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Switzerland

13,787.40+9.3%

A small market that punches far above its weight, dominated by global heavyweights in pharma, food and luxury — Nestlé, Roche and Novartis. A safe-haven market known for stability.

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Why is Switzerland moving?

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UBS Capital Fight Escalates; Roche Pipeline Wins; Novartis Under Pressure

  • UBS weighs foreign merger as Swiss capital rules tighten Swiss senators passed stricter capital rules requiring UBS to hold about $18bn more, on top of earlier demands. UBS is exploring a merger with a foreign bank to escape Swiss regulation, and at least eight foreign banks have shown interest. This clouds Switzerland's biggest bank and its financial hub status.

    The UBS capital fight is the biggest new force on Swiss markets, threatening the country's largest bank and its financial centre.

  • Roche pipeline and label wins offset Novartis weakness Roche won EU backing for Ocrevus in children with MS, FDA approval for Tecentriq in colon cancer, and positive Phase 3 results for its kidney drug with Ionis. These expand sales for Switzerland's second-largest pharma company and support the sector.

    Roche's string of approvals and trial wins is a major new positive for Switzerland's pharma sector.

  • Novartis faces shareholder revolt and pipeline setback Top-20 shareholder Artisan Partners publicly demanded a board shake-up and an acquisition oversight committee after trial failures wiped out about $30bn in market value. Novartis also halted an obesity drug, returning rights to Chugai. This pressures management and Switzerland's largest stock-market sector.

    The shareholder revolt and pipeline halt are new negative developments for Novartis, Switzerland's biggest listed company.

  • Swiss medtech and consumer names win analyst backing Bernstein named Sonova and Alcon top European medtech picks, citing overdone negative sentiment and above-consensus earnings. On Holding authorized a $1bn buyback and reiterated guidance. These support Swiss healthcare and consumer sentiment.

    Analyst upgrades and a large buyback are new positive signals for Swiss medtech and consumer stocks.

News moving Switzerland
United StatesEuropean UnionChinaJapan
Switzerland▲

Roche's vamikibart shows one-year vision gains in uveitic macular edema as FDA accepts BLA

Roche announced new one-year data from the Phase III MEERKAT and SANDCAT studies showing that investigational vamikibart sustained improvements in vision and reductions in macular thickness in adults with uveitic macular edema at 52 weeks compared with a sham procedure. The results were presented at the American Academy of Ophthalmology 2026 Annual Meeting in New Orleans. The FDA has accepted Roche's Biologics License Application for vamikibart for the treatment of UME, with an approval decision expected by July 2027; if approved, vamikibart would be the first non-steroid targeted treatment for UME. Regulatory submissions have also been filed and accepted in the European Union, China and Japan. In both trials, a numerically higher proportion of vamikibart-treated patients achieved vision gains than those on sham treatment on the primary endpoint, and key secondary endpoints showed sustained improvements in best corrected visual acuity and central subfield thickness. Vamikibart was well tolerated with a low incidence of treatment-related ocular adverse events and intraocular inflammation events, and approximately two-thirds of eligible patients required no retreatment after 16 weeks.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics Regulation
ROP.SW · Technology · Positive Vamikibart sustained one-year vision gains in uveitic macular edema and FDA accepted the BLA, advancing Roche's pipeline toward a first-in-class non-steroid treatment
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F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd·11hRead more →
European UnionUnited StatesQatar
Switzerland▲impact 4

UBS Raises Q4 Dutch TTF Gas Forecast to €75 on Middle East LNG Losses

UBS raised its fourth-quarter Dutch TTF gas price forecast to €75 per megawatt-hour from €62 previously, citing major disruptions to Middle Eastern liquefied natural gas exports. In an October 5 report, the bank said Middle Eastern LNG supply fell by approximately 60 billion cubic metres between March and September, while additional production elsewhere contributed nearly 40 bcm, including 17 bcm from the United States. Asian LNG imports dropped around 9 bcm year-on-year and European imports fell approximately 10 bcm, cushioning the price impact. UBS also lifted its 2027 forecast to €45 from €40, reflecting slower recovery in Qatari LNG exports and continued European efforts to phase out Russian gas. European gas storage remains roughly 15% below seasonal averages, with inventories expected to enter winter at 74% capacity and decline to approximately 25% by spring, and the bank estimates Europe could need around 27 bcm more LNG during winter than in this year's summer months. Under a prolonged disruption with colder weather, UBS sees fourth-quarter TTF prices averaging €90/MWh with potential peaks near €120/MWh, while faster Qatari recovery and milder temperatures could bring prices towards €50/MWh.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Supply
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Firm Power & Transition Fuels Supply
NATGAS · Supply · Positive Middle Eastern LNG supply fell ~60 bcm, tightening global gas supply and lifting TTF price forecasts
UBSG.SW · Capital · Positive UBS's own research raises its TTF gas price forecasts, a bullish call from the bank's analysts
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United StatesSwitzerland
Switzerland

Morgan Stanley Named Lead Underwriter for Solidigm's $10 Billion IPO

Morgan Stanley has been named a lead underwriter for Solidigm's planned US initial public offering, which could raise about US$10.00 billion, and is also participating in merger interest discussions around UBS AG. The bank is preparing to report earnings on 14 October 2026, with consensus pointing to a 7.7% year over year revenue increase to US$19.63 billion and modest EPS growth. Morgan Stanley's own narrative projects $89.6 billion in revenue and $20.2 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 4.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.7 billion earnings increase from $19.5 billion today, while some of the lowest estimate analysts see revenue growth closer to 3.9% annually and earnings dipping toward about US$17.4 billion. The developments come alongside a planned Dallas expansion and upcoming presentations on digital assets and tokenization, as fee compression from passive products and evolving regulation remain key risks.
MS · Capital · Positive Named lead underwriter for Solidigm's ~$10B IPO, a fee-generating mandate for Morgan Stanley.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Neutral UBS AG is only mentioned as part of merger interest discussions Morgan Stanley is participating in, with no concrete development.
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SwitzerlandUnited StatesAustralia
Switzerland▲

Landis+Gyr Launches Revelo E370 Smart Meter With Edge Intelligence

Landis+Gyr announced in September 2026 the commercial launch of its Revelo E370 meter, adding high-resolution waveform streaming, Wi-Fi-enabled edge applications, and micro arc sensing to its grid-edge sensing platform in 200 amp and 320 amp disconnect versions. The upgrade positions Revelo as a more versatile grid intelligence solution, potentially supporting utilities' responses to rising residential loads from EVs, heat pumps, and other power-intensive appliances while enhancing power quality monitoring and early fault detection. The launch reinforces Landis+Gyr's grid edge thesis, though its near-term impact on the key risk of revenue timing gaps, especially around big AMI and Revelo contracts, still looks uncertain rather than clearly transformative. The company's narrative projects $1.3 billion revenue and $116.0 million earnings by 2029, requiring 4.4% yearly revenue growth and about a $77 million earnings increase from $38.9 million today, while bearish analysts assume only about 3.3% annual revenue growth and US$115.7 million of earnings by 2029. The article also cites the August 10, 2026 expansion of the edge app ecosystem in Australia as especially relevant, underscoring how Landis+Gyr is building an open, Wi-Fi enabled, app-centric grid edge platform even as investors weigh guidance pointing to a step down in FY26 net revenue.
About megatrends
Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure › Smart Metering & Grid Edge ▲Technology
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment Technology
LAND.SW · Technology · Positive Landis+Gyr commercially launched the Revelo E370 smart meter with edge intelligence, waveform streaming, and micro arc sensing, advancing its grid-edge platform.
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SwitzerlandSouth Korea
Switzerland

UBS Cuts PolyPeptide Group to Neutral After Samsung Biologics Tender Offer

UBS downgraded PolyPeptide Group to neutral following Samsung Biologics' all cash tender offer, shifting investor focus toward deal completion rather than further upside. PolyPeptide shares trade at CHF43.85, close to both the UBS target and Samsung's offer, after an 82.71% share price return and an 81.20% total shareholder return over one year, though the 5 year total shareholder return remains down 63.39%. The most followed narrative pegs fair value at CHF39.09, implying the stock is 12% overvalued, based on a discount rate of 4.89%. The peptide therapeutics market is expected to grow more than 15% annually with nearly 500 drugs in late stage development, but PolyPeptide could struggle to convert its Phase III exposure into sustained commercial wins if programs are delayed or terminated, pressuring revenue growth and EBITDA progression.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › CDMO / Contract Manufacturing Capital
PPGN.SW · Capital · Neutral UBS downgraded PolyPeptide to neutral after Samsung Biologics' tender offer, with shares near the offer price and fair value seen 12% overvalued
207940.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung Biologics' all-cash tender offer for PolyPeptide is an M&A move that expands its peptide business
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United StatesEuropean Union
Switzerland▲impact 4

FDA Approves Roche's Tecentriq for Stage III dMMR Colon Cancer

The FDA has approved Tecentriq and Tecentriq Hybreza, in combination with fluoropyrimidine and oxaliplatin chemotherapy, for the adjuvant treatment of stage III deficient DNA mismatch repair colon cancer, marking the 12th U.S. indication for Roche's cancer immunotherapy. The decision was based on the phase III ATOMIC study, which enrolled 712 patients with stage III dMMR colon cancer and showed that adding Tecentriq reduced the risk of disease recurrence or death by 50% compared with chemotherapy alone, with a 36-month disease-free survival rate of 86% versus 76% for chemotherapy alone. The approval makes Tecentriq the first approved adjuvant immunotherapy regimen for stage III dMMR colon cancer, and Roche plans additional regulatory filings including a submission to the European Medicines Agency. Tecentriq generated sales of CHF 1.7 billion in the first half of 2026, up 6%. Roche shares have risen 3.5% year to date.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics ▲Regulation
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Immuno-Oncology / Checkpoint ▲Regulation
ROP.SW · Regulation · Positive FDA approves Tecentriq as first adjuvant immunotherapy for stage III dMMR colon cancer, expanding Roche's label and sales potential.
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ChinaSwitzerlandUnited States
Switzerland▲

MicuRx Pharmaceuticals and ClearideBio sign exclusive license and platform collaboration agreement for MRX-23, with total milestone payment cap of 750 million US dollars

MicuRx Pharmaceuticals announced that it plans to sign an exclusive license agreement for the MRX-23 program and a platform technology collaboration agreement with ClearideBio of Switzerland. The former involves a worldwide exclusive license for the MRX-23 program; the latter is a multi-program option collaboration based on the company's independently developed STOPIN antibody-drug conjugate platform with a novel camptothecin payload, under which ClearideBio may exercise options for an agreed number of targets or target combinations in accordance with the agreement. Under the MRX-23 license agreement, an upfront payment of 1 million US dollars will be paid as agreed after the agreement takes effect, and this payment is non-refundable once made. Near-term development milestone payments are triggered by the first approval of a clinical trial application for the licensed product. The nominal cap on research, registration, and sales milestone payments for MRX-23 totals 223 million US dollars; when all options under the platform collaboration are exercised and all milestones are achieved, the total payment cap is 750 million US dollars.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADC) ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics ▲Technology
688373.CG · Capital · Positive MicuRx signs exclusive license and platform collaboration for MRX-23 with up to $750M in milestone payments, including $1M upfront.
ClearideBio Therapeutics AG · Capital · Positive ClearideBio secures worldwide exclusive license to MRX-23 and options on MicuRx's STOPIN ADC platform under the collaboration.
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United States
Switzerland▼

Newron Reviews FDA Clinical Hold Feedback as ENIGMA-TRS 1 Nears Enrollment Completion

Newron Pharmaceuticals said it has received the anticipated written communication from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration regarding the clinical hold at U.S. study centers in its Phase 3 ENIGMA-TRS 2 study of evenamide, and is reviewing the feedback and preparing its response. The FDA's concern relates to the known risk that certain sodium channel blockers may trigger arrhythmias, and the agency noted four deaths among patients treated with evenamide across all clinical studies to date versus one death among placebo patients; three of the four evenamide deaths were considered unrelated by investigators, while one was deemed possibly related. Newron said the four deaths represent an incidence of 0.56% versus 0.27% for placebo, and that when adjusted for treatment duration the mortality rate was 1.31 per 100 patient-years for evenamide compared with 1.81 per 100 patient-years for placebo. The company said it has not observed a pattern of cardiac abnormalities or arrhythmias across more than 10,000 ECGs from approximately 700 evenamide-treated subjects, and is evaluating additional cardiac screening and monitoring measures for ENIGMA-TRS 2. Enrollment in ENIGMA-TRS 1 is expected to be completed by mid-October, with topline 12-week data expected in Q1 2027, while ENIGMA-TRS 2 enrollment continues outside the U.S. with additional clinical sites being added as planned.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Neuroscience & Neurodegenerative ▼Regulation
NWRN.SW · Regulation · Negative FDA clinical hold over evenamide arrhythmia/death risk and pending response create regulatory uncertainty for its lead program
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United States
Switzerland▲

Vaxcyte Raises US$1b After Positive Phase 3 VAX-31 Data

Vaxcyte has raised roughly US$1b through concurrent common stock, pre funded warrant and convertible note offerings, following positive Phase 3 data for its VAX 31 pneumococcal vaccine candidate. The financing came after the Phase 3 OPUS 1 readout, and the company's shares have traded at US$66.96, with a 7 day share price return of 17.68% and a year to date share price gain of 44.12%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 64.36% and 5 year total shareholder return of 175.56% reflect momentum reinforced by the OPUS 1 update and the US$1b mix of equity and convertible note financing completed this week. Vaxcyte is currently trading at 3.6x book value, compared with 2x for the wider US Biotechs group and 9.3x for closer peers, while a widely followed narrative framework anchors fair value closer to $75 using a 7.51% discount rate. Completion of a dedicated large scale manufacturing facility with Lonza, build out of a high volume fill finish line in North Carolina and plans to build commercial supply ahead of a possible VAX-31 launch could support stronger net margins, though OPUS-2 or OPUS-3 data or higher than modeled manufacturing costs could reset expectations.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Vaccines (Recombinant & Traditional) ▲Capital
PCVX · Capital · Positive Vaxcyte raised ~US$1b via common stock, pre-funded warrants and convertible notes after positive Phase 3 VAX-31 data.
PCVX · Technology · Positive Positive Phase 3 OPUS 1 readout for its VAX-31 pneumococcal vaccine candidate drove the financing.
LONN.SW · Demand · Positive Vaxcyte is completing a dedicated large-scale manufacturing facility with Lonza, a concrete capacity/order development for Lonza.
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United States
Switzerland▲

Novartis Wins FDA Approval for Rhapsido Label Expansion in Symptomatic Dermographism

Novartis received FDA approval to expand the label of its oral Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor Rhapsido, also known as remibrutinib, to treat adults with symptomatic dermographism inadequately controlled by H1 antihistamines. The decision makes Rhapsido the only prescription treatment approved in the United States for both chronic spontaneous urticaria and symptomatic dermographism, the two most common forms of chronic hives, extending the drug's commercial reach beyond chronic spontaneous urticaria. The approval was supported by results from the phase III RemIND trial, in which 29.3% of patients receiving Rhapsido achieved a complete response at week 12 compared with 14% for placebo, with responses observed as early as week 2. Rhapsido's safety profile in symptomatic dermographism was consistent with that seen in chronic spontaneous urticaria through week 24, with common adverse events including nasopharyngitis, bleeding, headache, nausea and abdominal pain. Novartis plans to submit the complete RemIND study data to regulatory authorities worldwide where appropriate, and is also evaluating remibrutinib in cold urticaria, cholinergic urticaria, hidradenitis suppurativa and food allergy, following positive topline results from the phase III REMODEL-1 and REMODEL-2 trials in relapsing multiple sclerosis.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics Regulation
NOVN.SW · Regulation · Positive FDA approved label expansion of Rhapsido (remibrutinib) for symptomatic dermographism, extending its commercial reach
NOVN.SW · Technology · Positive Phase III RemIND trial data supported the approval, with 29.3% complete response vs 14% placebo at week 12
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SwitzerlandUnited States
Switzerland▲

Goldman Sachs Upgrades Sonova to Buy, Shares Hit 16-Month High

Goldman Sachs upgraded Sonova Holding to buy from neutral and raised its price target to CHF315 from CHF230, sending the hearing-aid maker's shares to a 16-month high. The stock rose around 0.5% to its highest level since June 11, 2025, outperforming a broader Swiss market that saw the SMI fall about 0.8% on Thursday. Goldman Sachs said Sonova is well positioned to outperform the overall hearing-aid market, citing product innovation, opportunities to gain market share in Asia and improving industry fundamentals. The broker expects the company to deliver around 9% constant-currency revenue growth in the first half of fiscal 2027, well above Visible Alpha consensus of 6.2%, which it sees as a potential catalyst for the shares. Goldman now expects Sonova to reach the upper end of its FY27 guidance, forecasting 7.8% constant-currency revenue growth versus 6.6% consensus, while adjusted EBIT growth including FX is seen at 12.6% versus 6.5% consensus, and it raised FY27-29 revenue estimates by 4%-7% and adjusted EBIT and EPS estimates by 7%-10%. The next major catalyst is Sonova's November 12 first-half FY27 results, where Goldman expects the company's stronger-than-consensus growth to become more visible.
About megatrends
Aging Population › Hearing (aids & cochlear implants) ▲Capital
Aging Population › Hearing / Vision / Dental ▲Capital
SOON.SW · Capital · Positive Goldman Sachs upgraded Sonova to buy and lifted its price target to CHF315 from CHF230, sending shares to a 16-month high
GS · Capital · Positive Goldman Sachs upgraded Sonova to buy and raised its price target, a positive analyst action for the broker's research franchise
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United States
Switzerland▲

Galderma's Nemluvio Shows Three-Year Skin and Itch Response at Fall Clinical 2026

Galderma announced new three-year data for Nemluvio in atopic dermatitis and prurigo nodularis at the 2026 Fall Clinical Dermatology Conference in Las Vegas. A post-hoc analysis of the ARCADIA long-term extension study found that of 295 adults and adolescents aged 12 and older who responded at Week 16, 76% achieved clear or almost clear skin and 80% achieved at least a 90% improvement in disease severity at Week 152, with 80% reaching an itch-free or nearly itch-free state. A separate pre-specified interim analysis of the overall ARCADIA LTE population of 1,903 patients showed up to 91% achieved EASI-75 and up to 88% achieved clinically meaningful itch relief at Week 152, with no new safety signals. Phase II pediatric data showed nemolizumab was well tolerated and effective in children aged 2 to 11 with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis through Week 52, and a descriptive analysis from the OLYMPIA LTE study showed sustained improvements in prurigo nodularis burden through Week 148. Nemluvio is approved in the United States for adults with prurigo nodularis and patients 12 and older with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis, and in more than 40 countries for both adolescents and adults with atopic dermatitis and adults with prurigo nodularis.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics ▲Technology
GALD.SW · Technology · Positive Three-year ARCADIA data show Nemluvio maintains clear/almost-clear skin and itch relief at Week 152 with no new safety signals, reinforcing its clinical profile.
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Business Wire·3dRead more →
United StatesSouth Korea
Switzerland▲impact 4

Solidigm Picks Goldman, Morgan Stanley to Lead $100B US IPO

SK Hynix's Solidigm has reportedly selected Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley to lead its US initial public offering next year. The South Korean firm's flash memory unit is working with the two lenders to finalize a pre-IPO funding round, and the offering could raise about $10 billion, Bloomberg reported. JPMorgan Chase & Co, Citigroup Inc, and UBS Group AG have also been selected to join the syndicate. The proposed listing, which could materialize by 2027, has the potential to raise roughly $10 billion and value the storage manufacturer at up to $100 billion. In August, Solidigm struck a deal with CoreWeave to sell enterprise solid-state drive capacity that could support its AI cloud platform, and its other customers include Vast Data, Dell Technologies, and Tencent.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM Capital
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Enterprise Data Storage Systems Capital
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK Hynix's flash unit Solidigm is preparing a US IPO that could raise ~$10B and value it up to $100B.
GS · Capital · Positive Goldman Sachs picked to lead Solidigm's ~$10B US IPO, a major underwriting mandate.
MS · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley chosen to co-lead Solidigm's ~$10B US IPO, a major underwriting mandate.
C · Capital · Positive Citigroup selected to join the IPO syndicate for Solidigm's ~$10B US listing, a fee-generating mandate.
JPM · Capital · Positive JPMorgan Chase selected to join the syndicate for Solidigm's ~$10B IPO.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Positive UBS selected to join the IPO syndicate for Solidigm's ~$10B US listing, a fee-generating mandate.
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SwitzerlandLuxembourgUnited StatesIndia
Switzerland▲

UBS to Transfer Credit Suisse Fund Administration Units to Northern Trust

UBS Group AG has agreed to transfer its former Credit Suisse fund administration businesses in Switzerland and Luxembourg to Northern Trust Corporation. Subject to regulatory approvals, the transaction is expected to close in the second quarter of 2027 and will cover Credit Suisse's traditional and alternatives fund administration businesses in both markets, with migration expected to take place in phases over two years as UBS Group exits the fund administration business. The deal builds on a long-standing relationship between the two firms, dating to 2017, when UBS Asset Management sold its Swiss and Luxembourg traditional fund administration operations to Northern Trust and entered into a long-term servicing agreement. The move comes as UBS Group approaches the final stages of integrating Credit Suisse, with that integration expected to be substantially completed by the end of 2026, and is intended to reduce infrastructure, resources and operational complexity while letting UBS focus on wealth management, asset management and investment banking. For Northern Trust, the expanded mandate creates a growth opportunity in fund administration and asset servicing, where custody and fund administration fees accounted for 67.4% of total asset servicing fees in the six months ended June 30, 2026. Separately, Deutsche Bank agreed in July 2026 to sell its retail banking, affluent private banking and wealth management business in India to Kotak Mahindra Bank, a deal expected to close by September 2027 subject to regulatory approvals and expected to be accretive to Deutsche Bank's CET1 ratio.
NTRS · Demand · Positive Northern Trust takes over Credit Suisse's Swiss and Luxembourg fund administration businesses, expanding its fund administration and asset servicing mandate.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Positive UBS is transferring its former Credit Suisse fund administration units to Northern Trust as it exits the business, reducing infrastructure and operational complexity while focusing on wealth management, asset management and investment banking.
DBK.XETRA · Capital · Positive Deutsche Bank agreed to sell its India retail, private banking and wealth management business to Kotak Mahindra Bank, a deal expected to be accretive to its CET1 ratio.
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GlobalBrazilIndiaEuropean UnionUnited States
Switzerland▼

Sugar Prices Rally 13% in Six Weeks on Weather-Driven Shortage Fears

Sugar prices have rallied sharply as expectations of abundant supply gave way to weather-related shortage concerns, with the benchmark sugar tracking price up 13% over the last six weeks and 38% higher year-to-date, and New York's most-active raw-sugar futures reaching their highest level since December 2024 earlier this week. Excessive rainfall has slowed harvesting and cane crushing in Brazil, India's weakest monsoon since 2015 has cut projected output to approximately 30M tons, and European sugar-beet yields are forecast 11% below their five-year average. The International Sugar Organization forecasts a 200K-ton global deficit for the 2026-2027 sugar crop, compared with a 1.1M-ton surplus in 2025-26, and identifies El Niño as the strongest threat to its production forecasts in the coming months. Analysts have flagged Hershey, Mondelez International, Nestlé, Lindt & Sprüngli, Mars and Ferrero as among the food sector names most exposed to sugar prices, while Rogers Sugar, Associated British Foods and Coca-Cola FEMSA have mentioned sugar prices on recent earnings calls.
HSY · Supply · Negative Flagged as among the food sector names most exposed to rising sugar prices, a key input cost.
LISN.SW · Supply · Negative Listed among food sector names most exposed to elevated sugar prices as an input cost.
MDLZ · Supply · Negative Named among the food sector names most exposed to rallying sugar prices, raising input costs.
NESN.SW · Supply · Negative Flagged as among the food sector names most exposed to rising sugar prices.
ABF.LSE · Supply · Negative Mentioned sugar prices on recent earnings calls, exposing it to higher input costs.
Rogers Sugar Inc. · Supply · Negative Rogers Sugar is among the names that mentioned sugar prices on recent earnings calls, and the weather-driven global sugar shortage and rally raise its input costs.
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CanadaSwitzerlandUnited States
Switzerland▲

Novartis to Present Late-Breaking Phase III Remodel Data for Remibrutinib in MS at MSToronto2026

Novartis will present 46 abstracts from its multiple sclerosis portfolio at MSToronto2026, the 10th Joint ACTRIMS-ECTRIMS Meeting, including a late-breaking abstract featuring positive Phase III REMODEL-1/-2 results for remibrutinib, an oral BTK inhibitor, in relapsing multiple sclerosis. A second late-breaking abstract will present new Kesimpta, or ofatumumab, data in pediatric MS, where approved treatment options remain limited. Additional Kesimpta presentations will cover final efficacy, safety and tolerability, and healthcare resource utilization results from the Phase 3b STHENOS study in treatment-naive relapsing MS patients, interim breastmilk excretion results from the Phase 4 KATHAROS study, and pregnancy and infant outcomes from the PRIM study. Following the REMODEL data presentation, Novartis will host a conference call for investors to provide updates on the data and the potential for remibrutinib in MS. The REMODEL-1/-2 results will be presented orally on October 23, and the NEOS pediatric study results will be presented earlier the same morning.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Neuroscience & Neurodegenerative ▲Technology
NOVN.SW · Technology · Positive Late-breaking Phase III REMODEL-1/-2 results show positive data for remibrutinib in relapsing MS, a pipeline/R&D development.
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Novartis·3dRead more →
European UnionGermany
Switzerland▲

UBS Stays Bullish on European Stocks, Forecasts 15% Eurozone Earnings Growth

UBS said it expects the upcoming third-quarter earnings season to show further improvement in European corporate profits, maintaining an upbeat view on the region's equities despite higher interest rates and energy prices. Matthew Gilman, head of European equity strategy at UBS Global Wealth Management's Chief Investment Office, said revenues are becoming a more important earnings driver alongside already well-established cost discipline, with currency effects shifting from a headwind to a tailwind. UBS forecasts 15% earnings growth in both 2026 and 2027 for the eurozone, citing September's strong global manufacturing PMIs and the German ifo survey as evidence of robust underlying demand. Gilman said investment in AI still appears more supply-constrained than financing-constrained, and that high energy prices reinforce the case for electrification and defense investment. UBS kept the eurozone at Attractive and favors IT, industrials, banks, Germany and health care within the region, while recommending a selective approach to consumer discretionary through its Luxury & Lifestyles theme.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Positive UBS's CIO maintains an upbeat Attractive view on eurozone equities and forecasts 15% earnings growth, a bullish house call from the firm itself
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United StatesEuropean UnionUnited KingdomJapan
Switzerland▲

Novartis Acquires Tourmaline Bio for $1.4 Billion, Adding Phase III-Ready IL-6 Therapy Pacibekitug

Novartis agreed in September 2025 to acquire Tourmaline Bio, Inc. for approximately $1.4 billion, with the IL-6 inhibitor pacibekitug as the central strategic asset. Novartis described pacibekitug as Phase III-ready and positioned it as a complement to its cardiovascular portfolio, gaining access to its global cardiovascular infrastructure, development capabilities, payer relationships and launch expertise. The deal follows positive topline results from the Phase II TRANQUILITY trial reported by Tourmaline Bio in May 2025, in which monthly dosing at 15 mg produced an hs-CRP reduction of more than 85% and 50 mg quarterly dosing achieved a reduction of more than 86%, with all treatment arms reaching p< 0.0001 compared with placebo and adverse event rates comparable to placebo. Pacibekitug is an investigational, long-acting fully human IgG2 monoclonal antibody that selectively binds to and neutralizes IL-6 signaling, designed for low-volume subcutaneous administration with an extended half-life that may support quarterly dosing. Originally developed by Pfizer Inc. for autoimmune diseases including Crohn's Disease and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus, the asset has since been repositioned for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, Chronic Kidney Disease with elevated inflammation, Thyroid Eye Disease and other inflammatory conditions. A new ResearchAndMarkets.com report forecasts pacibekitug sales and market size through 2034 across the seven major markets of the United States, EU4, the United Kingdom and Japan, covering cardiovascular disorders, Graves ophthalmopathy, kidney disorders and abdominal aortic aneurysm.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Cardiovascular & Heart-Failure Therapeutics Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics ▲Capital
NOVN.SW · Capital · Positive Novartis agreed to acquire Tourmaline Bio for ~$1.4 billion, adding Phase III-ready pacibekitug to its cardiovascular portfolio.
Tourmaline Bio, Inc. · Capital · Positive Tourmaline Bio is being acquired by Novartis for approximately $1.4 billion, with pacibekitug as the central asset.
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Hong Kong SAR ChinaChinaUnited States
Switzerland▲

Kuaishou's Kling AI picks banks for Hong Kong IPO targeting at least $1 billion

Kuaishou Technology's Kling AI video platform has selected banks for a Hong Kong initial public offering that could raise at least $1 billion, Bloomberg News reported on Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter. Kling is working with China International Capital Corp, Goldman Sachs and UBS Group on the potential share sale and is targeting a listing as soon as next year. Discussions remain ongoing and the size and timing of the offering could change. Kling, launched in 2024, raised $2.8 billion in July from investors including Alibaba Group, Tencent Holdings and Baidu, valuing the company at about $15 billion before the funding. Hong Kong-listed Kuaishou shares rose 3% to HK$30.38 by 03:57 GMT on Tuesday, as Chinese AI video platforms seek to capitalize on growing demand and a revival in Hong Kong IPO activity.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Capital
1024.HK · Capital · Positive Kuaishou's Kling AI unit selected banks for a Hong Kong IPO targeting at least $1 billion, a valuation/listing event for the parent.
Kling AI · Capital · Positive Kling AI has picked banks for a Hong Kong IPO targeting at least $1 billion.
601995.CG · Capital · Positive Selected as an underwriter on Kling AI's Hong Kong IPO targeting at least $1 billion.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Positive Named as an underwriter on Kling AI's potential Hong Kong IPO of at least $1 billion.
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Cocoa Prices Climb Again as El Niño Threatens West African Harvest

Cocoa prices are rising again as climate conditions threaten the West African harvest, renewing pressure on chocolate makers still recovering from the historic 2024 spike. New York cocoa futures closed at $5,670 per metric ton Friday, reversing some of the previous session's decline, with traders focused on supply risks just weeks ahead of Halloween. Goldman Sachs warned last week that a potentially powerful El Niño could leave the cocoa market vulnerable to another supply squeeze, and analyst Lina Thomas said this year's growing season already resembles the run-up to the 2023-24 crisis, with excessive early rainfall followed by unusually dry weather. Cocoa first climbed above $11,000 per metric ton in April 2024 and reached a record $12,565 that December, after hedge funds and other traders bought a record $8.7 billion worth of cocoa futures contracts on the London and New York markets by early 2024. Thomas said the market may be more vulnerable to a poor harvest than in 2023-24, though she does not expect the same futures-market liquidity squeeze, and Kleos Advisory founder Tedd George said he does not expect another move to $12,000. Recent results show the strain: Lindt & Sprungli cut its 2026 sales-growth forecast, Barry Callebaut reported a 4.4% decline in the global chocolate confectionery market in its fiscal third quarter, and Nestlé blamed coffee and cocoa prices for reducing its gross profit margin by 20 basis points to 46.4%.
BARN.SW · Supply · Negative Rising cocoa prices and El Niño harvest risk squeeze input costs, and its fiscal Q3 showed a 4.4% decline in the global chocolate confectionery market.
LISN.SW · Supply · Negative Cocoa price surge threatens margins and the company already cut its 2026 sales-growth forecast amid the strain.
NESN.SW · Supply · Negative Nestlé blamed coffee and cocoa prices for reducing its gross profit margin by 20 basis points to 46.4%.
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Novartis Signs $7.8B RNA Therapeutics Deal With Abogen Biosciences

Novartis entered a licensing and option agreement with China-based Abogen Biosciences, giving the Swiss pharma giant exclusive worldwide rights to Abogen's lead candidate ABO2203 and options to license additional programs built on Abogen's proprietary RNA platform. Under the agreement, Abogen will receive an upfront payment of $575 million and is eligible to receive up to approximately $7.2 billion in potential milestone payments if all options covering additional programs are exercised and the specified development, regulatory and commercial milestones are achieved, plus royalties on future product sales. ABO2203 is an investigational messenger RNA-encoded CD19xCD3 T-cell engager being developed for autoimmune diseases, designed to reset B cells by directing endogenous production of T-cell engagers in vivo. The transaction remains subject to customary closing conditions, including required regulatory clearances. The deal comes as Novartis faces generic competition for Entresto and Promacta and back-to-back pipeline setbacks, including the late-stage failure of pelacarsen and the HARBOR study of del-desiran in myotonic dystrophy type 1.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › RNA Therapeutics ▲Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › mRNA Platforms ▲Capital
NOVN.SW · Capital · Positive Novartis signs $7.8B licensing/option deal with Abogen for RNA therapeutics, adding pipeline assets amid generic competition and pipeline setbacks
Abogen Biosciences · Capital · Positive Abogen receives $575M upfront and up to ~$7.2B in milestones plus royalties under the Novartis licensing and option agreement
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J.P. Morgan Puts Givaudan on Positive Catalyst Watch Ahead of Q3 Results

J.P. Morgan on Monday added Givaudan to its Positive Catalyst Watch ahead of the company's Oct. 13 third-quarter results, expecting organic sales growth of 6.7%, above consensus of about 5%. The broker, which rates Givaudan overweight, said the results could prompt upward revisions to its 2026 and 2027 sales and margin forecasts, and it expects like-for-like sales growth of 5.0% in 2026 and 5.6% in 2027, versus consensus of 4.2% and 4.7%. For the third quarter, the bank forecasts organic sales growth of 6.7%, up from 4.3% in the second quarter, driven mainly by 6.2% volume growth, with pricing growth of 0.5% and a 2026 EBIT margin of 24.1%, slightly above consensus of 23.8%. J.P. Morgan expects 2026 earnings per share of CHF 135.1 and 2027 EPS of CHF 141.8, up from CHF 133 and CHF 139 in its forecasts a month ago, and it sees Givaudan as the fastest-growing company among its ingredients peers in the second half of 2026. Across the ingredients sector, the bank expects third-quarter like-for-like growth of 5.2%, forecasting 3.7% for Kerry and 4.8% for Symrise against 6.7% for Givaudan, while more broadly it expects European consumer staples companies to deliver upside surprises in third-quarter sales and profit forecasts.
GIVN.SW · Capital · Positive J.P. Morgan added Givaudan to its Positive Catalyst Watch and raised EPS forecasts ahead of Q3 results.
SY1.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Symrise is mentioned only as a peer comparison with a 4.8% like-for-like growth forecast, below Givaudan's.
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AFT and Natera Launch AFT-70 NAVIGATE Phase III Trial of Giredestrant With Signatera MRD-Guided Therapy

Alliance Foundation Trials and Natera announced the launch of AFT-70 NAVIGATE, a global randomized phase III trial evaluating an MRD-guided treatment strategy for patients with intermediate and high-risk ER-positive/HER2-negative early breast cancer. The trial is sponsored and led by AFT, with collaboration and co-funding from Natera and Genentech, a member of the Roche Group. It pairs giredestrant, Genentech's investigational next-generation oral selective estrogen receptor degrader, with longitudinal Signatera Genome MRD monitoring to identify patients who may benefit from escalation with a CDK4/6 inhibitor. AFT expects to enroll more than 2,000 patients with stage II-III disease at approximately 200 sites across the U.S. and internationally, with the primary endpoint of non-inferiority in 4-year distant recurrence-free survival. Giredestrant was selected based on the phase III lidERA trial, which showed a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in invasive disease-free survival versus standard endocrine monotherapy, while Signatera was chosen for its evidence in this setting and its Genome-based technology reporting analytical sensitivity below 1 ppm.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Diagnostics & Precision Testing ▲Technology
Alliance Foundation Trials, LLC · Demand · Positive AFT is sponsoring and leading the AFT-70 NAVIGATE phase III trial, a major trial launch for the organization.
NTRA · Demand · Positive Natera's Signatera Genome MRD test is being used in the AFT-70 NAVIGATE phase III trial, expanding clinical adoption of its product.
Genentech, Inc. · Technology · Positive Genentech's investigational giredestrant is the trial's study drug, advancing its clinical development in early breast cancer.
ROP.SW · Technology · Positive Roche's Genentech unit is co-funding and collaborating on the trial of its investigational giredestrant paired with Signatera MRD monitoring.
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Goldman Sachs Initiates EU Luxury Coverage, Rates Richemont, LVMH, Moncler and Prada Buy

Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of 10 European luxury stocks, assigning Buy ratings to just four, as it argued that muted sector growth will not last and that 2027 will mark a turning point after three years of post-COVID normalization. Analysts led by Erwan Rambourg said the slowdown in sales has been driven less by macro headwinds than by aggressive pricing and a slower pace of innovation, both potentially linked to a degree of strategic inertia, noting that traditional luxury brands raised prices by about 60% between mid-2019 and mid-2026. Goldman forecasts organic sales growth for its coverage rising from 6% in 2026, on depressed 2024 and 2025 comparisons, to 7% in 2027, with the sector reverting to mid-single-digit growth, and expects U.S. outperformance to extend into 2027 and beyond, a mechanical rebound in the Middle East and stabilizing sales in China, while Europe stays muted apart from American tourist flows. The four Buy-rated stocks are Richemont, LVMH, Moncler and Prada, with price targets of CHF225, €500, €62 and HK$52 respectively. Goldman initiated Kering, Burberry and Brunello Cucinelli at Neutral and kept Zegna at Neutral, while starting Hermes and Swatch at Sell.
CFR.SW · Capital · Positive Goldman initiated Richemont with a Buy rating and CHF225 price target.
MC.PA · Capital · Positive Goldman initiated LVMH with a Buy rating and €500 price target.
UHR.SW · Capital · Negative Goldman Sachs initiated Swatch at Sell, the only Sell rating alongside Hermes, signaling a negative analyst valuation call.
0QII.LSE · Capital · Positive Goldman initiated Moncler at Buy with a €62 price target.
1913.HK · Capital · Positive Goldman initiated Prada at Buy with a HK$52 price target.
BRBY.LSE · Capital · Negative Goldman initiated Burberry at Neutral, not among its four Buy-rated luxury names.
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Logitech G Named Official Steering Wheel Partner for SEGA's Crazy Taxi: World Tour

Logitech G has become the official steering wheel partner for SEGA's upcoming Crazy Taxi: World Tour, scheduled to launch in 2027, supporting the G29, G920, G923, RS50, and PRO Racing Wheel, with TRUEFORCE haptic feedback on select models, and SEGA has joined Logitech G's Developer Alliance. The deal builds on a Gaming segment that grew 12% year over year to $354.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, but Logitech warned in July that an incident at a semiconductor supplier's manufacturing facility could cut sales by approximately $20 million in Q2 and up to $200 million in Q3, a disruption heading into the holiday shopping period. CEO Hanneke Faber said the general supply situation for semiconductors is unusually tight across the industry and getting significantly more supply ahead of the holidays is particularly challenging. A Morgan Stanley analyst assigned a Sell rating to the stock on September 18, and analysts expect earnings to stay nearly flat this fiscal year before growth of 6% to 9% over the next three years. Logitech holds $1.75 billion in cash against $84.39 million in debt, while hedge fund holders fell from 26 at the end of the first quarter of 2026 to 22 at the start of Q2 2026 and short interest stood at 9.26% as of August 31, 2026.
LOGN.SW · Demand · Positive Logitech G becomes official steering wheel partner for SEGA's Crazy Taxi: World Tour, supporting its racing wheels and TRUEFORCE haptics.
LOGN.SW · Supply · Negative Semiconductor supplier facility incident could cut sales by ~$20M in Q2 and up to $200M in Q3 amid unusually tight chip supply.
LOGN.SW · Capital · Negative Morgan Stanley assigned a Sell rating to Logitech on September 18.
6460.JP · Demand · Positive SEGA's Crazy Taxi: World Tour gets Logitech G as official steering wheel partner and joins its Developer Alliance, a partnership tied to the game's launch.
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Sanofi, Novartis and Novo Nordisk Lead Week of Multi-Billion-Dollar Healthcare Deals

A Delaware federal judge on Monday rejected requests from Pfizer, BioNTech and Moderna to dismiss lawsuits filed by Bayer's Monsanto unit over their use of US Patent No. 7,741,118, a patent related to mRNA technology, with Judge William Bryson saying the companies failed to prove the patent was invalid or not infringed by their COVID-19 vaccines. Sanofi agreed to a deal worth up to $8B, including $1B upfront, with Regeneron to jointly develop four long-acting immunology therapies, led by the clinical-stage IL-13 monoclonal antibody REGN20423. China's Abogen Biosciences signed a licensing and option agreement with Novartis worth up to $7.8B, comprising a $575 million upfront payment and up to approximately $7.2 billion in potential milestone payments if all options on all programs are exercised, covering an exclusive worldwide license to Abogen's lead asset ABO2203. Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals agreed to license global rights to its experimental obesity drug HRS-1596 to Novo Nordisk in a deal worth up to $2.6B, with $300M upfront and the transaction expected to close in Q4 2026. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Health Care Sector Index slipped 2.66% for the week, with Incyte down 6.93% and Regeneron down 6.71% among the top decliners, while McKesson rose 4.11% and Cardinal Health gained 3.67%.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › RNA Therapeutics ▼Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › mRNA Platforms ▼Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics ▲Capital
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Metabolic, Diabetes & Obesity ▲Capital
NOVN.SW · Demand · Positive Novartis signed a licensing and option agreement with Abogen worth up to $7.8B covering ABO2203.
SAN.PA · Demand · Positive Sanofi agreed to an up-to-$8B deal with Regeneron to jointly develop four long-acting immunology therapies.
Abogen Biosciences · Demand · Positive Abogen Biosciences licensed its lead asset ABO2203 to Novartis in a deal worth up to $7.8B.
22UA.XETRA · Regulation · Negative Delaware judge rejected BioNTech's motion to dismiss Monsanto's mRNA patent lawsuits over its COVID-19 vaccine.
600276.CG · Demand · Positive Hengrui licensed global rights to its obesity drug HRS-1596 to Novo Nordisk for up to $2.6B, with $300M upfront.
MRNA · Regulation · Negative Delaware judge rejected Moderna's motion to dismiss Monsanto's mRNA patent infringement lawsuits over its COVID-19 vaccine.
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UBS Sees Global Oil Demand Rising Into 2030s, Led by Emerging Markets

UBS said in a research report that global oil demand is likely to keep rising into the 2030s as population growth, urbanization and higher living standards in emerging markets offset slower fuel consumption from electric vehicles and efficiency gains. Global oil consumption reached a record 105 million barrels per day in 2025, equivalent to roughly 17 billion litres a day, or about two litres per person globally. UBS said transportation accounts for slightly more than half of demand, while petrochemicals, industry, buildings and power generation make up much of the remainder, with road transport alone accounting for less than half of global oil demand, passenger vehicles 27% and road freight 18%, aviation 7%, shipping 4%, rail and waterways 2%, petrochemicals 15% and other industrial uses 13%. The bank said India is increasingly positioned to take over from China as a major driver of global oil-demand growth, with India's oil consumption at about 0.6 litres per person per day versus around 1.9 litres in China, and it flagged significant growth potential in India, Indonesia, Pakistan and Nigeria as incomes rise and urbanization accelerates. UBS expects electric vehicles and improving fuel efficiency to eventually curb gasoline and diesel demand, with those fuels likely to peak sometime over the next decade, but said most growth is likely to come from sectors outside road transportation, particularly petrochemical feedstocks such as naphtha, liquefied petroleum gas and ethane, alongside rising jet-fuel consumption. The report also cautioned that oil consumption figures can be distorted in countries with large petrochemical industries or major transportation hubs, citing Singapore's exceptionally high per-capita consumption because of its role as a global marine-fuel bunkering centre and aviation hub.
UBSG.SW · Demand · Positive UBS research report forecasts global oil demand rising into the 2030s, highlighting its commodity research view
BRENT · Demand · Positive UBS forecasts global oil demand growth into the 2030s, a demand-side positive for Brent crude
WTI · Demand · Positive UBS sees global oil demand rising into the 2030s led by emerging markets, supporting WTI crude demand
HEATOIL · Demand · Positive Rising oil demand and jet-fuel/petrochemical growth imply more refining activity supporting distillate demand
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El-Erian Says Fed Alone Can't Fix US Economy as Rate-Cut Odds Shift

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, warned that monetary policy should not be the only game in town and that fiscal policy must share the burden of addressing the US economy's problems. Speaking Friday on Yahoo Finance's live morning show The 8:30, El-Erian said the deficit is chief among the problems ill-suited for the Fed to handle, calling a 6% of GDP deficit "ridiculous" given unemployment at 4.2%. He cautioned that relying too heavily on rate hikes would sacrifice the housing and car loan markets and worsen the economy's K-shaped divide between the haves and have nots. His remarks came as market expectations shifted sharply, with an almost 80% probability as of Friday afternoon that the Fed holds rates steady, down from a week earlier when an October hike was seen as likely. El-Erian said no rate decision can fix the debt, the spending, or the Iran conflict, yet markets continue to hang on the Fed's every move.
ALV.SW · Monetary · Neutral El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, comments on Fed rate-cut odds and fiscal policy; no company-specific financial impact
ALV.XETRA · Monetary · Neutral El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, comments on Fed rate-cut odds and fiscal policy; no company-specific financial impact
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UBS Says AI Infrastructure Market Stays Hot as CoreWeave Raises GPU Prices

UBS said it sees the artificial intelligence infrastructure market staying hot, keeping CoreWeave in focus on Friday. In a note to clients, UBS analyst Karl Keirstead wrote that the per-hour price of hosted Nvidia GPUs is rising, that the environment is inflationary, and that revenue-per-gigawatt figures are moving higher, now a key pillar of the hyperscaler and neo-cloud bull case. Keirstead noted that CoreWeave disclosed this week it raised per-hour GPU pricing across all SKUs by 25% in July 2026 and has since raised them by another 10% in just the last two to three months. He also flagged the risk that local community and state and local government pushback could throttle the pace of AI data center additions, though he said checks suggested the industry will manage through the hurdle. Keirstead added that the availability and cost of capital could slow the AI buildout, with some projects expected to fade, but said better-positioned players including CoreWeave will not have an issue.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute Cloud & Neoclouds ▲Pricing
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Pricing
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Pricing
CRWV · Pricing · Positive CoreWeave raised per-hour GPU pricing 25% in July 2026 and another 10% recently, a direct price hike on its own product.
NVDA · Pricing · Positive UBS notes per-hour prices of hosted Nvidia GPUs are rising, lifting the value of Nvidia's GPU supply.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Neutral UBS is the author of the bullish AI-infrastructure note, but the article reports no company-specific financial event for UBS itself.
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Julius Baer to Buy Back Up to CHF600 Million in Shares After FINMA Case

Julius Baer said on Friday it would buy back up to 600 million Swiss francs of its own shares, as the Swiss wealth manager seeks to move past regulatory scrutiny and legacy issues that have weighed on the business. The board approved the buyback following regulatory approval and in light of the group's strong capital position, with the programme expected to start in the coming weeks and be completed within a year, subject to market conditions. The shares will be repurchased through a second trading line on the SIX Swiss Exchange. The bank also revised its capital distribution policy, keeping its dividend payout target at 40% to 60% of IFRS net profit attributable to shareholders and aiming for a progressive dividend per share barring exceptional circumstances, while maintaining its target common equity tier 1 capital ratio at 15%. The buyback follows Swiss regulator FINMA's conclusion earlier this week of a long-running enforcement case into the bank's risk management and anti-money-laundering controls, which found serious breaches linked to a private-debt exposure and relationships with two Russian politically exposed persons. Chairman Noel Quinn said management had made progress in addressing the legacy issues and maintained dialogue with regulators.
BAER.SW · Capital · Positive Julius Baer approved a buyback of up to CHF600 million of its own shares following regulatory approval and its strong capital position.
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Julius Baer Fair Value Rises to CHF 75.21 as FINMA Case Ends

Simply Wall St reports that the fair value estimate for Julius Baer Gruppe has been raised to CHF 75.21 from CHF 72.94, following the closure of the FINMA enforcement case. Morgan Stanley moved Julius Baer to Equal Weight from Underweight and raised its target to CHF 81 from CHF 67, directly linking the shift to the end of FINMA enforcement, which it sees as an important reduction in perceived regulatory risk. JPMorgan and Citi both kept positive ratings while lifting their targets into the CHF high 70s to low 80s range, with JPMorgan at CHF 80, Citi at CHF 80.50 and Deutsche Bank at CHF 81. The updated model reduced the revenue growth assumption to 5.53% from 9.50%, adjusted the net profit margin to 27.59% from 26.85%, shifted the future P/E multiple to 14.78x from 14.48x, and changed the discount rate to 8.99% from 9.02%. The article also notes a CHF 130m savings target tied to cost efficiency and digital transformation efforts.
BAER.SW · Regulation · Positive The FINMA enforcement case against Julius Baer has ended, reducing perceived regulatory risk.
BAER.SW · Capital · Positive Analysts raised Julius Baer's fair value and price targets (Morgan Stanley upgrade to Equal Weight, target CHF 81) after the FINMA case closed.
MS · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley upgraded Julius Baer to Equal Weight from Underweight and raised its target to CHF 81, linking it to the end of FINMA enforcement.
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Roche Wins FDA Priority Review for Fenebrutinib in Multiple Sclerosis

Roche Holding received FDA acceptance of its New Drug Application for fenebrutinib in multiple sclerosis under priority review. The filing covers fenebrutinib as an oral BTK inhibitor for both relapsing and primary progressive forms of multiple sclerosis. If approved, fenebrutinib could become the first high efficacy oral BTK inhibitor targeting both relapse control and disability progression in MS, adding an oral, CNS penetrant option alongside Ocrevus in Roche's neurology offering. Roche Holding is a CHF279.4 billion pharmaceuticals and diagnostics group, and the milestone reinforces the view that late stage assets like fenebrutinib can help offset ongoing loss of exclusivity and pricing pressure. The key signpost now is the FDA's priority review timeline for fenebrutinib, including the final decision date and any label details regulators set, with three Phase III trials supporting the filing.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Neuroscience & Neurodegenerative ▲Regulation
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics Regulation
ROP.SW · Regulation · Positive FDA accepted Roche's fenebrutinib NDA for multiple sclerosis under priority review, advancing a potential first-in-class oral BTK inhibitor.
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WISeKey Posts 1H GAAP Loss of $0.87 per ADS as Revenue Jumps 116%

WISeKey ADS reported a first-half GAAP loss of $0.87 per share on revenue of $11.43 million, up 116.1% year over year. Gross profit rose 192% to $5.5 million from $1.9 million in the first half of 2025, while gross margin expanded to approximately 48% from 35%. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 outlook, expecting revenue growth of 50% to 100% year over year.
About megatrends
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Post-Quantum & Cryptographic Trust Capital
Quantum Computing › Quantum-Safe / Post-Quantum Cryptography Capital
WIHN.SW · Capital · Positive WISeKey reported 1H revenue up 116% to $11.43M with gross margin expanding to ~48% and reaffirmed 50-100% FY2026 revenue growth outlook.
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Amrize Cut to Strong Sell as Earnings Misses and Tariffs Bite

Amrize has been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) list after a run of earnings misses, weaker margins and reduced guidance sent the building-materials company's shares down 30% year to date to near a 52-week low of $36. The North American-focused company missed earnings expectations in each of the first two quarters of 2026, with Q1 adjusted earnings a loss of $0.16 per share against a Zacks EPS Consensus of -$0.14 and Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.88 below the consensus estimate of $0.92. Despite Q2 revenue rising 8%, Amrize's adjusted EBITDA margin slipped to 28.2% from 29%, with Building Materials margins contracting 100 basis points and Building Envelope margins falling 350 basis points. Following Q2 results, Amrize revised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $3.1-$3.2 billion from $3.25-$3.34 billion, citing oil-driven inflation in freight, diesel and raw-material costs, and FY26 and FY27 EPS projections are now down over 7% in the last 60 days while current quarter and next quarter EPS revisions have fallen more than 13% and 56% in the last two months. Bank of America cited tariffs as a risk to Canadian demand when lowering its outlook for the company, after the U.S. imposed 50% Section 338 tariffs on a wide range of Canadian goods this summer without a USMCA exemption, initially affecting Portland cement before non-white Portland cement was removed from the tariff list effective Sept. 15.
AMRZ.SW · Capital · Negative Amrize added to Zacks Strong Sell after earnings misses, margin contraction, and reduced 2026 EBITDA guidance.
AMRZ.SW · Tariff · Negative U.S. 50% Section 338 tariffs on Canadian goods cited as a risk to Canadian demand for the building-materials company.
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Roche's giredestrant combo cuts progression risk 44% in advanced breast cancer, NEJM publishes evERA data

Roche announced that detailed results from the phase III evERA Breast Cancer study, showing investigational giredestrant plus everolimus significantly improved progression-free survival versus standard endocrine therapy plus everolimus, were published in The New England Journal of Medicine. In the ESR1-mutated population, median PFS was 10.0 months with the giredestrant combination compared with 5.5 months in the comparator arm, a stratified hazard ratio of 0.38, while in the intent-to-treat population median PFS was 8.8 months versus 5.5 months, a hazard ratio of 0.56, corresponding to a 44% reduction in the risk of disease progression or death in the ITT population and 62% in the ESR1-mutated population. Overall survival data were immature but showed a clear positive trend in both the ITT population, with a hazard ratio of 0.69, and the ESR1-mutated population, with a hazard ratio of 0.62, and adverse events were manageable with no unexpected safety findings, including no photopsia and low rates of bradycardia. Based on these data, the US Food and Drug Administration accepted Roche's New Drug Application for giredestrant in combination with everolimus for ER-positive, HER2-negative, ESR1-mutated locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer, with a decision expected by 18 December 2026, and also accepted a Priority Review NDA for giredestrant as adjuvant treatment in early breast cancer based on the lidERA results, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of 30 November 2026. evERA was the first positive phase III readout for giredestrant, followed by the lidERA Breast Cancer study in the early-stage setting, and additional analyses presented at the 2026 American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting showed the combination prolongs PFS2 and chemotherapy-free survival compared with standard endocrine therapy.
About megatrends
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Oncology Therapeutics Regulation
ROP.SW · Technology · Positive Phase III evERA data show giredestrant combo cut progression risk 44% and FDA accepted NDAs for giredestrant in breast cancer
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Open USD Launches Fee-Free Stablecoin With Equity-for-Usage Model

Open USD launched on Ethereum, Solana, Coinbase's Base, and the Stripe-backed Tempo blockchain on September 23, 2026, eliminating minting and burning fees and sharing reserve revenue directly with distribution partners. The stablecoin's equity-for-usage model allocates the overwhelming majority of Open Standard's equity over the next four to five years tied to supply growth and transaction activity, with five founding partners — Coinbase, Mastercard, Shopify, Stripe, and Visa — each receiving an equal initial equity stake backed by $1 billion in committed liquidity. Partners have grown from 140 at the June announcement to over 200 at launch, including global banks UBS, DBS, and ANZ. Coinbase access opens October 1, bringing the largest US exchange into the distribution network, while the UK FCA crypto gateway opened for applications on September 30 and the US GENIUS Act remains stalled after missing its July 2026 deadline. OUSD enters a $300 billion market dominated by Tether and Circle, with Tempo's Dan Romero projecting $10 billion in volume during 2027 and potentially $100 billion over several years. Execution risks persist, as Samsung and other companies publicly disputed their participation following the June announcement, and managing over 200 entities from global banks to crypto-native protocols like Aave and Uniswap remains a logistical and political challenge.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers & Distribution ▲Competition
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Distribution & Revenue-Share Partners ▲Competition
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers ▼Competition
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Competition
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▲Competition
COIN · Demand · Positive Coinbase is a founding partner of Open USD and opens access on October 1, bringing the exchange into the stablecoin's distribution network.
MA · Demand · Positive Mastercard is a founding partner receiving an equal initial equity stake and participating in Open USD's distribution network.
SHOP · Demand · Positive Shopify is a founding partner receiving an equal initial equity stake and participating in Open USD's distribution network.
V · Demand · Positive Visa is a founding partner receiving an equal initial equity stake and participating in Open USD's distribution network.
Stripe, Inc. · Demand · Positive Stripe is a founding partner of Open USD and backs the Tempo blockchain on which the stablecoin launched.
CRCL · Competition · Negative Open USD enters the $300B stablecoin market dominated by Tether and Circle, posing a competitive threat to Circle's USDC.
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Morgan Stanley Said to Explore Merger With UBS Under Swiss Pressure

Morgan Stanley is reportedly exploring a potential merger or combination with UBS AG under pressure from Swiss regulators, who are said to be urging UBS to reinforce its capital position and prompting discussions with several large foreign banks. Any Morgan Stanley and UBS tie-up would rank among the largest cross-border banking deals and could reshape global investment banking. Morgan Stanley, a US-based capital markets group with a market cap of about $304.1b, runs a securities and advisory franchise spanning the Americas, Europe, Asia, the Middle East and Africa, and a UBS combination would add a deep European and cross-border wealth footprint that complements its existing US$10t in client assets. The report cuts both ways for the bank's Wealth Scale narrative: it reinforces the case for using surplus capital and regulatory headroom on selective acquisitions rather than only buybacks and organic projects, but a bigger, more complex balance sheet could pressure capital strength, invite fresh regulatory demands and distract from adviser retention amid poaching risk and fee pressure from passive products.
MS · Capital · Neutral Reported exploration of a merger/combination with UBS under Swiss regulatory pressure — a major M&A event that could reshape the bank but carries capital-strength and integration risks.
UBSG.SW · Capital · Neutral Swiss regulators are urging UBS to reinforce its capital position and it is reportedly in merger discussions with Morgan Stanley, a transformative but complex combination.
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Switzerland▼

Artisan Partners Urges UBS to Leave Switzerland Over Capital Rules

Artisan Partners' Global Value Team and International Value Group sent a letter to the board of UBS Group AG urging the bank to relocate outside Switzerland over proposed capital requirements. The two teams, which initiated their UBS positions in 2015, said accounts they manage collectively own more than 60 million UBS shares. The letter states that current rules require UBS to hold USD 56 billion of core equity tier one capital, while the proposal likely to become law would raise that to USD 72 billion, leaving USD 16 billion of shareholder capital earning zero return. Artisan argues that in a jurisdiction with rules closer to current Swiss rules, that USD 16 billion could generate a 15% return, or USD 2.4 billion of additional net income, and at a 15X multiple that equals USD 36 billion of foregone market capitalization, roughly 23% of UBS' current value. The letter, signed by portfolio managers Daniel O'Keefe, Michael McKinnon and Ian McGonigle, calls the cost excessive, punitive and unnecessary and urges the board to part ways with Switzerland.
UBSG.SW · Regulation · Negative Proposed Swiss capital rules would raise UBS's required core equity tier one capital from USD 56 billion to USD 72 billion, leaving USD 16 billion earning zero return and potentially USD 36 billion of foregone market cap.
APAM · Capital · Neutral Artisan Partners' value teams sent the letter urging UBS to relocate, but the news is about UBS's capital rules, not Artisan's own financials.
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Switzerland▲

Morgan Stanley Upgrades Julius Baer After FINMA Ends AML Enforcement Action

Morgan Stanley upgraded Swiss private bank Julius Baer to equal-weight from underweight and raised its price target to CHF 81 from CHF 67 after Swiss regulator FINMA ended enforcement action against the bank over anti-money laundering breaches. Morgan Stanley said it was not moving to overweight as it does not expect client flows to improve in the second half of 2026 and sees 2027 as an investment year as Julius Baer transitions to a new core banking system. FINMA has relaxed measures restricting Julius Baer's entry into new business relationships with politically exposed persons from high-risk countries and has partially or fully lifted measures covering capital and liquidity, though the regulator will continue to require reporting on risk, error and compliance culture through 2032, and FINMA approval remains necessary for dividends and share buybacks. Morgan Stanley moved its valuation basis to 2028 earnings from 2027 and cut its cost of equity assumption to 10.5% from 11%, putting the new price target at 12 times estimated 2028 earnings. Underlying earnings per share are now forecast at CHF 6.05 for 2026, CHF 6.20 for 2027 and CHF 6.78 for 2028, compared with previous estimates of CHF 6.14, CHF 6.15 and CHF 6.90, respectively, while Morgan Stanley assumes CHF 100 million of buybacks for the remainder of 2026 and CHF 600 million annually in 2027 and 2028.
BAER.SW · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to equal-weight and lifted its price target to CHF 81 from CHF 67.
BAER.SW · Regulation · Positive FINMA ended its AML enforcement action and relaxed restrictions on Julius Baer's new business relationships.
MS · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley upgraded Julius Baer to equal-weight and raised its price target to CHF 81 from CHF 67.
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Roche subsidiary TIB MOLBIOL launches newborn screening test for SMA, SCID and sickle cell disease

TIB MOLBIOL, a subsidiary of Roche Diagnostics, has launched the LightMix Newborn TREC/SMN1/HBB kit, an in vitro diagnostic test for newborn screening in countries accepting the CE mark. The test simultaneously screens for Spinal Muscular Atrophy, Severe Combined Immunodeficiency Disease, and Sickle Cell Disease, and provides private and academic hospital laboratories with a ready-to-use solution that integrates into existing workflows on established LightCycler systems. Marcus Droege, CEO of TIB MOLBIOL, said catching these diseases before symptoms appear is the difference between a child thriving or facing severe, lifelong disability, and that expanding the company's compliant newborn screening tools across Europe helps laboratories transition to high-precision solutions. Early diagnosis of SMA allows clinicians to immediately initiate targeted therapies that may halt severe nerve damage and prevent permanent disability, while early detection of SCD enables preventive penicillin and specialised immunisations that can drastically lower infant mortality, and early detection of SCID allows for lifesaving treatments such as bone marrow transplants before dangerous infections occur.
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Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Diagnostics & Precision Testing ▲Technology
Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Tools, Diagnostics & CDMO ▲Technology
TIB MOLBIOL · Technology · Positive TIB MOLBIOL itself launched the LightMix Newborn TREC/SMN1/HBB newborn screening test
ROP.SW · Technology · Positive Roche subsidiary TIB MOLBIOL launched the LightMix Newborn TREC/SMN1/HBB diagnostic kit for SMA, SCID and sickle cell disease
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