Stifel upgraded Microsoft to Buy from Hold and raised its price target to $575 from $530 in a September 23 research note, citing robust artificial intelligence growth and Azure's continued acceleration. The firm believes Microsoft can sustain revenue growth in the mid-to-upper teens while keeping operating margins relatively stable, and expects improving operational efficiencies to support strong cash flow and reduce the need for external financing. Azure's recent acceleration is expected to continue as additional data-center capacity comes online, with operational efficiencies and a growing revenue contribution from OpenAI also supporting growth, after CFO Amy Hood said efficiency gains are being monetized quickly and process improvements have shortened lead times for bringing CPU and GPU capacity online. Copilot seats reached roughly 30 million in the fiscal fourth quarter, while GitHub's shift toward consumption-based pricing offers another source of recurring growth. Microsoft still faces risks from high capital requirements for AI and data-center capacity, rapid advances in rival AI models that could pressure premium pricing for Azure AI and Copilot, and the challenge of converting Copilot's large user base into durable incremental revenue and profit. Hedge fund positioning weakened modestly between the first and second quarters, with the number of funds holding the stock falling from 282 to 273, though Arrowstreet Capital raised its stake by 14% to approximately $10.31 billion and Fisher Asset Management increased its position by 3% to roughly $9.92 billion; short interest declined to about 67.35 million shares as of September 15 from 68.54 million as of August 14, or about 0.91% of shares outstanding.
Alibaba Plans New AI Cloud Regions in Europe and Spain Data Centers
Alibaba Group Holding outlined a global AI cloud expansion for 2026 that includes new AI-focused cloud regions across Europe and early stage data center projects in Spain. The company also announced a partnership with Sands China to deploy embodied AI robots and spatial intelligence systems at a flagship resort. The buildout is part of a broader push to move from merchant-focused tools toward becoming a compute provider, with plans for 20 gigawatts of capacity plus custom chips. The article notes that profit margins have already moved from 14.8% to 7%, and that the heavy AI and cloud spending weighs on EBITDA as Alibaba trades short term earnings for a larger infrastructure role.
9988.HK · Capital · Neutral Heavy AI/cloud spending weighs on EBITDA and margins fell from 14.8% to 7%, offsetting the expansion's long-term infrastructure ambitions.
9988.HK · Technology · Positive Alibaba outlined new AI-focused cloud regions in Europe and Spain data centers plus custom chips, expanding its compute-provider capabilities.
1928.HK · Demand · Positive Alibaba partnership will deploy embodied AI robots and spatial intelligence systems at Sands China's flagship resort, a concrete adoption deal.
Microsoft Suspended From US PERM Green Card Program Amid H-1B Review
Microsoft has been suspended from the U.S. PERM green card program as authorities review its H-1B visa practices, with federal investigators examining whether the company misused H-1B visas in a way that conflicts with U.S. labor and immigration rules. The suspension adds immigration-related scrutiny at a time when Microsoft relies heavily on global technical talent, and it sharpens focus on labor risk in a model where the AI and Azure buildout depends on highly skilled engineers to keep US$175b to US$190b of planned 2026 capex productive. The company's core bull case, built on contracted cloud demand and an AI run rate above US$37b, is not rewritten by the move, but the fresh scrutiny adds another policy overhang alongside existing concerns about AI-related tax incentives and data center obligations. The practical test will come in Microsoft's upcoming HR and regulatory disclosures and in conference call commentary, where investors can watch for any quantified impact on PERM and H-1B approvals, legal or compliance costs, or explicit changes to hiring plans and where critical AI and cloud engineering roles are based over the next 12 to 18 months.
MSFT · Regulation · Negative Microsoft suspended from the US PERM green card program amid federal review of its H-1B visa practices, adding immigration/labor compliance risk to its talent-dependent AI and Azure buildout.
Evercore ISI Calls 18% Internet Stock Selloff an Attractive Entry Point
Evercore ISI says a sharp selloff across internet equities this year has created an attractive entry point, with major hyperscalers poised for potential free cash flow inflection points over the next 3 to 12 months. The 19 large-cap internet stocks covered by Evercore ISI have dropped by an average of 18% in 2026, severely underperforming broader market benchmarks, with the S&P 500 up 14% and the Nasdaq Composite rising 19%. Evercore ISI Senior Managing Director Mark Mahaney attributed the sector's underperformance to six primary bear market factors: stretched valuation exits after a three-year bull run, AI disruption risks that have hit names like Booking Holdings, Expedia Group, Shopify and Uber Technologies, capex intensity at major hyperscalers, inflationary headwinds from the ongoing war in Iran, investor capital reallocation ahead of an incoming generation of mega-cap internet public offerings, and the emergence of autonomous AI agents as primary consumer interfaces. Despite pervasive market skepticism that massive AI capex will cause negative free cash flow at Amazon.com, Alphabet and Meta Platforms over the next two to three years, Evercore ISI argued that Wall Street consensus is overly pessimistic, noting that upward revisions to revenue and operating income could easily offset spending increases. Mahaney wrote that positive free cash flow inflection points over the next 3 to 12 months could serve as a major catalyst to right market wrongs.
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Mega-cap Hyperscalers Capital
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Hyperscale Cloud (IaaS / PaaS) Capital
AMZN · Capital · Positive Evercore ISI argues consensus is overly pessimistic on Amazon's AI capex and sees a positive free cash flow inflection as a catalyst.
GOOG · Capital · Positive Evercore ISI says fears of negative free cash flow from Alphabet's AI capex are overdone and sees an inflection point ahead.
META · Capital · Positive Evercore ISI contends Meta's heavy AI capex won't prevent positive free cash flow, with revenue revisions offsetting spending.
BKNG · Technology · Neutral Named among internet names hit by AI disruption risks, but Evercore's bullish entry-point call is sector-wide rather than Booking-specific.
EXPE · Technology · Neutral Listed among stocks pressured by AI disruption risks, with no company-specific development in the article.
SHOP · Competition · Neutral Named among internet stocks hit by AI disruption risks, but the article's thesis is a sector-wide selloff and hyperscaler FCF inflection, not a Shopify-specific development.
Oracle Trucks Natural Gas to Data Centers as Pipeline Delays Bite
Oracle is trucking natural gas directly to its data centers to keep construction on schedule, a stopgap measure it is considering for a build in New Mexico where a needed gas pipeline is delayed. The company is already running 30 trucks a day to data centers outside Salt Lake City, according to Bloomberg reporting. Oracle did not respond to requests for comment, but later posted on social media praising the partner helping it carry out the effort. The news added to pressure on Oracle shares, which had already been sliding amid confusion over OpenAI's ARR figure, though the stock was up almost 5% on the day. Analysts said the move signals the delays are more significant than the market expected, since trucking gas is a measure normally reserved for remote mining or temporary industrial operations.
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain Supply
ORCL · Supply · Negative Pipeline delays force Oracle to truck natural gas to data centers, a costly stopgap signaling significant infrastructure constraints on its buildout.
Microsoft Azure Tops $100 Billion as Cloud Unit Grows 43%
Microsoft's Azure cloud business passed $100 billion in annual revenue for fiscal 2026, with Azure and other cloud services growing 43% in the fiscal fourth quarter, unchanged in constant currency. Total quarterly revenue came in at $90.0 billion, up 18%, while fiscal 2026 revenue reached $331.8 billion, also up 18%, and Intelligent Cloud revenue hit $39.3 billion, up 32%. Operating income rose 18% in the quarter to $40.6 billion and 21% for the full year to $155.2 billion, while adjusted EPS was $4.74 for the quarter, up 23%, and $17.28 for the year, up 22%. Microsoft said one-time items added $0.27 per share versus its own guidance, including a $3.2 billion gain on its Anthropic investment, partly offset by severance costs and Xbox impairment charges, and that after adjusting for those items it still beat its expectations on revenue, operating income and EPS. At a forward P/E of 26.59 as of October 6, the stock trades above the sector's 23.81 but below its own five-year average of 30.52, with analysts expecting earnings per share to grow 19.77% in 2027.
Jefferies Names Alibaba Top Pick in China Internet, Lifts Target to $192
Jefferies named Alibaba Group Holding its top pick in the China Internet sector, maintaining a Buy rating and raising its price target on the U.S.-listed shares to $192 from $190, with the Hong Kong-listed target moving to HK$186 from HK$184. The firm cited solid execution across multiple business segments and accelerating growth in artificial intelligence cloud services. Jefferies expects AI Cloud and Compute services revenue to grow over 50% year-over-year to RMB60.5 billion in the September quarter, with segment margin improving quarter-over-quarter to 12.3%, and forecasts cloud revenue to grow over 50% year-over-year in fiscal year 2028. Total revenue is estimated to grow 9.6% year-over-year, while cloud segment profit is expected to offset losses in AI Lab and Applications in the December quarter. On ecommerce, the gap between gross and net China marketplace revenue is narrowing and Quick Commerce losses are lower in September than in the June quarter.