Yuanta turns positive on GUNKUL's sale of 50% stakes in 12 power plant projects to GULF, boosting EPC backlog by 7 billion baht

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Yuanta Securities (Thailand) said in an analysis dated September 30, 2026 that it holds a positive view on Gunkul Engineering Public Company Limited, or GUNKUL, after the company sold 50% stakes in 12 renewable energy power plant projects to Gulf Development Public Company Limited, or GULF, representing a combined pro-rata capacity of 336.7 megawatts. This breaks down into 88.2 megawatts of solar power plants, 16.5 megawatts of Solar+BESS projects, and 232.0 megawatts of wind power plants, which are scheduled to gradually begin commercial operations between 2027 and 2030. The sale value was 466.5 million baht, or about 1.39 million baht per equity megawatt. The research team expects the transaction to bring GUNKUL only a small extraordinary gain and to have no significant impact on third-quarter 2026 net profit. Meanwhile, normal operating results for the third quarter of 2026 are expected to grow both from the previous quarter and from the same period a year earlier, supported by the wind power plant business. The EPC business is expected to slow slightly from the previous quarter but still grow at a high level compared with the same period a year earlier. The conversion of these projects into a joint venture format could help increase the order book, or backlog, of GUNKUL's EPC business. The research team preliminarily estimates, based on the shareholding proportion, that it could rise by about 7 billion baht, with revenue expected to be gradually recognized more from around the middle of 2028. GUNKUL still aims to secure an additional 900 megawatts of new projects over the next three years, and its partnership with GULF also opens the opportunity for the company to take on EPC work for GULF's future renewable energy power plant projects. On dividend policy, the research team said there has been no significant change, estimating that dividend per share is likely to be no lower than the previous level of 0.12 baht per share, while in the first half of 2026 the company already paid a dividend of 0.10 baht per share. It maintained a buy recommendation on GUNKUL with an end-2027 target price of 8.70 baht.

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