Piper Sandler Projects Google TPU Sales to Reach $104 Billion by 2028

Investing.com··US·Read original
4▲2 ▼0Impact / 5
Summary · why it matters

Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion is projecting that Google's newly disclosed external chip business will generate $104 billion in TPU hardware revenue by 2028, a forecast the firm says the broader Street has yet to price in. Champion published the note after Google disclosed external hardware sales for the first time in its second-quarter 2026 earnings report, a milestone that triggered a formal reassessment of the revenue opportunity. The firm's model has TPU sales climbing from approximately $8 billion in 2026, or roughly 240,000 chips, to $51 billion in 2027, or approximately 2.4 million chips, and then to $104 billion in 2028, anchored to a facilities and power-capacity build-out of 3 gigawatts of run-rate capacity by the end of 2027 and 6GW by the end of 2028. Piper Sandler raised its price target on Alphabet to $400 from $395 and reiterated its Overweight rating, with its 2027 and 2028 Cloud revenue estimates now 15% and 17% above consensus and its Cloud EBIT estimates 18-19% above consensus. Champion also flagged that even these estimates may prove conservative, noting that Broadcom management recently spoke to 5GW of Anthropic demand in 2027 and 10GW in 2028, which Piper Sandler estimates as $105 billion and $210 billion in revenue if that capacity is achieved.

Impact on assets 3

Artificial Intelligence▲
Alphabet Inc Class C
GOOG
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

Piper Sandler raised its Alphabet price target to $400 and reiterated Overweight on projected $104B TPU revenue by 2028.

Broadcom Inc
AVGO
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Piper Sandler cites Broadcom management's 5GW Anthropic 2027 and 10GW 2028 demand, implying $105B/$210B revenue if capacity is achieved.

Financials▲

Theme Impact 9

Off-coverage companies 1

Anthropici
Private▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Anthropic's 5GW 2027 and 10GW 2028 capacity demand is cited as underpinning Broadcom's TPU revenue estimates.

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