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Germany

25,087.27+1.9%

Europe's biggest economy, built on world-leading engineering, cars and industrial machinery — think SAP, Siemens and Mercedes-Benz. The industrial engine of the continent.

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Why is Germany moving?

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ECB tightening risk, auto restructuring, and Starlink telecom threat

  • ECB may tighten further as energy prices stay high Bundesbank chief Nagel said the ECB may need to raise rates into mildly restrictive territory if energy prices keep rising. That means higher borrowing costs for German businesses and households, and it supports the euro. It adds pressure on an economy already squeezed by expensive oil and gas.

    This is the main monetary force now shaping German credit conditions and the euro.

  • Auto crisis deepens: recalls, job cuts, but some analyst optimism Volkswagen recalled 2.8 million vehicles over a steering defect, adding costs to its restructuring. BMW's CEO opposed EU tariffs on cheap Chinese cars, favoring voluntary pricing deals. Morgan Stanley said the margin bottom may be past, raising targets for BMW, Mercedes and VW, but kept Porsche underweight.

    Autos are Germany's biggest industry; these events show both the depth of the crisis and the first signs of a possible turn.

  • SpaceX's mobile push hits German telecom stocks SpaceX will buy US spectrum to turn Starlink into a mobile carrier, and the FCC approved 15,000 satellites for mobile service. Deutsche Telekom fell 7% as investors feared direct competition. This threatens a defensive sector that pays big dividends, a new drag on the DAX.

    A new competitive threat to a major DAX sector, with an immediate market reaction.

  • German firms advance in stablecoin and digital payments SAP embedded stablecoin settlement in its ERP software, and Deutsche Bank joined the digital euro pilot. Citi and Coinbase linked a $6 trillion payment network to stablecoins. These moves open new payment channels for German firms, though they pressure traditional banks and card networks.

    Shows how German financial and tech firms are positioning in the fast-moving digital payments shift.

News moving Germany
Spain
Germany

Goldman Sachs: Spain election could reshape energy policy for utilities

Spain's upcoming general election could reshape the country's energy policies, creating opportunities and risks for utility companies, according to Goldman Sachs. In an October 6 report, Goldman Sachs said a potential government led by the centre-right People's Party could introduce more market-friendly energy policies, including greater support for nuclear power, renewable energy and data centre development. Spain's general election is scheduled for November 29, having been brought forward from August 2027, and polls cited by the bank suggest the People's Party could emerge as the largest parliamentary group. Goldman estimates longer operating lives for nuclear reactors could generate an additional €500 million to €750 million in annual EBITDA for each of Endesa and Iberdrola, depending on electricity prices, while a 10%-20% reduction in retail margins could lower annual pre-tax profits at Endesa and Iberdrola by €120 million to €240 million each, translating into estimated 2027 earnings-per-share reductions of approximately 7% for Endesa and 2% for Iberdrola. The bank also warned that a government transition could further delay hydrogen infrastructure investments, creating uncertainty for Sell-rated Enagas, though it expects the overall impact on most Spanish utilities to be neutral to positive.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Nuclear Generation & Utilities ▲Regulation
ENA.XETRA · Regulation · Neutral Potential People's Party energy policy could extend nuclear reactor lives (positive) but also cut retail margins (negative) for Endesa.
IBE1.XETRA · Regulation · Neutral Potential People's Party energy policy could extend nuclear reactor lives (positive) but also cut retail margins (negative) for Iberdrola.
0EBQ.LSE · Regulation · Negative A government transition could further delay hydrogen infrastructure investments, creating uncertainty for Sell-rated Enagas.
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Investing.com·7hRead more →
United States
Germany▲

Merck's Remigromig Meets Primary Endpoint in Pivotal BRUNELLO DME Trial

Merck announced that remigromig, an investigational tri-specific antibody that activates the Wnt pathway, met the primary endpoint in the pivotal Phase 2b/3 BRUNELLO trial in adults with diabetic macular edema, with both dose arms demonstrating non-inferiority in mean change from baseline in best corrected visual acuity at one year versus monthly 0.5mg ranibizumab. Mean BCVA gains at Year 1 were +9.1 letters with remigromig 0.5 mg and +8.7 letters with remigromig 0.8 mg, compared with +11.8 letters with ranibizumab, and no secondary endpoints demonstrated superiority to ranibizumab. The company said remigromig is the first biologic with a novel mechanism of action to demonstrate non-inferior visual acuity compared with anti-VEGF therapy in a pivotal DME trial, and the first new mechanism of action in more than 20 years to do so. Adverse events related to proliferative diabetic retinopathy occurred more frequently with remigromig than with ranibizumab, at 6.7% and 6.1% for the 0.5 mg and 0.8 mg arms versus 0.9%, and treatment discontinuations due to adverse events were also higher, at 4.9% and 4.5% versus 0.9%. The results, presented at the American Academy of Ophthalmology 2026 Annual Meeting in New Orleans, will be discussed with regulatory authorities, and remigromig is also being evaluated in the ongoing pivotal Phase 2b/3 BAROLO study in DME and a Phase 2 proof-of-concept study in NVAMD and RVO.
MRK.XETRA · Technology · Positive Remigromig met the primary endpoint in the pivotal BRUNELLO DME trial, a positive R&D/clinical result for Merck KGaA.
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Business Wire·11hRead more →
GermanyUnited StatesTaiwan
Germany

GlobalFoundries Unveils FDX Fusion Physical AI Platform in Dresden

GlobalFoundries announced FDX Fusion, a next-generation FD-SOI platform to be developed and manufactured in Dresden for highly integrated, energy-efficient Physical AI chips spanning sensing, compute, control and connectivity functions. The platform blends seven nanometer class digital performance with advanced RF, analog and embedded memory on a single chip aimed at edge and automotive, industrial and consumer AI systems. The launch fits GlobalFoundries' broader shift away from weaker smart mobile demand toward automotive, industrial, communications and AI applications, though it does not immediately change the near term risk that higher investment and oversubscribed niches like SiGe could still coexist with only high 80s percent fab utilization. Among recent announcements, a US$2 billion, five year silicon interposer deal with TSMC reinforces GlobalFoundries' role in AI hardware supply alongside FDX Fusion, with the Dresden FDX roadmap and Malta advanced packaging capacity sitting squarely against the key catalyst of moving its revenue mix toward higher value, AI linked processes. GlobalFoundries' narrative projects $10.4 billion revenue and $1.7 billion earnings by 2029, requiring 14.5% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $1.0 billion earnings increase from $716.0 million today, while the most optimistic analysts already assumed about US$11.7 billion of revenue and US$2.3 billion of earnings by 2029.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Foundry & Contract Fabrication Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Edge & On-device AI Silicon ▲Technology
Semiconductors › Logic, Compute & Connectivity Processors Technology
GFS · Technology · Positive GlobalFoundries unveils FDX Fusion FD-SOI platform in Dresden for energy-efficient Physical AI chips, advancing its AI-linked product roadmap.
GFS · Demand · Positive $2 billion five-year silicon interposer deal with TSMC reinforces GlobalFoundries' role in AI hardware supply.
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Simply Wall St·13hRead more →
United States
Germany▲impact 4

AI Agents Reshape Back-Office Jobs in Procurement, Finance, Accounting

AI agents are moving from experimental pilots into procurement, accounting, and finance, where they are redesigning work through role consolidation, hiring freezes, and the quiet absorption of junior positions. Workday has launched a suite of AI agents for finance, including an Accounting Agent that continuously reconciles accounts, tests controls, and catches variances, and a Procurement Agent that reviews every transaction against contract terms and SLAs. SAP has introduced Joule agents for procurement through Ariba and Fieldglass, plus an Expense Automation Agent the company says cuts report completion time by up to 30% and a Project Billing Price Verification Agent that reduces time spent resolving price discrepancies by 75%. On Oct. 7, Automation Anywhere announced the acquisition of Boost.ai, extending its Autonomous Enterprise vision, the idea that business functions can run up to 80% autonomously, into conversational and voice AI for back-office workflows. BCG's Henderson Institute reported in January 2026 that 50% to 55% of US jobs will be reshaped in the next two to three years, with 10% to 15% eliminated within five, and data from JobZone Risk in October 2026 shows that of 21 million US workers in finance and accounting, only 3% sit in what the firm calls a structurally safe zone. Ninety percent of Chief Procurement Officers are already exploring or using AI agents, according to Icertis and ProcureCon research, and 64% expect AI to transform their roles within five years, per the Hackett Group.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
SAP.XETRA · Technology · Positive SAP introduced Joule agents for procurement via Ariba and Fieldglass plus Expense Automation and Project Billing Price Verification agents.
WDAY · Technology · Positive Workday launched a suite of AI agents for finance, including an Accounting Agent that continuously reconciles accounts and catches variances.
Automation Anywhere · Capital · Positive Automation Anywhere announced the acquisition of Boost.ai to extend its Autonomous Enterprise vision into conversational and voice AI for back-office workflows.
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Yahoo Finance·18hRead more →
European UnionChinaGermanyFranceSpain
Germany▲impact 4

EU and China Reach Preliminary Deal to Cut Chinese Hybrid Vehicle Exports

The European Union and China reached a preliminary agreement on Friday to cut Chinese hybrid vehicle exports to the bloc by more than half, offering relief to European automakers ahead of next week's Paris Motor Show. The deal could ease competitive pressure on Volkswagen, Stellantis and Renault, which are struggling with declining sales and growing competition from Chinese manufacturers, though details remain limited and Germany's VDA automotive association described it only as an initial positive signal. Chinese brands captured nearly 12% of Europe's new-car market in August, according to Dataforce, and EU imports of Chinese cars and light commercial vehicles surged almost 75% to nearly 770,000 units during January-August, with hybrids currently avoiding the additional EU tariffs imposed on Chinese-made battery-electric cars. European manufacturers face mounting financial pressure, as Mercedes-Benz reported an 8% decline in third-quarter car sales while Volkswagen recently lowered its profit outlook following a similar warning from BMW. The Paris Motor Show, running October 12-18, will highlight efforts to defend European market share through affordable electric vehicles and new partnerships, with Renault's Dacia brand showcasing its second-generation Spring electric car priced below €18,000 in France, Volkswagen presenting its ID. Tiguan alongside a strategy involving four smaller electric vehicles manufactured in Spain, and Stellantis displaying more than 60 vehicles across eight brands including a Citroën electric concept developed using technology from Chinese partner Leapmotor, while Chinese competitors BYD, XPeng and Zeekr will also showcase expanded lineups.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Competition
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▲Competition
Electrification & Mobility › China NEV Leaders ▼Competition
RNL.PA · Tariff · Positive EU-China preliminary deal to cut Chinese hybrid vehicle exports by more than half would ease competitive pressure on Renault, which is struggling with declining sales and Chinese competition.
RNO.PA · Tariff · Positive EU-China preliminary deal to cut Chinese hybrid vehicle exports by more than half would ease competitive pressure on Renault, which is struggling with declining sales and Chinese competition.
STLA · Tariff · Positive EU-China deal to cut Chinese hybrid exports by over half eases competitive pressure on Stellantis, which is also showcasing vehicles at the Paris show.
VOW.XETRA · Tariff · Positive The preliminary EU-China agreement to cut Chinese hybrid exports eases competitive pressure on Volkswagen, which is also presenting its ID. Tiguan and Spain-built EVs at the Paris show.
VOW3.XETRA · Tariff · Positive The preliminary EU-China agreement to cut Chinese hybrid exports eases competitive pressure on Volkswagen, which is also presenting its ID. Tiguan and Spain-built EVs at the Paris show.
BMW.XETRA · Tariff · Positive The EU-China deal to curb Chinese hybrid imports offers relief to European automakers, though BMW is only cited for its profit warning context.
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Investing.com·23hRead more →
Germany
Germany▲

MLP SE Lifts 2026 EBIT Guidance to €110 Million to €120 Million

MLP SE raised its 2026 EBIT guidance to €110 million to €120 million and flagged significantly higher third quarter EBIT, citing performance-based pay, higher assets under management, and ECB rate effects. The guidance upgrade follows a strong rally in the shares, with a 30-day share price return of 17.9% and a 90-day move of 42.7%, while total shareholder return over the past year is 55.3%. MLP's most followed valuation narrative pegs fair value at €11.56, a touch above the last close of €10.72, and the company's P/E of 16.9x sits above both peers at 13.1x and the German Capital Markets average of 14.5x. The company points to rapid growth in assets under management and managed non-life insurance premium volumes, supported by expanding recurring revenues of nearly 70%, as a foundation for sustainable revenue growth. MLP warns the story can change quickly if capital markets remain volatile and if real estate development continues to deliver uneven earnings contributions.
MLP.XETRA · Capital · Positive MLP SE raised its 2026 EBIT guidance to €110-120 million on higher Q3 EBIT, a financial/earnings event
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United StatesGermany
Germany▲

Bayer Wins FDA Acceptance for KERENDIA CKD Filing Without Diabetes

Bayer reported that the U.S. FDA accepted its supplemental New Drug Application for KERENDIA for chronic kidney disease patients without diabetes. The filing is backed by Phase III trial data that Bayer says showed kidney and cardiovascular benefits in non diabetic CKD patients, and KERENDIA is already approved in the U.S. for adults with chronic kidney disease associated with type 2 diabetes. The sNDA covers adults with CKD without diabetes on standard care, a population not included in KERENDIA's current U.S. approvals, and the FIND CKD trial enrolled 1,584 such patients and showed a statistically significant 0.7 mL/min/1.73 m²/year difference in eGFR decline versus placebo, plus a benefit on a kidney cardiovascular composite outcome. Bayer, a €41.8 billion life science group active across Europe, the Americas and Asia, has been pushing deeper into prescription therapies, and the company's narrative highlights new labels and approvals for KERENDIA as a key pharmaceutical catalyst that can help offset patent losses. The critical signpost now is the FDA's decision on this sNDA, including the timing and any label wording around the kidney and cardiovascular endpoints from FIND CKD.
About megatrends
Aging Population › Chronic-Disease Pharma Franchises ▲Regulation
BAYN.XETRA · Regulation · Positive FDA accepted Bayer's sNDA for KERENDIA in non-diabetic CKD, advancing a key label expansion toward approval.
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NigeriaUnited StatesSouth AfricaEgyptPakistanIndonesia
Germany

OPay Secures $185 Million Standard Bank Placement Ahead of US IPO

SoftBank Group Corp.-backed OPay Digital Services Ltd. secured about $185 million in a private placement with Standard Bank Group Ltd. as it prepares to list in the US. The Nigeria-focused financial-technology company signed two agreements with Africa's biggest bank that include a stake sale through the private placement and the appointment of the lender's Africa head, Lungisa Fuzile, to OPay's board of directors, according to a prospectus seen by Bloomberg and filed Friday. The final size of the placement hinges on currency fluctuations, as does the size of Standard's holding, which won't exceed 4.99%. OPay plans an initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange, with a later listing on the Nigerian Exchange, and is using Citigroup Inc., Deutsche Bank AG and Standard Bank for the listing. OPay, which has more than 50 million active monthly users, saw revenue more than double to $806 million in the year through June, with the bulk coming from Nigeria, and also operates in Egypt, Pakistan and Indonesia.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Digital Banking & Neobanks ▲Capital
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails Capital
OPay Digital Services Ltd. · Capital · Positive OPay secured ~$185 million from Standard Bank and added its Africa head to the board as it prepares a NYSE IPO.
Standard Bank Group Limited · Capital · Positive Standard Bank signed a ~$185 million private placement for a stake in OPay and gets board representation ahead of its US IPO.
C · Capital · Neutral Named as one of the banks used for OPay's planned NYSE IPO, a mandate mention with no financial terms.
DBK.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Named as one of the banks used for OPay's planned NYSE IPO, a mandate mention with no financial terms.
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Bloomberg·1dRead more →
European UnionNetherlandsSwedenGermany
Germany▲

Major European companies expected to post 21% profit growth in July-September, energy sector lifts results, LSEG says

According to data compiled by LSEG's IBES on the 8th, profits for companies in the STOXX Europe 600 index as a whole are expected to rise 21% year-on-year in the July-September quarter of 2026. While this is below the 23.9% increase in the April-June quarter of 2026, it is expected to be the second-highest quarterly profit growth rate in the past four years. Energy companies are showing high growth of about 2.2 times, but excluding them, growth comes to 9.7%, and real estate companies are expected to see a 71.5% decline in profit. Overall sales are also seen performing strongly, up 10.6%. Deutsche Bank noted in a report earlier this week that demand is solid and companies are able to pass on higher costs into prices, and that the impact of higher costs from elevated fuel prices is not as large as has been emphasized. Next week, Dutch semiconductor manufacturing equipment maker ASML Holding and Swedish telecommunications equipment giant Ericsson are among companies scheduled to report earnings.
DBK.XETRA · Capital · Positive Deutsche Bank's report notes solid demand and companies passing on higher costs, supporting the broad profit-growth outlook.
0O86.LSE · · Neutral Ericsson Series A is only mentioned as due to report earnings next week, no company-specific news.
ASML.AS · · Neutral ASML is only named as scheduled to report earnings next week, with no specific development.
ERIC · · Neutral Ericsson is only listed as scheduled to report earnings next week, with no specific development given.
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ロイター·1dRead more →
CanadaUnited StatesGermany
Germany▲

Couche-Tard, Raytheon, SAP, CN and Lilly Lead Week's Deal and Contract News

Alimentation Couche-Tard agreed to acquire certain Irving Oil retail assets in Quebec and Ontario, including 50 retail sites already operated by Couche-Tard under the Quebec Alliance, two additional retail sites in Pembroke and Cornwall, Ontario, and fuel supply arrangements covering 71 Couche-Tard owned and operated retail sites in Quebec, plus 18 cardlock sites split between 16 in Quebec and two in Ontario. RTX's Raytheon business secured a five-year contract, with two additional option years, valued up to $6.3 billion for production and sustainment of Standard Missile-3 Block IB interceptors. SAP SE agreed to acquire TechWolf, an AI work intelligence platform provider, in a deal expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026 with terms not disclosed. Canadian National Railway set a new quarterly record for grain movement, hauling 7.94 million metric tonnes of grain from Western Canada in its third quarter, surpassing the previous record of 7.48 million metric tonnes set in 2020. Eli Lilly and Company said the FDA approved an additional indication for Jaypirca, allowing its use as a first-line treatment for adult patients with previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukemia or small lymphocytic lymphoma without a known 17p deletion.
CNI · Demand · Positive Set a new quarterly record for grain movement, hauling 7.94 million metric tonnes from Western Canada in Q3.
LLY · Regulation · Positive FDA approved an additional indication for Jaypirca as first-line treatment for untreated CLL/SLL.
RTX · Demand · Positive Raytheon secured a five-year contract worth up to $6.3 billion for Standard Missile-3 Block IB interceptors.
SAP.XETRA · Capital · Positive SAP agreed to acquire AI work intelligence platform provider TechWolf.
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc · Capital · Positive Couche-Tard agreed to acquire certain Irving Oil retail assets in Quebec and Ontario.
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European UnionGermanyUnited KingdomFranceUnited StatesChinaMexicoBrazil+1
Germany

European Commission Names Two AMG Lithium Projects CRMA Strategic Projects

AMG Critical Materials N.V. announced that the European Commission has designated two of AMG Lithium's activities as Critical Raw Materials Act Strategic Projects 2026. The two designations cover AMG's lithium refinery in Bitterfeld, named a European Lithium Refining and Recycling Hub, and Zinnwald Lithium, recognized for Integrated Extraction and Processing. CEO Dr. Heinz Schimmelbusch said the decision affirms AMG's strategy of building an independent lithium supply chain for Europe and reducing dependence on foreign supply chains. The Commission's recognition means the projects will directly contribute to benchmarks set in the Critical Raw Materials Act, which aims by 2030 to increase the EU's competitiveness and resilience while decreasing dependency on any single supplier. AMG, listed on Euronext Amsterdam and Deutsche Börse, employs approximately 3,500 people and operates production facilities in Germany, the United Kingdom, France, the United States, China, Mexico, Brazil, and India.
About megatrends
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Lithium ▲Regulation
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Lithium Refining & Chemicals ▲Regulation
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Lithium Mining & Brine Extraction ▲Regulation
AMG.AS · Regulation · Positive European Commission designated two AMG Lithium projects as Critical Raw Materials Act Strategic Projects, supporting its independent lithium supply chain strategy.
Zinnwald Lithium plc · Regulation · Positive Zinnwald Lithium was recognized by the European Commission as a CRMA Strategic Project for Integrated Extraction and Processing.
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Germany
Germany▲

Bankers assemble €7 billion debt package for Siemens Energy unit sale

Bankers are assembling debt packages of up to €7 billion, or $7.9 billion, to finance a potential majority stake sale in Siemens Energy AG's steam turbines unit, Bloomberg reported Friday, citing people familiar with the matter. The financing efforts follow the German energy group's announcement in August that it plans to separate the division, which manufactures steam turbines and compressors primarily for industrial clients. Private equity firms including CVC Capital Partners, EQT AB, and Bain Capital are among the buyout groups evaluating bids for the business, and the unit, officially known as the Transformation of Industry division, could command a total valuation exceeding €10 billion as Siemens Energy sharpens its focus on core power generation and transmission assets. Lenders are pitching debt packages designed to support the transaction through a mix of drawn and undrawn credit facilities, with the proposed structures reportedly featuring €4.5 billion to €5 billion in drawn debt, including leveraged loans and high-yield bonds, alongside significant undrawn capacity. To accommodate the unit's operational requirements, bankers are structuring approximately €2.5 billion in undrawn facilities, comprising a €1 billion revolving credit facility and €1.5 billion in guarantee lines, and based on the division's estimated annual earnings of around €900 million, the proposed debt structure would represent a leverage ratio of approximately 5.0 times EBITDA.
ENR.XETRA · Capital · Positive Bankers assembling up to €7B debt package to finance a majority stake sale of Siemens Energy's steam turbines unit, sharpening focus on core power assets.
CVC.AS · Capital · Positive CVC Capital Partners is among the private equity firms evaluating bids for Siemens Energy's Transformation of Industry division.
Bain Capital · Capital · Positive Bain Capital is among the buyout groups evaluating bids for Siemens Energy's steam turbines unit.
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Investing.com·1dRead more →
GermanyEuropean UnionNetherlandsUnited States
Germany

Tesla Renames Full Self-Driving to Tesla Assisted Driving in Europe

Tesla has renamed its advanced driver assistance system in Europe to "Tesla Assisted Driving," dropping the "Full Self-Driving (Supervised)" branding after pushback from Germany's transportation ministry. Germany's transport minister, Steffen Bilger, said earlier this month that calling the software "Full Self-Driving" was somewhat misleading because it does not perform the entire task of driving, and after speaking with Tesla last month the company itself suggested the name change, according to an official release from the ministry. Bilger said he will now advocate for approval of Tesla Assisted Driving across Europe ahead of an EU-wide vote that could happen later this year, and Tesla CEO Elon Musk thanked him on X this week. The change marks a significant capitulation for Tesla, which had used the Full Self-Driving (Supervised) name for years even though the system requires humans to pay attention to the road and take over when necessary, and it could help the company achieve wider adoption on the continent and unlock a potentially massive new revenue stream. The rebrand follows a Reuters report on Wednesday that Tesla's campaign for European approval was built on faulty company safety research and flawed studies, and that the Dutch vehicle safety regulator, RDW, faced fierce pressure from Tesla and its online supporters; the Netherlands became the first European country to approve FSD (Supervised) in March. FSD has also been at the center of federal investigations and civil lawsuits over crashes in which it was allegedly in use, and Tesla discontinued its less capable predecessor, Autopilot, earlier this year after a judge ruled the company had engaged in deceptive marketing about the system's capabilities.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▼Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Regulation
TSLA · Regulation · Positive Renaming FSD to Tesla Assisted Driving after German ministry pushback could ease European regulatory approval and unlock wider adoption.
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Yahoo Finance·1dRead more →
GlobalUnited States
Germany▲impact 4

Agentic Commerce Control Splits Across Layers as Liability Gap Persists

Agentic commerce is fragmenting across infrastructure layers, with control over the checkout gate splitting rather than consolidating even as 89% of merchants prepare for autonomous agents while only 3% of transactions currently involve them, according to the Checkout.com 2026 report. Merchants are reclaiming protocol-level control: Shopify recently implemented robots.txt restrictions to block AI crawlers from checkout and cart paths, the first major eCommerce platform to draw the line at the protocol level, while Amazon has blocked Meta Muse agent checkouts over unauthorized access and credential capture concerns, as GeekWire reported. Only 11% of SMBs are currently agent-ready per PYMNTS/Visa data, and just 28% of merchants are willing to offer agents their full product range. Settlement infrastructure is maturing in parallel, with Moody's issuing its first-ever stablecoin protocol rating, the Citi-Coinbase collaboration wiring its $6 trillion payment network to stablecoins, and SAP Pay stablecoin settlement embedded directly in its ERP software. The liability framework remains unallocated, however: PYMNTS Intelligence data shows 93% of merchants believe AI providers should bear the financial loss for agent errors, yet no clear mechanism exists, and Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, speaking at Sibos, named authentication, liability, and fraud as the three binding challenges while framing the open-versus-closed choice as the variable that could significantly influence how market structure evolves. Walmart pilot data showed conversion rates roughly three times lower for direct agent checkouts than for click-out flows, according to Walmart executive Daniel Danker, first reported by Wired.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Technology
SHOP · Technology · Neutral Shopify implemented robots.txt restrictions to block AI crawlers from checkout and cart paths, the first major eCommerce platform to draw the line at the protocol level.
WMT · Demand · Negative Walmart pilot data showed conversion rates roughly three times lower for direct agent checkouts than for click-out flows.
AMZN · Technology · Negative Amazon blocked Meta Muse agent checkouts over unauthorized access and credential capture concerns, limiting agent-driven checkout on its platform.
SAP.XETRA · Technology · Positive SAP Pay stablecoin settlement is embedded directly in its ERP software, advancing its settlement infrastructure.
C · Technology · Positive Citi-Coinbase collaboration wires Citi's $6 trillion payment network to stablecoin settlement infrastructure.
COIN · Technology · Positive Coinbase's collaboration with Citi connects its stablecoin settlement to a $6 trillion payment network.
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United States
Germany▼

SpaceX Closes Low-Band Spectrum Deal for Starlink, Pressuring Telecom Stocks

SpaceX has closed a low-band spectrum deal for its Starlink satellite service, a move that is pressuring shares of wireless carriers including AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile. The deal confirms Elon Musk's intent to compete in the wireless space, a prospect that has weighed on telecom stocks for much of the year. AT&T CEO John Stankey said no satellite technology will beat the performance and cost performance of fiber, though he acknowledged Starlink offers a strong broadband solution for airlines in flight and rural areas. MoffettNathanson cautioned that for SpaceX to become a major wireless player it would need to build a terrestrial network, costing many tens of billions of dollars and taking many, many years. Starlink is just one component of SpaceX, which is also launching rockets and building a terafab, and it will not turn on a global wireless phone service or become a major US market player overnight.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Competition
Space Economy › Satellite Broadband, MSS & Ground Equipment ▼Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) Competition
SPCX · Competition · Positive SpaceX closed a low-band spectrum deal for Starlink, advancing its entry into wireless and pressuring telecom carriers.
T · Competition · Negative Starlink's spectrum deal confirms SpaceX as a new wireless competitor, pressuring AT&T shares; CEO Stankey downplayed satellite vs fiber.
TMUS · Competition · Negative T-Mobile shares pressured as SpaceX's Starlink spectrum deal signals new wireless competition.
VZ · Competition · Negative Verizon shares pressured by SpaceX's Starlink low-band spectrum deal and wireless ambitions.
DTE.XETRA · Competition · Negative Deutsche Telekom, T-Mobile's parent, indirectly pressured as SpaceX's Starlink deal threatens US wireless carriers.
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United Kingdom
Germany▼

Loganair cuts up to 15pc of winter flights as jet fuel costs soar

Loganair, Scotland's largest airline, will scrap up to 15pc of its winter timetable, cutting lifeline services to Stornoway on Lewis, Kirkwall in Orkney and Sumburgh on Shetland after kerosene costs climbed more than 50pc above levels seen before the Iran war. Chief commercial officer Ronnie Matheson told the Scottish Parliament's transport committee the airline is making a profit of just £4 per passenger and that no location will lose flights entirely, though journey times to Edinburgh will lengthen as routes are combined. Matheson said Loganair is reviewing its wider network and could not rule out further cuts without state support, adding that new Scottish National Party funding of more than £1m that restored weekday Inverness flights on Oct 26 will run out in March. Scottish Liberal Democrat MSP Willie Rennie accused Loganair of cherry picking routes, saying that since it already receives state aid on some flights it should subsidise less-profitable ones. The cuts come as carriers brace for higher oil prices to hit profits, with EasyJet trimming winter capacity by 1.4pc, or about 700,000 seats, and Ryanair cutting capacity by 4pc while warning fuel prices could stay near current levels through next year.
Loganair · Supply · Negative Loganair will scrap up to 15pc of its winter timetable after kerosene costs climbed more than 50pc above pre-Iran-war levels.
EZJ.LSE · Supply · Negative EasyJet is trimming winter capacity by 1.4pc (~700,000 seats) as higher jet fuel costs squeeze profits.
RY4C.XETRA · Supply · Negative Ryanair is cutting capacity by 4pc and warns fuel prices could stay near current levels through next year.
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United States
Germany▲

Zscaler Reaffirms Fiscal 2027 Outlook and Expands AI Security Partnership With IBM and Red Hat

Zscaler reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook, guiding first-quarter revenue to about US$935 million to US$939 million and full-year revenue to roughly US$3.91 billion to US$3.94 billion, while outlining a long-term ambition for much higher annual recurring revenue. The company also announced a collaboration with IBM and Red Hat aimed at protecting private applications during the gap between vulnerability disclosure and patching. The reaffirmed guidance supports Zscaler's near-term execution story, though slower expected revenue growth remains a key risk if competition tightens or deal cycles lengthen. Zscaler's narrative projects US$5.3 billion in revenue and US$178.4 million in earnings by 2029, requiring 16.6% yearly revenue growth and a US$241.6 million earnings increase from negative US$63.2 million today. More cautious analysts assume revenue of about US$5.2 billion and earnings near US$16 million by 2029, a more restrained view of how quickly Zscaler's newer security pillars could scale.
About megatrends
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Network Security & SASE ▲Technology
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Cloud & Workload Security ▲Technology
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Endpoint & Network Security ▲Technology
0ZC.XETRA · Capital · Positive Zscaler reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook and long-term ARR ambition.
0ZC.XETRA · Technology · Positive Zscaler announced an AI security collaboration with IBM and Red Hat for private application protection.
ZS · Capital · Positive Zscaler reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance and long-term ARR ambition.
ZS · Technology · Positive Zscaler announced an AI security collaboration with IBM and Red Hat for private application protection.
IBM · Technology · Positive IBM collaborates with Zscaler and Red Hat on protecting private applications during the vulnerability-to-patch gap.
Red Hat, Inc. · Technology · Positive Red Hat collaborates with Zscaler and IBM on protecting private applications during the vulnerability-to-patch gap.
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Eni Installs World-First Offshore CCS Platform at Liverpool Bay

Eni has completed the installation of the Douglas CCS platform in Liverpool Bay, advancing the carbon dioxide transportation and storage network that underpins the HyNet industrial decarbonization cluster in the United Kingdom. The platform, delivered in less than 18 months from contract award under an accelerated engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning program, is the world's first purpose-built offshore platform dedicated to CCS for industrial decarbonization. It will receive CO2 captured from industrial sites across North West England and North Wales and distribute it through repurposed offshore pipelines to depleted natural gas reservoirs for permanent storage. The wider Liverpool Bay CCS network is approximately 50% complete, with around 60% of total project expenditure directed toward U.K.-based supply chains, supporting more than 2,000 construction jobs and an estimated 200 to 300 long-term roles over the project's more than 25 years of operations. The project forms part of Eni CCUS Holding's broader portfolio of CCS initiatives, the joint venture between Eni and Global Infrastructure Partners, a part of BlackRock.
ENI.XETRA · Technology · Positive Eni completed installation of the world's first purpose-built offshore CCS platform, advancing its carbon capture and storage technology deployment.
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Porsche Deliveries Fall 16% in Nine Months as China Plunges 33%

Porsche, the German sports car maker, reported that global vehicle deliveries in the first nine months of 2026 fell 16% year on year, weighed down by sluggish demand in China, the end of production for the 718 family, and a strategy that prioritises protecting brand value over chasing sales volume. Matthias Becker, Porsche's executive board member for sales and marketing, said the company is focusing on sports cars that customers want, variants tailored to niche markets, and expanded personalisation options. In the first nine months, deliveries in China fell 33%, while North America, Porsche's largest market, contracted 13%. Europe excluding Germany declined 11%. Third-quarter deliveries remained in line with the trend seen in the first half of the year. Despite the overall decline, the 911 sports car remained popular, with global deliveries rising 12% to 42,217 units in the first nine months.
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Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
P911.XETRA · Demand · Negative Global deliveries fell 16% in nine months, with China down 33% and North America down 13% on sluggish demand.
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UBS Upgrades Salzgitter, ArcelorMittal and voestalpine to Buy on EU Steel Quotas

UBS upgraded European steelmakers Salzgitter, ArcelorMittal and voestalpine to buy from neutral on Friday and kept its buy rating on SSAB, saying new EU import quotas that remove about 9 million tonnes of annual imports will tighten supply after a recent pullback in the shares. The broker set price targets of 71 euros for ArcelorMittal, 71 euros for Salzgitter, 64 euros for voestalpine and 120 Swedish crowns for SSAB, implying upside of 31%, 61%, 51% and 21% respectively, and named Salzgitter its top pick because its earnings are about 2.5 to 3.5 times more sensitive to higher EU steel prices than the other three. EU safeguard measures that took effect July 1 cap duty-free steel imports at 18.3 million tonnes a year, with a 50% tariff on anything above the quotas, while blast furnace restarts mainly by ArcelorMittal bring back about 7.6 million tonnes of announced capacity, partly offset by cuts at Taranto and at HKM, which Salzgitter owns. UBS raised its EU hot-rolled coil price forecasts by 2%, 11% and 10% for 2026, 2027 and 2028, now expecting about 820 euros a tonne in 2027 and 805 euros in 2028 against a spot of about 745 euros, and said import parity is above 900 euros a tonne, about 20% above spot, with 1,000 euros not ruled out if demand improves. The broker warned third-quarter results will not show the upturn, forecasting earnings below consensus for ArcelorMittal, voestalpine and SSAB on weak summer demand, the delayed effect of lower prices in May and June and higher energy costs, with Salzgitter the exception at 9% above consensus on higher steel shipments.
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Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Primary Steel & Aluminum Smelting ▲Supply
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Bulk & Structural Metals (Reshoring) ▲Supply
MT.AS · Capital · Positive UBS upgraded ArcelorMittal to buy with a 71-euro target, citing EU import quotas tightening supply.
SZG.XETRA · Capital · Positive UBS upgraded Salzgitter to buy, named it top pick, and set a 71-euro target on its high sensitivity to higher EU steel prices.
VAS.XETRA · Capital · Positive UBS upgraded voestalpine to buy with a 64-euro target, though it warned Q3 earnings will be below consensus.
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Berenberg downgrades Rheinmetall to Hold, cuts price target to €1,020

Berenberg downgraded Rheinmetall to Hold from Buy and cut its price target to €1,020 from €1,600, sending the German defense company's shares down more than 1% Friday on uncertainty over medium-term growth. Analysts led by George McWhirter rebuilt their bottom-up model of 417 contracts and order opportunities, driving Berenberg's group revenue forecast to €37.6 billion in 2030 versus consensus of €41 billion, a 28% compound annual growth rate, and lowered its 2030 revenue and EPS estimates by 6% and 8%. Berenberg estimates 181 contract opportunities worth €410 billion and includes €201 billion in its forecasts, a 49% win rate, warning that significant additional contract awards beyond its pipeline are required for sustainable growth beyond 2030 as major European contracts reach a steady state. Near-term visibility is high with a backlog of about €80 billion, including €56 billion of firm orders, but revenue under contract falls to 29% in 2030, with the Weapons & Ammunition division the weakest at only 16% under contract, the lowest of the five divisions. Rheinmetall shares are down more than 50% from their 52-week high of €1,933.50, and the stock trades at 18.1 times 2027 earnings for a 30% EPS CAGR over 2028-30, which Berenberg said offers valuation support but may limit re-rating potential because visibility after 2030 is a core determinant of defense sector multiples.
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Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Primes — Europe & Asia ▼Demand
RHM.XETRA · Capital · Negative Berenberg downgraded Rheinmetall to Hold and cut its price target to €1,020 from €1,600 on uncertainty over medium-term growth.
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Evonik shares rise on report BASF may submit new takeover offer

Evonik Industries shares rose 2.6% following a Reuters report that BASF could submit a new takeover offer for the German specialty chemicals company. Reuters reported that BASF may make another bid after Evonik rejected an earlier offer of €22.15 per share in September, a proposal that represented a premium of nearly 25% to Evonik's prior three-month average share price. Citi analysts said that even at an assumed offer price of €25 per share, their model indicates average earnings per share and free cash flow accretion of approximately 20% through 2030 for BASF, though return on invested capital would fall to around 9%, which they view as a threshold given the scale, complexity and execution risks involved. The analysts added that unless major shareholder RAG opposes a transaction, Evonik management may ultimately decide to engage in discussions, and noted that RAG's most recent share placement was executed at €19.99 per share. Citi also said it currently struggles to identify a valuation scenario in which Evonik shares can sustainably exceed €22 per share absent a broader sector recovery.
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Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Specialty Chemicals & Industrial Gases Capital
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Catalysts, Additives & Performance Chemicals Capital
EVK.XETRA · Capital · Positive Reuters report that BASF could make a new takeover bid after Evonik rejected an earlier €22.15/share offer.
BAS.XETRA · Capital · Positive Report that BASF may submit a new takeover offer for Evonik, with Citi modeling ~20% EPS/FCF accretion through 2030.
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SpaceX to Buy US Spectrum Portfolio, Sending EU Telecom Stocks Lower

Space Exploration Technologies said it will buy a nationwide U.S. spectrum portfolio from digital infrastructure investor Grain Management, a push to turn Starlink into a full-fledged mobile carrier. The deal, subject to Federal Communications Commission approval, covers up to 14 megahertz of paired spectrum in the 800 MHz band. European telecom stocks fell on the news, with Deutsche Telekom down 7% by 07:27 GMT, Vodafone off 3.1%, Orange SA down 2.6%, Telefonica down 2.5%, BT Group down 1.4% and Koninklijke down 2.1%, while U.S. carriers AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile also dropped in extended trading Thursday after The Wall Street Journal first reported the deal. SpaceX said the low-band spectrum addresses a key remaining technical gap and will be paired with an advanced terrestrial deployment covering places satellites cannot reach, including inside buildings; the FCC earlier this week approved SpaceX's bid to launch up to 15,000 satellites dedicated to mobile service. The move sets up direct competition with carriers, after T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon last week formed a joint venture to expand satellite coverage without Starlink, and follows SpaceX's roughly $17 billion cash-and-stock deal last year for satellite spectrum rights from EchoStar, later adding $2.6 billion of EchoStar's ground-based licenses.
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Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device Competition
Space Economy › Satellite Broadband, MSS & Ground Equipment ▼Competition
Space Economy › Direct-to-Device (satellite-to-cell) ▼Competition
SPCX · Competition · Positive SpaceX's purchase of a nationwide US spectrum portfolio plus FCC approval of 15,000 mobile-service satellites advances Starlink into a full mobile carrier, strengthening its competitive position.
Grain Management · Capital · Positive SpaceX will buy Grain Management's nationwide U.S. spectrum portfolio, a major asset sale for the digital infrastructure investor.
BT-A.LSE · Competition · Negative SpaceX's Starlink spectrum deal sets up direct mobile competition, sending BT shares lower.
DTE.XETRA · Competition · Negative Deutsche Telekom dropped 7% as SpaceX's Starlink spectrum purchase sets up direct carrier competition.
ORA.PA · Competition · Negative Orange SA shares fell 2.6% as SpaceX's Starlink spectrum deal threatens carrier competition.
T · Competition · Negative SpaceX's spectrum deal sets up direct mobile competition with carriers, and AT&T dropped in extended trading; AT&T also formed a satellite JV to counter Starlink.
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Barclays downgrades Ryanair and Norwegian Air on high fuel prices

Barclays downgraded Ryanair and Norwegian Air Shuttle to Equal Weight from Overweight, citing persistently high fuel prices that threaten fourth-quarter and 2027 profits across European airlines. Analysts led by Andrew Lobbenberg cut Ryanair's price target to €24 from €28.50 and Norwegian's to NOK 11.50 from NOK 20, with the bank now pricing estimates off the current fuel forward curve, producing moderate cuts for the rest of 2026 and larger ones in 2027 when hedging is lower. Barclays' estimates sit below Bloomberg consensus this year and, the analysts said, "very significantly" below next year. The crack spread between crude and kerosene has widened, offsetting any moderation in crude prices, and Barclays doubts airlines can pass the costs on, writing that "Airlines do not set fares - the market does." Low-cost carriers are most challenged because fuel is about 47% of revenue on Barclays' estimates, and Ryanair faces a hedging cliff with cover dropping from 80% in March 2027 to 15% in April. Barclays kept Underweight ratings on Lufthansa, Air France-KLM and Finnair, named IAG its preferred major airline, and kept Overweight ratings on Aegean, Jet2, TUI and Wizz, calling Wizz a "more speculative" call.
RY4C.XETRA · Capital · Negative Barclays downgraded Ryanair to Equal Weight and cut its price target to €24 from €28.50 on high fuel costs and a hedging cliff.
Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA · Capital · Negative Barclays downgraded Norwegian Air Shuttle to Equal Weight from Overweight and halved its price target to NOK 11.50 on high fuel costs.
0OHY.LSE · Capital · Positive Barclays kept its Overweight rating on Aegean, signaling relative analyst favorability versus downgraded peers.
IAG.LSE · Capital · Positive Barclays named IAG its preferred major airline, a positive analyst valuation call.
JET2.LSE · Capital · Positive Barclays kept its Overweight rating on Jet2 amid the sector downgrades.
LHA.XETRA · Capital · Negative Barclays maintained its Underweight rating on Lufthansa, reflecting a negative analyst view.
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Tryg Posts Record Q3 Insurance Service Result of DKK 2,454m

Tryg A/S reported a record-high insurance service result of DKK 2,454m for the third quarter of 2026, up from DKK 2,181m a year earlier, with a combined ratio of 76.8% against 78.6%. The improvement was supported by a 60bps underlying claims ratio gain, up from 50bps in the second quarter, including solid progress in Norway, and Group revenue growth of 4.1% in DKK, or 2.3% in local currencies. Pre-tax profit for the quarter reached DKK 2,123m, up from DKK 1,980m, while the investment result fell to DKK 42m from DKK 177m. For the first nine months, the insurance service result was DKK 5,299m, or DKK 6,499m adjusted for the one-off provision on Danish workers' compensation booked in the second quarter, and the combined ratio was 83.2%, or 79.4% adjusted. The Supervisory Board approved an ordinary dividend of DKK 2.15 per share for the year, up around 5% from DKK 2.05, and the solvency ratio stood at 203% at the end of the third quarter, up from 196% at the end of the second quarter. Group CEO Johan Kirstein Brammer also highlighted three new motor partnerships with Mercedes-Benz in Sweden, Tesla in Denmark, and XPENG in Norway.
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Climate Adaptation & Water › Property/Casualty & Reinsurance Underwriting Pricing
0R78.LSE · Capital · Positive Tryg reported a record Q3 insurance service result of DKK 2,454m, improved combined ratio, and a higher ordinary dividend.
9868.HK · Demand · Positive Tryg announced a new motor partnership with XPENG in Norway, a concrete distribution win for XPeng.
MBG.XETRA · Demand · Positive Tryg highlighted a new motor partnership with Mercedes-Benz in Sweden, a concrete distribution win for Mercedes-Benz.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tryg highlighted a new motor partnership with Tesla in Denmark, a concrete distribution/order win for Tesla.
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Germany raises 2026 GDP forecast to 1.3% on stronger-than-expected exports and public spending

The German government has raised its forecast for economic growth in 2026 to 1.3% from a previous 0.5%, citing stronger-than-expected economic resilience despite pressure from soaring energy prices and geopolitical uncertainty. Katherina Reiche, Germany's Minister for Economic Affairs, said in the government's autumn economic forecast report that Germany's economy, the largest in Europe, is expected to recover steadily this year, driven by exports and public spending. Reiche said the German economy expanded better than expected in the first half of 2026, even as it was affected by conflict in the Middle East and higher energy costs. However, the recovery remains uneven, with private consumption likely to stay sluggish as inflation driven by energy prices has eroded households' purchasing power. At the same time, low capacity utilisation and geopolitical volatility continue to weigh on private investment. For the longer-term outlook, the government expects growth to slow to 1.1% in 2027 and to 0.6% in 2028. The government also warned that the economic trajectory will depend heavily on the situations in the Middle East and Ukraine. A lasting end to the conflicts would help push energy prices lower and accelerate the economic recovery, but if the situations drag on, they will inevitably add further pressure on businesses and households.
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Mexico's Auto Exports Fall 12% in September on U.S. Tariff Impact

Mexico's auto export volumes fell 12% year-on-year in September, the largest drop since December 2025, according to data released on the 8th by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography. Analysts attribute the decline to the impact of tariff policies imposed by the United States, Mexico's largest market. Monthly production fell 15%, while domestic sales rose 8%, helping to cushion the blow to the auto manufacturing industry, the country's largest industrial sector. Government officials are pushing ahead with a review of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, and Mexican-made vehicles are still subject to a 25% tariff even as negotiations continue. Mexican authorities estimate that the burden would be reduced to 10-12% if rules requiring the use of North American parts are complied with. Janet Quiroz, director of economic analysis at brokerage Monex, noted that "the September data is more a warning sign than a sign of crisis. If this trend continues through 2027, we may be discussing a more structural problem for Mexican manufacturing." U.S. auto giant General Motors announced last year a $4 billion investment plan to shift some production from Mexico to the United States in response to volatile tariff policy. Along with General Motors, Ford Motor and Nissan also saw sharp declines in exports in September, while South Korea's Kia, Germany's BMW and Mazda increased exports and filled the gap. Mazda in particular more than doubled its exports year-on-year. Mercedes-Benz closed its joint venture plant with Nissan last May, and in September recorded zero production and zero exports for the first time since it began overseas shipments eight years ago. The Mexican Automotive Industry Association stressed at a press conference on the 8th that Mexico remains the largest foreign supplier of automobiles to the United States. According to the association's data, exports to the United States fell 5% in the January-September period of 2026, while exports to Canada, Mexico's second-largest market, rose by just over 9%.
GM · Tariff · Negative GM's exports fell sharply in September and it is shifting production from Mexico to the U.S. in response to volatile tariff policy.
000270.KO · Competition · Positive Kia increased exports in September and helped fill the gap left by falling Mexican exports from GM, Ford and Nissan.
7201.JP · Tariff · Negative Nissan saw sharp declines in exports in September amid the U.S. tariff impact on Mexican auto exports.
7261.JP · Tariff · Positive Mazda more than doubled exports year-on-year, filling the gap left by tariff-hit rivals.
F · Tariff · Negative Ford saw sharp declines in exports in September amid the 25% U.S. tariff on Mexican-made vehicles.
MBG.XETRA · Tariff · Negative Mercedes-Benz closed its Nissan JV plant and recorded zero production and exports in September amid the tariff-hit export slump.
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Verbio Opens Ethenolysis Plant, Shifts Focus to Capacity Utilization

Verbio SE outlined its next development phase at its Capital Markets Day in Bitterfeld, marking the commissioning of a new ethenolysis plant for bio-based speciality chemicals as a milestone in the expansion of its renewable-molecule production platform and biorefineries. After years of high investment, the company said its focus is now increasingly on utilizing the capacity it has created, optimizing existing production plants and increasing earnings and cash flow. The event covered the market and competitive positioning of Verbio's existing business divisions, the further development of its business base in the USA, and the commercial ramp-up of its new chemical products. Verbio pointed to the resurgence of biomass as a raw material revitalizing the biofuels market while opening new value-creation opportunities beyond it, including expanded trading activities and additional revenue potential from the utilization and storage of biogenic CO2. Chief Executive Officer Claus Sauter said Verbio has developed over two decades from a biofuel producer into an integrated platform for a wide range of renewable molecules, with the company's twentieth flotation anniversary days away, and that it will now harness that platform's potential to generate value, cash flow and long-term returns for shareholders. Verbio also reaffirmed its commitment to disciplined capital use and a balanced approach between profitable growth, financial stability and sustainable value creation.
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Synthetic Biology (non-pharma) › Bio-Based Materials & Industrial Chemicals ▲Supply
Synthetic Biology (non-pharma) › Sustainable Aviation Fuel & Bio-Fuels ▲Supply
VBK.XETRA · Technology · Positive Commissioning of new ethenolysis plant expands Verbio's renewable-molecule platform and opens new chemical product value-creation.
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Deutsche Bank and Barclays Turn Cautious on SolarEdge as U.S. Solar Demand Softens

Analysts at Deutsche Bank and Barclays turned more cautious on SolarEdge Technologies in early October 2026, citing softer U.S. solar demand and growing risk to later-year earnings as high interest rates pressure project economics. The comments underscored a potential disconnect between current expectations for SolarEdge's growth and the tougher operating backdrop facing the broader solar industry, particularly in its core U.S. market. The analysts' updates sharpen the focus on a key short-term catalyst: clarity from upcoming earnings and industry events on how U.S. demand is holding up, while highlighting the biggest current risk that high interest rates keep pressuring project economics longer than many expect. Against that backdrop, SolarEdge's Q2 2026 results, with revenue of US$346.25 million and a net loss of US$30.75 million, underline that the company is still in loss-making territory while investing in new platforms such as Nexis and data center DC solutions. The most bearish analysts had already penciled in only 3.6 percent annual revenue growth and no profitability within three years, and the latest warning on U.S. demand could push them to revisit even those low expectations.
About megatrends
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Solar ▼Demand
SEDG · Capital · Negative Deutsche Bank and Barclays turned more cautious on SolarEdge, citing softer U.S. solar demand and risk to later-year earnings.
BARC.LSE · Capital · Neutral Barclays is named as one of the analysts turning more cautious on SolarEdge, but the article does not discuss Barclays' own business.
DBK.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Deutsche Bank is named as one of the analysts turning more cautious on SolarEdge, but the article does not discuss Deutsche Bank's own business.
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Meta's Muse AI agent hits 2.182 million daily users as Amazon blocks access

Meta's new Muse AI agent reached 2.182 million daily active users on Oct. 5, according to Similarweb data, with usage climbing steadily throughout October. The growth comes as Muse reportedly faces a new hurdle: websites, Amazon being the top-of-mind example, blocking AI agents from browsing or completing purchases. Deutsche Bank analyst Benjamin Black sees Muse reaching up to 8% of Meta's revenue by 2030, roughly $36 billion in sales, with a lower-end estimate of $2.4 billion by 2030. Meta stock is down 7.7% from its record high reached in late September amid the Muse hype. If Muse's usefulness becomes limited as more websites treat AI agents as bots or security risks, that could dent the new bullish case for the stock that has developed since the agent's September launch.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▼Demand
META · Competition · Neutral Websites including Amazon blocking AI agents could limit Muse's usefulness and dent the bullish case for Meta stock.
META · Demand · Neutral Muse AI agent hit 2.182M daily users with Deutsche Bank projecting up to $36B revenue by 2030, but website blocking threatens its usefulness.
AMZN · Competition · Negative Amazon is the top-of-mind example of websites blocking Meta's Muse AI agent from browsing or completing purchases, a competitive defensive move against AI agents.
DBK.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Deutsche Bank analyst Benjamin Black is cited for his Muse revenue estimates, a passing analyst mention rather than a bank-specific development.
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EasyJet cuts 700,000 more winter seats as fuel costs bite

EasyJet is cutting an additional 700,000 seats from its winter schedule as the low-cost carrier battles rising fuel costs. Chief executive Kenton Jarvis said the extra cutbacks amount to roughly two days' worth of flying capacity, or an average of 3,500 individual flights over the period, and follow a summer decision to remove 700,000 seats. Jet fuel prices nearly doubled after the outbreak of war in Iran disrupted supply chains in the Strait of Hormuz, and although prices have begun to ease they remain well above airline expectations. EasyJet, which has agreed to a £5.7bn takeover by US private equity giant Apollo, hopes the schedule cuts will reduce its reliance on high-cost fuel. Rival Ryanair has trimmed its winter schedule by as much as 4pc, and its boss Michael O'Leary warned high fuel costs could persist for another 18 months, saying airlines face an enormous cost challenge next year. Rising jet fuel costs are expected to deal a $100bn blow to the aviation sector this year, according to industry body Iata, pressure that has already pushed carriers including Spirit Airlines and AirBaltic into bankruptcy.
EZJ.LSE · Supply · Negative EasyJet cuts an additional 700,000 winter seats as rising jet fuel costs bite.
RY4C.XETRA · Supply · Negative Ryanair trimmed its winter schedule by up to 4pc amid the same high fuel costs.
airBaltic · Supply · Negative AirBaltic is cited among carriers pushed into bankruptcy by rising jet fuel costs.
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Institutional Stablecoin Stack Completes Five-Layer Build Ahead of GENIUS Act

The architecture for institutional stablecoins effectively locked into place between October 6 and October 8, 2026, as five distinct infrastructure layers shipped simultaneously to satisfy the requirements of the GENIUS Act. The reserve layer is now a functional duopoly of the JPMorgan JLTXX fund, holding $733.7 million in assets under management, and the BlackRock BSTBL parent fund, backed by a $6.1 billion parent fund, because the GENIUS Act's 40% concentration limit on any single tokenized reserve asset forces issuers to use both. Above the reserves, SAP Pay has been embedded into SAP Cloud ERP, supporting USDC and EURC across 89 corridors and reaching approximately 400,000 customers. The credit layer gained the first-ever stablecoin protocol rating from Moody's, which assigned a B3 rating to the Sky Protocol alongside an S&P B- rating, defining a 0.9% capital ratio and upgrade and downgrade thresholds. On the merchant side, Citi connected its $6 trillion payment network to Coinbase stablecoin rails, covering 150 million cardholders with a 3.75% platform incentive. These layers feed four settlement rails: SoFi and Mastercard, Visa's $20 billion annualized volume, Stripe's expansion across more than 100 countries, and Solana's delivery-versus-payment capabilities. The urgency stems from the January 18, 2027, effective date of the GENIUS Act, with seven federal agencies having failed to meet their July 2026 rulemaking obligations, while a survey by the American Bankers Association and the Conference of State Bank Supervisors found 18% of community banks plan to launch tokenized deposits within 12 months and 60% expect to lose ground to the new stablecoin rails.
About megatrends
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers & Distribution ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Crypto Exchanges, Custody & Digital-Asset Infrastructure ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Real-World Asset Tokenization ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers ▼Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Tokenized Funds & Treasuries (Asset Managers) ▲Regulation
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Distribution & Revenue-Share Partners ▲Regulation
BLK · Regulation · Positive BlackRock's BSTBL parent fund is one half of the reserve-layer duopoly mandated by the GENIUS Act's 40% concentration limit, driving tokenized reserve demand.
C · Demand · Positive Citi connected its $6 trillion payment network to Coinbase stablecoin rails, covering 150 million cardholders with a 3.75% platform incentive.
JPM · Regulation · Positive JPMorgan's JLTXX fund is one half of the reserve-layer duopoly forced by the GENIUS Act's 40% concentration limit on tokenized reserve assets.
MCO · Capital · Positive Moody's assigned the first-ever stablecoin protocol rating (B3 to Sky Protocol), expanding its ratings business into a new asset class.
COIN · Demand · Positive Coinbase stablecoin rails are the counterparty for Citi's $6 trillion payment network connection covering 150 million cardholders.
MA · Demand · Positive Mastercard is named as one of the four settlement rails feeding the institutional stablecoin stack, alongside SoFi.
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Cloudflare Becomes Public Certificate Authority, Launches Basin Data Platform

Cloudflare has become a public Certificate Authority, issuing post-quantum ready TLS certificates to external organizations. The company also introduced Basin, an open-source serverless data platform designed to handle application data without dedicated infrastructure management. In addition, Cloudflare entered a major partnership with Deutsche Telekom to offer joint security and connectivity services to enterprise clients across Europe. The moves extend Cloudflare beyond protecting and accelerating traffic into owning key trust primitives and a neutral, open data layer, in contrast to more closed ecosystems at players like Amazon or Microsoft. The Deutsche Telekom tie-up deepens enterprise penetration through large multi-product deals while testing a flagged risk around customer concentration and execution at scale.
About megatrends
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Post-Quantum & Cryptographic Trust ▲Technology
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Specialized / Developer & Managed-Hosting Cloud Technology
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Network Security & SASE ▲Technology
Quantum Computing › Quantum-Safe / Post-Quantum Cryptography ▲Technology
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Edge & Content Delivery ▲Technology
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Hyperscale Cloud (IaaS / PaaS) Technology
NET · Demand · Positive Major partnership with Deutsche Telekom to offer joint security and connectivity services deepens enterprise penetration in Europe.
NET · Technology · Positive Cloudflare became a public Certificate Authority issuing post-quantum ready TLS certificates and launched the open-source Basin data platform.
DTE.XETRA · Demand · Positive Deutsche Telekom entered a major partnership with Cloudflare to offer joint security and connectivity services to European enterprise clients.
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UBS Names Five European Energy Stocks to Buy as Refining Margins Jump 83%

UBS rates five of the eight European energy stocks it covers as "buy" in a Q3 earnings preview, saying oil, gas and refining margins have all trended above consensus and refining margins jumped 83% in a quarter. The broker's Q3 net income estimates are 12% above consensus on average, and it raised its Brent forecast to $100/bl for Q4 while making no rating changes. For BP, UBS lifted its price target to 700p from 675p against a 558p share price, forecasting Q3 adjusted net income of $5.70 billion, 6% above consensus, and cash flow ex-working capital of $10.87 billion, 10% above, with net debt down $4.5 billion; BP reports on 30 October. TotalEnergies saw its target rise to €89 from €88 against a €74.5 share price, with UBS expecting Q3 adjusted net income of $8.63 billion, 16% above consensus, and cash flow ex-working capital of $12.36 billion, 25% above, the widest gap in the group, ahead of results on 29 October. Eni's target rose to €30 from €28 against a €24.2 share price, with Q3 net income of €2.42 billion essentially in line with consensus and 2026E EPS 26% above, plus assumed buybacks of €3.8 billion and a special dividend of about €1 billion; Eni reports on 23 October. Galp's €25 target was unchanged against a €21.7 share price, with Q3 net income forecast at €654 million, 22% above consensus, and cash flow of €956 million, 14% above, ahead of its 26 October report. OMV's target rose 13% to €77 from €68 against a €70.5 share price, with Q3 net income expected at €1.07 billion, 3% above consensus, and cash flow 5% above; OMV reports on 29 October.
BP.LSE · Capital · Positive UBS raised BP's price target to 700p from 675p and forecasts Q3 adjusted net income 6% above consensus with net debt down $4.5 billion.
ENI.XETRA · Capital · Positive UBS lifted Eni's target to €30 from €28, with 2026E EPS 26% above consensus plus assumed €3.8 billion buybacks and a ~€1 billion special dividend.
TTE.PA · Capital · Positive UBS lifted TotalEnergies' target to €89 from €88, expecting Q3 adjusted net income 16% above consensus and cash flow 25% above, the widest gap in the group.
0B67.LSE · Capital · Positive UBS keeps €25 target on Galp and forecasts Q3 net income 22% above consensus and cash flow 14% above, ahead of its 26 October report.
OMV.XETRA · Capital · Positive UBS raised OMV's price target 13% to €77 from €68 and expects Q3 net income 3% above consensus ahead of its 29 October report.
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JPMorgan Warns Rising 30-Year Yields Threaten Small- and Mid-Cap Returns

JPMorgan strategists led by Eduardo Lecubarri warned that the climb in 30-year government bond yields poses a risk to small- and mid-cap stocks, arguing the move reflects government debt levels more than the path of short-term interest rates. They said that for the first time in history, about 60% of global GDP sits with governments running debt above 100% of GDP and a deficit, a 3-sigma event investors seem to be ignoring. The U.S. term premium has doubled, with the gap between the 30-year yield and the Fed funds rate widening to 1.42% from 0.73%, a level seen before only after the Fed funds rate fell more than 70%, which the strategists said is unlikely now. For SMid investors, the share of U.S. small- and mid-cap stocks with a dividend yield above the 30-year Treasury yield has dropped to 9% from 19% since the start of 2024, a 24-year low, with similar declines in the U.K. and continental Europe. JPMorgan added Dashenlin Pharmaceutical Group, a $3 billion Chinese company, and Befesa, a €1.4 billion German-listed company, both rated Overweight, to its model portfolio.
603233.CG · Capital · Positive JPMorgan added Dashenlin Pharmaceutical Group to its model portfolio with an Overweight rating.
BFSA.XETRA · Capital · Positive JPMorgan added Befesa to its model portfolio with an Overweight rating.
JPM · Monetary · Neutral JPMorgan strategists warn rising 30-year yields threaten small/mid-cap returns, but the bank itself is only the source of the research, not a subject of impact.
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Bernstein upgrades Continental to outperform, sets €82 target

Bernstein upgraded tyre maker Continental AG to "outperform" from "Market-Perform" and raised its price target to €82 from €74, calling it its "top pick" in the tyre industry and citing a valuation discount to rivals after planned asset sales. After those deals, Continental trades on 7.3 times enterprise value to operating profit, against 7.4 for Pirelli and 8.0 for Michelin, Bernstein said. Bloomberg data shows Continental at a 10% premium to Michelin, but Bernstein's own calculation, which includes the €250 million MyCar disposal in Australia, shows a discount of about 10%, and the broker expects the gap to close within six months. Bernstein said part of the upside comes from the €4 billion sale of ContiTech to Lone StarFunds, aimed to close by the end of 2026, arguing the market does not fully understand how the sale price translates into the €3.1 billion in cash proceeds the company has guided to. Of that €3.1 billion, Continental will return €2.5 billion to shareholders in 2027, which combined with the ordinary dividend is a cash return yield of about 20%, compared with about 7% for peers. Bernstein forecasts a tyre adjusted EBIT margin of 14.4% for the third quarter against a consensus of 13.5%, and is 4% ahead of consensus for the second half of 2026 and for full-year 2027.
CON.XETRA · Capital · Positive Bernstein upgraded Continental to outperform and raised its price target to €82, calling it top pick on a valuation discount.
0P1R.LSE · Competition · Neutral Named only as a valuation comparison (7.4x EV/EBIT) against Continental; no company-specific development.
ML.PA · Competition · Neutral Mentioned only as a valuation benchmark (8.0x EV/EBIT, 10% premium) versus Continental; no own news.
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German exports fall 0.8% in August, defying expectations, as shipments to the US plunge 6.3%

Germany's Federal Statistical Office reported on October 8 that German exports in August fell 0.8% from the previous month, contrary to a Reuters survey that had forecast a 0.6% increase. The decline was driven mainly by exports to the United States, which plunged 6.3% from July. Exports to the European Union fell 0.6%, while exports to countries outside the EU slipped 1.1%. Exports to the United Kingdom surged 16.7%, and exports to China edged up 4.7%. However, imports of goods from China jumped 11.0%. Overall imports rose 0.9% from July after seasonal and calendar adjustments. As a result, Germany's trade surplus narrowed to 19.5 billion euros, or about 21.8 billion dollars, in August, down from 21.6 billion euros in July. The figures reflect that growth momentum in Germany's economy, the largest in the eurozone, is beginning to fade after a strong expansion in the first half of the year, and signal that the economy is likely to slow in the third quarter of 2026.
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Halozyme Expands Argenx ENHANZE Deal to Eight Targets

Halozyme Therapeutics extended its ENHANZE collaboration with argenx to cover two more exclusive targets, bringing the total to eight. Under the expanded agreement, Halozyme is eligible for milestone payments tied to development and commercial progress, plus royalties on net sales of ENHANZE-based products. The deal adds fresh attention to the company's partnership-driven revenue model, which already generates more than $1 billion annually in ENHANZE royalties. Recent headlines also include a Dutch court injunction against Merck's Keytruda SC and the return of commercial leader Jim Daly to Halozyme's board. The stock last closed at $110.79, up 40.92% over the past 90 days, with a five-year total shareholder return of 200.24%.
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Biotech & Genomic Medicine › Autoimmune & Immunology Therapeutics Technology
HALO · Demand · Positive Halozyme extended its ENHANZE collaboration with argenx to eight exclusive targets, adding milestone and royalty revenue potential.
MRK · Regulation · Negative A Dutch court injunction was issued against Merck's Keytruda SC, a legal setback mentioned in the article.
MRK.XETRA · Regulation · Negative The Dutch court injunction against Keytruda SC concerns Merck KGaA's product, a legal setback noted in the article.
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Circle partners with SAP-backed Tereina to integrate USDC and EURC into business systems

Circle Internet Group announced on October 7 that it has partnered with Tereina, a financial services company backed by SAP. The two will integrate the US dollar-pegged stablecoin USDC and the euro-pegged EURC into the business systems companies use every day. The initial focus is SAP's cloud-based ERP, where the stablecoins will be usable through the payment service SAP Pay. For eligible US dollar-denominated payments, USDC will be the preferred option, while EURC will be offered for euro-denominated transactions. Circle cited payments to overseas suppliers, fund transfers between group companies, and settlement of accounts receivable and payable as use cases, saying blockchain-based payments that run 24 hours a day, 365 days a year can be used alongside existing bank payments. The announcement said commercial transactions involving SAP's customer companies account for 84% of the global total. However, unless otherwise specified, SAP Pay covers transactions by customer companies and affiliates located in the United States or the EU, and using USDC also requires an eligible account with Circle Mint, Circle's corporate service. Over the coming months, the two companies plan to work with customers to verify the benefits of adoption and to hold training sessions for finance and payment staff.
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Digital Finance & Tokenization › Payments Modernization & Rails ▲Technology
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers & Distribution ▲Technology
Digital Finance & Tokenization › Stablecoin Issuers ▲Technology
CRCL · Demand · Positive Circle partners with SAP-backed Tereina to integrate USDC and EURC into SAP's ERP via SAP Pay, expanding real business payment use cases for its stablecoins.
EURC · Demand · Positive EURC will be offered for euro-denominated transactions in SAP Pay, broadening adoption of the euro stablecoin.
USDC · Demand · Positive USDC becomes the preferred option for eligible US dollar-denominated payments in SAP Pay, expanding its business payment adoption.
SAP.XETRA · Demand · Positive SAP-backed Tereina's partnership integrates stablecoin payments into SAP's cloud ERP and SAP Pay, adding payment capabilities for SAP's business customers.
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Daimler Truck Q3 sales rise 26% on North America rebound as EV sales fall 28%

Daimler Truck reported third-quarter vehicle sales of 91,260 units, up 26% from 72,277 a year earlier, driven by a 51% surge in North America. Trucks North America, which includes the Freightliner, Western Star and Thomas Built Buses brands, sold 45,629 units, up from 30,225, while Mercedes-Benz Trucks, which includes BharatBenz, sold 40,362 units, up 13% from 35,818. Daimler Buses, covering Mercedes-Benz and Setra, sold 5,394 units, down 16% from 6,443. Battery-electric trucks and buses fell 28% to 1,207 units from 1,679. For the first nine months of 2026, group sales rose 8% to 246,816 units from 228,642, with battery-electric sales down 2% to 3,354 from 3,431. The figures cover continuing operations only, after Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation was folded into ARCHION on April 1, 2026.
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Electrification & Mobility › Commercial & Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles ▼Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
DTG.XETRA · Demand · Positive Q3 vehicle sales rose 26% to 91,260 units, driven by a 51% surge in North America truck sales.
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