia can deliver the full promised volumes, since Russian refineries have been attacked by Ukraine and Russia still faces limits on diesel exports. Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, expressed uncertainty about how much additional diesel could reach global markets, while Clayton Seigle, an energy security scholar at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, estimated the deal could allow Russia to export more than 100,000 barrels per day of additional diesel.
HEATOIL · Supply · Negative Russia to ship millions of tons of diesel (about 36 million barrels) to global markets as US temporarily eases sanctions, boosting diesel/heating oil supply and pressuring prices.
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Russia

Putin Confirms Russia Ready to Help Iran Resolve Regional Conflicts

Russian President Vladimir Putin told Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that Russia is ready to do everything it can to help Iran resolve conflicts in the region. The meeting took place in the city of Turkmenbashi in Turkmenistan. The Kremlin said Putin noted that Iran has shown concrete efforts to end the conflict and has put forward new proposals for a peaceful settlement. Putin said relations between Russia and Iran continue to develop under the comprehensive strategic partnership treaty signed jointly earlier in 2025. Trade between the two countries grew by more than 21% last year and has maintained its growth trend in the first seven months of this year. Pezeshkian thanked Putin for Russia's support, saying ties between the two countries continue to expand in trade, economic and humanitarian areas. He criticized the United States for pursuing unilateral policies, saying Iran hopes to end the war as quickly as possible while ensuring that Iran's rights are respected. The Iranian leader also said Iran has exchanged initiatives with the United States and has revised and improved the U.S. proposals, and that the two sides will continue discussions through mediation once those initiatives are finalized.
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Japan condemns Russia's request to hand over Japanese ICC president

Russian prosecutors have filed an extradition request for senior officials of the International Criminal Court, or ICC, including ICC President Tomoko Akane, who is Japanese. Russia's Prosecutor General's Office sent the request to the Netherlands and other countries seeking the handover of nine ICC officials who were convicted in absentia by a Russian court last December. The dispute stems from 2023, when the ICC issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin and other senior officials, alleging responsibility for the unlawful deportation and transfer of children from occupied areas of Ukraine to Russia. Japanese Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Masanao Ozaki said at a press conference in Tokyo that Russia's move is unjustifiable and unacceptable, adding that the Japanese government intends to respond appropriately, including by filing additional representations with Russia, and will maintain close communication with the ICC and other member states. The request comes as the ICC faces pressure from the United States, a Japanese ally, whose government under President Donald Trump announced sanctions on senior ICC leaders, including Akane, last August. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi disclosed that she and President Trump exchanged candid views on the ICC during a meeting on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly last September.
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Carlyle Says Lukoil International Assets Deal Has Expired

Carlyle Group said its agreement to buy most of the international assets of Russian oil company Lukoil has expired, Bloomberg reported Thursday. The agreement, reached earlier this year, lapsed over the summer, and the private equity group is no longer actively pursuing Lukoil's assets, the company said in response to a Bloomberg request. Lukoil is the most diverse of Russia's large oil companies, with stakes in refineries in Europe, significant holdings in oil fields from Iraq to Kazakhstan, and a global network of fuel stations. The Financial Times reported last month that an investor group led by U.S. billionaire Todd Boehly was in talks to take a stake in Lukoil's foreign assets, in a deal that would see the U.S. government, through the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation, take a roughly 15% stake without any upfront cash investment. Most of the ownership would go to a group of Middle Eastern investors, including entities tied to the royal family in Abu Dhabi and two billionaire Qatari brothers who are business partners with President Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner, The New York Times reported.
CG · Capital · Negative Carlyle's agreement to buy most of Lukoil's international assets has expired and it is no longer actively pursuing the deal.
Lukoil · Capital · Neutral Its international asset sale to Carlyle lapsed, while a rival Boehly-led group is in talks for a stake in those foreign assets.
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Russia

US and Russia discuss bringing American investors into Nord Stream pipeline venture

Reuters reported, citing inside sources, that senior US and Russian officials, including Jared Kushner, the US special envoy, have opened talks on the possibility of bringing a group of American investors into the Nord Stream pipeline project, which was once the main pipeline carrying natural gas to Germany before Russia launched its war of aggression against Ukraine. Among the key figures taking part in the talks were Kirill Dmitriev, a close adviser to President Vladimir Putin, and Kushner, the son-in-law of President Donald Trump, who sees creating business interests as central to restoring peace, and the deal would open the way for American investors to profit from energy deliveries to Europe once the war ends. Over the past few weeks, Dmitriev and Kushner have met in both Moscow and New York. Although it remains unclear how much detail on Nord Stream was discussed, sources confirmed the issue is on the negotiating agenda. White House officials said that any agreement would require Russia to negotiate jointly with the DFC and the US Treasury, and that any deal must benefit American taxpayers and businesses, but added that there had been no discussions about Nord Stream in the recent period. Meanwhile, one US official assessed that such a deal is unlikely in the medium term, because Nord Stream's pipeline infrastructure remains under US and European Union sanctions, making the restart of the pipeline an illegal act. At the same time, Germany and its European allies, which are pouring billions of euros into rebuilding and strengthening their military capabilities to defend against the threat from Russia, would fiercely oppose reviving the Nord Stream pipeline. A female spokesperson for Germany's Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy stated that both the Nord Stream pipeline and Russian natural gas are subject to European sanctions, and that Germany has already secured alternative energy sources as replacements, stressing that restarting the pipeline would require approval from the German government, which has no intention or policy of granting it.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain Capital
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels Capital
NATGAS · Supply · Positive Talks on reviving the sanctioned Nord Stream pipeline could restore a major supply route for Russian natural gas to Europe, a bullish supply-side development for natural gas.
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Russiaimpact 4

Russia approves first crypto trading platforms and custodians under new law

The Central Bank of Russia published its first registry of licensed crypto service providers on Tuesday under new crypto regulations that took effect on September 1, listing four cryptocurrency exchange service providers and five digital asset custodians. Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, was added to the list of custodians alongside Atomyze, Voltari and Cloud Infrastructure, while T-Invest Lab, Zefir and Sistema-Crypto appeared on the list of crypto exchange service providers. VTB Bank appeared on both lists. Sberbank said on Monday that it had applied for digital asset custodian status and planned to launch its first crypto products on December 1, initially planning to support Bitcoin, Ether and USDt through its existing SberBank Online, SberInvestments and SberBusiness platforms. The registrations follow Russian President Vladimir Putin's signing of a crypto law in August that created a regulatory framework for exchanges, asset custodians, brokers and investors. The law places the market under the supervision of the Central Bank of Russia and keeps Russia's ban on using crypto to pay for goods and services.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▲Regulation
BTC · Regulation · Positive Russia's new crypto law and licensed exchange registry legitimize trading, with Sberbank planning to support Bitcoin from December 1.
USDT · Regulation · Positive Sberbank's planned crypto products will initially support USDt, expanding regulated access to Tether in Russia.
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Russia

Russia approves $1 billion loan to Iran, awaits Tehran's account details

Iran's Fars news agency reported that Russia has approved a $1 billion loan to the Iranian government and is ready to transfer the funds as soon as Iranian authorities provide bank account details. The sum is the first tranche of a total $20 billion lending plan Russia intends to provide to Iran. However, delays have arisen on the Iranian side, as Iranian government agencies are locked in internal disputes over budget allocation, so account numbers have not yet been sent and the funds have not yet been received from Russia. The report said Iran's Planning and Budget Organization wants to use the money to import cars, while the Ministry of Petroleum wants to use it to purchase equipment for the oil industry, and the Ministry of Agriculture wants the funds allocated to imports of essential goods. Iran and Russia have stepped up efforts to strengthen economic and financial ties in order to reduce reliance on financial systems controlled by Western nations, at a time when Iran remains under heavy US sanctions, particularly on oil exports, banking, and access to international financial systems.
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Russia

Hong Kong imports record 112.7 tonnes of Russian gold in first seven months of 2026

Hong Kong imported a total of 112.7 tonnes of gold of Russian origin in the first seven months of 2026, a record high and already more than the 92.1 tonnes imported in all of 2025, according to a CNBC report citing data from BullionVault, which analysed figures from the Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department. The figures mark a sharp increase from 2021, before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, when Hong Kong imported only 3.3 tonnes of Russian gold. Russian gold accounted for nearly 15% of Hong Kong's non-monetary gold imports in the first seven months of this year, up from just 0.6% in 2021. A key turning point came in March 2022, when the London Bullion Market Association, or LBMA, suspended all six Russian gold and silver refineries from its Good Delivery List. The United States, Britain and other Western countries then imposed further restrictions on trade in Russian gold, effectively closing off markets that had once been key destinations for the metal. Vita Spivak, a senior adviser at Gatehouse Advisory Partners, said Hong Kong has become a major hub for trade between Russia and China since the war in Ukraine, with most of the gold ultimately destined for mainland China. Adrian Ash, director of research at BullionVault, said Hong Kong's official data showing a rapid rise in Russian gold imports reflects the trade relationship and support between Russia and China, while Russian gold exports to Britain and Western countries that imposed sanctions have fallen sharply. The inflow of Russian gold comes as China is also broadening its gold purchases, designating gold as a strategic mineral, and the Chinese central bank continues to add gold to its reserves. Data from S&P Global shows China's official gold reserves rose by more than 40 tonnes in the first half of 2026, more than double the amount bought in the same period a year earlier.
About megatrends
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Precious Metals ▲Demand
GOLD · Demand · Positive Record Hong Kong imports of Russian gold plus China's central bank adding over 40 tonnes to reserves signal strong official and Chinese demand for gold.
BullionVault · · Neutral BullionVault is only the analyst firm that compiled the import data, not a party affected by the gold flows.
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Russiaimpact 4

Russia Escalates Strikes on Kyiv as US Proposes Trilateral Talks by End of October

Russia announced it is intensifying attacks on Kyiv and other key Ukrainian cities, after a drone operation damaged the Northern Bridge, a key crossing over the Dnipro River, last Saturday, damaging the road surface, forcing traffic to be suspended and injuring two people, according to Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko. Meanwhile, Russia's Defense Ministry confirmed the bridge was used to move troops and transport military equipment, and said the escalation was a response to President Volodymyr Zelensky's stance after he announced he would step up attacks on Russian oil refineries without targeting civilians. The strike on the Northern Bridge came shortly after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz made an unannounced visit to Kyiv, pledging 1 billion euros, or about 1.1 billion dollars, in military aid to Ukraine. On the diplomatic front, Zelensky said on Sunday that the administration of US President Donald Trump has proposed holding technical-level trilateral talks between the United States, Russia and Ukraine by the end of October, with Ukraine open to holding the talks in the United Arab Emirates or another country proposed by the US side as host, and responding positively to the proposal. The Russia-Ukraine war has now lasted more than four and a half years since Russia launched its full-scale military operation in February 2022.
Money & Banking·6dRead more →
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Russiaimpact 4

NATO Drafts 'Theory of Victory' Strategy Blending Drones and AI to Counter Russia

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, is drawing up a new military strategy called Theory of Victory to prepare for a possible Russian attack on the alliance's eastern front, combining low-cost drones, artificial intelligence and systems that rely on small numbers of personnel with traditional weapons and combat forces. General Alexus Grynkewich, NATO's supreme commander in Europe, is due to present the plan in Poland on October 12, amid still-high tensions between NATO and Russia. Under the plan, if NATO is attacked, the alliance would first blunt any incursion using ground forces and resources from the Eastern Flank Deterrence Initiative before moving to destroy the adversary's command and control systems, in order to defeat Russian forces swiftly and decisively. Colonel Martin O'Donnell, a spokesman for Grynkewich, declined to disclose details of the plan but stressed that NATO is an alliance whose purpose is defensive. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said there is still no indication that Russia is preparing to attack NATO with conventional military forces, but that Europe needs to be ready for hybrid threats that could persist over the long term. Over the past summer, the United States sent questionnaires to NATO member countries to assess their levels of defense spending and support for the policies of President Donald Trump, and also asked whether allies could allocate additional forces to NATO in support of Grynkewich's defense plan.
Money & Banking·6dRead more →
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Russia

Japan Adds Russian Crypto Exchange Garantex to Sanctions List

The Japanese government on October 2 added the Russian-linked cryptocurrency exchange Garantex to its list of entities subject to asset-freezing and other measures over the situation in Ukraine, the Foreign Ministry announced the same day. In the list of designated parties published by the Foreign Ministry, the operating company Garantex Europe OU appears as one of 33 Russia-related entities. Under the new designation, payments in Japan to Garantex and other sanctioned parties will in principle require prior authorization. Cryptocurrency transfers are also covered by the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act, and domestic crypto asset exchange operators are required to confirm in advance that a transfer is not related to a sanctioned party. Garantex is a cryptocurrency exchange founded in 2019 that has mainly operated in Moscow and St. Petersburg. In April 2022, the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control designated the exchange for sanctions, saying that more than 100 million dollars of transactions identified on Garantex were linked to parties involved in illicit activity and darknet markets. Japan said the latest measure is intended to keep pace with the response of major countries in light of the situation in Ukraine and to contribute to international efforts.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▼Regulation
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NADA NEWS·6dRead more →
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Russia

Russia's Finance Ministry Makes First Salary Payments in Digital Rubles

Russia's Finance Ministry has begun paying staff salaries using the central bank digital currency known as the digital ruble. According to the ministry, some employees received their salaries in digital rubles for the first time on October 1, after opening digital ruble accounts on the Bank of Russia's platform. Whether to receive salaries in digital rubles is a voluntary choice made by each individual, and the ministry has not disclosed the number of employees involved or the total amount paid. In 2025, the Finance Ministry and the Federal Treasury piloted the use of the digital ruble for federal budget expenditures in Russia, making payments for salaries and scholarships and settling some government contracts, with total transactions amounting to just under 16 million rubles. From January 2026, digital ruble spending in the federal budget will no longer be limited to specific purposes, and the Bank of Russia and the Finance Ministry are jointly advancing its introduction into the budget process. The Bank of Russia positions the digital ruble as a "third form" of the national currency alongside cash and non-cash rubles. It began development in 2021, launched a pilot with real transactions in August 2023, and from September 1, 2026, broad use through major banks and retail companies got under way. Meanwhile, in April the European Union introduced measures as part of sanctions against Russia that prohibit involvement in transactions involving CBDCs such as the digital ruble and support for the development of related projects.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails Regulation
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Russiaimpact 4

Zelensky Says Ukraine Strikes Russian Oil Refineries in Response to Winter Air Attack Plans

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has revealed that Ukraine will step up its strikes on Russian oil refineries in response to Russia's preparations to intensify air attacks during the winter, aiming to pressure civilians to leave Kyiv and other cities, while stressing that Ukraine will not attack civilians. Zelensky said Ukrainian intelligence had obtained documents indicating that Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued a new doctrine for military strikes, which paves the way for Russian forces to attack civilian targets on a wider scale before winter sets in. The documents state that the military is permitted to strike infrastructure, logistics systems, roads, schools and hospitals. The Ukrainian leader said the policy shift stems from Putin's desire to maintain Russia's image of strength at a time when its forces are losing ground on key front lines and casualties are mounting. Earlier, Russia's foreign ministry issued a statement urging foreigners and diplomatic officials to leave Kyiv, saying Russia would continue to strike various targets systematically in retaliation for Ukraine's attacks on Russia over the past several months.
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Russia strikes bridge north of Kyiv, halting traffic in both directions

Travel within Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, was disrupted after a bridge in the northern part of the city spanning the Dnipro River was struck during a Russian air attack today, October 3, damaging the bridge and halting movement between the eastern and western banks of the city. Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko said emergency crews responded after the incident, with traffic from the eastern side to the western side suspended after the road surface and overhead wires for electric buses were damaged. There were no immediate reports of deaths or injuries. The strike on the northern bridge came after a southern bridge in Kyiv was hit repeatedly by Russian drones over the past two days, temporarily halting traffic on the southern bridge and two other crossings over the Dnipro River. The incidents could worsen travel within Kyiv, since before Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, more than one third of the city's population, roughly 3 million people, lived on the eastern, or left, bank of the river, while government agencies and most companies are located on the western, or right, bank, forcing many people to cross the river to get to work. The latest attack comes as Russia steps up strikes on infrastructure in and around Kyiv ahead of winter, with Russian forces increasing their use of drones against the capital, and recent attacks damaging several infrastructure sites, including the southern bridge. Last week, Russia launched what Ukrainian officials see as the first phase of a renewed winter campaign against the country's energy infrastructure, alarming Kyiv residents after last winter's attacks caused widespread power and heating outages. Russia has previously denied systematically targeting civilians in its air strikes. Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
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Russiaimpact 4

Russia extends diesel export ban through end of October after prices hit record highs worldwide

Russia announced it is extending its ban on diesel exports by producers until the end of October, effective from September 30. The measure deepens the crisis in global energy markets, which are already strained by fighting in Iran and Ukraine that has curbed energy shipments, and has driven diesel prices in the United States and Britain to record highs. Earlier, in late August, Russia extended its ban on diesel exports through the end of September, while still allowing deliveries to countries such as the former Soviet republics and Mongolia under intergovernmental agreements. Russia is the world's second-largest diesel exporter after the United States, but had already reduced export volumes since the summer before imposing the ban. Meanwhile, diesel prices in the United States surged to a record high above 6.50 dollars per gallon, becoming a political risk for President Donald Trump ahead of the midterm elections. Britain's RAC motoring association said pump prices for diesel in the UK climbed to a record high amid the fighting between the United States and Israel and Iran.
HEATOIL · Supply · Positive Russia extending its diesel export ban tightens global distillate supply, supporting heating oil/diesel prices.
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Russia

Russia invites Kim Jong Un for official visit, expected within this year

Russia has invited North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to make an official visit to Russia, according to a Russian deputy foreign minister. Russia's TASS news agency reported the development on Thursday, September 24, adding that the schedule for the visit will be coordinated through diplomatic channels. Previously, President Vladimir Putin had extended an invitation to Kim to visit Russia during their joint summit in Pyongyang in June 2024, and issued another invitation when the two met during a large-scale military parade in China in September 2025. Speculation that Kim may visit Moscow within this year has grown after North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui traveled to Russia in July at the invitation of the Russian Foreign Ministry. Kim has visited Russia twice before, in 2019 and 2023, but both trips involved meetings with Putin in Russia's Far East, and Kim has never visited Moscow. Meanwhile, relations between North Korea and Russia have grown steadily closer since North Korea sent troops to support Russia in its war with Ukraine.
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VTB Chief Says Asset Seizure Fears Are Curbing Core Business Investment by Major Companies

Andrey Kostin, chief executive of Russia's major state-owned bank VTB, said in a speech at an event held by the Russian Banks Association on the 24th that major Russian companies are holding back investment in their core businesses out of concern over government asset seizures. According to estimates compiled in September by the Moscow law firm Nektorov, Saveliev and Partners, Russian authorities have seized assets worth about 7.6 trillion rubles, or 89.5 billion dollars, since 2022 on grounds including corruption and national security. Kostin pointed out that property rights have become a major concern for companies, explaining that many executives are looking to set funds aside rather than put them into their core businesses. He said he believes such concerns are exaggerated, but that they do exist and companies must be protected. He noted that while the overall investment climate is deteriorating, investment from China is increasing and investors from Arab countries are also showing interest, and expressed the view that geopolitics will be the biggest factor going forward.
VTB Bank · Regulation · Negative VTB CEO says asset-seizure fears are curbing major companies' core-business investment, a regulatory/property-rights concern he acknowledges exists.
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Russia

Raiffeisen Bank International Wins Vienna Court Ruling Worth About €3.15b

Raiffeisen Bank International won a Vienna court ruling awarding it about €3.15b in damages tied to funds frozen in Russia, while the bank also publicly rejected short-seller allegations from Grizzly Research and said it is considering legal action. The twin developments sharpened attention on both the bank's legal risk and its potential balance sheet implications. The shares closed at €64.25, after a 16.5% 90 day share price return, a 70.6% year to date share price gain and a 1 year total shareholder return of 127.7%. The most followed analyst narrative places fair value nearer €55.59 using a 7.26% discount rate, calling the stock overvalued, while a discounted cash flow model estimates a future cash flow value of €144.83, implying a 55.6% discount at the current price. Raiffeisen Bank International still carries heavy geopolitical and litigation exposure, and setbacks in Russia or Polish mortgage cases could quickly test the upbeat narrative.
RAW.XETRA · Regulation · Positive Won a Vienna court ruling awarding about €3.15b in damages tied to funds frozen in Russia.
Grizzly Research · Regulation · Neutral Its short-seller allegations against Raiffeisen were publicly rejected by the bank, which is considering legal action.
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Simply Wall St·17dRead more →
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Russia▲

Moscow Exchange Launches Ruble-Settled XRP Perpetual Futures

Moscow Exchange, Russia's largest financial marketplace, has launched XRP perpetual futures that settle in rubles, letting qualified investors speculate on the token's price without ever owning the cryptocurrency. The exchange set XRP's margin requirement at 43%, nearly double Bitcoin's, making it the riskiest of its five crypto contracts. The launch follows a year in which more than 72,000 qualified Russian investors generated turnover exceeding 600 billion rubles, approximately $7 billion, in dated crypto futures since the summer of 2025. As of the launch date, XRP traded at $1.57, up 22% over the previous week, while Bitcoin rose 14% in the same broader rally. The contracts track a price index based on U.S. dollar values but pay out in rubles, adding currency speculation on top of the XRP bet, and the exchange does not hold or deliver the token itself.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure Competition
Moscow Exchange · Demand · Positive Moscow Exchange launched XRP perpetual futures, expanding its crypto derivatives product lineup after strong turnover in dated crypto futures.
XRP · Demand · Positive Moscow Exchange launched ruble-settled XRP perpetual futures, creating a new venue for investors to speculate on XRP.
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24/7 Wall St·17dRead more →
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Russia Warns Investors: Seized Stablecoins Will Not Be Compensated by the State

Russia's Ministry of Finance has warned domestic crypto investors that the government will not compensate them for losses if foreign stablecoin issuers such as USDT or USDC order their assets frozen. The warning also covers cases where investors hold the tokens in personal wallets, according to Deputy Finance Minister Ivan Chebeskov. Nearly 20 million Russians hold digital assets worth roughly 3.7 trillion rubles, or about 44 billion dollars, with daily crypto transaction volume of around 50 billion rubles, or nearly 600 million dollars. The risk has already materialized: in March 2025, Tether froze more than 28 million dollars in USDT linked to Garantex after sanctions were imposed on the exchange. The warning comes as Russia introduces a new legal framework under Federal Law No. 282-FZ, signed on August 4 and taking effect on September 1, 2026. Ordinary investors will be limited to purchases of 300,000 rubles per year through a single intermediary and must pass a test before buying permitted cryptocurrencies. Some requirements for licensed intermediaries will take effect later, including in July 2027.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers ▼Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers & Distribution ▼Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▼Regulation
USDT · Regulation · Negative Russia's Finance Ministry warns no state compensation for frozen USDT, citing Tether's March 2025 freeze of $28M linked to Garantex under sanctions.
Tether · Regulation · Negative Same warning: Russian holders of USDT in personal wallets face uncompensated freeze risk, as already happened with Garantex-linked tokens.
USDC · Regulation · Negative Russia warns investors that frozen USDC holdings in personal wallets will not be compensated, highlighting regulatory/legal risk of holding the token.
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Coinpedia·18dRead more →
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Russiaimpact 4

Trump Signs Russia-Iran Sanctions Law; US Approves $2.7 Billion Arms Sale to Ukraine

US President Donald Trump signed into law a sanctions bill on Russia that authorizes expanded sanctions, tariffs and various prohibitions against Russia, while renewing existing sanctions on Iran. The law, named the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, imposes sanctions on Russian officials, Russian banks and vessels used to transport Russian energy, and gives Trump the power to impose tariffs of up to 100% on goods from the five countries that import the most oil or natural gas from Russia. Meanwhile, the US Congress disclosed that the State Department has approved a proposed military arms sale to Ukraine worth up to 2.7 billion dollars, covering upgrades to air defense systems, weapons and equipment, as well as related equipment and services. The weapons package includes S-300 replica missiles, GAM-67 missiles, longer-range laser-guided rockets, launcher modification kits and mobile firing systems, as well as counter-drone radars. However, the proposal still needs congressional review and no final agreement has been reached. If the sale is completed, Ukraine will use funding from European countries together with the US foreign military financing budget allocated during the administration of former President Joe Biden.
About megatrends
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Missiles & Precision-Guided Munitions ▲Demand
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Counter-UAS / Counter-Drone ▲Demand
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Primes — United States ▲Demand
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Primes — Europe & Asia Geopolitics
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Nestlé Russia Business Seized Under Putin Decree as Shares Fall 2%

Nestlé said a presidential decree signed by Vladimir Putin placed Nestlé Russia under temporary external administration, and the company is now assessing its options while promising to protect its rights and maintain business continuity. Nestlé shares fell roughly 2% after the announcement as investors weighed the possibility that temporary administration could lead to a forced sale or outright loss of control. Nestlé operates six factories in Russia producing coffee, pet food and infant formula, and employs around 7,000 people there; the Russian business generated roughly CHF2 billion, about $2.5 billion, of sales in 2021, equivalent to about 2% of group revenue at the time, though analysts now estimate Russia contributes closer to 1% of group sales after Nestlé scaled back operations following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. French retailer Auchan was also caught in the latest decree, while previous interventions have involved Danone and Carlsberg, whose Russian operations were eventually transferred or sold after state intervention. The immediate financial hit is likely manageable given Russia's diminished share of group sales, but the central question is no longer profit but whether Nestlé still controls the assets at all, with the accounting treatment potentially requiring an impairment or other charge.
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Russiaimpact 4

Trump signs Russia sanctions bill, granting tariff authority over countries buying Russian oil

US President Trump signed the Russia sanctions bill into law on the 18th. The law grants the president the authority to impose tariffs on countries that purchase Russian oil products. It allows the president to impose a 500% tariff on Russian goods imported into the United States, and to impose an additional 100% tariff on the top five energy-importing countries, countries importing Russian crude oil and natural gas, and countries that help evade sanctions. This tariff authority expires after five years. The top five buyers of Russian oil products include China, India, and US ally Turkey, and they could be subject to a broad range of new tariffs. The law also extends the application deadline of the 1996 Iran Sanctions Act to 2031, imposing secondary economic sanctions on non-US companies that trade with Iran; it had been due to expire this year. The Russian presidential administration said on the 17th that the US Congress's passage of the bill was an "unfriendly" move and warned it could affect negotiations aimed at ending the war.
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Russiaimpact 4

Trump Signs Russia-Iran Sanctions Law, Authorizing Tariffs of Up to 100%

US President Donald Trump signed into law a Russia sanctions bill on Friday, September 18. The law grants authority to expand sanctions, impose customs duties and various prohibitions against Russia, while renewing existing sanctions on Iran. The law, named the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, imposes sanctions on Russian officials, Russian banks and vessels used to transport energy from Russia, and gives Trump the authority to levy tariffs of up to 100% on goods from the five countries that import the most oil or natural gas from Russia. It also extends the Iran Sanctions Act for another five years to maintain sanctions targeting Iran's energy and weapons sectors. The US House of Representatives passed the bill on Wednesday, September 16, after the Senate approved it on August 7. The law is a major achievement carrying on the legacy of Lindsey Graham, the former senator who championed the bill and died in July after a sudden illness. However, the bill faced more division in the House than in the Senate, with three Democratic members of the House saying in a joint statement recently that the law may do more harm than good because it greatly increases Trump's power to set tariffs but does not compel him to impose sanctions on Russia.
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Russia

Kremlin Seizes Temporary Control of Nestle and Auchan Russian Units

The Kremlin has ordered the Russian businesses of Swiss food and beverage company Nestle and French retailer Auchan placed under temporary administration, a procedure that has previously led to the forced sale of Western businesses to Russian owners at knockdown prices. The local assets of the two multinationals were placed under what the Kremlin calls temporary control by another company under an order issued late Thursday by Russian President Vladimir Putin. A 2023 law allows the Kremlin to place businesses from "unfriendly countries" under temporary administration; in the cases of French dairy concern Danone and Danish brewer Carlsberg, the businesses placed under administration were later sold to new Russian owners. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Friday the companies are "European companies, companies from unfriendly countries" that are "most actively involved in hostilities against our country," adding that "at the moment, we're talking about the introduction of external management" and that no other decisions have been made so far. Nestle, based in Vevey, Switzerland, said it "takes note" of the decree and is assessing the situation, while Auchan representatives had no immediate comment. The decree also affects affiliates of international logistics firm BATI Group, Le Monlid, which operates the Russian D.I.Y. chain Lemana Pro, formerly Leroy Merlin, and French logistics group FM Logistic, with all the local entities placed under the management of a company called L.E.V. Management.
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Russia

Nestlé Weighs 'All Options' After Russian Business Seizure

Swiss food giant Nestlé said on the 18th that after its Russian business was seized, it is considering all options to protect its rights. Nestlé stated it "will take all necessary measures to protect its rights and ensure the continuation of its business operations, in the interests of all stakeholders, especially its employees," but did not touch on what specific measures it is considering. The company has six factories in Russia, producing coffee, pet care products, and infant formula, and according to its most recently published 2021 financial results, it recorded sales of about 2 billion Swiss francs in Russia and employs about 7,000 people in the country. Nestlé justifies continuing its business in Russia on the grounds that, as a food manufacturer, it supplies daily necessities. Kepler Cheuvreux analyst Jon Cox said, "Nestlé could lose these assets, and no amount of compensation would make up for it."
NESN.SW · Geopolitics · Negative Nestlé's Russian business was seized and it may lose these assets, with no compensation sufficient to make up for it.
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Russia▼impact 4

Russia strikes Kyiv in air raid, Ukraine hits Yaroslavl oil refinery with drones

Russia launched airstrikes across Ukraine early on the 17th, while Ukrainian drones attacked one of Russia's largest oil refineries, in Yaroslavl. According to the Ukrainian Air Force, Russia fired 157 missiles and drones, targeting mainly Kyiv, Zaporizhzhia and Odesa regions, and air defense units shot down 131 targets. In Kyiv, at least 16 people were injured and water supplies were cut off in the eastern part of the city, while six people were injured in Odesa. According to Yaroslavl region governor Yevraev, a fire broke out at the Yaroslavl refinery but was extinguished. The refinery is located about 280 kilometers northeast of Moscow and is jointly owned by Rosneft and Gazprom Neft, with the capacity to process about 15 million tons of crude oil a year, or roughly 300,000 barrels per day. Russia's Defense Ministry said it struck Ukrainian metallurgical and electronics companies, defense plants, and energy and transport infrastructure, and that it shot down 641 Ukrainian drones over the course of a night. U.S. President Trump posted on social media on the 14th that the two countries had agreed to halt attacks on energy facilities, but both Russia and Ukraine have made clear they have not reached a ceasefire agreement, and the Yaroslavl refinery is the second Russian refinery to be attacked since Trump's post.
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Gazprom Neft · Supply · Negative Gazprom Neft co-owns the Yaroslavl refinery struck by drones, disrupting its operations.
Rosneft · Supply · Negative Rosneft co-owns the Yaroslavl refinery hit by Ukrainian drones, damaging its refining asset.
BRENT · Supply · Positive Attack on a major Russian refinery disrupts oil supply, supporting Brent crude prices.
WTI · Supply · Positive Ukrainian drone strike on the Yaroslavl refinery (300,000 bpd) removes Russian refining capacity, tightening crude supply.
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Russia

Kremlin welcomes Trump's call for Ukraine to halt strikes on Russian energy targets

The Kremlin has welcomed President Donald Trump's call for Ukraine to stop attacking Russian oil refineries and energy infrastructure. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said any call for Ukraine to halt strikes on civilian economic infrastructure should be welcomed, and that every country can use its influence over Ukraine to encourage greater flexibility, which is an important part of helping advance the peace process. Trump posted on Truth Social that Ukraine had agreed not to strike Russian energy targets and that Russia had agreed to do the same. On Sunday, Trump urged Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky to stop attacks on Russian oil refineries, saying the strikes were causing diesel shortages. Earlier, the Russian government announced a temporary ban on exports of gasoline, diesel, marine fuel and gasoil to stabilise the domestic fuel market.
GASOLINE · Supply · Positive Russia's temporary ban on gasoline/diesel exports and reduced strike risk on Russian refineries tighten global fuel supply, supporting RBOB gasoline prices.
HEATOIL · Supply · Positive Russia's export ban on diesel/gasoil and the halt to strikes on Russian energy infrastructure tighten distillate supply, supporting heating oil prices.
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Russiaimpact 5

Trump Urges Ukraine to Stop Striking Russian Refineries After US Diesel Hits Record $6.06

US President Donald Trump has called on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to halt attacks on Russian oil refineries, saying the strikes are worsening a global diesel shortage. Speaking during an official visit to Ireland on Sunday, Trump said Ukraine could strike other targets but should not hit diesel fuel production facilities because it is tightening supply, and noted that the diesel crunch is not solely a Middle East problem but also tied to the situation between Russia and Ukraine. Trump's warning came after US diesel prices topped $6 a gallon for the first time in history on Friday, with AAA data showing the national average diesel price at $6.06 a gallon, forcing truckers and farmers to pay roughly 63% more for fuel than a year earlier. Ukraine's foreign ministry has not yet commented on Trump's remarks, and Ukraine has previously insisted that Russian oil refineries are legitimate military targets. The attacks have severely hit Russia's refining capacity, prompting Moscow to extend its diesel export ban through the end of September. Meanwhile, Brent crude for November delivery rose 2.1% to $106.69 a barrel in Monday morning trading, and West Texas Intermediate for October delivery rose 2.1% to $102.15 a barrel, amid supply concerns after Houthi forces launched fresh attacks on Saudi Arabia and Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline was temporarily shut down on Friday following a drone strike.
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BRENT · Supply · Positive Refinery attacks, Russia's extended diesel export ban, and Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia plus the East-West Pipeline shutdown drive Brent higher on supply concerns.
HEATOIL · Supply · Positive Record US diesel prices and the global diesel shortage from hit Russian refining capacity and Moscow's export ban lift heating oil/diesel prices.
WTI · Supply · Positive Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and the extended Russian diesel export ban tighten global crude/diesel supply, supporting WTI prices.
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Russiaimpact 4

Trump asks Zelensky to halt attacks on Russian diesel production, fearing impact on global supply

US President Donald Trump has called on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to stop attacks on Russia's diesel infrastructure, saying the strikes are worsening fuel shortages and affecting markets worldwide. Speaking to reporters during a visit to Ireland on Sunday, September 13, Trump said the United States had already discussed the issue with Zelensky and urged Ukraine to choose other targets, because the global fuel shortages are not caused solely by the situation in the Middle East but also by the war between Russia and Ukraine. Trump's remarks came as Ukraine has continued to use long-range drones to strike Russian oil refineries and energy infrastructure over the past few months, reducing Russia's fuel output and causing gasoline shortages in many parts of the country. Data from GasBuddy showed that the average price of diesel in the United States, used in the transport and agricultural sectors, topped 6 dollars per gallon for the first time on Thursday, September 10, while Russia has cut its oil production forecast for this year to a 17-year low and revised its fuel export outlook for 2026 and 2027 because of the war.
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HEATOIL · Supply · Positive Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries cut fuel output and global diesel shortages pushed US diesel above $6/gallon, tightening distillate supply.
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Russia

Ukraine says Russia risks total manpower exhaustion by 2028 after casualties outpace new recruitment

Lieutenant General Oleh Ivashchenko, head of the intelligence directorate at Ukraine's Ministry of Defence, assesses that the Russian military's manpower and military resources could face complete exhaustion by 2028, as troop morale has fallen sharply and battlefield casualties outpace new recruitment. Ivashchenko told The Times that Russia still has military and economic resources for next year, but that Russia's resources are expected to stretch only another 16 months. Russia recruits roughly 1,000 new personnel per day, sometimes as many as 1,200, but yesterday casualties reached 1,410, and the day before stood at 1,511, of which about 60 percent were killed in action. Meanwhile, a Russian drone struck a shopping mall in the city of Pavlohrad in southeastern Ukraine, killing at least 5 people and injuring 67 others. Officials said shops and vehicles were damaged in the attack, which took place in broad daylight at a time when many people were on the streets, and among the injured were children aged 13, 14 and 15.
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Russia

Putin Arrives in India for BRICS Summit to Deepen Economic and Local-Currency Ties

Russian President Vladimir Putin has arrived in India to attend the BRICS summit alongside Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and other leaders. The trip marks the first time Putin has attended a BRICS summit in person outside Russia since the invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022. The two-day BRICS summit opens Saturday, September 12, in New Delhi amid simmering geopolitical tensions that have created urgent pressure to deepen economic cooperation within the group, with the aim of strengthening economic ties, promoting the use of local currencies, and bolstering food and energy security amid tensions over war and global tariff measures. Many expect Putin and Modi to hold bilateral talks, as Russia seeks to expand economic ties driven primarily by energy. Today's agenda, September 11, includes the BRICS Business Council meeting and a Russia-India trade fair. BRICS, comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, accounts for roughly one quarter of global gross domestic product and nearly half the world's population, and now has 10 members in total, including some of the world's largest energy producers and consumers.
InfoQuest·30dRead more →
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Russia

Russia's central bank set to hold rates at 14% as inflation climbs to 6.3%

Russia's central bank will decide at Friday's meeting whether to pause its rate-cutting cycle, with the choice likely coming down to holding the policy rate at 14% or trimming it by a modest 0.25% to 13.75%, amid rising inflation risks from fuel supply problems and accelerating government spending. Russia's annual inflation has picked up again to 6.3% after increased attacks on oil refineries, which have worsened fuel shortages and pushed up gasoline prices. Alexei Zabotkin, deputy governor of the Russian central bank, said fuel-related effects have added roughly 1.5 percentage points to price growth, and the central bank will not have new forecasts until October. President Vladimir Putin, meanwhile, said the high policy rate is a deliberate and necessary decision to preserve macroeconomic stability, in contrast to July, when he twice signalled that rates should be lower. Most economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the Russian central bank to hold rates at this meeting, with only 3 of 11 expecting a 0.25% cut to 13.75%. Herman Gref, chief executive of Sberbank, said the central bank may take a tactical pause while it assesses the situation, but could still cut rates to 13-13.5% by the end of the year, and that the economy will only begin to see meaningful easing once rates fall to 10-12%.
RU-10Y.GB · Monetary · Negative Bank expected to hold the policy rate at 14% rather than cut, keeping yields elevated and bond prices under pressure.
USDRUB.FOREX · Monetary · Negative Central bank set to hold rates at 14% with inflation at 6.3%, keeping the rouble supported by high yields.
Sberbank of Russia · Monetary · Neutral Sberbank CEO Gref comments on a possible tactical pause and year-end cuts to 13-13.5%, a mixed signal for the bank.
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Russia

Trump says Putin is ready to negotiate an end to the Ukraine war after one-hour phone call

US President Donald Trump has revealed that Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to reach a deal to end the war in Ukraine, and that it would be a good thing if Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is also ready to negotiate. Speaking to reporters on Wednesday, September 9, before boarding Air Force One for Dallas, Trump said he had spoken by phone with Putin the previous Tuesday and that it was an excellent conversation. He noted that the main obstacle to a deal is the animosity between Putin and Zelenskyy, calling them two people who hate each other and describing that as the biggest problem in the matter. The call came shortly after Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy, and Jared Kushner, Trump's son-in-law and a key figure in US peace efforts, returned from visits to Moscow and Kyiv. Last month, John Ratcliffe, director of the US Central Intelligence Agency, met with Russian intelligence officials in Moscow, in part to persuade Russia to halt its invasion of Ukraine. Yuri Ushakov, an aide to the Russian president, said the phone call between Putin and Trump on Tuesday, September 8, lasted one hour, was constructive and sincere, and that Putin stressed Russia has no hostile intentions toward countries in Europe. However, even as the United States pushes forward with negotiations, US, Ukrainian and many European intelligence officials remain doubtful about how serious Putin is about ending a war that has now dragged into its fourth year.
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Russia

Kim Jong Un Praises North Korean Troops in Overseas Operations, Expected to Help Russia Fight Ukraine

Kim Jong Un, North Korea's supreme leader, praised military forces that took part in overseas military operations during a ceremony marking the 78th anniversary of the founding of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, or DPRK, according to the Korean Central News Agency, or KCNA, the Pyongyang government's mouthpiece. Kim delivered a speech at the Supreme People's Assembly hall in Pyongyang on Wednesday, September 9, and expressed special thanks and respect to commanders and soldiers who participated in overseas military operations, which likely refers to North Korean troops sent to help the Russian military wage war in Ukraine. Officials from Western countries and South Korea estimate that Pyongyang has sent about 14,000 to 15,000 troops to fight alongside Russia since late 2024. In February 2026, South Korea's National Intelligence Service, or NIS, assessed that about 6,000 North Korean soldiers had been killed or wounded in combat. South Korea's Ministry of National Defense said in late August that North Korea is still preparing to send additional troops to Russia, but so far no signs have been detected that a new wave of deployments is imminent. South Korean intelligence assesses that North Korea has received economic assistance and military technology from Russia in return for sending troops and weapons to support the war effort.
InfoQuest·31dRead more →
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Russia

Trump-Putin Hold Phone Call on Europe and Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump spoke by phone today (September 8), with the call lasting about one hour. Russian presidential aide Yuri Ushakov said the conversation was constructive and sincere. Putin stressed that Russia has no hostile intentions toward Europe, and that narratives about a Russian threat are being used as a pretext for Europe to increase support for Ukraine and boost defense spending. Trump emphasized the need to end the conflict in Ukraine, which would open the door to fully restoring U.S.-Russia relations. The two agreed to move forward on humanitarian issues, including the exchange of detainees and convicted individuals. However, Ushakov declined to provide further details, stating that the conversation was confidential.
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Rosneft Ships First Crude From $157 Billion Vostok Oil Project

Rosneft has shipped the first crude oil cargo from its Vostok Oil project in Eastern Siberia, despite Western sanctions and the exit of foreign partners. The project, Russia's largest new oil development, is expected to produce between 50 and 100 million tons of crude annually at peak capacity. Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin said 2,000 wells have been drilled, with combined reserves of about 7 billion tons of low-sulfur crude. The project's estimated cost was $157 billion in 2019, with total lifetime operating costs estimated at $170 billion in 2021. The first cargo was loaded on a Russia-flagged Arc7 ice-class tanker at the Arctic port of Sever, with Asia as the likely destination, though Sechin noted some oil would flow westward. The shipment was originally planned for 2024 but was delayed by two years due to sanctions.
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Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Sovereign Supply — Minerals & Reshoring Industrials Geopolitics
Rosneft · Supply · Positive Rosneft shipped the first crude cargo from its $157B Vostok Oil project despite sanctions, advancing its largest new oil development.
BRENT · Supply · Negative First cargo from Vostok Oil signals new Russian supply reaching Asia and westward, bearish for Brent.
WTI · Supply · Negative New Vostok Oil supply of 50-100 million tons annually at peak adds to global crude supply, bearish for WTI.
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Oilprice.com·33dRead more →
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Russiaimpact 4

OPEC+ Holds October Output Steady Amid Iran War Uncertainty

The OPEC+ group has decided to keep its oil production policy for October 2026 unchanged from September, following a meeting of seven member countries including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman on Sunday. The group will meet again on October 4 to assess market conditions, amid uncertainty from the Iran war that continues to impact oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz and limits the group's ability to set prices and market share. This decision comes after OPEC+ had previously increased production by 188,000 barrels per day for September, following similar increases for June, July, and August. Meanwhile, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy attacked three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and three US-related vessels in other areas, in retaliation for earlier US attacks.
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BRENT · Supply · Positive OPEC+ holds output steady while Iran attacks tankers in Strait of Hormuz, tightening supply.
WTI · Supply · Positive OPEC+ holds output steady while Iran attacks tankers in Strait of Hormuz, tightening supply.
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InfoQuest·34dRead more →
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Russia

CBOT Wheat Falls 2.68% After Russia Opens Door to Ukraine Peace Talks

Wheat futures on the CBOT closed down 2.68% on Friday, September 4, after Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled openness to peace talks to end the war with Ukraine, which could increase the chances of grain exports from the Black Sea returning to normal. December wheat futures fell 20.25 cents to close at $7.3400 per bushel, while December corn futures fell 0.74% to close at $5.3675, and November soybean futures fell 0.49% to close at $13.0975. The move came after Yuri Ushakov, an adviser to the Russian presidential administration, revealed that Putin had met with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Moscow, with the 3-hour-10-minute talks described as serious and constructive. Analysts at Total Farm Marketing noted that Putin's remarks signaled Russia's openness to negotiations. However, trading sentiment was also pressured by concerns over a Federal Reserve rate hike, after August nonfarm payrolls surged by 162,000 jobs, nearly three times the expected 56,000. Markets now price in a 58.4% probability of a 0.25% rate hike at the September meeting.
WHEAT · Geopolitics · Negative Putin's signal for peace talks raises prospects of resumed Ukrainian grain exports, pressuring wheat prices.
CORN · Geopolitics · Negative Russia's openness to peace talks could restore Black Sea grain exports, increasing corn supply.
SOYBEAN · Geopolitics · Negative Potential peace deal may normalize Black Sea exports, adding to soybean supply.
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Russia

Germany Orders Closure of Russian Consulate in Bonn, 70 Officials Must Leave

About 70 Russian officials at the Russian Consulate General in Bonn, Germany, along with their family members, are preparing to leave Germany by September 18, after the German government ordered the closure of the consulate. Oleg Krasnitsky, the Russian Consul General in Bonn, told RIA Novosti that Germany's decision is unfounded and reflects an intention to escalate tensions between the two countries. The dispute stems from Germany's accusation that Russia was behind a drone attack at Leipzig Airport in August, which Russia denied. Germany responded by closing the Russian consulate and cultural center in Berlin, while Russia announced the closure of all Goethe Institute branches in the country, which Germany's foreign minister called unjustified.
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